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市場調查報告書
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2119009

新能源發電產業取代燃料與原料（AFRs）：市場佔有率分析、產業趨勢與統計、成長預測（2026-2031）

Alternate Fuel and Raw Materials (AFR) For New Energy Generation Industry - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2026 - 2031)
出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 100 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

根據 Mordor Intelligence 預測，新能源發電行業替代燃料和原料 (AFR) 的市場規模預計將從 2025 年的 8.4 億美元和 2026 年的 9.6 億美元成長到 2031 年的 15.2 億美元，2026 年至 2031 年的年複合成長率（CAGR）為 9.63%。

新能源發電產業取代燃料和原料（AFR）市場-IMG1

本報告按燃料類型（RDF、SRF、生質能、廢棄塑膠及其他）、原料類型（飛灰、高爐礦渣及其他）、應用領域（垃圾焚化發電廠、生質能/生質能源發電廠及其他）和地區（北美、歐洲、亞太、南美、中東和非洲）進行細分。市場預測以美元計價。

新能源發電產業取代燃料和原料（AFR）的市場洞察和趨勢。

碳定價和工業脫碳

替代燃料和原料 (AFR) 市場的發展動力源自於水泥和其他重工業中使用高碳燃料的成本。碳定價及其相關的進口要求正使人們日益關注水泥、鋼鐵和鋁生產的排放成本。全球水泥和混凝土協會的一份報告指出，到 2025 年，廢棄物在全球水泥窯能源消耗中所佔比例將低於 10%，這為在運作條件允許的情況下採用更廣泛的替代能源留下了空間。一項經同行評審的 2026 年研究發現，使用 RDF（廢棄物衍生燃料）取代傳統燃料可以降低水泥熟料生產的全球暖化潛勢值，其效果取決於替代率和減少掩埋。水泥產業逐步取消免費排放權的計畫使得減少石化燃料的使用對企業營運變得更加重要。這種情況正在推動與經認證的再生燃料簽訂長期燃料供應契約，尤其是在購買方必須證明其在整個運營過程中都實現了減排的情況下。

避免廢棄物掩埋並強制推行循環經濟

減少廢棄物掩埋量的要求透過將剩餘廢棄物從掩埋轉移出去，從而支持替代燃料和原料（AFR）市場的發展。修訂後的歐盟廢棄物框架指令強化了到2025年對食物廢棄物進行分類收集和減量的要求。歐盟廢棄物政策將提高回收率與2035年減少掩埋使用量掛鉤。經過適當分類後剩餘的材料可用作RDF和SRF加工的原料，但加工商必須在材料到達工業用戶之前保持品管。 2025年2月提出的《清潔工業協議》將工業脫碳和循環經濟納入歐盟的競爭力議程。在源頭改善分類可以在不增加廢棄物總量的情況下增加合適的剩餘材料的供應，同時在廢棄物政策中保持對回收的優先地位。

原料品質差異和污染

由於工業用戶需要可預測的材料特性，原料的變異性仍然是替代燃料和原料（AFR）市場的一大限制因素。 2026年的一項研究發現，如果不測試每種材料的成分，就無法將RDF（垃圾衍生燃料）的品質結果應用於所有原料。氯含量尤其重要，因為高濃度的氯會增加在水泥窯中進行共處理時產生有害排放物的風險。此外，儲存過程需要控制火源、濕度和污染。這些要求增加了替代燃料和原料市場小規模加工商的營運成本。歐洲和英國更嚴格的化學品法規可能會進一步加重供應商的合規負擔。

細分市場分析

在與德國、義大利和波蘭水泥生產商簽訂的合作加工協議的支持下，RDF預計到2025年將佔據替代燃料和原料市場34.8%的佔有率。 SRF預計到2031年將以10.9%的複合年成長率成長，是所有燃料類型中成長率最高的。根據EN ISO 21644標準對生質能含量進行認證，將促使採購決策更加重視可審計的可再生成分。在替代燃料和原料市場，能夠提供規格一致且可追溯的SRF材料的供應商備受青睞，因為工業買家需要清晰的燃料成分和可再生成分證明。生質能成分比例越高，水泥生產商在排放報告中就越容易區分可再生和化石碳。

