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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
2040888
天然氣市場預測至2034年-按產品類型、類別、來源、通路、應用、最終用戶和地區分類的全球分析Natural Gas Market Forecasts to 2034 - Global Analysis By Product Type (Ethane, Propane, Methane and Other Product Types), Type, Source,Distribution Channel, Application, End User and By Geography |
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根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,預計到 2026 年,全球天然氣市場規模將達到 9.2183 億美元,在預測期內將以 2.9% 的複合年成長率成長,到 2034 年將達到 111.5872 億美元。
天然氣是一種用途廣泛且儲量豐富的石化燃料,主要成分是甲烷。它被廣泛用於發電、供暖、工業生產和汽車燃料,是全球能源結構的重要組成部分。天然氣透過常規油井和傳統型方法(例如水力壓裂)從地下儲存開採。與煤炭和石油相比,天然氣的二氧化碳排放相對較低,因此被視為減少溫室氣體排放的過渡能源來源。
根據第 11 輪城市燃氣供應 (CGD)競標結果,印度石油公司 (IOC) 預計將贏得 9 個許可證,而印度巴拉特石油公司 (BPCL) 也有望贏得許可證。
儲量豐富且易於開採的天然氣蘊藏量
豐富的蘊藏量確保了穩定可靠的供應,從而保證了其在發電、工業生產和住宅等多種領域的持續應用。這種豐富的儲量有助於市場穩定,緩解能源安全擔憂,並降低對外部資源的依賴。此外,龐大的天然氣蘊藏量通常帶來具有競爭力的價格,使天然氣成為消費者和工業用戶極具經濟吸引力的選擇。這種便利性,加上天然氣的多功能性和環境優勢,正在推動市場成長。
受地緣政治因素影響的價格波動
主要生產氣區的地緣政治緊張局勢、衝突或政策突變都可能導致天然氣價格快速且難以預測的波動。這種價格波動對包括生產者、消費者和投資者在內的市場參與企業構成挑戰,影響投資決策、專案規劃和整體市場穩定。此外,天然氣價格的不確定性阻礙了基礎設施項目、探勘和開發方面的投資,從而抑制了市場成長。
全球能源需求成長
天然氣是一種用途廣泛、燃燒排放量排放氣體較低的石化燃料,在滿足日益成長的能源需求方面發揮著至關重要的作用。尤其是在新興經濟體,不斷成長的需求推動了天然氣在發電、工業生產和住宅生活等領域的消費增加。與煤炭和石油相比,天然氣的二氧化碳排放更低,這使其在全球關注環境永續性的背景下成為極具吸引力的選擇,從而促進了市場成長。
環境問題
儘管天然氣被認為是一種比某些石化燃料更清潔的替代能源,但其開採和燃燒仍會造成溫室氣體排放和環境惡化。人們對氣候變遷和環境永續性的日益關注,導致天然氣計畫受到越來越多的審查和反對。隨著全球向清潔能源轉型加速,天然氣市場在應對環境批評、適應不斷變化的監管環境以及確保其在未來能源轉型中的地位方面,面臨著許多挑戰。
新冠疫情的影響
由於封鎖和經濟活動限制,工業對天然氣的需求暫時下降。隨著製造業和商業活動的放緩,製造業和交通運輸等行業的天然氣消費量也隨之下降。此外,全球經濟放緩導致能源需求下降,進而影響了天然氣價格。
在預測期內,壓縮天然氣(CNG)細分市場預計將成為最大的細分市場。
隨著壓縮天然氣(CNG)在公共汽車、卡車和乘用車等車輛中的應用,其有助於減少排放,並迎合人們對永續能源解決方案日益成長的興趣,預計該市場將強勁成長。 CNG作為交通燃料的普及正在使天然氣市場的消費模式多樣化,並開闢新的成長途徑。此外,對包括加氣站在內的CNG基礎設施的需求正在推動投資並促進市場擴張。
在預測期內,傳統天然氣領域預計將錄得最高的複合年成長率。
在預測期內,常規天然氣市場預計將呈現最高的複合年成長率。儘管來自頁岩氣等非傳統資源的競爭日益激烈,但常規天然氣生產對於滿足能源需求仍然至關重要。常規天然氣田的成熟和完善的基礎設施為穩定可靠的供應提供了保障。
由於能源需求不斷成長、工業化進程加快以及向清潔能源來源轉型努力,預計亞太地區將在預測期內佔據最大的市場佔有率。該地區的國家,例如中國、印度和日本,都是天然氣的主要消費國,將其用於發電、工業生產以及作為其他石化燃料的清潔替代能源。各國政府為促進環境永續性和減少空氣污染而採取的措施也推動了市場擴張。
預計北美地區在預測期內將呈現最高的複合年成長率。美國和加拿大是市場的主要驅動力,這得益於其豐富的天然氣蘊藏量,包括頁岩氣。天然氣是一種能源來源,可用於發電、暖氣、工業生產和交通。人們對清潔能源來源日益成長的關注也推動了市場發展,促使天然氣作為過渡燃料在未來向低碳能源轉型過程中得到更廣泛的應用。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Natural Gas Market is accounted for $921.83 million in 2026 and is expected to reach $11,158.72 million by 2034 growing at a CAGR of 2.9% during the forecast period. Natural gas is a versatile and abundant fossil fuel composed primarily of methane. Widely used for electricity generation, heating, industrial processes, and as a fuel for vehicles, natural gas is a crucial component of the global energy mix. It is extracted from underground reservoirs and can be sourced from conventional wells or unconventional methods like hydraulic fracturing. Known for its relatively lower carbon emissions compared to coal and oil, natural gas is considered a transitional energy source in efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.
