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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1971294
全球低糖軟性飲料市場-按產品、銷售管道、地區和競爭格局分類的產業規模、佔有率、趨勢、機會和預測(2021-2031年)Diet Soft Drinks Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity and Forecast, By Product (Zero Calorie, Low Calorie), By Sales Channel (Supermarket/Hypermarket, Convenience Stores, Online, Others), By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F |
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全球無糖軟性飲料市場預計將從 2025 年的 49.8 億美元成長到 2031 年的 63.3 億美元,複合年成長率為 4.08%。
該領域涵蓋使用阿斯巴甜、甜菊糖苷和蔗糖素等非營養性甜味劑的非酒精飲料,為傳統含糖飲料提供低卡路里或零卡路里的替代品。推動該領域成長要素包括全球肥胖率和糖尿病盛行率的上升,這促使消費者在不犧牲便利性的前提下採取體重管理策略。此外,政府徵收的糖稅起到了結構性催化劑的作用,在經濟上促使製造商重新設計產品,並激勵消費者轉向免稅的低糖產品。這種轉變絕非曇花一現。
| 市場概覽 | |
|---|---|
| 預測期 | 2027-2031 |
| 市場規模:2025年 | 49.8億美元 |
| 市場規模:2031年 | 63.3億美元 |
| 複合年成長率:2026-2031年 | 4.08% |
| 成長最快的細分市場 | 線上 |
| 最大的市場 | 北美洲 |
根據歐洲軟性飲料協會(UNESDA Soft Drinks Europe)的數據,到2024年,歐盟和英國軟性飲料的平均添加糖含量將比2019年減少12.4%。儘管取得了這一進展,但阻礙市場擴張的主要障礙是消費者對人工甜味劑長期健康影響的持續質疑。關於阿斯巴甜等成分安全性的反覆爭論和相互矛盾的科學研究,正在疏遠注重健康的消費者,導致他們放棄無糖汽水,轉而選擇天然無糖飲料,例如蘇打水和茶。
全球肥胖和糖尿病的日益普及正成為推動無糖軟性飲料市場發展的主要動力,促使人們的消費習慣轉向預防性方向。隨著公共衛生機構加強宣傳高血糖飲食相關的代謝風險,消費者正加速從傳統的含糖汽水轉向非營養替代品,以控制血糖值和卡路里攝取。這一趨勢得到了近期流行病學數據的支持,這些數據凸顯了飲食改善的迫切性。根據《柳葉刀》2024年11月發布的《全球健康數據分析》,全球糖尿病患者人數已超過8.28億,這一人口結構變化正迫使飲料消費模式發生結構性轉變。日益嚴峻的健康危機將持續吸引那些希望降低慢性病風險但又不想完全放棄含糖飲料而選擇低卡路里產品的消費者。
同時,主要飲料製造商的策略性產品品牌重塑和零糖產品的積極擴張正在推動市場發展。製造商正逐步淘汰傳統的「低糖」品牌(這些品牌通常與女性導向的行銷和較差的口味相關),轉而採用「零糖」標籤,承諾提供與全糖產品相同的感官體驗。這種供應端的變革直接消除了口味障礙,並擴大了對更廣泛消費者的吸引力。例如,根據可口可樂公司2024年10月發布的2024年第三季公佈財報,零糖可口可樂的銷售量成長了11%,顯著優於其他產品線。這種成長勢頭正在整個行業蔓延。根據Keurig Dr Pepper公司2024年7月發布的2024年第二季財報,零糖Dr Pepper的零售消費量增加了15%左右,進一步證實了零卡路里產品線現代化帶來的商業性效益。
消費者對人工甜味劑長期安全性的疑慮是全球無糖軟性飲料市場的主要阻礙因素。儘管生產商將這些產品宣傳為比含糖飲料更健康的選擇,但關於阿斯巴甜等成分的反覆出現的科學爭論,引發了注重健康的消費者的極大擔憂。這種疑慮直接阻礙了市場滲透,擾亂了消費者的消費習慣。換句話說,謹慎的消費者並沒有從含糖汽水轉向無糖汽水,而是擴大完全放棄碳酸飲料,轉而選擇水、茶和機能飲料等天然無糖飲品。因此,整個產業正努力將全球對低糖飲料日益成長的需求轉化為無糖品牌的持續銷售成長。
這種猶豫表現為消費者接受度的明顯停滯,與旨在減少糖分的監管措施背道而馳。由於無法完全建立信任,無糖軟性飲料將無法吸引那些積極尋求健康改善的消費者群體。國際食品資訊理事會的數據顯示,到2024年,31%減少或停止食用低熱量甜味劑的消費者明確表示,安全疑慮是他們的主要動機。這項數據凸顯了客戶維繫的重大挑戰,由於相當一部分潛在市場因健康風險顧慮而主動迴避這些產品,因此重新配方產品線的獲利能力受到限制。
全球低糖軟性飲料市場正經歷益生元和益生菌強化型功能性低糖汽水的快速成長。這一趨勢標誌著價值提案的根本轉變,從被動地減少卡路里攝取轉向主動地促進健康。與僅關注減糖的傳統低糖汽水不同,這些「更健康」的飲料添加了龍舌蘭菊糖和蘋果醋等功能性成分,以支持腸道菌群健康,從而直接吸引了那些此前對碳酸飲料敬而遠之的健康意識消費者。這個細分市場正展現出爆炸性的商業性成長勢頭,凸顯了消費者對功能性功效而非單純低卡路里特性的需求。根據《Just Drinks》2025年3月刊報道,“百事公司即將達成收購益生元汽水品牌Poppi的協議”,功能性汽水品牌Olipop在2024會計年度累計了超過4億美元的收入,凸顯了這一高成長細分市場在整個低糖飲料市場中的規模。
同時,製造商正積極採用100%再生PET(rPET)和永續包裝解決方案,以緩解環境問題,從而減少環保意識強的消費者因擔心一次性塑膠飲料而放棄購買。這項轉變的驅動力來自多方面因素,包括歐盟的《一次性塑膠指令》等嚴格的監管要求,以及企業為實現包裝循環利用而做出的自願努力,以確保其在環保意識強的市場中獲得「業務永續營運的許可」。這項變化代表供應鏈的重大結構性變革,從輕量化走向完全循環。根據歐洲軟性飲料協會(UNESDA Soft Drinks Europe)於2025年2月發布的最新報告《2025:歐洲永續性之路的轉折點》,2023年歐洲軟性飲料產業塑膠瓶中再生PET的平均使用率達到39.6%。這表明,儘管原料供應不穩定,但整個行業正在向循環包裝模式發生重大轉變。
