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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
2119044
替代燃料和原料(AFR)燃燒系統:市場佔有率分析、產業趨勢與統計、成長預測(2026-2031)Alternate Fuel and Raw Materials (AFR) Firing Systems - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2026 - 2031) |
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據 Mordor Intelligence 稱,2025 年替代燃料和原料 (AFR) 燃燒系統的市場規模價值為 6.5 億美元,預計從 2026 年的 7.1 億美元成長到 2031 年的 11.1 億美元。
預測期(2026-2031 年)的複合年成長率預計為 9.35%。

本報告按AFR系統類型(液態和固態共處理)、廢棄物/燃料流(城市廢棄物、工業廢棄物及其他)、窯爐注入點(例如預製注入器)、最終用戶(例如水泥、石灰、廢棄物)、部署方式(例如待開發區)和地區(北美、歐洲、亞太、南美以及中東和非洲)進行細分。市場預測以美元計價。
碳定價已成為水泥生產商直接的營運考量因素,而活性碳燃料(AFR)系統為減少石化燃料的使用提供了一種切實可行的方法。數據顯示,歐盟排放權交易體系(EU ETS)的競標價格在2026年第一季達到了每噸二氧化碳75歐元。高熱替代率的運作可以減少與燃煤水泥熟料生產相關的排放。南非和衣索比亞的生命週期評估發現,以垃圾衍生燃料(RDF)取代20%的煤炭可使全球暖化潛勢降低3.3%至4.2%,如果將避免掩埋處理產生的甲烷排放也考慮在內,這一降幅將更大。這些營運成果表明,活性碳燃料設施在碳管理、燃料採購和工廠層級的排放報告中發揮著至關重要的作用。隨著生產商將熱替代目標與資金籌措和更廣泛的脫碳努力掛鉤,活性碳燃料燃燒系統市場將從中受益。
掩埋法規正在改變廢棄物衍生燃料的商業性價值。世界水泥與混凝土協會(GCCA)、國際固態廢棄物協會(ISWA)和「使命必達夥伴關係)呼籲在2026年前,在廢棄物政策框架內明確承認聯合處理。類似的政策討論也包括在《巴塞爾公約》的特定條款下批准聯合處理。此類法規可以提高廢棄物處理業者、水泥廠和地方政府管理市政廢棄物的確定性。因此,RDF(廢棄物衍生燃料)的供應、接收費安排和預處理投資的基礎將更加穩定。如果將水泥窯視為廢棄物政策中的可控回收途徑而非二次處置方法,AFR(活性碳燃料)燃燒系統市場將從中受益。
燃料的不穩定性仍然是實現高替代率面臨的最緊迫的營運限制因素。 2025年發表在《廢棄物與生質能增值利用》(Waste and Biomass Valorization)期刊上的一項研究表明,廢棄物衍生燃料的成分會影響水泥生產的環境和技術性能。直接共處理需要足夠的熱值以及可控的水分和氯含量。如果這些要求得不到滿足,未經分類的普通廢棄物會導致沉積、腐蝕和非計劃性維護。據富勒科技公司(Fuller Technologies)稱,他們的「FUELFLEX熱解器」在註入煅燒爐之前,會將固態替代燃料轉化為活性氣體和碳化物。雖然這種方法提高了燃料的柔軟性,但也需要額外的設備、更高的資本投入和更複雜的操作。
截至2025年,固態共處理系統將佔據AFR燃燒系統市場74.3%的佔有率,預計到2031年將以10.2%的複合年成長率成長。這一市場地位反映了一般廢棄物、廢棄物燃料、輪胎衍生燃料和生質能的廣泛可用性。這些材料在供應量、本地採購和處理費方面具有液態殘渣不一定具備的優勢。固態系統也與許多水泥廠用於提高熱解裝置的出現,擴大了可引入的固態燃料範圍,且不會干擾窯爐內的化學反應。能夠控制乾燥度、顆粒大小、供應均勻性和可控燃燒的設備,支撐了固態系統AFR燃燒系統的市場規模。根據提供的草案,歐洲成熟的設備表明,固態燃料組合物的熱替代率可超過50%,波蘭的一些工廠到2025年甚至超過了75%。這些結果表明,固態系統既適用於現有設施的維修項目,也適用於新建工廠。其發展也反映了從廢棄物中回收能源並將礦物灰用於水泥熟料生產的必要性。該領域仍面臨一些挑戰,例如原料競爭和城市垃圾分類不均。
