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1822434

2032 年自動駕駛最後一哩配送市場預測：按組件、範圍、自主等級、最終用戶和地區進行的全球分析

Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Component (Hardware, Software and Services), Range, Autonomy Level, End User and By Geography
出版日期: | 出版商: Stratistics Market Research Consulting | 英文 200+ Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

價格

根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據，全球自動最後一哩配送市場預計在 2025 年達到 292.6 億美元，到 2032 年將達到 1,403.3 億美元，預測期內的複合年成長率為 25.1%。

自主最後一哩配送是指利用自動駕駛汽車、無人機和地面配送機器人等先進技術，將貨物直接從配送中心或區域樞紐運送到最終客戶，無需人工干預。這是供應鏈中最後也是最關鍵的一步。透過利用人工智慧、感測器和導航系統，自主配送可以提高營運效率，減少對人工的依賴，並提升客戶滿意度，尤其是在配送需求旺盛的電商、食品和零售業。

電子商務的快速成長和消費者期望的變化

為了滿足都市區日益成長的當日達和定期送達的需求，自動駕駛最後一哩系統正在部署中。零售商和物流供應商正在整合自動駕駛汽車、無人機和人行道機器人，以最佳化配送速度並減少對人工的依賴。即時追蹤、預測路線和數位介面正在提升客戶體驗和營運透明度。對城市交通和智慧物流的監管支援正在加強部署。這些動態將電子商務和消費行為定位為自動駕駛最後一哩配送應用的關鍵驅動力。

初始成本和資本投資高

小型物流營運商和零售商面臨著在有限的預算內擴大試驗計畫規模並實現投資回報的挑戰。與現有供應鏈和IT系統的整合增加了複雜性和成本。維護、保險和網路安全條款進一步增加了營運開銷。資金籌措管道有限以及投資回報時間的不確定性阻礙了中型企業採用該技術。儘管技術已經成熟，但這些因素仍然限制市場擴張。

政府支持、法規和舉措

各國政府正在資助試點項目，提供稅收優惠，並簡化自動駕駛汽車測試和部署的監管途徑。城市規劃框架正在更新，以適應宅配機器人、路邊取貨和微型倉配中心的發展。市政當局、科技公司和物流供應商之間的合作正在加速創新。安全標準和資料共用通訊協定正在加強信任和互通性。這些發展正在推動整個自動駕駛配送生態系統的政策主導動能。

社會認可、信任與社會關注

涉及自動駕駛系統的事故引發了越來越多的關注，並引發了有關安全性、課責和失業的質疑。零售商和物流公司必須投資教育、透明度和包容性的部署模式，以建立信任。媒體和社區參與在塑造公眾認知方面發揮關鍵作用。監管延遲和道德爭議使部署策略變得複雜。這些動態對自動駕駛配送的擴展構成了聲譽和營運風險。

COVID-19的影響

新冠疫情擾亂了自動駕駛「最後一哩路」配送市場，導致供應鏈暫時中斷、生產停頓以及原物料採購延遲。零售、物流和消費品行業的主要終端用戶經歷了需求波動，影響了部署時間表。然而，對非接觸式配送、醫療保健物流和城市出行的日益關注在一定程度上抵消了這一放緩。對安全高效的自動化配送系統的需求不斷成長，以及永續、高性能自動駕駛平台的創新，正在推動整個行業的後疫情復甦。

預計硬體部分將成為預測期內最大的部分

預計硬體領域將在預測期內佔據最大的市場佔有率，因為它在實現自主導航、感測和交付執行方面發揮核心作用。LiDAR、攝影機、GPS模組和機器人致動器等組件正被整合到地面車輛、無人機和配送機器人。原始設備製造商正專注於模組化、堅固耐用且可擴展的平台。對邊緣運算和機載分析的投資正在提高系統響應能力和可靠性，從而加速市場發展。

預計醫療保健提供者和藥局部門在預測期內將以最高的複合年成長率成長。

在預測期內，醫療保健提供者和藥房細分市場預計將錄得最高成長率，這得益於對藥品、處方箋和診斷樣本安全、及時、非接觸式配送的需求。自動化系統正在醫院、診所和家庭護理機構中部署，以提供盡可能減少人工干預的服務。對醫療物流和低溫運輸合規性的監管支援正在推動其應用。與電子健康記錄和智慧庫存系統的整合正在提高營運效率。這一細分市場正成為自動化配送創新的高成長前沿。

比最大的地區

由於注重物流現代化、電子商務滲透和自動駕駛汽車創新，預計北美將在預測期內佔據最大市場佔有率。美國和加拿大正在投資智慧基礎設施、城市交通平台和自動駕駛配送法規結構。零售商和物流供應商正在大都會圈和大學校園擴大試驗計畫。消費者對可靠、非接觸式配送的需求正在影響部署策略。原始設備製造商和科技新興企業在人工智慧、感測器和平台的開發方面處於領先地位。

複合年成長率最高的地區

在預測期內，亞太地區預計將呈現最高的複合年成長率，這得益於強勁的電子商務成長、密集的城市環境以及政府對自動駕駛出行的支持。中國、日本、韓國和印度等國家正在投資智慧交通基礎設施、電動車整合和最後一哩物流領域的創新。該地區的高科技公司和物流營運商在試點部署和可擴展平台開發方面處於領先地位。官民合作關係正在加強監管協調和基礎設施建設。堵塞都市區對高效配送的需求正在推動自動駕駛技術的普及。

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目錄

第1章執行摘要

第2章 前言

  • 概述
  • 相關利益者
  • 調查範圍
  • 調查方法
    • 資料探勘
    • 數據分析
    • 數據檢驗
    • 研究途徑
  • 研究材料
    • 主要研究資料
    • 次級研究資訊來源
    • 先決條件

第3章市場走勢分析

  • 驅動程式
  • 抑制因素
  • 機會
  • 威脅
  • 最終用戶分析
  • 新興市場
  • COVID-19的影響

第4章 波特五力分析

  • 供應商的議價能力
  • 買方的議價能力
  • 替代品的威脅
  • 新進入者的威脅
  • 競爭對手之間的競爭

5. 全球自動駕駛最後一哩配送市場（按組件）

  • 硬體
    • 車輛
    • 感測器和識別系統
    • 電源/推進機制
  • 軟體
    • 導航和路線規劃
    • 物體辨識與偵測
    • 車輛管理及調度系統
  • 服務
    • 整合和部署
    • 維護和支援
    • 數據分析與繪圖

6. 全球自動駕駛最後一哩配送市場（按範圍）

  • 短距離（少於5公里）
  • 中距離（5-20​​公里）
  • 遠距（>20公里）

7. 全球自動駕駛最後一哩配送市場（按自動駕駛水平）

  • 透過遠距協助實現自主
  • 半自動
  • 完全自主

8. 全球自動駕駛最後一哩配送市場（依最終用戶分類）

  • 零售商與電子商務平台
  • 物流和宅配公司
  • 食品配送市場/餐廳
  • 醫療保健提供者和藥房
  • 地方政府和公共服務
  • 其他

9. 全球自動駕駛最後一哩配送市場（按地區）

  • 北美洲
    • 美國
    • 加拿大
    • 墨西哥
  • 歐洲
    • 德國
    • 英國
    • 義大利
    • 法國
    • 西班牙
    • 其他歐洲國家
  • 亞太地區
    • 日本
    • 中國
    • 印度
    • 澳洲
    • 紐西蘭
    • 韓國
    • 其他亞太地區
  • 南美洲
    • 阿根廷
    • 巴西
    • 智利
    • 其他南美
  • 中東和非洲
    • 沙烏地阿拉伯
    • 阿拉伯聯合大公國
    • 卡達
    • 南非
    • 其他中東和非洲地區

第10章：重大進展

  • 協議、夥伴關係、合作和合資企業
  • 收購與合併
  • 新產品發布
  • 業務擴展
  • 其他關鍵策略

第11章 公司概況

  • Starship Technologies
  • Nuro, Inc.
  • Amazon.com, Inc.
  • JD.com, Inc.
  • Boxbot, Inc.
  • Kiwibot
  • Refraction AI
  • Udelv, Inc.
  • Robby Technologies
  • Eliport
  • FedEx Corporation
  • United Parcel Service, Inc.（UPS）
  • Alibaba Group Holding Limited
  • Meituan
  • Yandex NV
Product Code: SMRC31189

According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market is accounted for $29.26 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $140.33 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 25.1% during the forecast period. Autonomous Last Mile Delivery refers to the use of advanced technologies such as self-driving vehicles, drones, and ground delivery robots to transport goods from distribution centers or local hubs directly to end customers without human intervention. It represents the final and most crucial stage of the supply chain, ensuring faster, cost-effective, and contactless deliveries. By leveraging artificial intelligence, sensors, and navigation systems, autonomous delivery enhances operational efficiency, reduces labor dependency, and improves customer satisfaction, particularly in e-commerce, food, and retail sectors facing high delivery demands.

Market Dynamics:

Driver:

Rapid growth of e-commerce & changing consumer expectations

Autonomous last mile systems are being deployed to meet rising expectations for same-day and scheduled deliveries across urban and suburban zones. Retailers and logistics providers are integrating autonomous vehicles, drones, and sidewalk robots to optimize delivery speed and reduce labor dependency. Real-time tracking, predictive routing, and digital interfaces are enhancing customer experience and operational transparency. Regulatory support for urban mobility and smart logistics is reinforcing deployment. These dynamics are positioning e-commerce and consumer behavior as primary drivers of autonomous last mile delivery adoption.

Restraint:

High initial cost & capital investment

Smaller logistics operators and retailers face challenges in scaling pilot programs and achieving ROI within constrained budgets. Integration with existing supply chains and IT systems adds complexity and cost. Maintenance, insurance, and cybersecurity provisions further increase operational overhead. Limited access to financing and uncertain payback timelines are slowing adoption among mid-tier players. These factors are tempering market expansion despite technological readiness.

Opportunity:

Government support, regulation & initiatives

Governments are funding pilot programs, offering tax incentives, and streamlining regulatory pathways for autonomous vehicle testing and deployment. Urban planning frameworks are being updated to accommodate delivery bots, curbside access, and micro-fulfillment centers. Collaboration between municipalities, tech firms, and logistics providers is accelerating innovation. Safety standards and data-sharing protocols are reinforcing trust and interoperability. These developments are enabling policy-led momentum across the autonomous delivery ecosystem.

Threat:

Public acceptance, trust & societal concerns

Incidents involving autonomous systems have heightened scrutiny and raised questions about safety, accountability, and job displacement. Retailers and logistics firms must invest in education, transparency, and inclusive deployment models to build trust. Media narratives and community engagement play a critical role in shaping public perception. Regulatory delays and ethical debates are complicating rollout strategies. These dynamics are introducing reputational and operational risk into autonomous delivery expansion.

Covid-19 Impact:

The Covid-19 pandemic disrupted the Autonomous Last Mile Delivery market, causing temporary supply chain interruptions, production halts, and delays in raw material procurement. Retail, logistics, and consumer goods sectors, which are major end-users, experienced fluctuating demand, impacting deployment timelines. However, the increased focus on contactless delivery, healthcare logistics, and urban mobility partially offset the slowdown. Post-pandemic recovery is driven by growing demand for safe, efficient, and automated delivery systems, along with innovations in sustainable and high-performance autonomous platforms across industries.

The hardware segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period

The hardware segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period owing to its central role in enabling autonomous navigation, sensing, and delivery execution. Components such as LiDAR, cameras, GPS modules, and robotic actuators are being integrated into ground vehicles, drones, and delivery bots. OEMs are focusing on scalable platforms with modular designs and enhanced durability. Investment in edge computing and onboard analytics is improving system responsiveness and reliability and thereby accelerating the market.

The healthcare providers & pharmacies segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period

Over the forecast period, the healthcare providers & pharmacies segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate driven by demand for secure, timely, and contactless delivery of medical supplies, prescriptions, and diagnostic samples. Autonomous systems are being deployed to serve hospitals, clinics, and home care settings with minimal human interaction. Regulatory support for medical logistics and cold-chain compliance is reinforcing adoption. Integration with electronic health records and smart inventory systems is enhancing operational efficiency. This segment is emerging as a high-growth frontier for autonomous delivery innovation.

Region with largest share:

During the forecast period, the North America region is expected to hold the largest market share due to its strong focus on logistics modernization, e-commerce penetration, and autonomous vehicle innovation. The U.S. and Canada are investing in smart infrastructure, urban mobility platforms, and regulatory frameworks for autonomous delivery. Retailers and logistics providers are scaling pilot programs across metropolitan areas and university campuses. Consumer demand for reliable, contactless delivery is influencing deployment strategies. OEMs and tech startups are leading in AI, sensor, and platform development.

Region with highest CAGR:

Over the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR due to its robust e-commerce growth, dense urban environments, and government support for autonomous mobility. Countries like China, Japan, South Korea, and India are investing in smart transport infrastructure, EV integration, and last mile logistics innovation. Regional tech firms and logistics operators are leading in pilot deployments and scalable platform development. Public-private partnerships are reinforcing regulatory alignment and infrastructure readiness. Demand for efficient delivery across congested urban corridors is driving adoption.

Key players in the market

Some of the key players in Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market include Starship Technologies, Nuro, Inc., Amazon.com, Inc., JD.com, Inc., Boxbot, Inc., Kiwibot, Refraction AI, Udelv, Inc., Robby Technologies, Eliport, FedEx Corporation, United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS), Alibaba Group Holding Limited, Meituan and Yandex N.V.

Key Developments:

In March 2025, Starship Technologies partnered with foodora to launch autonomous robot delivery services in Stockholm, Sweden, marking its Nordic market entry. The collaboration supports sustainable urban logistics and expands Starship's reach in European food delivery ecosystems.

In July 2024, Nuro acquired Ike Robotics, a specialist in autonomous trucking, marking its pivot beyond last-mile delivery. The acquisition expands Nuro's capabilities into long-haul logistics, integrating Ike's highway autonomy stack with Nuro's urban delivery platform.

Components Covered:

  • Hardware
  • Software
  • Services

Ranges Covered:

  • Short-range (up to 5 km)
  • Mid-range (5-20 km)
  • Long-range (above 20 km)

Autonomy Levels Covered:

  • Remote-assisted autonomy
  • Semi-autonomy
  • Fully autonomy

End Users Covered:

  • Retailers & e-commerce platforms
  • Logistics & courier companies
  • Food delivery marketplaces & restaurants
  • Healthcare providers & pharmacies
  • Municipal & public services
  • Other End Users

Regions Covered:

  • North America
    • US
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • Europe
    • Germany
    • UK
    • Italy
    • France
    • Spain
    • Rest of Europe
  • Asia Pacific
    • Japan
    • China
    • India
    • Australia
    • New Zealand
    • South Korea
    • Rest of Asia Pacific
  • South America
    • Argentina
    • Brazil
    • Chile
    • Rest of South America
  • Middle East & Africa
    • Saudi Arabia
    • UAE
    • Qatar
    • South Africa
    • Rest of Middle East & Africa

What our report offers:

  • Market share assessments for the regional and country-level segments
  • Strategic recommendations for the new entrants
  • Covers Market data for the years 2024, 2025, 2026, 2028, and 2032
  • Market Trends (Drivers, Constraints, Opportunities, Threats, Challenges, Investment Opportunities, and recommendations)
  • Strategic recommendations in key business segments based on the market estimations
  • Competitive landscaping mapping the key common trends
  • Company profiling with detailed strategies, financials, and recent developments
  • Supply chain trends mapping the latest technological advancements

Free Customization Offerings:

All the customers of this report will be entitled to receive one of the following free customization options:

  • Company Profiling
    • Comprehensive profiling of additional market players (up to 3)
    • SWOT Analysis of key players (up to 3)
  • Regional Segmentation
    • Market estimations, Forecasts and CAGR of any prominent country as per the client's interest (Note: Depends on feasibility check)
  • Competitive Benchmarking
    • Benchmarking of key players based on product portfolio, geographical presence, and strategic alliances

Table of Contents

1 Executive Summary

2 Preface

  • 2.1 Abstract
  • 2.2 Stake Holders
  • 2.3 Research Scope
  • 2.4 Research Methodology
    • 2.4.1 Data Mining
    • 2.4.2 Data Analysis
    • 2.4.3 Data Validation
    • 2.4.4 Research Approach
  • 2.5 Research Sources
    • 2.5.1 Primary Research Sources
    • 2.5.2 Secondary Research Sources
    • 2.5.3 Assumptions

3 Market Trend Analysis

  • 3.1 Introduction
  • 3.2 Drivers
  • 3.3 Restraints
  • 3.4 Opportunities
  • 3.5 Threats
  • 3.6 End User Analysis
  • 3.7 Emerging Markets
  • 3.8 Impact of Covid-19

4 Porters Five Force Analysis

  • 4.1 Bargaining power of suppliers
  • 4.2 Bargaining power of buyers
  • 4.3 Threat of substitutes
  • 4.4 Threat of new entrants
  • 4.5 Competitive rivalry