The Global Diet Soft Drinks Market is projected to expand from USD 4.98 Billion in 2025 to USD 6.33 Billion by 2031, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 4.08%. This sector encompasses non-alcoholic beverages that utilize non-nutritive sweeteners such as aspartame, stevia, or sucralose to offer low or zero-calorie alternatives to traditional sugar-sweetened drinks. Key growth drivers include the rising global rates of obesity and diabetes, prompting consumers to adopt weight-management strategies without forgoing convenience. Additionally, government-imposed sugar taxes act as a structural catalyst, financially encouraging manufacturers to reformulate products and motivating consumers to switch to tax-exempt diet options, a shift that goes beyond fleeting trends.
| Market Overview | |
|---|---|
| Forecast Period | 2027-2031 |
| Market Size 2025 | USD 4.98 Billion |
| Market Size 2031 | USD 6.33 Billion |
| CAGR 2026-2031 | 4.08% |
| Fastest Growing Segment | Online |
| Largest Market | North America |
According to UNESDA Soft Drinks Europe, in 2024, the sector achieved a 12.4% reduction in average added sugars in soft drinks across the European Union and the United Kingdom compared to 2019 levels. Despite these advancements, a significant challenge impeding market expansion is the persistent consumer skepticism regarding the long-term health implications of artificial sweeteners. Recurring debates and conflicting scientific studies concerning the safety of ingredients like aspartame can deter health-conscious individuals, causing them to bypass diet sodas in favor of naturally unsweetened beverages such as sparkling water or tea.
Market Driver
The rising global incidence of obesity and diabetes acts as the primary catalyst for the diet soft drinks market, compelling a widespread shift toward preventive consumption habits. As public health organizations intensify awareness campaigns regarding the metabolic risks associated with high-glycemic diets, consumers are increasingly substituting conventional sugary sodas with non-nutritive alternatives to manage blood glucose levels and caloric intake. This trend is substantiated by recent epidemiological data that underscores the urgency of dietary modifications. According to The Lancet, November 2024, in the 'Global analysis of health data', the number of adults living with diabetes worldwide has surpassed 828 million, a demographic reality that is forcing a structural transition in beverage consumption patterns. This escalating health crisis ensures a sustained, captive audience for low-calorie formulations as individuals seek to mitigate chronic disease risks without completely abandoning carbonated beverages.
Concurrently, the market is being propelled by strategic product rebranding and the aggressive expansion of zero-sugar portfolios by major beverage conglomerates. Manufacturers are systematically retiring legacy 'diet' branding, which is often associated with feminine marketing or inferior flavor profiles, in favor of 'zero sugar' labels that promise a sensory experience identical to full-calorie originals. This supply-side evolution directly addresses taste-based barriers and broadens the category's appeal across diverse demographics. For instance, according to The Coca-Cola Company, October 2024, in the 'Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Release', unit case volume for Coca-Cola Zero Sugar grew by 11%, significantly outpacing other portfolio segments. This momentum is mirrored across the broader industry; according to Keurig Dr Pepper, July 2024, in the 'Second Quarter 2024 Earnings Press Release', retail consumption of Dr Pepper Zero Sugar increased in the mid-teens range, further validating the commercial efficacy of modernizing zero-calorie product lines.
Market Challenge
Consumer skepticism regarding the long-term safety of artificial sweeteners acts as a substantial restraint on the Global Diet Soft Drinks Market. While manufacturers market these products as healthier alternatives to sugar-sweetened beverages, recurring scientific debates concerning ingredients like aspartame create significant apprehension among health-conscious buyers. This skepticism directly hampers market penetration because it disrupts the expected consumer migration path; rather than switching from full-sugar sodas to diet versions, wary consumers increasingly exit the carbonated soft drink category entirely in favor of naturally unsweetened options like water, tea, or functional beverages. Consequently, the industry struggles to convert the rising global demand for sugar reduction into sustained volume growth for diet brands.
This hesitation translates into measurable stagnation in consumer adoption rates, counteracting the regulatory pushes against sugar. The inability to fully establish trust means that diet soft drinks often fail to capture the demographic most actively seeking health improvements. According to the International Food Information Council, in 2024, 31% of consumers who reduced or stopped consuming low-calorie sweeteners explicitly cited safety concerns as their primary motivation. This statistic underscores a critical retention issue, as a significant portion of the addressable market is actively avoiding these products due to perceived health risks, thereby limiting the revenue potential of reformulated portfolios.
Market Trends
The Global Diet Soft Drinks Market is witnessing the rapid emergence of prebiotic and probiotic functional diet sodas, a trend that fundamentally shifts value propositions from passive calorie avoidance to active health supplementation. Unlike traditional diet sodas that focus solely on sugar removal, these "better-for-you" beverages incorporate functional ingredients like agave inulin and apple cider vinegar to support gut microbiome health, directly appealing to wellness-oriented consumers who previously exited the carbonated category. This sub-segment has demonstrated explosive commercial traction, validating the consumer demand for functional efficacy over mere low-calorie attributes. According to Just Drinks, March 2025, in the article 'PepsiCo 'nears deal for prebiotic soda brand Poppi'', the functional soda brand Olipop generated over $400 million in revenue for the fiscal year 2024, underscoring the substantial scale this high-growth niche has achieved within the broader diet market.
Simultaneously, manufacturers are aggressively adopting 100% recycled PET (rPET) and sustainable packaging solutions to mitigate environmental concerns that often deter eco-conscious consumers from purchasing single-use plastic beverages. This transition is driven by a combination of stringent regulatory mandates, such as the EU Single-Use Plastics Directive, and voluntary corporate commitments aimed at closing the packaging loop to secure a "license to operate" in environmentally sensitive markets. This shift represents a critical structural evolution in the supply chain, moving beyond lightweighting to full circularity. According to UNESDA Soft Drinks Europe, February 2025, in the update '2025: A pivotal year in Europe's sustainability journey', the average use of recycled PET in the European soft drinks sector's plastic bottles reached 39.6% in 2023, reflecting a significant industrial pivot toward circular packaging models despite volatile raw material availability.
Report Scope
In this report, the Global Diet Soft Drinks Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:
Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Diet Soft Drinks Market.
Global Diet Soft Drinks Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report: