![]() |
市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1945857
乳製品市場-全球產業規模、佔有率、趨勢、機會及預測(依產品類型、通路、地區及競爭格局分類,2021-2031年)Dairy Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Product Type, By Distribution Channel, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F |
||||||
全球乳製品市場預計將從 2025 年的 1,1883 億美元成長到 2031 年的 1,3513.5 億美元,年複合成長率為 4.82%。
該行業涉及將牛、水牛、山羊和綿羊等哺乳動物的液態奶加工成各種消費品,包括奶油、起司、優格和奶粉。該行業的成長主要得益於發展中地區持續的人口成長和都市化,這提高了人們的可支配收入,並改善了他們獲取商業性食品供應鏈的途徑。此外,消費者對乳製品作為飲食蛋白質和必需營養素的重要來源的認知不斷提高,也增強了對這些主食的持續需求,確保了消費保持穩定,而非受短期趨勢的影響。
| 市場概覽 | |
|---|---|
| 預測期 | 2027-2031 |
| 市場規模:2025年 | 11883億美元 |
| 市場規模:2031年 | 1,351,350 萬美元 |
| 複合年成長率:2026-2031年 | 4.82% |
| 成長最快的細分市場 | 優格 |
| 最大的市場 | 亞太地區 |
儘管經濟情勢波動,但市場依然強勁。聯合國糧食及農業組織(糧農組織)預測,到2024年,全球牛奶產量將增加1.5%,達到約9.81億噸。然而,該行業面臨著可能阻礙未來發展的重大挑戰,尤其是飼料和能源等生產投入成本的波動。這些成本波動擠壓了生產者的利潤空間,並造成供應鏈不穩定,對市場的持續擴張構成重大障礙。
推動市場擴張的關鍵因素之一是消費者對高附加價值乳製品的強勁需求。由於加工乳製品(如起司、優格和功能性蛋白)保存期限更長、營養價值更高,消費者越來越傾向於選擇這類產品而非液態奶。這種轉變促使加工商拓展產品線,並提升生產能力以滿足全球需求。例如,美國乳製品出口協會在其2025年2月發布的《2024年美國乳製品出口數據》中指出,美國起司出口量達到創紀錄的508,808公噸,比上年成長17%。為了因應這一成長,乳製品產業正策略性地調整其國際貿易策略,將重點轉向利潤更高、保存期限更長的產品。
新興經濟體可支配收入的成長進一步推動了這一趨勢,擴大了商業性食品供應鏈的覆蓋範圍。隨著發展中地區購買力的提升,家庭正從非正規市場轉向包裝乳製品,從而促進了當地生產基地的復甦。根據美國農業部2025年12月發布的《乳製品:全球市場與貿易》報告,由於產業狀況的改善,阿根廷的牛奶產量預計將在2025年恢復8.5%。不斷成長的需求支撐了貿易總額,國際乳製品協會(IDFA)在2025年指出,美國乳製品出口額在上年度達到82億美元,凸顯了該行業的經濟韌性。
生產投入成本(尤其是飼料和能源成本)的不確定性為酪農帶來了財務上的不確定性,並直接限制了他們的市場潛力。由於飼料和能源成本佔總生產成本的很大一部分,價格上漲和波動會顯著擠壓酪農的利潤空間,並減少可用於擴大牛規模和進行必要技術升級的資金。這種財務壓力常常迫使酪農做出艱難的商業決策,例如減少牛規模或降低飼料的營養價值,導致牛奶產量下降,並限制加工商所需原料的供應。
這種成本主導的供應限制模式限制了乳製品產業滿足不斷成長的需求的能力。例如,澳洲乳業局(Dairy Australia)在2024年12月預測,2024-2025年度國內牛奶供應量將萎縮至83億公升,並指出持續高企的營運成本和利潤率下降是導致供應量下降的主要原因。初級牛奶供應量的減少將限制起司和奶粉等下游產品的生產,減緩全球乳製品市場的擴張,並造成供應鏈的不穩定性。
隨著生產者在尋求最佳化牛奶產量的同時應對勞動力短缺問題,精準酪農技術的應用正在從根本上改變乳牛生產的模式。農民擴大使用自動化擠奶系統、機器人餵食解決方案和基於感測器的健康監測工具來更有效率地管理牛。這種技術變革使得對動物健康和牛奶品質的即時數據分析成為可能,從而減少了對人工的依賴並最佳化了資源配置。根據利樂公司於2024年3月發布的2023年度報告,該公司總銷售額達8.88億歐元(年增25%)。這一成長主要歸功於機器人技術和數據管理應用在全球的普及,顯示數位化正成為業務永續營運的必要條件。
同時,為因應監管壓力和環境問題,乳製品產業正積極轉型,朝向永續和環保的包裝解決方案邁進。乳製品加工商正積極以生物基材料、完全可回收的紙盒和瓶蓋緊固裝置取代傳統塑膠,以減少物流和消費後廢棄物相關的碳足跡。這項舉措已成為品牌永續。這表明,包裝創新已從一項次要的成本支出轉變為市場策略的核心要素。
The Global Dairy Market is projected to rise from USD 1018.83 Billion in 2025 to USD 1351.35 Billion by 2031, expanding at a CAGR of 4.82%. This industry involves the harvesting and processing of liquid milk from mammals such as cows, buffaloes, goats, and sheep into various consumable products including butter, cheese, yogurt, and milk powders. The sector's growth is primarily underpinned by sustained population increases and urbanization in developing regions, factors that boost disposable incomes and improve access to commercial food supply chains. Furthermore, the enduring demand for these staple goods is reinforced by growing consumer awareness of dairy as a vital source of dietary protein and essential nutrients, ensuring consumption remains stable rather than dependent on fleeting trends.
| Market Overview | |
|---|---|
| Forecast Period | 2027-2031 |
| Market Size 2025 | USD 1018.83 Billion |
| Market Size 2031 | USD 1351.35 Billion |
| CAGR 2026-2031 | 4.82% |
| Fastest Growing Segment | Yogurt |
| Largest Market | Asia Pacific |
Despite economic fluctuations, market volume remains robust; the Food and Agriculture Organization forecast in 2024 that world milk production would increase by 1.5 percent to nearly 981 million tonnes. However, the industry faces significant hurdles that could impede future progress, most notably the volatility of operational input costs like animal feed and energy. These fluctuating expenses compress producer margins and introduce instability into the supply chain, serving as a substantial challenge to the market's continued expansion.
Market Driver
A primary catalyst driving market expansion is the surging demand for value-added dairy products, as consumers increasingly favor processed items like cheese, yogurt, and functional proteins over liquid milk for their extended shelf life and nutritional benefits. This shift is prompting processors to diversify their product lines and enhance manufacturing capabilities to satisfy global needs. For instance, the U.S. Dairy Export Council reported in February 2025, within its '2024 U.S. Dairy Exports' data, that U.S. cheese export volume rose by 17 percent year-over-year to a record 508,808 metric tons. Consequently, the industry is strategically pivoting toward these high-margin, shelf-stable goods as the focal point of international trade.
Adding to this momentum is the rise in disposable income within emerging economies, which facilitates greater access to commercial food supply chains. As purchasing power grows in developing regions, households are moving from informal markets to packaged dairy goods, stimulating a recovery in regional production hubs. According to the United States Department of Agriculture's 'Dairy: World Markets and Trade' report from December 2025, milk production in Argentina was expected to rebound by 8.5 percent in 2025 due to improved sector conditions. This escalating demand supports overall trade value, with the International Dairy Foods Association noting in 2025 that U.S. dairy exports reached USD 8.2 billion for the preceding year, underscoring the sector's economic resilience.
Market Challenge
The unpredictability of operational input costs, specifically regarding animal feed and energy, creates a precarious financial landscape for dairy producers that directly restricts market potential. Since feed and energy account for a significant portion of total production costs, elevated or volatile prices severely squeeze farmer profit margins, reducing the capital available for herd expansion or necessary technological upgrades. This financial pressure often forces producers to make difficult operational choices, such as reducing herd sizes or compromising on the quality of nutritional rations, which inevitably leads to lower milk yields and constrains the raw material availability required by processors.
This pattern of cost-driven supply restriction limits the industry's capacity to meet rising demand. For example, Dairy Australia forecast in December 2024 that the national milk pool would contract to 8.3 billion liters for the 2024-2025 season, attributing the decline largely to the pressure of persistently high operating costs and tightening margins. Such contractions in the primary milk supply curtail the manufacturing volume of downstream products like cheese and milk powder, thereby stalling the volume expansion of the global dairy market and creating instability within the supply chain.
Market Trends
The adoption of precision dairy farming technologies is fundamentally transforming production dynamics as producers aim to optimize milk yields while addressing labor shortages. Farmers are increasingly utilizing automated milking systems, robotic feeding solutions, and sensor-based health monitoring tools to improve herd management efficiency. This technological shift enables real-time data analysis regarding animal health and milk quality, reducing reliance on manual labor and optimizing resource allocation. According to Lely's 'Annual Report 2023' published in March 2024, the company reported a total turnover of EUR 888 million, a 25 percent increase attributed primarily to the global adoption of robotics and data management applications, indicating that digitalization is becoming essential for operational viability.
Simultaneously, the industry is undergoing a rigorous transition toward sustainable and eco-friendly packaging solutions to address regulatory pressures and environmental concerns. Dairy processors are actively replacing conventional plastics with bio-based materials, fully recyclable cartons, and tethered cap mechanisms to reduce the carbon footprint associated with logistics and post-consumer waste. This movement serves as a core differentiator for brands seeking to retain environmentally conscious consumers. As noted by Elopak in their February 2024 'Fourth quarter and full year 2023 financial results' presentation, the company achieved a record full-year revenue of EUR 1.13 billion, driven significantly by increased sales of aseptic and sustainable packaging, signaling that packaging innovation has shifted from a peripheral cost to a central element of market strategy.
Report Scope
In this report, the Global Dairy Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:
Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Dairy Market.
Global Dairy Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report: