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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
2120582
美國風力發電:市場佔有率分析、產業趨勢與統計及成長預測(2026-2031)United States Wind Energy - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2026 - 2031) |
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據 Mordor Intelligence 稱,2025 年美國風力發電市場規模為 161.20 吉瓦,預計到 2031 年將達到 205.93 吉瓦,而 2026 年為 167.92 吉瓦,預測期(2026-2031 年)的複合年成長率為 4.17%。

本報告按位置(陸上和海上)、渦輪機功率(小於3兆瓦、3-6兆瓦和大於6兆瓦)和應用(公用事業規模、商業/工業和社區項目)進行細分。市場規模和預測以裝置容量(吉瓦)表示。
除了將IRA的生產稅額扣抵延長10年至2032年之外,10個百分點的國產化率獎勵政策也使稅後項目回報率從6.5%提高到8.2%。該法案通過後,2024年宣布新增18吉瓦發電容量,並將其納入開發平臺。該法案規定,到2025年,40%的鋼鐵和55%的零件必須來自國內,這將提振愛荷華州和科羅拉多工廠的訂單。 2024年底,美國國稅局(IRS)的審計發現存在可追溯性缺陷,其中1.2吉瓦的項目因使用外國製造的軸承而被排除在外。鑑於長期購電協議(PPA)因基差風險波動而難以達成,ERCOT地區的開發商目前選擇利用IRA提供的30%投資稅額扣抵抵免來加速價值變現。
根據美國國家可再生能源實驗室(NREL)的數據,轉子直徑170公尺、輪轂高度110公尺的風力發電機組已將陸域風電的平準化度電成本(LCOE)在2024年降至每兆瓦時26美元。通用電氣Vernova和維斯塔斯(Vestas)的6兆瓦以上風力發電機組在阿肯色州和田納西州的4級風電場址實現了52%的裝機容量利用率,而這些地區此前風電開發並不盈利。熱塑性複合複合材料可減輕12%的重量,使每颱風力發電機的系統平衡(BOS)成本降低8萬美元。成本的降低將迫使8吉瓦燃氣發電廠在2024年前提前退役,這標誌著美國風電市場的關鍵轉折點。
截至2024年12月,區域輸電待建容量達2,600吉瓦,其中風電佔950吉瓦,平均審核週期為5.2年。光是MISO就有180吉瓦的待建容量,需要480億美元的電網升級改造。其中60%需要新建345千伏輸電線路,而取得相關許可證需要七年時間。儘管FERC 2023號指令正朝著「先到先得」的原則發展,但截至2024年中期,只有CAISO全面實施了該原則,這意味著大多數開發人員仍然面臨順序核准。去年,由於60億美元的輸電成本分攤問題引發爭議,導致五個項目被暫停。
到2025年,陸域風電資產將佔累積發電量的99.88%,反映了德克薩斯州和大平原地區數十年來穩步擴張的成果。在這些地區,5-7級風力資源的使用率已達到45-50%。然而,自2022年以來,海洋能源管理局(BOEM)已對八個租賃區域進行拍賣,為離岸風力發電風電裝置容量以47.69%的複合年成長率成長奠定了基礎,並重塑了美國風電市場格局。 Vineyard Wind 1計畫於2024年5月投入商業運營,其13兆瓦的風力渦輪機維持了60%的利用率,展現了離岸風力發電的競爭力。德克薩斯州和奧克拉荷馬州的陸上風電建設仍在繼續,預計到2024年,兩州的總裝置容量將新增5吉瓦。這得益於ERCOT的商業模式,該模式仍然允許專案在18個月內獲得批准。
儘管《瓊斯法案》的限制使得離岸風力發電建設規模在2026年之前每年約為2吉瓦,但目前在建工程總量總合30吉瓦。 Dominion Energy公司位於維吉尼亞海岸的2.6吉瓦項目獲得了美國建造的第一艘安裝船,但由於每日租金超過50萬美元,其資本投資比歐洲類似項目高出12%。舊陸上電廠的改造升級也是推動離岸風電同步成長的重要因素。 NextEra公司在愛荷華州的1.8吉瓦計畫在無需重新申請併網的情況下,使電廠發電量翻了三倍。浮體式海上風電計畫仍處於商業化前的測試階段。這是因為目前錨碇系統的成本為每兆瓦100萬美元,而且這項障礙在2028年之前不太可能消除。
According to Mordor Intelligence, the United States wind energy market size was valued at 161.20 gigawatt in 2025 and estimated to grow from 167.92 gigawatt in 2026 to reach 205.93 gigawatt by 2031, at a CAGR of 4.17% during the forecast period (2026-2031).