現代固態燃料系統除了作為燃料替代品外,還有其他優點。熱解設備可在將固態燃料注入煅燒爐之前,產生反應性氣體並創造還原性環境。富勒科技公司(Fuller Technologies)的FUELFLEX熱解器定位為一種用於在煅燒爐中使用前處理固體替代燃料的解決方案。這種操作方法有助於抑制熱力型氮氧化物(NOx)的產生,並減少對氨氣噴射的依賴,從而符合選擇性非催化還原(SNCR)法規的要求。製程控制、燃料取樣和操作人員的能力變得更加重要。在有廢溶劑和液態工業殘渣的工廠中,液態替代燃料燃燒系統(AFR)仍在使用。其精確的計量和處理特性使其適用於特定應用。然而,與固態系統相比,液態系統的供應來源更為有限。各細分市場的構成比將繼續取決於當地廢棄物的可用性以及製備用於窯爐的固態材料所需的投資。在燃燒設備和燃料製備方面都擁有專業知識的供應商能夠更好地應對這些挑戰。在AFR燃燒系統產業,能夠兼顧燃料柔軟性和水泥熟料品質穩定性的解決方案仍然備受青睞。
截至2025年,都市廢棄物佔AFR燃燒系統市場佔有率的39.2%(以投入量計)。其重要性源自於大都會圈龐大的處理量、完善的收集系統以及潛在的垃圾處理費收入。 GCCA指出,水泥窯中的協同處理能夠在不產生殘餘廢棄物的情況下,將礦物灰回收利用到水泥熟料生產過程中,同時實現能源回收。這項特性使協同處理有別於單獨處理灰燼的方法。由於未經處理的城市廢棄物並非總是符合窯爐燃料的要求,因此城市廢棄物的利用仍然依賴分類和預處理。水分、氯含量和粒徑差異都會影響其直接利用。因此,工廠需要設計一個能夠匹配當地可用廢棄物品質的供應系統。 AFR燃燒系統市場以及燃燒設備本身都高度依賴這一上游工程預處理過程。在掩埋容量有限且地方政府支持資源回收計畫的地區,城市廢棄物發揮尤為重要的作用。由於其規模龐大,它是固態材料聯合加工的核心原料。
預計到2031年,生質能和農業廢棄物將以9.8%的複合年成長率成長。提交的草案中列舉的來源包括稻殼、甘蔗渣和椰子殼。這些燃料在水泥生產地區非常重要,因為這些地區進行農業活動,並且擁有完善的收集網路。如果能夠確保穩定的供應,使用這些燃料可以降低石化燃料供熱的比例。生質能並非統一的燃料分類,其水分含量、季節性供應和運輸成本都會影響工廠的經濟效益。工業廢棄物和其他原料也仍然是燃料組合的一部分,因為它們可以提供較高的熱值。提交的草案指出,如果硫、鋅和鐵殘渣得到妥善處理,輪胎衍生燃料的熱值為26-33兆焦/公斤。此類材料不僅可以支援高耗能窯爐的運作,還可以滿足其他工業用戶的需求。因此,AFR燃燒系統市場正朝著燃料組合多元化的方向發展,而不是依賴單一燃料來源。長期供應合約和品管正成為營運中重要的差異化因素。
到2025年,歐洲將佔據AFR燃燒系統市場41.5%的佔有率。該地區擁有成熟的協同處理基礎,並得到碳定價、廢棄物政策和成熟的替代燃料供應商的支持。根據提交的草案,到2025年,歐洲水泥廠的平均熱替代率將超過50%。此外,據報道,波蘭部分工廠的熱替代率超過75%,西班牙某些工廠的熱替代率接近100%。全球碳排放控制聯盟(GCCA)已發佈水泥產業廢棄物衍生碳排放報告指南,以支援一致的排放量計算。該報告要求凸顯了製程監控和可靠燃料記錄的重要性。雖然德國、法國、義大利和英國已擁有大規模實施的經驗,但中歐和東歐的維修仍在繼續。
亞太地區預計將成為成長最快的區域市場,2026年至2031年的複合年成長率將達到10.8%。中國和印度是主要的需求中心,這得益於兩國龐大的水泥產業以及對廢棄物管理解決方案日益成長的需求。 KHD公司報告稱,其在中國的第二套Pyrorotor系統於2025年12月在康迪集團寶山工廠投入運作。此系統每小時可處理18噸高水分生質能和都市廢棄物,同時維持窯爐的穩定。印度也正致力於在相關政策框架下使用RDF(固態燃料)。亞太地區AFR燃燒系統市場規模的成長得益於城市廢棄物的產生量、減少對進口燃料依賴的需求以及多個國家產能的提升。預計區域需求將根據當地的收集系統、授權條件以及為保持燃料規格一致性而進行的材料處理能力而波動。
根據所提供的數據,預計到2025年,北美水泥廠的熱能替代率將在15%至16%之間,而歐洲的平均水平超過50%。麻省理工學院混凝土永續發展中心指出,經濟、監管和社會障礙是美國推廣速度緩慢的原因。根據提交的草案,南美洲,尤其是巴西,正在迎來更積極的投資。中東和非洲由於新建待開發區、都市化帶來的廢棄物流量增加以及對進口煤炭和石油焦的依賴,蘊藏著長期的發展機會。這些市場需要能夠適應當地燃料物流、預處理能力和特定窯爐佈局的解決方案。 AFR燃燒系統市場的地理成長將取決於廢棄物政策、燃料供應、工廠經濟效益以及供應商服務範圍之間的相互作用。
According to Mordor Intelligence, the alternate fuel and Raw Materials Firing Systems Market size was valued at USD 0.65 billion in 2025 and is estimated to grow from USD 0.71 billion in 2026 to reach USD 1.11 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 9.35% during the forecast period (2026-2031).