According to the results of the bid opening for the 11th round of city gas distribution (CGD) bidding, Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) stands to get nine licences and Bharat Petroleum Corporation Ltd (BPCL).
Availability of vast and accessible natural gas reserves
Abundant reserves provide a stable and reliable supply, ensuring consistent availability for various applications, including electricity generation, industrial processes, and residential use. This abundance contributes to market stability and mitigates concerns related to energy security, reducing dependence on external sources. Moreover, the availability of vast natural gas reserves often results in competitive pricing, making natural gas an economically viable option for consumers and industries. This accessibility, combined with the versatility and environmental advantages of natural gas drive the growth of the market.
Price volatility influenced by geopolitical events
Geopolitical tensions, conflicts, or sudden policy changes in major gas-producing regions can lead to abrupt and unpredictable fluctuations in natural gas prices. Such volatility creates challenges for market participants, including producers, consumers, and investors, affecting investment decisions, project planning, and overall market stability. Furthermore, the unpredictability in natural gas prices can deter investment in infrastructure projects, exploration, and developments hamper the market.
Increasing global demand for energy
As a versatile and cleaner-burning fossil fuel, natural gas plays a pivotal role in meeting rising energy needs. The growing demand, particularly in emerging economies, drives increased consumption of natural gas for electricity generation, industrial processes, and residential use. Its lower carbon emissions compared to coal and oil make it an attractive choice amid the global emphasis on environmental sustainability boosting the market.
Environmental concerns
Despite being considered a cleaner alternative to some fossil fuels, the extraction and combustion of natural gas contribute to greenhouse gas emissions and environmental degradation. Heightened awareness of climate change and environmental sustainability has led to increased scrutiny and opposition to natural gas projects. As the global shift towards cleaner energy intensifies, the Natural Gas Market faces the challenge of overcoming environmental criticisms and adapting to evolving regulatory landscapes to secure its role in the future energy transition.
Covid-19 Impact
Lockdowns and restrictions on economic activities led to a temporary reduction in industrial demand for natural gas. With decreased manufacturing and commercial operations, consumption in sectors such as manufacturing and transportation declined. Additionally, the global economic slowdown resulted in lower energy demand, affecting natural gas prices. Additionally, the global economic slowdown resulted in lower energy demand, affecting natural gas prices.
The compressed natural gas (CNG) segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The compressed natural gas (CNG) segment is estimated to have a lucrative growth, owing to the adoption of CNG in vehicles, including buses, trucks, and cars, contributes to reduced emissions and aligns with the growing emphasis on sustainable energy solutions. This shift towards CNG as a transportation fuel diversifies the natural gas market's consumption patterns, creating new avenues for growth. Additionally, the demand for CNG infrastructure, including refueling stations, drives investments and stimulates market expansion.
The conventional natural gas segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The conventional natural gas segment is anticipated to witness the highest CAGR growth during the forecast period, while facing increasing competition from unconventional sources like shale gas, conventional natural gas production remains crucial in meeting energy demands. The maturity of conventional gas fields and their well-established infrastructure contribute to a stable and reliable supply.
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period owing to the increasing energy demand, industrialization, and efforts to transition towards cleaner energy sources. Countries in the region, such as China, India, and Japan, are major consumers of natural gas, utilizing it for power generation, industrial processes, and as a cleaner alternative to other fossil fuels. Government initiatives promoting environmental sustainability and reducing air pollution contribute to the market's expansion.
North America is projected to have the highest CAGR over the forecast period, with abundant natural gas reserves, including shale gas, the United States and Canada are major contributors to the market. Natural gas is a versatile energy source used for electricity generation, heating, industrial processes, and transportation. Growing emphasis on cleaner energy sources has also led to increased use of natural gas as a transitional fuel in the transition to a low-carbon energy future are encouraging the market.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in the Natural Gas Market include Royal Dutch Shell, ExxonMobil Corporation, TotalEnergies, Gazprom, Chevron Corporation, Saudi Aramco, PetroChina Company Limited, Kinder Morgan, Inc., Occidental Petroleum Corporation, Woodside Petroleum Ltd., Cheniere Energy, Inc., Sempra Energy, TotalEnergies, ConocoPhillips, Equinor ASA, Sinopec, Qatar Petroleum, Dominion Energy, BP plc and Eni S.p.A.
In January 2024, Shell agrees to sell Nigerian onshore subsidiary, SPDC. Shell will remain a major investor in Nigeria's energy sector through its Deepwater and Integrated Gas businesses
In November 2023, ExxonMobil completes acquisition of Denbury. Under the terms of the agreement, Denbury shareholders will receive 0.84 shares of ExxonMobil for each Denbury share.
In April 2023, Shell completes restart of operations at the Pierce Field in the UK North Sea after major redevelopment to enable gas production. Pierce is a joint arrangement between Shell companies (operator, 92.52%) and Ithaca Energy (UK) Limited (7.48%.)
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.