菲律賓貨運與物流：市場佔有率分析、產業趨勢與統計及成長預測（2026-2031）

據 Mordor Intelligence 稱，菲律賓貨運和物流市場在 2025 年的價值為 152.6 億美元，預計到 2031 年將達到 216 億美元，而 2026 年為 162 億美元，預測期（2026-2031 年）的複合年成長率為 5.93%。

本報告按終端用戶行業（農業、漁業、林業、建設業、製造業、石油天然氣業、採礦和採石業、批發和零售業等）和物流功能（宅配和小包裹遞送 (CEP)、貨運代理、貨運、倉儲和其他服務）進行細分。市場預測以價值（美元）表示。

菲律賓貨運及物流市場趨勢及洞察

B2C電子商務小包裹量激增

到2025年，73%的菲律賓成年人將使用網路購物，電子商務商品總值將達到210億美元，最後一公里配送業務也將發生巨大變革。 Ninja Van與Universal Robina的合作將於2025年啟動，屆時將把「掃描列印」的訂單履約整合到日常消費品分銷管道中，從而將南呂宋地區的訂單週期縮短至24小時以內。到2025年，國內快遞將佔小包裹總量的64.98%，但跨境物流將超越國內物流，因為大多數來自東協的小包裹可以透過克拉克和馬尼拉口岸的國家單一窗口（NSW）在一天內完成清關。那些將倉儲、分類和配送整合到統一軟體平台上的營運商正在獲得溢價並提高周轉率。同時，缺乏足夠倉儲能力的專線宅配業者面臨商品化的風險，因為托運人對整合解決方案的需求日益成長。

「建設更好、更多」基礎建設發展計劃

在耗資8.3兆菲律賓披索（約1,432.3億美元）的「建設更美好、更繁榮」計畫下，基礎建設支出上限約為國內生產毛額的6%，194個主要項目中，83%集中於道路、橋樑、港口和機場建設。計畫於2028年啟用的新馬尼拉國際機場，年貨運量將高達500萬噸，屆時將打造多模態。蘇比克灣碼頭和棉蘭老島環線鐵路的擴建將使貨物運輸繞過馬尼拉大都會區的瓶頸，從而降低國內長途運輸的噸公里成本高達18%。這些運輸走廊將提高卡車業者的運轉率，並為國內貨運代理商創造回程傳輸運輸機會，同時迫使沿海貨運商降低運費以保持競爭力。

馬尼拉大都會區長期道路擁擠

預計到2024年，尖峰時段的平均航速仍僅為每小時12至15公里，這將導致菲律賓經濟每天損失35億菲律賓披索（約合6039萬美元），而由於冷鏈崩潰，藥品經銷商每批貨物的損失高達20萬菲律賓披索（約合3451美元）。營運商正將樞紐遷至克拉克和拉古納，此舉已使土地成本降低了高達60%，並將平均航速提高至每小時60公里。國內航運放鬆管制旨在將15%的區域間貨物轉移到沿海航線，但由於國內船東的抵制，全面實施被推遲。預計在馬尼拉地鐵於2028年後投入營運之前，都市區配送堵塞造成的額外成本將持續存在。

細分市場分析

到2025年，批發和零售貿易將佔總需求的30.91%，預計在2026年至2031年間將以6.52%的複合年成長率成長，這主要得益於現代連鎖超市向維薩亞斯群島和棉蘭老島的擴張。製造業也將緊跟其後，這得益於自2024年以來採購經理人指數(PMI)一直高於53以及420億美元的電子產品出口額。

石油、天然氣和採礦業是高度物流密集產業，尤其是在鎳礦運輸路線上，需要大量原料和零件的運輸。受194個大型工程所需美元計價的鋼鐵和水泥的湧入支撐，建築需求保持穩定。隨著冷鏈的普及減少了高價值生鮮食品的腐爛，預計農產品運輸將會增加。