This report is Segmented by AFR System Type (Liquid, Solid Co-Processing), Waste/Fuel Stream (MSW, Industrial, Others), Kiln Injection Point (Precalciner, and More), End-User (Cement, Lime, Wte, and More), Deployment (Greenfield, and More), and Geography (North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, South America, and Middle East and Africa). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).
Carbon pricing has become a direct operating consideration for cement producers, and AFR systems offer a practical route to reduce fossil fuel use. The supplied evidence states that EU ETS auction prices reached EUR 75 per tonne of CO2 in the first quarter of 2026. Plants operating at high thermal substitution can reduce the emissions associated with coal-based clinker production. A life-cycle assessment covering South Africa and Ethiopia found that 20% RDF substitution reduced global warming potential by 3.3% to 4.2%, with a higher reduction when avoided landfill methane was included. These operating outcomes make AFR equipment relevant to carbon management, fuel procurement, and plant-level emissions reporting. The AFR firing systems market benefits when producers link thermal substitution targets to financing and wider decarbonization commitments.
Landfill restrictions are changing the commercial value of waste-derived fuels. The Global Cement and Concrete Association, the International Solid Waste Association, and the Mission Possible Partnership called in 2026 for co-processing to receive clear recognition in waste policy frameworks . The same policy discussion included recognition of co-processing under a dedicated Basel Convention code. Such rules can improve certainty for waste processors, cement plants, and local authorities that manage municipal material. The result is a more stable basis for RDF supply, gate-fee arrangements, and pre-processing investment. The AFR firing systems market gains when waste policy treats cement kilns as a controlled recovery route rather than a secondary disposal option.
Fuel variability remains the most immediate operating constraint for high substitution rates. A 2025 study in Waste and Biomass Valorization found that waste-derived fuel composition affects the environmental and technical performance of cement production. Direct co-processing requires sufficient calorific value and controlled moisture and chlorine levels. Unsegregated municipal solid waste can lead to material build-up, corrosion, and unplanned maintenance when those requirements are not met. Fuller Technologies states that its FUELFLEX Pyrolyzer converts solid alternative fuels into reactive gases and char before calciner injection . This approach can improve fuel flexibility, but it also adds equipment, capital needs, and operating complexity.
Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:
For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.
Solid co-processing systems accounted for 74.3% of the AFR firing systems market share in 2025 and are forecast to grow at a 10.2% CAGR through 2031. Their position reflects the wide availability of municipal solid waste, refuse-derived fuel, tyre-derived fuel, and biomass. These materials can offer volume, local sourcing, and gate-fee advantages that liquid residues do not always provide. Solid systems also fit the fuel mix used by many cement plants that are working toward higher thermal substitution rates. Moving-hearth furnaces, step-combustors, and pyrolysis units have expanded the range of solid fuels that can be introduced without disrupting kiln chemistry. The AFR firing systems market size for solid systems is supported by equipment that can manage drying, particle size, feed consistency, and controlled combustion. Mature European installations showed that solid-fuel configurations can support thermal substitution rates above 50%, while individual plants in Poland exceeded 75% in 2025, according to the supplied draft. These results make solid systems relevant to both retrofit programs and new plant specifications. Their growth also reflects the need to recover energy from waste while returning mineral ash into clinker production. The category remains exposed to feedstock competition and inconsistent municipal waste sorting.
Modern solid systems can also provide benefits beyond fuel replacement. Pyrolysis-stage equipment produces reactive gases before calciner injection and can create a reducing environment. Fuller Technologies identifies its FUELFLEX Pyrolyzer as a solution for processing solid alternative fuels before calciner use. This operating approach can help manage thermal NOx formation and reduce reliance on ammonia injection for SNCR compliance. It also places greater importance on process controls, fuel sampling, and operator capability. Liquid AFR firing systems still serve plants with access to waste solvents and liquid industrial residues. Their dosing accuracy and handling characteristics can suit selected applications. However, liquid systems face a narrower supply base than solid configurations. The segment mix will remain shaped by local waste availability and the investment needed to prepare solid material for kiln use. Vendors with both combustion equipment and fuel-preparation expertise are better placed to address these conditions. The AFR firing systems industry continues to favor solutions that balance fuel flexibility with stable clinker quality.
Municipal solid waste held 39.2% of the AFR firing systems market share by input category in 2025. Its importance comes from large urban volumes, established collection systems, and the potential for gate-fee income. The GCCA stated that cement-kiln co-processing can recover energy while recycling mineral ash into the clinker process without residual waste. This characteristic distinguishes co-processing from routes that leave ash for separate disposal. MSW use still depends on sorting and pre-processing because raw municipal waste does not consistently meet kiln fuel requirements. Moisture, chlorine, and particle-size variation can limit direct use. Plants, therefore, need feeding systems designed around the quality of the available local stream. The AFR firing systems market depends on this upstream preparation as much as on the firing equipment itself. Municipal material is particularly relevant where landfill capacity is constrained, and local authorities support recovery projects. Its scale makes it a central feedstock for solid co-processing configurations.
Biomass and agricultural waste are forecast to grow at a 9.8% CAGR through 2031. Rice husks, sugarcane bagasse, and coconut shells provide examples of streams identified in the supplied draft. These fuels are relevant in cement regions with agricultural activity and suitable collection networks. Their use can reduce the share of fossil heat when reliable volumes are available. Biomass is not a uniform fuel class, and moisture content, seasonal availability, and transport costs can affect plant economics. Industrial waste and other streams also remain part of the fuel portfolio because they can offer high calorific value. The supplied draft cited tyre-derived fuel at 26 to 33 MJ/kg, subject to control of sulfur, zinc, and steel residues. Such materials can support energy-intensive kiln duty, but they also face demand from other industrial users. The AFR firing systems market is therefore moving toward diversified fuel portfolios rather than dependence on a single stream. Long-term supply agreements and quality controls are becoming important operating differentiators.
Europe held 41.5% of the AFR firing systems market share in 2025. The region has a mature co-processing base supported by carbon pricing, waste policy, and established alternative-fuel suppliers. The supplied draft reported that average thermal substitution in European cement plants exceeded 50% in 2025. It also cited rates above 75% at individual plants in Poland and near-100% at selected facilities in Spain. The GCCA has published guidance on reporting carbon emissions from waste in the cement sector, supporting consistent emissions accounting. This reporting need raises the value of process monitoring and reliable fuel records. Germany, France, Italy, and the United Kingdom provide a large installed base, while Central and Eastern Europe continues to offer retrofit activity.
Asia-Pacific is projected to be the fastest-growing regional segment, at a 10.8% CAGR from 2026 to 2031. China and India are important demand centers because of their large cement sectors and growing need for waste management solutions. KHD reported commissioning its second Pyrorotor system in China in December 2025 at Conch Group's Baoshan plant. The system processed high-moisture biomass and municipal waste at 18 tonnes per hour while maintaining kiln stability. India is also expanding attention to RDF use under the policy framework referenced in the supplied material. The AFR firing systems market size in Asia-Pacific is supported by urban waste volumes, the need to lower imported fuel exposure, and capacity additions in several countries. Regional demand will vary with local collection systems, permits, and the ability to prepare material to consistent fuel specifications.
North American cement plants operated at 15% to 16% thermal substitution in 2025, compared with European averages above 50% in the supplied material. MIT Concrete Sustainability Hub linked the slower scale-up in the United States to economic, regulatory, and social barriers. South America has demonstrated more active investment, particularly in Brazil, according to the supplied draft. Middle East and Africa present a longer-term opportunity because of greenfield construction, urbanizing waste streams, and reliance on imported coal and petcoke. These markets require local fuel logistics, pre-processing capacity, and solutions designed for specific kiln layouts. Geographic growth in the AFR firing systems market will depend on the interaction between waste policy, fuel supply, plant economics, and supplier service coverage.