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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
2041923
棉花市場預測至2034年-按產品、產品類型、最終用戶和地區分類的全球分析Cotton Market Forecasts to 2034 - Global Analysis By Product, Type (Upland Cotton, Pima Cotton, Organic Cotton, Genetically Modified Cotton and Other Types), End User and By Geography |
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根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,預計 2026 年全球棉花市場規模將達到 482 億美元,並在預測期內以 4.7% 的複合年成長率成長,到 2034 年將達到 696 億美元。
棉花是一種全球重要的經濟作物,是從棉花植物(Gossypium)的蓬鬆種子纖維中提取的天然纖維。由於其用途廣泛,棉花被廣泛種植,用於紡織品、服裝和工業產品。它因其透氣性和舒適性而備受青睞。棉花種植需要溫暖的氣候和充足的水源,在排水良好、肥沃的土壤中生長最佳。
根據印度儲備銀行的數據,2022會計年度印度棉花及棉製品出口額超過1.14兆盧比(139.4億美元)。與上一會計年度的7,260億盧比(88億美元)相比,增加了約5,860億盧比(51億美元)。
全球紡織品需求不斷成長
隨著全球紡織業,尤其是在新興經濟體的持續擴張,作為紡織品生產基礎原料的棉花需求激增。人口成長、都市化以及消費者偏好變化等因素推動了這項需求的成長。因此,棉花市場面臨滿足紡織業日益成長的需求的壓力,這也影響著全球棉花貿易和生產趨勢。
病蟲害爆發
農民將不得不投資於病蟲害防治,這將導致生產成本增加。棉花作物易受病蟲害侵襲,這可能導致供應減少,進而影響全球棉花價格。此外,化學防治的需求也引發了環境問題,並影響了消費者的認知。總而言之,病蟲害帶來的壓力為棉花市場帶來了不確定性,影響著全球棉農的生產力和經濟永續性。
生物技術進展
生物技術的進步正在提高棉花產量、纖維品質和抗蟲性。提升生產力和永續性的創新包括基因改造棉花品種,這些品種具有增強的性狀,例如耐旱性和抗蟲性。透過生物技術開發出的適應特定環境條件的棉花品種,確保了更高的環境適應性和資源利用效率。這增強了棉花產業的韌性和效率,使其能夠滿足全球需求。
與合成纖維的競爭
聚酯纖維和尼龍等合成纖維通常能以更低的成本複製棉花的優良特性,導致棉製品需求下降。合成纖維具有耐用性和成本績效等優異特性。此外,技術進步不斷提升合成纖維的性能,使得棉花生產商越來越難以維持其市場佔有率。這種競爭正在阻礙市場成長。
新冠疫情的感染疾病
新冠疫情透過封鎖措施導致的供應鏈中斷和紡織品需求下降,對全球棉花市場造成了重大影響。出行限制阻礙了棉花的收割和運輸,導致勞動力短缺。消費者在服飾的支出減少,引發了棉花價格的波動。此外,全球貿易中斷和經濟不確定性也進一步衝擊了棉花市場。隨著各國逐步復甦,棉花產業仍在應對消費者行為變化和供應鏈調整等挑戰,這些挑戰正在影響市場動態。
在預測期內,有機棉產業預計將成為規模最大的產業。
預計有機棉市場將迎來顯著成長。有機棉是傳統棉花的永續環保替代品,其種植過程中不使用合成殺蟲劑、除草劑或基因改造生物。由於採用天然耕作方式,有機棉有助於維護土壤健康和生物多樣性,同時減少對環境的影響。因此,有機棉布料不含任何有害化學物質,具有低致敏性,對消費者更安全。選擇有機棉有助於實踐更永續、更符合道德的概念,為地球健康貢獻力量,並促進時尚和紡織業消費者做出負責任的選擇。
在預測期內,紡織業預計將呈現最高的複合年成長率。
由於其用途廣泛且優勢眾多,紡織業預計在預測期內將呈現最高的複合年成長率。棉織品柔軟、透氣、吸濕排汗,穿著舒適。棉織物經久耐用、易於染色,並具有優異的吸濕排汗性能。此外,棉具有低致敏性,適合多種氣候。其天然纖維透氣性極佳,可降低皮膚刺激的風險。棉的適應性和環保特性使其在紡織業廣受歡迎,並在眾多產品中體現了永續性和舒適性。
預計亞太地區將在預測期內佔據最大的市場佔有率。中國在全球棉花生產和出口市場中佔據主導地位。印度也是世界領先的棉花生產國之一,約佔全球棉花產量的22%。此外,紡織業在中國和印度都佔據主導地位,兩國消耗了國內生產的大部分棉花。因此,這些主要國家對棉花需求的成長正在推動該地區的市場需求。
預計北美地區在預測期內將呈現最高的複合年成長率。美國作為主要市場參與者,在整個預測期內保持了其領先的棉花生產國和出口國地位。基因改造棉花品種的引進等技術進步提高了棉花的產量和品質。包括《北美自由貿易協定》(北美自由貿易組織(NAFTA))在內的貿易政策和協定也影響了棉花貿易的趨勢。此外,棉花種植技術的進步以及國內外貿易活動的擴大正在推動該地區的市場需求。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Cotton Market is accounted for $48.2 billion in 2026 and is expected to reach $69.6 billion by 2034 growing at a CAGR of 4.7% during the forecast period. Cotton, a vital global crop, is a natural fiber derived from the fluffy seed fibers of the cotton plant (Gossypium). Widely cultivated for its versatility, cotton is used in textiles, apparel, and industrial products. It is valued for its breathability and comfort. Cotton cultivation demands a warm climate and ample water. It thrives in well-drained soil with good fertility.