在替代燃料和原料市場，廢棄塑膠在混燒燃料中具有較高的熱值，但回收政策可能會限制其在能源回收方面的應用。在南美洲的一些地區，輪胎衍生燃料仍扮演著重要角色。在巴西，輪胎衍生燃料在巴西環境與再生資源研究所（Ibama）的監管下，於2024年被用於水泥窯。在墨西哥的水泥產業，輪胎衍生燃料仍佔有重要地位。在垃圾分類收集不完善的地區，生產過程和農業殘餘物衍生的燃料的作用仍然有限。

區域分析

2025年，歐洲替代燃料和原料（AFR）市場佔全球AFR市場的39.6%，這得益於成熟的分類系統、掩埋法規以及水泥窯的協同處理能力。德國、義大利、波蘭、法國和英國佔據了該地區SRF和RDF需求的大部分。在波蘭和德國，隨著水泥生產商將SRF作為煤炭的替代燃料，SRF的協同處理能力顯著提升。 2026年6月，Indavar公司在艾塞克斯郡啟用了利文霍爾綜合廢棄物管理設施。這個耗資5.89億英鎊的計畫每年將處理多達59.5萬噸殘餘廢棄物，並生產55兆瓦的電力。歐盟的廢棄物和行業政策持續推動該地區對回收燃料和原料的需求，而統一的分類標準和排放閾值正在影響營運商如何建立其在加工領域的投資結構。

預計到2031年，亞太地區替代燃料和原料（AFR）市場將以11.1%的複合年成長率成長，在所有地區中成長最高。與歐洲主要工廠相比，印度和中國的水泥窯熱力替代率較低。印尼、印度、越南和泰國正在擴大垃圾處理和垃圾焚化發電能。印尼將於2026年開始投資超過6億美元用於垃圾焚化發電。印度擁有豐富的農業生質能資源，可用於生產生質能衍生可再生燃料。日本和韓國的水泥窯熱力替代率達50-65%，兩國正在製定相關政策框架，周邊市場也努力改善廢棄物管理和燃料供應，為區域發展樹立了典範。

北美、南美以及中東和非洲的需求模式各不相同。在北美，將垃圾掩埋沼氣轉化為可再生天然氣是一項至關重要的能源回收方法。 2026年6月，Republic Services和Arcarea Energy在印第安納州韋恩堡開設了他們的首個合資可再生天然氣工廠。在南美，輪胎衍生燃料在水泥加工的應用仍在持續。南非、摩洛哥和沙烏地阿拉伯正在崛起為標準化替代燃料活動的新興中心。

其他好處：

  • Excel格式的市場預測（ME）表
  • 3個月的分析師支持

目錄

第1章：引言

  • 市場分析與定義的前提條件
  • 分析範圍

第2章 分析方法

第3章執行摘要

第4章 市場狀況

  • 市場概覽
  • 市場促進因素
    • 碳定價和工業脫碳
    • 減少掩埋廢棄物和促進循環經濟的強制性要求。
    • 水泥窯燃料替代方案的經濟可行性
    • 擴大廢棄物分類和預處理基礎設施
    • 一個以社區為基礎的工業共存和廢棄物資源回收平台
    • 數位燃油品質認證和可追溯性
  • 市場限制因素
    • 原料品質差異和污染
    • 維修、儲能設備和採集費用授權的費用很高。
    • 高品質廢棄物的競爭
    • 傳統再生原料供應減少
  • 價值鏈分析
  • 監理情勢
  • 技術展望
  • 波特五力分析

第5章：預測市場規模與成長率

  • 按燃料類型
    • 廢棄物衍生燃料（RDF）
    • 固態回收燃料（SRF）
    • 生質能
    • 廢棄塑膠
    • 其他燃料類型
  • 依原料類型
    • 飛灰
    • 高爐爐渣
    • 鑄造用砂
    • 煉鋼渣
    • 其他類型的原料
  • 透過使用
    • 垃圾發電廠
    • 生質能和生質能源能源發電廠
    • 其他用途
  • 按地區
    • 北美洲
      • 美國
      • 加拿大
      • 墨西哥
    • 歐洲
      • 德國
      • 法國
      • 義大利
      • 西班牙
      • 英國
      • 波蘭
      • 俄羅斯
      • 其他歐洲國家
    • 亞太地區
      • 中國
      • 印度
      • 日本
      • 韓國
      • 澳洲
      • 印尼
      • 越南
      • 泰國
      • 其他亞太國家
    • 南美洲
      • 巴西
      • 阿根廷
      • 智利
      • 其他南美國家
    • 中東和非洲
      • 沙烏地阿拉伯
      • 阿拉伯聯合大公國
      • 埃及
      • 南非
      • 摩洛哥
      • 其他中東和非洲國家