儘管預計2026年至2031年間宅配、快遞和小包裹（CEP）的吞吐量將以6.82%的複合年成長率成長，但到2025年，貨運仍佔菲律賓貨運和物流市場佔有率的63.27%。隨著整合分揀和履約模式縮短交貨時間，以及附加價值服務的整合，菲律賓宅配領域的貨運和物流市場規模預計將會擴大。 「Ninja 小包裹 」等夥伴關係表明，將物流融入消費品分銷可以縮短交付週期並提高小包裹收集密度。雖然91.59%的庫存仍存放在非溫控倉庫中，但由於食品變質和藥品合規性等服務缺陷的成本上限嚴格，冷鏈樞紐的資本投入過高。數位化貨運平台將清關和貨物保險整合到一鍵交易中，降低了管理成本，並使中小企業能夠直接連接到多個承運商網路。

儘管目前溫控倉庫的市場佔有率僅佔8.41%，但由於農業部支持新建99個冷藏設施，以及私人投資者在納沃塔斯、布拉乾和宿務等地增加托盤存儲空間，其增速正以6.69%的速度成長。因此，在符合東協規定的藥品供應鏈的支持下，冷鏈在菲律賓貨運和物流市場的佔有率成長速度超過了常溫倉庫。貨運量反映了菲律賓群島對海運的依賴，但如今成長最快的運輸方式是空運，因為電子產品和生物製藥的托運人優先考慮速度以保障貨物的價值。

其他好處：

• Excel格式的市場預測（ME）表
• 3個月的分析師支持

目錄

第1章：引言

• 研究假設和市場定義
• 調查範圍

第2章：調查方法

第3章執行摘要

第4章 市場狀況

• 市場概覽
• 人口動態
• 按經濟活動分類的GDP構成
• 按經濟活動分類的GDP成長率
• 通貨膨脹
• 經濟表現及概覽
  • 電子商務產業趨勢
  • 製造業的發展趨勢
• 運輸和倉儲部門的GDP
• 出口趨勢
• 進口趨勢
• 燃油價格
• 卡車運輸營運成本
• 按車輛類型分類的卡車擁有數量
• 物流績效
• 按交通方式分享
• 船隊的裝載能力
• 渡輪連接
• 停靠港口和成就
• 票價趨勢
• 貨物噸位趨勢
• 基礎設施
• 法律規範（公路和鐵路）
• 法律規範（海事和航空）
• 價值鍊和通路分析
• 市場促進因素
  • B2C電子商務小包裹量激增
  • 制定更好的基礎設施發展計劃
  • 東協地區製造業回流
  • 溫控食品和藥品分銷量增加
  • 數位貨物匹配平台的擴展
  • 出口鎳礦，用於電動車電池供應鏈。
• 市場限制因素
  • 馬尼拉大都會區長期道路擁擠
  • 島嶼間國內運輸成本高昂
  • 颱風擾亂供應鏈
  • 中小企業貨物保險投保率較低。
• 技術展望
• 波特五力分析

第5章 市場規模與成長預測

• 按最終用戶行業分類
  • 農業、漁業、林業
  • 建造
  • 製造業
  • 石油和天然氣、採礦和採石
  • 批發和零售
  • 其他
• 透過物流功能
  • 宅配、快遞和小包裹（CEP）
    • 依外送目的地類型
      • 國內的
      • 國際的
  • 轉發
    • 透過運輸方式
      • 航空
      • 海路和內河航道
      • 其他
  • 貨物運輸
    • 透過運輸方式
      • 航空
      • 管道
      • 鐵路
      • 路
      • 海路和內河航道
  • 倉庫/存儲
    • 按類型進行溫度控制
      • 無溫度控制
      • 溫度控制
  • 其他服務

第6章 競爭情勢

• 市場集中度
• 策略趨勢
• 市佔率分析
• 公司簡介
  • SM Investments Corp.（including 2GO Group）
  • AP Moller-Maersk
  • AAI Worldwide Logistics
  • Air21 Global Inc.
  • AP Cargo
  • CMA CGM Group（Including CEVA Logistics）
  • DHL Group
  • DSV A/S（Including DB Schenker）
  • Fast Logistics
  • FedEx
  • JRS Business Corporation
  • Kuehne+Nagel
  • LBC Express Holdings, Inc.
  • LF Global Logistics Solutions, Inc.
  • Mitsui OSK Lines, Ltd.
  • Ninja Van Group（Including Ninja Van Philippines）
  • NYK（Nippon Yusen Kaisha）Line
  • Orient Freight
  • Royal Cargo
  • United Parcel Service of America, Inc.（UPS）

第7章 市場機會與未來展望

According to Mordor Intelligence, the Philippines freight and logistics market size was valued at USD 15.26 billion in 2025 and is estimated to grow from USD 16.20 billion in 2026 to reach USD 21.60 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 5.93% during the forecast period (2026-2031).

This report is Segmented by End User Industry (Agriculture, Fishing, and Forestry, Construction, Manufacturing, Oil and Gas, Mining and Quarrying, Wholesale and Retail Trade, and More) and by Logistics Function (Courier, Express, and Parcel (CEP), Freight Forwarding, Freight Transport, Warehousing and Storage, and Other Services). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).

Philippines Freight And Logistics Market Trends and Insights

Surge in B2C E-Commerce Parcel Volumes

E-commerce gross merchandise value climbed to USD 21 billion in 2025 as 73% of adult Filipinos shopped online, generating a step-change in last-mile activity. Ninja Van's 2025 tie-up with Universal Robina embeds scan-to-print fulfillment inside fast-moving consumer-goods channels, cutting South Luzon order cycles to under 24 hours. Domestic CEP held 64.98% of 2025 parcels, yet cross-border flows are expanding faster because Clark and Manila gateways now clear most ASEAN parcels within a single day under the National Single Window. Integrated operators that combine warehouse management, sortation, and delivery on a unified software stack capture price premiums and higher asset turns. Pure-play couriers without warehousing depth face commoditization as shippers demand bundled solutions.

Build Better More Infrastructure Pipeline

The PHP 8.3 trillion (USD 143.23 billion) Build Better More program has locked in infrastructure spending near 6% of GDP, with 83% of its 194 flagship projects targeting roads, bridges, ports, and airports. The New Manila International Airport, due in 2028, will handle up to 5 million tons of freight a year, creating a multimodal node that rivals Bangkok and Ho Chi Minh City. Subic Bay's berth expansion and the Mindanao Railway ring will divert cargo away from Metro Manila choke points, reducing long-haul domestic ton-kilometer costs by up to 18%. These corridors improve equipment utilization for trucking fleets and unlock backhaul opportunities for domestic forwarders, while coastal shippers must lower tariffs to remain competitive.

Chronic Road Congestion in Metro Manila

Peak-hour speeds of 12-15 kilometers per hour in 2024 impose PHP 3.5 billion (USD 60.39 million) in daily economic losses, with cold-chain breaches costing pharma distributors up to PHP 200,000 (USD 3,451) per incident. Operators are repositioning hubs to Clark and Laguna, lowering land costs by as much as 60% and raising average speeds to 60 kilometers per hour. Cabotage relaxation aims to divert 15% of inter-regional freight to coastal shipping, yet domestic shipowner resistance has delayed full roll-out. Until the Metro Manila Subway becomes operational post-2028, the congestion premium on urban deliveries will persist.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

1. Growth in Temperature-Controlled Food and Pharma Flows
2. Nickel-Ore Exports for EV Battery Supply Chains
3. Typhoon-Induced Supply-Chain Disruptions

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

Wholesale and Retail Trade generated 30.91% of 2025 demand and grew at a 6.52% CAGR (2026-2031), lifted by modern grocery chains spreading into Visayas and Mindanao. Manufacturing follows, buoyed by a PMI above 53 since 2024 and USD 42 billion in electronics exports.

Oil, gas, and mining carry outsize logistics intensity, particularly nickel-ore lanes that require inbound reagents and spare parts. Construction demand remains stable, keyed to USD-indexed steel and cement inflows for 194 flagship projects. Agriculture freight will climb as cold-chain coverage lowers spoilage on high-value perishables.