This report is Segmented by Location (Onshore and Offshore), Turbine Capacity (Less Than 3 MW, 3 To 6 MW, and Above 6 MW), and Application (Utility-Scale, Commercial and Industrial, and Community Projects). The Market Size and Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Installed Capacity (GW).
The IRA's 10-year extension of production tax credits through 2032, plus a 10-percentage-point domestic-content adder, lifted post-tax project returns from 6.5% to 8.2%. Announcements for 18 GW of new capacity entered development pipelines during 2024 after the legislation was passed. The law mandates that, by 2025, 40% of steel and 55% of manufactured components originate domestically, steering orders toward Iowa and Colorado factories. Internal Revenue Service audits in late 2024 disqualified 1.2 GW for foreign-origin bearings, spotlighting traceability gaps. Developers in ERCOT now opt for the IRA's 30% investment tax credit to monetize value upfront when volatile basis risk deters long-term PPAs.
National Renewable Energy Laboratory data show the onshore LCOE sliding to USD 26 per MWh in 2024 as rotor diameters hit 170 m and hub heights 110 m. GE Vernova and Vestas platforms above 6 MW are harvesting 52% capacity factors at Class 4 sites in Arkansas and Tennessee, regions once uneconomical for wind. Thermoplastic composite blades reduce weight by 12% and cut balance-of-system spending by USD 80,000 per turbine. Cost compression has pushed eight gigawatts of gas-fired generation into early retirement during 2024, a pivotal inflection for the United States wind energy market.
Regional transmission queues reached 2,600 GW in December 2024, with wind accounting for 950 GW, and average study times stretched to 5.2 years. MISO alone holds 180 GW awaiting USD 48 billion in network upgrades, 60% of which need new 345-kV lines that require seven years to permit. FERC Order 2023 moves to a first-ready, first-served regime, but only CAISO has fully implemented it by mid-2024, so most developers still face serial processing. Disputes over how to share USD 6 billion of transmission costs halted five projects last year.
Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:
For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.
Onshore assets dominated 99.88% of cumulative capacity in 2025, reflecting decades of incremental build-out across Texas and the Great Plains, where Class 5-7 wind resources deliver 45-50% capacity factors. However, the Bureau of Ocean Energy Management has auctioned eight lease areas since 2022, setting the stage for a 47.69% CAGR in offshore capacity that will reshape the United States wind energy market. Vineyard Wind 1 began commercial operation in May 2024 with 13 MW turbines sustaining 60% capacity factors, demonstrating offshore competitiveness. The onshore build cycle continues in Texas and Oklahoma, which added 5 GW combined in 2024 because ERCOT's merchant model still clears projects within 18 months.
Jones Act constraints limit offshore build-out to about 2 GW per year through 2026, yet project pipelines total 30 GW. Dominion Energy's 2.6 GW Coastal Virginia venture secured the first U.S.-built installation vessel, but day-rates above USD 500,000 lift capex 12% versus European analogs. Repowering older onshore sites provides a parallel growth lever: NextEra's 1.8 GW Iowa campaign tripled site output without new interconnection filings. Floating offshore concepts for California's 25 GW resource remain in pre-commercial testing as mooring systems presently cost USD 1 million per MW, a hurdle unlikely to fall before 2028.