第6章 競爭情勢

  • 市場集中度
  • 策略趨勢
  • 市佔率分析
  • 公司簡介
    • Averda International Limited
    • Biffa Limited
    • Enva Group Limited
    • FCC Servicios Medio Ambiente Holding, SAU
    • Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, SA
    • Indaver NV
    • PreZero International GmbH
    • Ragn-Sells AB
    • REMONDIS SE & Co. KG
    • Renewi plc
    • Republic Services, Inc.
    • SARIA SE & Co. KG
    • Sembcorp Industries Ltd.
    • SUEZ SA
    • Tradebe Environmental Services, LLC
    • Veolia Environnement SA
    • Viridor Limited
    • Waste Management, Inc.

第7章 市場機會與未來展望

簡介目錄
Product Code: 101184

According to Mordor Intelligence, the alternate fuel and Raw Materials Market for New Energy Generation Industry size is projected to expand from USD 0.84 billion in 2025 and USD 0.96 billion in 2026 to USD 1.52 billion by 2031, registering a CAGR of 9.63% between 2026 and 2031.

Alternate Fuel and Raw Materials (AFR) For New Energy Generation Industry - Market - IMG1

This report is Segmented by Fuel Type (RDF, SRF, Biomass, Waste Plastics, and Others), Raw Material Type (Fly Ash, Blast Furnace Slag, and Others), Application (WtE Power Plants, Biomass and Bioenergy Plants, and Others), and Geography (North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, South America, and Middle East and Africa). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).

Insights and Trends of Alternate Fuel and Raw Materials (AFR) Market For New Energy Generation Industry

Carbon Pricing and Industrial Decarbonization

The alternate fuel and raw materials market gains support from the cost of carbon-intensive fuel use in cement and other heavy industries. Carbon pricing and related import requirements have increased attention to the emissions cost of cement, steel, and aluminum production. The Global Cement and Concrete Association reported that waste supplied less than 10% of cement kiln energy worldwide in 2025, leaving room for broader substitution where operational conditions allow . A peer-reviewed 2026 review found that RDF substitution can reduce the global warming potential of clinker production, with the outcome depending on the substitution rate and avoided landfill effects. The planned phase-out of free emissions allowances for cement increases the operating relevance of reduced fossil fuel use. This setting supports longer fuel supply agreements for certified recovered fuels, especially where buyers must document emissions reductions across their operations.

Landfill Diversion and Circular-Economy Mandates

Landfill diversion requirements support the alternate fuel and raw materials market by directing residual waste away from disposal. The revised EU Waste Framework Directive strengthened requirements related to separate collection and food waste reduction in 2025. EU waste policy links higher recycling expectations with lower landfill use by 2035. Material that remains after appropriate sorting can become feedstock for RDF and SRF processing, although processors must maintain quality controls before the material reaches industrial users. The Clean Industrial Deal presented in February 2025 places industrial decarbonization and circularity within the EU competitiveness agenda. Better source separation can increase the supply of suitable residual material without requiring higher total waste volumes, while maintaining the priority given to recycling under waste policy.

Feedstock Quality Variability and Contamination

Feedstock variability remains a restraint on the alternate fuel and raw materials market because industrial users need predictable material properties. A 2026 study found that RDF quality results cannot be applied across feedstocks without testing each material composition. Chlorine is particularly important because higher concentrations can increase the risk of undesirable emissions during cement kiln co-processing. Storage also requires controls for fire prevention, moisture, and contamination. These requirements increase operating costs for smaller processors in the alternate fuel and raw materials market. Stronger chemical controls in Europe and the UK can further raise the specification burden for suppliers.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

  1. Cement-Kiln Fuel Substitution Economics
  2. Expansion of Waste Sorting and Pre-Processing Infrastructure
  3. High Retrofit, Storage, and Permitting Costs

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

RDF held 34.8% of the alternate fuel and raw materials market share in 2025, supported by co-processing agreements with cement manufacturers in Germany, Italy, and Poland. SRF is forecast to grow at a 10.9% CAGR through 2031, the highest rate among fuel types. Its EN ISO 21644 biomass-content certification can support procurement decisions that require auditable renewable content. The alternate fuel and raw materials market rewards SRF suppliers that can provide stable specifications and traceable material, because industrial buyers need clear evidence of fuel composition and renewable content. Higher biogenic content can help cement producers separate renewable and fossil carbon in emissions reporting.