Courier, Express, and Parcel activity is expected to rise at 6.82% CAGR between 2026-2031, while Freight Transport still commanded a 63.27% Philippines freight and logistics market share in 2025. The Philippines freight and logistics market size for CEP will climb as integrated sortation-fulfillment models truncate delivery windows and bundle value-added services. Partnerships like Ninja Restock demonstrate that embedding logistics inside consumer-goods distribution compresses the delivery curve and raises parcel density. Non-temperature-controlled warehousing still hosts 91.59% of inventory, yet cold-chain nodes capture outsized capital because food spoilage and pharma compliance impose hard cost ceilings on service lapses. Digital freight platforms are steering customs brokerage and freight insurance toward single-click transactions, lowering administrative overheads and giving SMEs direct access to multicarrier networks.

Temperature-controlled warehousing capacity, while representing a modest 8.41% share, is expanding at 6.69% as the Department of Agriculture backs 99 new cold rooms and private investors add pallet positions in Navotas, Bulacan, and Cebu. The Philippines freight and logistics market size devoted to cold chain is therefore widening its share faster than ambient space, supported by pharmaceutical supply chains aligned under ASEAN regulations. Freight Forwarding volumes reflect the archipelago's reliance on sea channels, but the fastest lane growth now flows through air as electronics and biologics shippers buy speed to protect value.

Complete Report Scope:

• By End-User Industry
  • Agriculture, Fishing, and Forestry
  • Construction
  • Manufacturing
  • Oil and Gas, Mining, and Quarrying
  • Wholesale and Retail Trade
  • Others
• By Logistics Function
  • Courier, Express, and Parcel (CEP)
    • By Destination Type
      • Domestic
      • International
  • Freight Forwarding
    • By Mode of Transport
      • Air
      • Sea and Inland Waterways
      • Others
  • Freight Transport
    • By Mode of Transport
      • Air
      • Pipelines
      • Rail
      • Road
      • Sea and Inland Waterways
  • Warehousing and Storage
    • By Temperature Control
      • Non-Temperature-Controlled
      • Temperature-Controlled
  • Other Services

List of Companies Covered in this Report:

1. SM Investments Corp. (including 2GO Group)
2. A.P. Moller - Maersk
3. AAI Worldwide Logistics
4. Air21 Global Inc.
5. AP Cargo
6. CMA CGM Group (Including CEVA Logistics)
7. DHL Group
8. DSV A/S (Including DB Schenker)
9. Fast Logistics
10. FedEx
11. JRS Business Corporation
12. Kuehne+Nagel
13. LBC Express Holdings, Inc.
14. LF Global Logistics Solutions, Inc.
15. Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Ltd.
16. Ninja Van Group (Including Ninja Van Philippines)
17. NYK (Nippon Yusen Kaisha) Line
18. Orient Freight
19. Royal Cargo
20. United Parcel Service of America, Inc. (UPS)

Additional Benefits:

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
• 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 Introduction

• 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
• 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 Research Methodology

