全球折疊紙盒市場未來展望（至2030年）

關鍵事實

• 2024年，全球紙盒紙板產量約5,700萬噸，較去年同期成長超過6%。
• 預計2024年的市場規模將略低於600億美元，較2023年成長9.5%。

預計2024年折疊紙盒包裝的實際總消費量將略高於5000萬噸，相當於1800億美元，較2023年的消費量成長近5%。

市場受GDP成長、家庭消費支出、人口趨勢和都市化等重大經濟波動的影響。技術方面，市場受到的影響更大，而可持續性無疑是主要趨勢之一。

本報告對全球折疊紙盒市場進行了深入分析，提供了市場驅動因素和趨勢、技術預測、過去市場規模及預測等資訊。

目錄

執行摘要

介紹與研究方法

市場驅動因素與趨勢（2020-2030）

• 介紹
• 全球紙箱產業
  • 產量
  • 主要製造商
  • 貿易量
  • 表觀消費量
• 全球折疊紙盒市場 折疊紙盒產業
  • 加工量
  • 主要加工商
  • 貿易量
  • 實際消費量
• 產業面臨的主要挑戰與趨勢
  • 對全球經濟的影響
    • 國內生產毛額（GDP）
    • 家庭消費支出（HCE）
    • 人口
    • 都市化
  • 人口趨勢
    • 小戶型及家庭單位
    • 小單位包裝
    • 網路與電子商務
  • 零售趨勢
    • 市場規模
    • 未來展望
    • 主要參與者
    • 推動折疊紙盒等級的環境永續性
    • 全球折疊紙盒材料供應能力的變化
    • 高階包裝需求不斷成長，高階紙板等級普及
    • 法律法規
    • 歐洲法規
    • 美國法規

技術預測

• 介紹
• 總結
• 輕量紙板等級
• "智慧" 包裝的興起
• 數位產品護照（DPP）
• 數位印刷的興起
• 個人化與客製化
• 防偽與安全包裝
• 功能性和阻隔性塗層的演變
• 永續包裝 - 折疊紙盒市場機會（2020-2030）
• 簡介
• 永續包裝的定義
• 折疊紙盒的機會
  • 食品和飲料應用
  • 非食品應用

折疊紙盒：依紙板等級（2020-2030）

• 簡介
• 原生材料與再生材料
• 消費：依印刷製程
• 消費：依結構類型
• 各等級生產趨勢概述
  • 固體漂白紙板/硫酸鹽（SBB/S）
  • 固體未漂白紙板/硫酸鹽紙板（SUB/S）
  • 折疊紙板（FBB）
  • 塗佈再生紙板 CRB/WLC
  • 未塗佈再生紙板（URB）

過去、現在與預測市場規模（2020-2030）

簡介

• 紙箱紙板市場
  • 表觀消費量
• 折疊紙箱和微瓦楞紙板市場
  • 實際消費量
• 折疊紙箱終端市場
  • 概述
  • 食品
    • 新鮮食品
    • 冷凍食品
    • 冷藏食品
    • 乾製食品食品
    • 烘焙食品
    • 鹹味小吃
    • 乳製品
    • 糖果
    • 醃漬食品
    • 嬰兒食品
    • 乾飲
    • 餐飲服務
    • 其他食品
    • 寵物食品
  • 飲料
    • 軟性飲料
    • 酒精飲料
  • 非食品
    • 醫療保健
    • 個人護理
    • 煙草
    • 家居用品
    • 紙製品
    • 五金電器
    • 其他非食品

折疊紙盒的地理市場

• 簡介
• 世界排名
  • 數量
  • 價值
  • 年複合成長率
  • 人均數量
• 北美
  • 美國
  • 加拿大
  • 墨西哥
• 拉丁美洲
  • 巴西
  • 其他拉丁美洲國家
• 西歐
  • 法國
  • 德國
  • 義大利
  • 西班牙
  • 英國
  • 其他西歐國家
• 東歐
  • 波蘭
  • 俄羅斯
  • 其他東歐國家
• 中東
  • 土耳其
  • 其他中東國家
• 非洲
• 亞洲
  • 中國
  • 印度
  • 日本
  • 亞洲其他地區
• 澳洲

This new Smithers research explores the concentrated folding cartons market, investigating the key trends driving growth.

Key facts:

• Almost 57 million tonnes of cartonboard material were produced globally during 2024, reflecting an increase of more than 6% from the previous year
• The value of the market in 2024 is estimated at just under $60 billion, indicating a 9.5% growth in value over 2023.

During 2024, total actual consumption of folding carton packaging amounted to just over 50 million tonnes, worth an estimated $180 billion, and reflecting a volume growth of almost 5% over the 2023 tonnage.