Within the alternate fuel and raw materials market, waste plastics provide high calorific value in co-firing blends, but recycling policy can restrict their use for energy recovery. Tire-derived fuel remains important in parts of South America. Brazil used tire-derived fuel in cement kilns under Ibama monitoring in 2024. Tire-derived fuel also remains relevant to the cement sector in Mexico. Process-derived fuels and agricultural residues retain smaller roles where segregated waste collection is less developed.

Complete Report Scope:

  • By Fuel Type
    • Refuse-Derived Fuel (RDF)
    • Solid Recovered Fuel (SRF)
    • Biomass
    • Waste Plastics
    • Other Fuel Types
  • By Raw Material Type
    • Fly Ash
    • Blast Furnace Slag
    • Foundry Sand
    • Steel Slag
    • Other Raw Material Types
  • By Application
    • Waste-to-Energy (WtE) Power Plants
    • Biomass and Bioenergy Plants
    • Other Applications
  • By Geography
    • North America
      • United States
      • Canada
      • Mexico
    • Europe
      • Germany
      • France
      • Italy
      • Spain
      • United Kingdom
      • Poland
      • Russia
      • Rest of Europe
    • Asia-Pacific
      • China
      • India
      • Japan
      • South Korea
      • Australia
      • Indonesia
      • Vietnam
      • Thailand
      • Rest of Asia-Pacific
    • South America
      • Brazil
      • Argentina
      • Chile
      • Rest of South America
    • Middle East and Africa
      • Saudi Arabia
      • United Arab Emirates
      • Egypt
      • South Africa
      • Morocco
      • Rest of Middle East and Africa

Geography Analysis

The alternate fuel and raw materials market in Europe held 39.6% of the alternate fuel and raw materials market share in 2025, supported by mature sorting systems, landfill rules, and cement kiln co-processing capacity. Germany, Italy, Poland, France, and the United Kingdom accounted for much of the region's SRF and RDF demand. Poland and Germany have substantial SRF co-firing capacity as cement producers replace coal. Indaver opened the Rivenhall Integrated Waste Management Facility in Essex in June 2026, a GBP 589 million project that processes up to 595,000 tonnes of residual waste each year and produces 55 MW of electricity . EU waste and industrial policy continue to support demand for recovered fuels and materials in the region, while harmonized classifications and emissions thresholds influence how operators structure processing investments.

Asia-Pacific is forecast to grow at an 11.1% CAGR through 2031, the fastest geographic rate in the alternate fuel and raw materials market. India and China have lower cement kiln thermal substitution rates than leading European facilities. Indonesia, India, Vietnam, and Thailand are developing processing and waste-to-energy capacity. Indonesia launched more than USD 600 million in waste-to-energy investment during 2026. India has a substantial agricultural biomass resource that can support biomass-origin recovered fuels. Japan and South Korea, with 50-65% thermal substitution rates in cement kilns, provide regional reference points as policy frameworks develop and neighboring markets work to improve waste access and fuel preparation.

North America, South America, and the Middle East and Africa have different demand patterns. In North America, landfill gas conversion to renewable natural gas is an important energy-recovery route. Republic Services and Archaea Energy opened their first joint renewable natural gas facility in Fort Wayne, Indiana, in June 2026. South America continues to use tire-derived fuel within cement co-processing. South Africa, Morocco, and Saudi Arabia are emerging locations for specification-controlled alternative fuel activity.

  1. Averda International Limited
  2. Biffa Limited
  3. Enva Group Limited
  4. FCC Servicios Medio Ambiente Holding, S.A.U.
  5. Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A.
  6. Indaver NV
  7. PreZero International GmbH
  8. Ragn-Sells AB
  9. REMONDIS SE & Co. KG
  10. Renewi plc
  11. Republic Services, Inc.
  12. SARIA SE & Co. KG
  13. Sembcorp Industries Ltd.
  14. SUEZ S.A.
  15. Tradebe Environmental Services, LLC
  16. Veolia Environnement S.A.
  17. Viridor Limited
  18. Waste Management, Inc.