3 Executive Summary

4 Market Landscape

• 4.1 Market Overview
• 4.2 Demographics
• 4.3 GDP Distribution by Economic Activity
• 4.4 GDP Growth by Economic Activity
• 4.5 Inflation
• 4.6 Economic Performance and Profile
  • 4.6.1 Trends in E-Commerce Industry
  • 4.6.2 Trends in Manufacturing Industry
• 4.7 Transport and Storage Sector GDP
• 4.8 Export Trends
• 4.9 Import Trends
• 4.10 Fuel Price
• 4.11 Trucking Operational Costs
• 4.12 Trucking Fleet Size by Type
• 4.13 Logistics Performance
• 4.14 Modal Share
• 4.15 Maritime Fleet Load Carrying Capacity
• 4.16 Liner Shipping Connectivity
• 4.17 Port Calls and Performance
• 4.18 Freight Pricing Trends
• 4.19 Freight Tonnage Trends
• 4.20 Infrastructure
• 4.21 Regulatory Framework (Road and Rail)
• 4.22 Regulatory Framework (Sea and Air)
• 4.23 Value Chain and Distribution Channel Analysis
• 4.24 Market Drivers
  • 4.24.1 Surge in B2C E-Commerce Parcel Volumes
  • 4.24.2 Build Better More Infrastructure Pipeline
  • 4.24.3 Manufacturing Re-Shoring within ASEAN
  • 4.24.4 Growth in Temperature-Controlled Food and Pharma Flows
  • 4.24.5 Expansion of Digital Freight-Matching Platforms
  • 4.24.6 Nickel-Ore Exports For EV Battery Supply Chains
• 4.25 Market Restraints
  • 4.25.1 Chronic Road Congestion in Metro Manila
  • 4.25.2 High Domestic Shipping Costs Across Islands
  • 4.25.3 Typhoon-Induced Supply-Chain Disruptions
  • 4.25.4 Limited Uptake of Cargo Insurance Among SMEs
• 4.26 Technological Outlook
• 4.27 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
  • 4.27.1 Threat of New Entrants
  • 4.27.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers
  • 4.27.3 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
  • 4.27.4 Threat of Substitutes
  • 4.27.5 Competitive Rivalry

5 Market Size and Growth Forecasts (Value in USD)

• 5.1 By End-User Industry
  • 5.1.1 Agriculture, Fishing, and Forestry
  • 5.1.2 Construction
  • 5.1.3 Manufacturing
  • 5.1.4 Oil and Gas, Mining, and Quarrying
  • 5.1.5 Wholesale and Retail Trade
  • 5.1.6 Others
• 5.2 By Logistics Function
  • 5.2.1 Courier, Express, and Parcel (CEP)
    • 5.2.1.1 By Destination Type
      • 5.2.1.1.1 Domestic
      • 5.2.1.1.2 International
  • 5.2.2 Freight Forwarding
    • 5.2.2.1 By Mode of Transport
      • 5.2.2.1.1 Air
      • 5.2.2.1.2 Sea and Inland Waterways
      • 5.2.2.1.3 Others
  • 5.2.3 Freight Transport
    • 5.2.3.1 By Mode of Transport
      • 5.2.3.1.1 Air
      • 5.2.3.1.2 Pipelines
      • 5.2.3.1.3 Rail
      • 5.2.3.1.4 Road
      • 5.2.3.1.5 Sea and Inland Waterways
  • 5.2.4 Warehousing and Storage
    • 5.2.4.1 By Temperature Control
      • 5.2.4.1.1 Non-Temperature-Controlled
      • 5.2.4.1.2 Temperature-Controlled
  • 5.2.5 Other Services

6 Competitive Landscape

• 6.1 Market Concentration
• 6.2 Strategic Moves
• 6.3 Market Share Analysis
• 6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global Level Overview, Market Level Overview, Core Segments, Financials as Available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share for Key Companies, Products and Services, and Recent Developments)
  • 6.4.1 SM Investments Corp. (including 2GO Group)
  • 6.4.2 A.P. Moller - Maersk
  • 6.4.3 AAI Worldwide Logistics
  • 6.4.4 Air21 Global Inc.
  • 6.4.5 AP Cargo
  • 6.4.6 CMA CGM Group (Including CEVA Logistics)
  • 6.4.7 DHL Group
  • 6.4.8 DSV A/S (Including DB Schenker)
  • 6.4.9 Fast Logistics
  • 6.4.10 FedEx
  • 6.4.11 JRS Business Corporation
  • 6.4.12 Kuehne+Nagel
  • 6.4.13 LBC Express Holdings, Inc.
  • 6.4.14 LF Global Logistics Solutions, Inc.
  • 6.4.15 Mitsui O.S.K. Lines, Ltd.
  • 6.4.16 Ninja Van Group (Including Ninja Van Philippines)
  • 6.4.17 NYK (Nippon Yusen Kaisha) Line
  • 6.4.18 Orient Freight
  • 6.4.19 Royal Cargo
  • 6.4.20 United Parcel Service of America, Inc. (UPS)

7 Market Opportunities and Future Outlook

• 7.1 White-Space and Unmet-Need Assessment