The market is influenced by major economic shifts including GDP growth, household consumption expenditure, population trends, and urbanisation, among others. Technologically, the market is being influenced further, with sustainability undoubtedly being one of the main trends.

Folding cartons are a form of paperboard-based packaging that is folded and closed to keep products contained. It is made up of different grades of paper, and different flutes and has applications in both food and beverage and non-food applications

Key Questions:

• What role can folding cartons play in the changing sustainable packaging landscape?
• Where will the folding cartons market show largest growth over the next 5 years?
• How will the market be affected by incoming legislation?
• Which areas will struggle to adapt to the changing market landscape?

This report is essential to:

• Packaging raw material suppliers
• Packaging converters and manufacturers
• Retailers and brand owners

Table of Contents

Executive summary

Introduction and methodology

• Introduction
• Objectives
• Scope
• Methodology
• Definitions
• Changes from previous editions

Market drivers and trends, 2020-30

• Introduction
• The global cartonboard industry
  • Production
  • Major producers
  • Trade
  • Apparent consumption
• The global folding carton industry
  • Conversion
  • Major converters
  • Trade
  • Actual consumption
• Key issues and trends facing the industry
  • Global economic influences
    • Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
    • Household consumption expenditure (HCE)
    • Population
    • Urbanisation
  • Demographic trends
    • Smaller households and family units
    • Smaller unit packaging
    • Internet and e-commerce
  • Retail trends
    • Market size
    • Future prospects
    • Leading players
    • Push for environmental sustainability in folding carton grades
    • Capacity changes in the world supply of folding carton materials
    • Growth in demand for luxury packaging and penetration of premium paperboard grades
    • Legislation and regulation
    • European regulations
    • US Regulations

Technology forecasts

• Introduction
• Summary
• Lightweighting of paperboard grades
• Emergence of 'smart' packaging
• Digital Product Passports (DPP)
• Penetration of digital printing
• Personalisation and customisation
• Anti-counterfeit and security packaging
• Evolution of functional and barrier coatings
• Sustainable packaging - market opportunities for folding cartons to 2030
• Introduction
• Sustainable packaging defined
• Selected opportunities for folding cartons
  • Food and beverage applications
  • Non-food applications

Folding cartons by cartonboard grade, 2020-30

• Introduction
• Virgin versus recycled material
• Consumption by print process
• Consumption by construction format
• Overview of trends in grade production
  • Solid bleached board/sulphate (SBB/S)
  • Solid unbleached board/sulphate (SUB/S)
  • Folding boxboard (FBB)
  • Coated recycled board (CRB)/white-lined chipboard (WLC)
  • Uncoated recycled board (URB)

Historical, current and forecast market sizes, 2020-30

Introduction

• Global markets for cartonboard
  • Apparent consumption
• Global markets for folding cartons and microflute
  • Actual consumption
• End-use markets for folding cartons
  • Overview
  • Food
    • Fresh food
    • Frozen food
    • Chilled food
    • Dry foods
    • Baked products
    • Savoury snacks
    • Dairy products
    • Confectionery
    • Preserved foods
    • Baby food
    • Dry beverages
    • Foodservice
    • Other food
    • Pet food
  • Drinks
    • Soft drinks
    • Alcoholic drinks
  • Non-food
    • Healthcare
    • Personal care
    • Tobacco
    • Household care
    • Paper products
    • Hardware and electrical
    • Other non-foods

Geographic markets for folding cartons

• Introduction
• Global rankings
  • Volume
  • Value
  • Compound annual growth rate (CAGR)
  • Volume per capita
• North America
  • US
  • Canada
  • Mexico
• South and Central America
  • Brazil
  • Other South and Central America
• Western Europe
  • France
  • Germany
  • Italy
  • Spain
  • UK
  • Other Western Europe
• Eastern Europe
  • Poland
  • Russia
  • Other Eastern Europe
• Middle East
  • Turkiye
  • Other Middle East
• Africa
• Asia
  • China
  • India
  • Japan
  • Other Asia
• Australasia

Figures

• Global cartonboard production by region in 2024
• Global cartonboard conversion by region in 2024
• Anticipated growth in consumption volume for folding cartons by region, 2024-25 and 2025-30, annual % change
• Top ten end user sectors of folding carton packs 2024
• Anticipated growth in consumption volume for folding cartons by end use, 2024-25 and 2025-30, annual % change
• Household consumption expenditure, CAGR%, 1982-2022
• Global retail e-commerce sales growth, 2017-27, AGR%
• Global retail sales, 2021-27, $ trillion