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4 MARKET LANDSCAPE

  • 4.1 Market Overview
  • 4.2 Market Drivers
    • 4.2.1 Carbon Pricing and Industrial Decarbonization
    • 4.2.2 Landfill Diversion and Circular-Economy Mandates
    • 4.2.3 Cement-Kiln Fuel Substitution Economics
    • 4.2.4 Expansion of Waste Sorting and Pre-Processing Infrastructure
    • 4.2.5 Localized Industrial Symbiosis and Waste-to-Resource Platforms
    • 4.2.6 Digital Fuel-Quality Certification and Traceability
  • 4.3 Market Restraints
    • 4.3.1 Feedstock Quality Variability and Contamination
    • 4.3.2 High Retrofit, Storage, and Permitting Costs
    • 4.3.3 Competition for Premium Waste Streams
    • 4.3.4 Declining Availability of Traditional Secondary Raw Materials
  • 4.4 Value Chain Analysis
  • 4.5 Regulatory Landscape
  • 4.6 Technological Outlook
  • 4.7 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
    • 4.7.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers
    • 4.7.3 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.7.4 Threat of Substitutes
    • 4.7.5 Competitive Rivalry

5 MARKET SIZE AND GROWTH FORECASTS

  • 5.1 By Fuel Type
    • 5.1.1 Refuse-Derived Fuel (RDF)
    • 5.1.2 Solid Recovered Fuel (SRF)
    • 5.1.3 Biomass
    • 5.1.4 Waste Plastics
    • 5.1.5 Other Fuel Types
  • 5.2 By Raw Material Type
    • 5.2.1 Fly Ash
    • 5.2.2 Blast Furnace Slag
    • 5.2.3 Foundry Sand
    • 5.2.4 Steel Slag
    • 5.2.5 Other Raw Material Types
  • 5.3 By Application
    • 5.3.1 Waste-to-Energy (WtE) Power Plants
    • 5.3.2 Biomass and Bioenergy Plants
    • 5.3.3 Other Applications
  • 5.4 By Geography
    • 5.4.1 North America
      • 5.4.1.1 United States
      • 5.4.1.2 Canada
      • 5.4.1.3 Mexico
    • 5.4.2 Europe
      • 5.4.2.1 Germany
      • 5.4.2.2 France
      • 5.4.2.3 Italy
      • 5.4.2.4 Spain
      • 5.4.2.5 United Kingdom
      • 5.4.2.6 Poland
      • 5.4.2.7 Russia
      • 5.4.2.8 Rest of Europe
    • 5.4.3 Asia-Pacific
      • 5.4.3.1 China
      • 5.4.3.2 India
      • 5.4.3.3 Japan
      • 5.4.3.4 South Korea
      • 5.4.3.5 Australia
      • 5.4.3.6 Indonesia
      • 5.4.3.7 Vietnam
      • 5.4.3.8 Thailand
      • 5.4.3.9 Rest of Asia-Pacific
    • 5.4.4 South America
      • 5.4.4.1 Brazil
      • 5.4.4.2 Argentina
      • 5.4.4.3 Chile
      • 5.4.4.4 Rest of South America
    • 5.4.5 Middle East and Africa
      • 5.4.5.1 Saudi Arabia
      • 5.4.5.2 United Arab Emirates
      • 5.4.5.3 Egypt
      • 5.4.5.4 South Africa
      • 5.4.5.5 Morocco
      • 5.4.5.6 Rest of Middle East and Africa

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 6.1 Market Concentration
  • 6.2 Strategic Moves
  • 6.3 Market Share Analysis
  • 6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global Level Overview, Market Level Overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share, Products and Services, Recent Developments)
    • 6.4.1 Averda International Limited
    • 6.4.2 Biffa Limited
    • 6.4.3 Enva Group Limited
    • 6.4.4 FCC Servicios Medio Ambiente Holding, S.A.U.
    • 6.4.5 Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A.
    • 6.4.6 Indaver NV
    • 6.4.7 PreZero International GmbH
    • 6.4.8 Ragn-Sells AB
    • 6.4.9 REMONDIS SE & Co. KG
    • 6.4.10 Renewi plc
    • 6.4.11 Republic Services, Inc.
    • 6.4.12 SARIA SE & Co. KG
    • 6.4.13 Sembcorp Industries Ltd.
    • 6.4.14 SUEZ S.A.
    • 6.4.15 Tradebe Environmental Services, LLC
    • 6.4.16 Veolia Environnement S.A.
    • 6.4.17 Viridor Limited
    • 6.4.18 Waste Management, Inc.

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE OUTLOOK

  • 7.1 White-Space and Unmet-Need Assessment