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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
2123104
中國廢棄物管理:市場佔有率分析、產業趨勢與統計、成長預測(2026-2031)China Waste Management - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2026 - 2031) |
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據 Mordor Intelligence 稱,2025 年中國廢棄物管理市場價值 1,770 億美元,預計到 2031 年將達到 2,465.6 億美元,而 2026 年為 1,870.5 億美元,預測期(2026-2031 年)複合年成長率為 5.68%。

本報告按來源(住宅、商業等)、服務類型(廢棄物處理等)、廢棄物類型(城市固態廢棄物、工業危險廢棄物等)和地區(東部、北部等)進行細分。報告提供了上述所有細分市場的規模和預測(以美元計)。
儘管全球1,010多家焚化廠的處理能力幾乎佔全球總處理能力的一半,但由於原料供應不穩定,許多焚化廠的運作負荷低於設計負荷。 2025年的改革將把運作電價補貼機制轉變為市場定價,同時引入綠色電力的再生能源憑證。對於熱效率達70.9%的設施,投資回收期約為4.8年,即使補貼有限也能確保獲利能力。在這種供應過剩的情況下,中國企業正在越南和海灣國家投資,輸出承包工程以及營運和維護(O&M)方面的專業技術。
人口快速流動導致都市固態廢棄物產生速度超過基礎建設速度。國家發展和改革委員會2024年報告指出,儘管農村地區的垃圾收集率已達90%,但都市化程度不斷提高的地區仍面臨處理能力不足的問題。因此,市場對擴充性、低資產負擔的智慧垃圾桶和模組化中轉站相結合的系統需求日益成長。在中南部城市,為實現2030年所有都市區100%安全處置廢棄物的國家目標,垃圾焚化發電作為一種兼顧廢棄物和能源問題的雙重解決方案正在推廣。技術供應商受益於包含設備和數位化運維服務的捆綁式契約,這加快了引進週期並降低了初始資本風險。
預算限制使得中型城市難以保障公私合營計畫(PPP)的退休金支付,導致計畫延期和交易對手風險增加。為因應此問題,開發商提案低資產負擔的服務模式和收益分成協議,以在維持服務水準的同時減少市政現金支出。此外,結合綠色債券和碳權額度的混合資金籌措方式也正在興起,以彌補資金缺口。
預計到2025年,生活垃圾將佔中國廢棄物管理市場的40.12%,鞏固其作為垃圾收集網路規劃基礎的地位。都市區家庭數量的持續成長和個人消費的增加,推動了垃圾從垃圾桶轉移到垃圾收集車的數量不斷增加,迫使市政當局引入物聯網智慧垃圾桶。這些智慧垃圾桶僅在達到80%的容量時才會要求收集,從而將收集路線的效率提高了30%。受電子商務包裝和外送服務趨勢的推動,商業廢棄物預計到2031年將以10.95%的複合年成長率成長,成為所有廢棄物來源中成長最快的。廣東和江蘇省的零售履約中心已經與專門從事紙板壓縮包裝和塑膠破碎的第三方營運商簽訂了契約,這表明隨著垃圾流的集中化,服務專業化程度也在不斷提高。
更嚴格的家庭垃圾分類規定要求居民在入戶處將垃圾分為四類:可回收垃圾、廚餘垃圾、危險廢棄物和一般垃圾。這項監管措施推動了對顏色編碼的垃圾收集容器和人工智慧視覺系統的需求,以便在垃圾轉運站驗證分類的準確性。在都市區地區,官民合作關係(PPP)將垃圾收集、宣傳活動和數據報告整合到一份合約中,為私人公司提供多年的穩定收入來源。同時,產業叢集正將危險廢棄物管理範圍從家庭垃圾擴展到其他領域,透過外包給獲得認證的公司,確保從產生到處置的整個流程的可追溯性。
According to Mordor Intelligence, the China waste management market size was valued at USD 177 billion in 2025 and estimated to grow from USD 187.05 billion in 2026 to reach USD 246.56 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 5.68% during the forecast period (2026-2031).

This report is Segmented by Source (Residential, Commercial, and More), by Service Type (Disposal/Treatment and More), by Waste Type (Municipal Solid Waste, Industrial Hazardous Waste, and More), and by Region (Eastern China, Northern China, and More). The Report Offers Market Size and Forecasts in Value (USD) for all the Above Segments.
More than 1,010 incineration plants form almost half of global capacity, yet many run below design load because of uneven feedstock supply. The 2025 reform moves feed-in tariffs toward market-based pricing while integrating green electricity certificates. Facilities achieving 70.9% thermal efficiency show payback periods near 4.8 years, enabling profitability with limited subsidies. Overcapacity is driving Chinese firms to invest in Vietnam and the Gulf states, exporting turnkey plants and O&M expertise.
Rapid migration is lifting municipal solid waste output faster than infrastructure can keep pace. The 2024 National Development and Reform Commission report confirms 90% rural collection coverage, yet urbanizing districts still face capacity shortfalls. Demand is rising for scalable, asset-light systems that combine smart bins with modular transfer stations. Central and Southern cities are adopting waste-to-energy as a dual solution for waste and electricity, supported by a national goal of 100% safe disposal in all urban areas by 2030. Technology suppliers benefit from contracts that bundle equipment with digital O&M services, accelerating deployment cycles and reducing upfront capital risks.
Budget pressures restrict the ability of mid-sized cities to guarantee PPP annuities, delaying project execution and raising counterparty risk. Developers respond with asset-light service models and revenue-sharing arrangements that reduce municipal cash outlay yet preserve service standards. Blended-finance vehicles incorporating green bonds and carbon credits are emerging to close funding gaps.
Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:
For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.
Residential waste contributed 40.12% of the Chinese waste management market in 2025, cementing its role as the backbone for collection network planning. Continuous urban household formation and rising consumer spending push bin-to-truck volumes upward, compelling municipalities to deploy IoT-enabled smart bins that trigger pickups only when 80% full, lifting route efficiency by 30%. Commercial waste, propelled by e-commerce packaging and food delivery trends, is forecast to register an 10.95% CAGR to 2031, the fastest among all sources. Retail fulfillment centers in Guangdong and Jiangsu have already contracted third-party operators for dedicated cardboard baling and plastics shredding, illustrating how service specialization follows waste-stream concentration.
Enhanced residential segregation rules require four-stream sorting that separates recyclables, food, hazardous, and residual waste at the doorstep. This regulatory push spurs demand for color-coded container fleets and AI vision systems that verify sorting accuracy at transfer stations. Urban neighborhood PPPs bundle collection, outreach, and data reporting under single contracts, creating multi-year revenue visibility for private firms. In parallel, industrial clusters outsource hazardous waste management to certified handlers offering cradle-to-grave manifest traceability, expanding service scope beyond household waste.