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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
2073251
中國廢棄物衍生可再生氣體:市場佔有率分析、產業趨勢與統計及成長預測(2026-2031年)China Renewable Gas From Waste - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2026 - 2031) |
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根據 Mordor Intelligence 預測,中國廢棄物衍生可再生氣體市場規模預計將從 2025 年的 21.2 億美元和 2026 年的 23.6 億美元成長到 2031 年的 46.3 億美元,2026 年至 2031 年的年複合成長率(CAGR)為 14.43%。

本報告依原料(都市固態廢棄物、農業殘渣、食物廢棄物等)、技術(氣化、熱解等)、氣體種類(沼氣、合成氣等)、應用(發電、併網等)及組件(氣體回收、消化器/發酵等)分類。市場預測以美元計價。
中國的碳達峰和碳中和議程如今已不僅僅是一項寬泛的政策訊號,它正透過法規、計量體系和專案層面的合規要求,塑造中國的廢棄物衍生可再生氣體市場。國家發展和改革委員會(發改委)發布的《2024年碳達峰和碳中和行動綱領》強化了可再生氣體計畫在企業層級記錄其排放結果所需的計量和檢驗基礎設施。這項轉變意義重大,因為開發商需要擁有更高品質、更有利於資金籌措的報告體系,才能獲得電力公司和產業的收購承諾。這也提高了缺乏檢驗的監測系統和正式報告能力的中小型企業的進入門檻。事實上,中國的廢棄物衍生可再生氣體市場正接近一個關鍵節點,即法律授權、碳核算和基礎設施准入必須無縫銜接,才能實現規模化發展。
隨著《中華人民共和國能源法》於2025年1月1日正式實施,生質氣在國家能源體系中獲得了更明確的法律地位。該法鼓勵根據當地實際情況利用生質能能源,並要求能源體系提升其接收和分配可再生能源的能力。這項法律修正案消除了先前城市燃氣供應商用來拒絕生質能甲烷接入輸配網路的模糊地帶。與2025年之前中國廢棄物衍生可再生氣體市場相比,專案開發商現在可以在更強力的製度支持下,協商簽訂長期供應合約。因此,在城市燃氣管網較為完善的省份,天然氣管網供應計畫的商業性軌跡也變得更可預測。
中國廢棄物衍生可再生氣體市場仍缺乏全國性的單位生產補貼,迫使許多項目依賴區域性氣體價格、產品特定銷售和碳排放收入。在發行網路薄弱的地區,開發商無法依賴優質都市區銷售管道,這個問題尤其突出。排放部於2025年12月發布的《豬糞沼氣回收和農業廢棄物集中處理中國碳減排單位調查方法》將有助於補充部分收入結構。然而,這並不能取代直接的生產補貼機制。在缺乏全國性補貼的情況下,雄厚的資金實力仍是主要的競爭優勢,國營企業和大型環保公司比中小開發商更具優勢。因此,即使在資源豐富的地區,專案開發仍然具有選擇性。
到2025年,農業殘餘物將佔中國廢棄物衍生可再生氣體市場31.50%的市場佔有率,成為該產業最大的原料來源。這一主導地位反映了中國主要農業省份作物產量龐大,秸稈及相關殘餘物供應充足。實際上,這些原料確保了縣級工廠(已建立收集系統)所需的處理能力。此外,農業殘餘物符合更廣泛的農村廢棄物處理和資源化利用目標,這也有利於中國廢棄物衍生可再生氣體市場的發展。
預計到2031年,食物廢棄物將以每年14.32%的速度成長,成為市場上成長最快的原料類別。畜禽糞便、工業有機廢棄物、污水污泥和垃圾掩埋廢棄物分別滿足中國廢棄物衍生可再生氣體市場不同的監管合規和處置需求。畜禽糞便尤其重要,因為在許多地區,畜禽廢棄物的處置已不再是可選項,農業農村部正在全國推廣80%以上的綜合利用率。這一成長反映了都市區強制性分類收集、更清潔原料的供應以及新的碳權(CCER)調查方法,這些都提高了集中式有機廢棄物沼氣加工的盈利。
至2025年,厭氧消化將佔中國廢棄物衍生可再生氣體廢棄物總規模的43.60%,成為農業和市政廢棄物計畫的主導技術平台。其主導地位源於其長期穩定的運作記錄、對現有工廠的熟悉程度以及圍繞畜禽糞便和混合有機原料積累的豐富實施經驗。此外,由於許多現有項目在進行任何精煉工藝之前都以生產未經提純的沼氣為起點,因此該技術仍然至關重要。由此可見,即使新的方法不斷湧現,厭氧消化在中國廢棄物衍生可再生氣體市場中仍發揮基礎性作用。
預計到2031年,氣化技術將以每年15.10%的速度成長,成為預測期內成長最快的技術類別。沼氣氣體純化系統、垃圾掩埋沼氣回收、熱解和監測系統共同支撐著更廣泛、更先進的技術體系。中國光大環境在安徽省蕭縣的首個生質能氣化計畫表明,熱化學轉化技術可以超越中試階段,並將可利用的原料範圍擴大到不適合消化的乾物質。這意義重大,因為中國廢棄物產業需要多種轉化途徑來處理來自城市、農業和工業的各種有機廢棄物,從而生產可再生氣體。
According to Mordor Intelligence, the china renewable gas from waste market size is projected to expand from USD 2.12 billion in 2025 and USD 2.36 billion in 2026 to USD 4.63 billion by 2031, registering a CAGR of 14.43% between 2026 to 2031.