5 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market, By Component

  • 5.1 Introduction
  • 5.2 Hardware
    • 5.2.1 Vehicle
    • 5.2.2 Sensors & perception
    • 5.2.3 Power & propulsion
  • 5.3 Software
    • 5.3.1 Navigation & path planning
    • 5.3.2 Perception & object detection
    • 5.3.3 Fleet management & dispatch systems
  • 5.4 Services
    • 5.4.1 Integration & deployment
    • 5.4.2 Maintenance & support
    • 5.4.3 Data analytics & mapping

6 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market, By Range

  • 6.1 Introduction
  • 6.2 Short-range (up to 5 km)
  • 6.3 Mid-range (5-20 km)
  • 6.4 Long-range (above 20 km)

7 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market, By Autonomy Level

  • 7.1 Introduction
  • 7.2 Remote-assisted autonomy
  • 7.3 Semi-autonomy
  • 7.4 Fully autonomy

8 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market, By End User

  • 8.1 Introduction
  • 8.2 Retailers & e-commerce platforms
  • 8.3 Logistics & courier companies
  • 8.4 Food delivery marketplaces & restaurants
  • 8.5 Healthcare providers & pharmacies
  • 8.6 Municipal & public services
  • 8.7 Other End Users

9 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market, By Geography

  • 9.1 Introduction
  • 9.2 North America
    • 9.2.1 US
    • 9.2.2 Canada
    • 9.2.3 Mexico
  • 9.3 Europe
    • 9.3.1 Germany
    • 9.3.2 UK
    • 9.3.3 Italy
    • 9.3.4 France
    • 9.3.5 Spain
    • 9.3.6 Rest of Europe
  • 9.4 Asia Pacific
    • 9.4.1 Japan
    • 9.4.2 China
    • 9.4.3 India
    • 9.4.4 Australia
    • 9.4.5 New Zealand
    • 9.4.6 South Korea
    • 9.4.7 Rest of Asia Pacific
  • 9.5 South America
    • 9.5.1 Argentina
    • 9.5.2 Brazil
    • 9.5.3 Chile
    • 9.5.4 Rest of South America
  • 9.6 Middle East & Africa
    • 9.6.1 Saudi Arabia
    • 9.6.2 UAE
    • 9.6.3 Qatar
    • 9.6.4 South Africa
    • 9.6.5 Rest of Middle East & Africa

10 Key Developments

  • 10.1 Agreements, Partnerships, Collaborations and Joint Ventures
  • 10.2 Acquisitions & Mergers
  • 10.3 New Product Launch
  • 10.4 Expansions
  • 10.5 Other Key Strategies

11 Company Profiling

  • 11.1 Starship Technologies
  • 11.2 Nuro, Inc.
  • 11.3 Amazon.com, Inc.
  • 11.4 JD.com, Inc.
  • 11.5 Boxbot, Inc.
  • 11.6 Kiwibot
  • 11.7 Refraction AI
  • 11.8 Udelv, Inc.
  • 11.9 Robby Technologies
  • 11.10 Eliport
  • 11.11 FedEx Corporation
  • 11.12 United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS)
  • 11.13 Alibaba Group Holding Limited
  • 11.14 Meituan
  • 11.15 Yandex N.V.

List of Tables

  • Table 1 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Region (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 2 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Component (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 3 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Hardware (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 4 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Vehicle (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 5 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Sensors & perception (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 6 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Power & propulsion (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 7 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Software (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 8 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Navigation & path planning (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 9 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Perception & object detection (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 10 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Fleet management & dispatch systems (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 11 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Services (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 12 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Integration & deployment (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 13 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Maintenance & support (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 14 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Data analytics & mapping (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 15 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Range (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 16 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Short-range (up to 5 km) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 17 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Mid-range (5-20 km) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 18 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Long-range (above 20 km) (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 19 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Autonomy Level (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 20 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Remote-assisted autonomy (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 21 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Semi-autonomy (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 22 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Fully autonomy (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 23 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By End User (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 24 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Retailers & e-commerce platforms (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 25 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Logistics & courier companies (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 26 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Food delivery marketplaces & restaurants (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 27 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Healthcare providers & pharmacies (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 28 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Municipal & public services (2024-2032) ($MN)
  • Table 29 Global Autonomous Last Mile Delivery Market Outlook, By Other End Users (2024-2032) ($MN)

Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.