According to the Reserve Bank of India, in the fiscal year 2022, the value of cotton and cotton products exported from India was over INR 1140 billion (USD 13.94 billion). This increased by almost INR 586 billion (USD 5.1 billion) compared to the previous financial year, which accounted for INR 726 billion (USD 8.8 billion).
Escalating global demand for textiles
As the textile industry continues to expand worldwide, particularly in emerging economies, the need for cotton, a fundamental raw material in textile production, has surged. This heightened demand is influenced by factors such as population growth, urbanization, and changing consumer preferences. Consequently, the cotton market is experiencing increased pressure to meet the growing requirements of the textile sector, shaping the dynamics of global cotton trade and production.
Pest and disease outbreaks
Pest and disease outbreaks lead to increased production costs as farmers invest in pest control measures and disease management. The susceptibility of cotton crops to infestations can result in reduced supply, subsequently affecting global cotton prices. Additionally, the need for chemical interventions raises environmental concerns and influences consumer perceptions. Overall, pest and disease pressures create uncertainties in the cotton market, influencing production efficiency and economic viability for cotton farmers worldwide.
Rising biotechnological advancements
Biotechnological advancements enhance the cotton crop yield, fiber quality, and resistance to pests. Innovations that enhance production and sustainability include genetically engineered cotton types with enhanced features like drought tolerance and pest resistance. Better adaptation and resource efficiency are ensured by cotton types developed due to biotechnology that is suited to particular environmental conditions. This meets worldwide demand by making the cotton sector more resilient and effective.
Competition from synthetic fibers
Synthetic fibers like polyester and nylon often emulate cotton's desirable qualities at a lower price point, leading to reduced demand for cotton products. Synthetic fibers offer superior attributes, such as durability and cost-effectiveness. Additionally, advancements in technology continually enhance synthetic fiber performance, intensifying the challenge for cotton producers to maintain market share. This competition thereby hampers the market growth.
Covid-19 Impact
The covid-19 pandemic significantly impacted the global cotton market as lockdowns disrupted supply chains and reduced demand for textiles. Restrictions on movement hindered cotton harvesting and transportation, causing labor shortages. With reduced consumer spending on clothing, cotton prices fluctuated. Moreover, global trade disruptions and economic uncertainties further affected the cotton market. As countries gradually recover, the cotton industry continues to navigate challenges, including changing consumer behaviour and supply chain adjustments, influencing market dynamics.
The organic cotton segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The organic cotton segment is estimated to have a lucrative growth. Organic cotton is a sustainable and eco-friendly alternative to conventional cotton, grown without synthetic pesticides, herbicides, or genetically modified organisms. Cultivated using natural methods, it promotes soil health and biodiversity while reducing environmental impact. The resulting fabric is free from harmful chemicals, making it hypoallergenic and safer for consumers. Choosing organic cotton supports a more sustainable and ethical approach, contributing to a healthier planet and promoting responsible consumer choices in the fashion and textile industries.
The textile industry segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The textile industry segment is anticipated to witness the highest CAGR growth during the forecast period, due to its versatility and numerous benefits. It is soft, breathable, and absorbent, making it comfortable for clothing. Cotton fabrics are durable, easy to dye, and have excellent moisture-wicking properties. Additionally, cotton is hypoallergenic and suitable for various climates. Its natural fibers allow for good air circulation, reducing the risk of skin irritations. Cotton's adaptability and eco-friendly characteristics contribute to its popularity in the textile industry, promoting sustainability and comfort in a wide range of products.
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period. China leads the most of the global production and export market. India is also one of the world's largest cotton producers, accounting for about 22% of the world's cotton production. Moreover, the dominance of the textile sector prevails in both China and India, as it consumes most of the cotton produced in the country. Therefore, the rising requirement for cotton in these major countries is propelling the market demand in this region.
North America is projected to have the highest CAGR over the forecast period. The United States, as a major player, maintained its position as a leading cotton producer and exporter during this forecast period. Technological advancements, such as the adoption of genetically modified cotton varieties, influenced yields and quality. Trade policies and agreements, including the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), also impacted the dynamics of cotton commerce. Further, advancements in cotton cultivation practices and growing and international trade activities are fuelling the region's market demand.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players profiled in the Cotton Market include Cotton Corporation of India, Fazal Group, Loyal Textiles Mills Limited, Oswal Group, Vardhman Group, Bombay Dyeing, Armor Seed, Damodar Group, Unifi Inc., Banswara Syntex Limited, Adani Group, Shri Vallabh Pittie Group, Weiqiao Textile Company Limited, Cargill Incorporated, Bunge Limited, Corteva Agriscience, Olam International and Gokak Mills.
In November 2023, State-run Cotton Corp. of India (CCI) is set to procure over one million bales of premium Kasturi cotton in the current season that began in October 2023. It is projected at 36 million bales of 170 kg each.
In March 2022, Armor Seed Company released two cotton varieties, ARMOR 9512 B3XF and ARMOR 9442 XF, in the 2022 season. Both varieties are known for their big seeds, improved vigor/emergence, fiber quality, and XtendFlex Technology.