This report is Segmented by Feedstock (Municipal Solid Waste, Agricultural Residues, Food Waste, and More), by Technology (Gasification, Pyrolysis, and More), by Gas Type (Biogas, Syngas, and More), by Application (Electricity Generation, Grid Injection, and More), and by Component (Gas Collection, Digesters & Fermentation, and More). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).
China's carbon peak and carbon neutrality agenda is now shaping the China renewable gas from waste market through rules, measurement systems, and project-level compliance expectations rather than broad policy signaling alone. The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) 2024 action plan on carbon peak and carbon neutrality standards strengthened the measurement and verification base that renewable gas projects need to document emissions outcomes at the enterprise level. That shift matters because developers now need stronger data quality and more bankable reporting before projects can secure offtake confidence from utilities and industries. It also raises entry barriers for smaller firms that lack verified monitoring systems and formal reporting capabilities. In practice, the China renewable gas from waste market is moving closer to sectors where legal recognition, carbon accounting, and access to infrastructure must work together before scale can follow.
The Energy Law of the People's Republic of China took effect on January 1, 2025, and gave bio-natural gas a clearer statutory position within the national energy system. The law encourages the use of biomass energy according to local conditions and also requires the energy system to improve its ability to accept and allocate renewable energy. That legal change reduces the ambiguity that city gas distributors previously used to resist access to the biomethane grid. Project developers can now negotiate long-term supply arrangements with better institutional backing than the China renewable gas from waste market had before 2025. The result is a more predictable commercial path for grid injection projects in provinces with dense municipal gas networks.
The China renewable gas from waste market still lacks a national per-unit production subsidy, leaving many projects dependent on local gas prices, by-product sales, and carbon revenues. This matters most in regions where distribution networks are weaker, and developers cannot rely on premium urban offtake channels. The MEE's December 2025 release of new CCER methodologies for pig farm manure biogas recovery and agricultural waste centralized processing helps part of the revenue stack. Still, it does not replace a direct production support mechanism. Without a national subsidy, stronger balance sheets remain a major competitive advantage, favoring SOEs and large environmental firms over smaller developers. As a result, project deployment remains selective even when the resource base is large.
Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:
For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.
Agricultural residues accounted for 31.50% of the China renewable gas from waste market share in 2025, making them the largest feedstock base in the sector. Their lead reflects the scale of crop output and the wide availability of straw and related residues across major farming provinces. In practical terms, these streams provide the volume needed for county-level plants where collection systems are already in place. The China renewable gas from waste market also benefits from the fact that agricultural residues align with broader rural waste treatment and resource-use goals.
Food waste is forecast to expand at 14.32% through 2031, making it the fastest-growing feedstock category in the market. Animal manure, industrial organic waste, sewage sludge, and landfill waste serve different compliance and disposal needs within the China renewable gas from waste market. Manure is especially important because livestock waste treatment is no longer optional in many areas, and the Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs has pushed for nationwide comprehensive utilization rates of 80% or more. This growth reflects mandatory urban sorting, cleaner incoming feedstock, and new CCER methodologies that improve the revenue potential of centralized biogas processing from organic waste streams.
Anaerobic digestion accounted for 43.60% of the China renewable gas from waste market size in 2025, making it the leading technology platform across agricultural and urban waste projects. Its dominance stemmed from a long operating history, familiarity with existing plants, and a broad installed base built around manure and mixed organic feedstocks. The technology also remains central because most current projects still begin with raw biogas production before any upgrading step. This gives anaerobic digestion a foundational role in the China renewable gas from waste market, even as newer pathways gain ground.
Gasification is projected to grow at 15.10% through 2031, which makes it the fastest-growing technology category in the forecast period. Biogas upgrading systems, landfill gas recovery, pyrolysis, and monitoring systems all support a broader, increasingly sophisticated technology stack. China Everbright Environment's first biomass gasification project in Xiao County, Anhui, showed that thermochemical conversion can move beyond pilot status and widen the usable feedstock base to drier materials that are less suitable for digestion. That matters because renewable gas from the waste industry in China requires multiple conversion routes to process the full range of municipal, agricultural, and industrial organic waste.