Tables

• Technology impact table
• Exchange rates to the US dollar ($), 2020-24
• Global cartonboard production, 2020 to 2024, volume and value , by sector, region and country, '000 tonnes and $ million
• Major producers of cartonboard, 2024, volume and value, global, in order by volume
• Global trade in cartonboard, exports, 2020 to 2024, volume and value, '000 tonnes and $ million
• Global trade in cartonboard, imports, 2020 to 2024, volume and value, '000 tonnes and $ million
• Global apparent consumption of cartonboard, 2020-24, volume and value, by sector, region and country, '000 tonnes and $ million
• Global cartonboard conversion, 2020 to 2024, volume and value, by sector, region and country, '000 tonnes and $ million
• Major global converters of cartonboard, 2024, volume and value
• Major global converters of folding cartons only, 2024, volume and value
• Major global converters of microflute only, 2024, volume and value
• Global trade in folding cartons, exports, 2020 to 2024, volume and value, '000 tonnes and $ million
• Global trade in folding cartons, imports, 2020 to 2024, volume and value, '000 tonnes and $ million
• Global actual consumption of folding carton, 2020 to 2024, volume and value, by sector, region and country, '000 tonnes and $ million
• Historic and forecast real growth in GDP, 2020-2030, %AGR
• Household consumption expenditure, major countries, CAGR/AGR%
• Global population, 2020 to 2030, millions
• Urbanisation, % of population, selected countries, 2000-2030
• Major players in grocery retailing, 2023
• Capacity changes, 2022 to 2024
• Capacity changes by board grade, 2022 to 2024 ('000 tonnes)
• New paper machine installations, 2022 to 2024 ('000 tonnes)
• Rebuilds, upgrades and grade switches, 2022 to 2024 ('000 tonnes)
• Shutdowns, 2022 to 2024 ('000 tonnes)
• Technology impact table
• Market share of virgin material, 2020 to 2030, % of total volume
• Historic and forecast actual consumption volume of folding cartons, 2020-30, by print process, '000 tonnes
• Historic and forecast actual consumption volume of folding cartons, 2020-30, by construction format, '000 tonnes
• Actual consumption volume and value of folding cartons, 2024, according to construction format, by region and country ('000 tonnes) and $ million
• Historic and forecast production volume and value of cartonboard, 2020-30, by grade, '000 tonnes and $ million
• Historic and forecast production volume and value of solid bleached board/sulphate (SBB/S), 2020-30, by sector, region and country, '000 tonnes and $ million
• Historic and forecast production volume and value of solid unbleached board/sulphate (SUB/S), 2020-30, by sector, region and country, '000 tonnes and $ million
• Historic and forecast production volume and value of folding boxboard (FBB), 2020-30, by sector, region, and country, '000 tonnes and $ million
• Historic and forecast production volume and value of coated recycled board (CRB)/white-lined chipboard (WLC), 2020-30, by sector, region and country, '000 tonnes and $ million
• Historic and forecast production volume and value of uncoated recycled board (URB), 2020-30, by sector, region and country, '000 tonnes and $ million
• Historic and forecast apparent consumption volume and value of cartonboard packaging, 2020-30, by sector, region and country, '000 tonnes and $ million
• Historic and forecast actual consumption volume and value of folding cartons, 2020-30, by sector, region and country, '000 tonnes and $ million

For each end-use sector:

• Historic and forecast actual consumption volume and value of folding cartons, 2020-30, '000 tonnes and $ million
• Incremental demand for folding cartons, 2025-30

List of end-use sectors:

• Food
• Fresh food
• Frozen food
• Chilled food
• Dry food
• Baked foods
• Savoury snacks
• Dair products
• Confectionery
• Preserved foods
• Baby food
• Dry beverages
• Foodservice
• Other food
• Pet food
• Drinks
• Soft drinks
• Beer and cider
• Wine
• Spirits and other alcohol
• Non-food
• Healthcare
• Personal care
• Tobacco
• Household care
• Paper products
• Hardware and electrical
• Other non-foods
  • Global ranking of countries by volume and value of cartonboard packaging consumption, 2024
  • Global ranking of countries by compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of cartonboard packaging volume consumption, CAGR % 2025-30
  • Global ranking of countries by volume per capita of cartonboard packaging consumption, 2024, kg/person
  • North America: Estimated major board mill market shares, 2024 ('000 tonnes/$ million)
  • North America: Estimated major converter market shares, 2024 ('000 tonnes/$ million)
  • North America: Historic and forecast actual consumption volume and value of folding cartons, 2020-30, '000 tonnes and $ million, by end-use sector
  • North America: Incremental demand for folding cartons, 2025-30, by end-use sector

For each country:

• Key facts
• Estimated major board mill market shares, 2024 ('000 tonnes/$ million)
• Estimated major converter market shares, 2024 ('000 tonnes/$ million)
• Historic and forecast actual consumption volume and value of folding cartons, 2020-30, '000 tonnes and $ million (and local currency), by end-use sector
• Incremental demand for folding cartons, 2025-30, by end-use sector

List of countries:

• US
• Canada
• Mexico
• South and Central America: Estimated major board mill market shares, 2024 ('000 tonnes/$ million)
• South and Central America: Estimated major converter market shares, 2024 ('000 tonnes/$ million)
• South and Central America: Historic and forecast actual consumption volume and value of folding cartons, 2020-30, '000 tonnes and $ million, by end-use sector
• South and Central America: Incremental demand for folding cartons, 2025-30, by end-use sector

For each country:

• Key facts
• Estimated major board mill market shares, 2024 ('000 tonnes/$ million)
• Estimated major converter market shares, 2024 ('000 tonnes/$ million)
• Historic and forecast actual consumption volume and value of folding cartons, 2020-30, '000 tonnes and $ million (and local currency), by end-use sector
• Incremental demand for folding cartons, 2025-30, by end-use sector

List of countries:

• Brazil
• Other South and Central America
• Western Europe: Estimated major board mill market shares, 2024 ('000 tonnes/$ million)
• Western Europe: Estimated major converter market shares, 2024 ('000 tonnes/$ million)
• Western Europe: Historic and forecast actual consumption volume and value of folding cartons, 2020-30, '000 tonnes and $ million, by end-use sector

For each country:

• Key facts
• Estimated major board mill market shares, 2024 ('000 tonnes/$ million)
• Estimated major converter market shares, 2024 ('000 tonnes/$ million)
• Historic and forecast actual consumption volume and value of folding cartons, 2020-30, '000 tonnes and $ million (and local currency), by end-use sector
• Incremental demand for folding cartons, 2025-30, by end-use sector

List of countries:

• France
• Germany
• Italy
• Spain
• UK
• Other Western Europe
• Eastern Europe: Estimated major board mill market shares, 2024 ('000 tonnes/$ million)
• Eastern Europe: Estimated major converter market shares, 2024 ('000 tonnes/$ million)
• Eastern Europe: Historic and forecast actual consumption volume and value of folding cartons, 2020-30, '000 tonnes and $ million, by end-use sector
• Eastern Europe: Incremental demand for folding cartons, 2025-30, by end-use sector

For each country:

• Key facts
• Estimated major board mill market shares, 2024 ('000 tonnes/$ million)
• Estimated major converter market shares, 2024 ('000 tonnes/$ million)
• Historic and forecast actual consumption volume and value of folding cartons, 2020-30, '000 tonnes and $ million (and local currency), by end-use sector
• Incremental demand for folding cartons, 2025-30, by end-use sector

List of countries:

• Poland
• Russia
• Other Eastern Europe
• Middle East: Estimated major board mill market shares, 2024 ('000 tonnes/$ million)
• Middle East: Historic and forecast actual consumption volume and value of folding cartons, 2020-30, '000 tonnes and $ million, by end-use sector
• Middle East: Incremental demand for folding cartons, 2025-30, by end-use sector

For each country:

• Key facts
• Estimated major board mill market shares, 2024 ('000 tonnes/$ million)
• Estimated major converter market shares, 2024 ('000 tonnes/$ million)
• Historic and forecast actual consumption volume and value of folding cartons, 2020-30, '000 tonnes and $ million (and local currency), by end-use sector
• Incremental demand for folding cartons, 2025-30, by end-use sector

List of countries:

• Turkiye
• Other Middle East
• Africa: Key facts
• Africa: Estimated major board mill market shares, 2024 ('000 tonnes/$ million)
• Africa: Historic and forecast actual consumption volume and value of folding cartons, 2020-30, '000 tonnes and $ million, by end-use sector
• Africa: Incremental demand for folding cartons, 2025-30, by end-use sector
• Asia: Estimated major board mill market shares, 2024 ('000 tonnes/$ million)
• Asia: Estimated major converter market shares, 2024 ('000 tonnes/$ million)
• Asia: Historic and forecast actual consumption volume and value of folding cartons, 2020-30, '000 tonnes and $ million, by end-use sector
• Asia: Incremental demand for folding cartons, 2025-30, by end-use sector

For each country:

• Key facts
• Estimated major board mill market shares, 2024 ('000 tonnes/$ million)
• Estimated major converter market shares, 2024 ('000 tonnes/$ million)
• Historic and forecast actual consumption volume and value of folding cartons, 2020-30, '000 tonnes and $ million (and local currency), by end-use sector
• Incremental demand for folding cartons, 2025-30, by end-use sector

List of countries:

• China
• India
• Japan
• Other Asia
• Australasia: Key facts
• Australasia: Estimated major board mill market shares, 2024 ('000 tonnes/$ million)
• Australasia: Historic and forecast actual consumption volume and value of folding cartons, 2020-30, '000 tonnes and $ million, by end-use sector
• Australasia: Incremental demand for folding cartons, 2025-30, by end-use sector