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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
2120537
貨運與物流:市場佔有率分析、產業趨勢與統計、成長預測(2026-2031)Freight and Logistics - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2026 - 2031) |
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根據 Mordor Intelligence 預測,貨運和物流市場規模將從 2025 年的 6.38 兆美元成長到 2026 年的 6.72 兆美元,到 2031 年達到 8.5 兆美元,2026 年至 2031 年的複合年成長率為 4.83%。

本報告按最終用戶行業(農業、漁業、林業、建築業、批發零售業及其他)、物流功能(宅配、快遞、小包裹、貨運代理、貨運、倉儲及其他服務)和地區(北美、亞太、南美及其他)進行細分。市場預測以美元計價。
智慧型手機的普及和亞太及拉丁美洲數位支付的興起,推動了對更快訂單履行速度的需求,迫使物流供應商在人口密集的大都市區附近建造微型倉配中心。這種結構性轉變正在擴大國際小包裹遞送(CEP)的業務量。雖然小包裹遞送利潤豐厚,但也對清關能力、標準化的產品分類和數據驅動的物流可視性提出了更高的要求。為了滿足消費者日益成長的配送期望,企業正在投資自動化分類、人工智慧驅動的路線規劃和全通路庫存管理。法規結構的碎片化使情況更加複雜,需要海關當局之間的合作來簡化跨境電子商務的合規流程。隨著這些努力的成熟,跨境小包裹的流動正進一步將經銷商融入全球貿易網路,從而擴大整個貨運和物流市場。
在成熟的消費市場中,超過三分之一的消費者現在更傾向於當日送達的大件商品,這迫使零售商重新思考其物流配送方案。實體店也正在轉型為超履約的配送中心,縮短了最後一公里配送距離,降低了單小包裹的成本。自動化倉庫系統、協作機器人和預測性人員配置正在提升都市區微型倉庫的處理能力。最後一公里配送專家正在利用群眾外包配送人員、動態路線規劃軟體以及將即時訂單資料導入車輛管理工具的應用程式介面 (API) 整合,以確保兩小時內時限。消費者對服務的高期望給傳統宅配的利潤率帶來了越來越大的壓力,同時也為瞄準北美、歐洲和亞太已開發地區人口稠密城市的科技驅動型新興參與企業創造了擴張機會。
美國和西歐的職業駕駛人平均年齡超過50歲,對生活方式的擔憂以及培訓延誤阻礙了新人的招募。不斷上漲的人事費用推高了合約價格,增加了最後一公里配送成本,並限制了公司在旺季滿足激增需求的能力。為了緩解這個問題,運輸公司正在實施遠端資訊處理技術以最佳化調度,採用駕駛輔助技術以減輕駕駛人疲勞,並在管理路線上試行自動駕駛車輛編隊行駛。倉儲產業也面臨類似的勞動力短缺問題,這促使企業投資機器人系統和自動化碼垛技術,並將焦點從貨物轉向人員。持續的勞動力短缺仍然是貨運和物流市場潛在生產力提升的最大限制。
到2025年,批發和零售將佔履約和物流市場規模的33.10%,主要受持續補貨週期、全通路履約以及促銷活動帶來的季節性因素所驅動。庫存分散化策略需要區域配送中心和門市補貨樞紐之間的靈活中程運輸。電子商務的快速發展提高了小包裹密度,對傳統的軸輻式網路結構提出了挑戰,同時也推動了對分類自動化和承運商多元化的投資。
由於在地化促進了原物料和零件在非洲大陸內部的流通,製造業正以5.17%的複合年成長率(2026-2031年)高速成長。原始設備製造商(OEM)需要準時制(JIT)排序、精準的生產線交付以及即時可視性,以協調多個工廠的生產。重型貨物、專案貨物和溫控貨物運輸領域受益於對高附加價值機械、電子產品和藥品的需求,從而擴大了貨運和物流市場的潛在總收入(TAR)。供應商管理庫存(VMI)和供應商園區等專業物流模式正日益普及,促進了製造商與第三方物流供應商(3PL)之間更深入的合作。
到2025年,貨運將佔貨運和物流市場規模的61.45%,這得益於龐大的公路、鐵路、海運和空運網路,該網路為全球貿易提供了堅實的實體基礎。由於其市場結構成熟,宏觀經濟貿易成長將抵銷效率提升帶來的收益,導致2026年至2031年間的複合年成長率(CAGR)僅為4.19%。貨運代理商預計將以5.18%的複合年成長率成長(2026-2031年),利用數位化訂艙平台、貨物運輸視覺化儀錶板和海關專業知識來協調多模態路線。中小型出口商擴大將合規和承運商選擇外包給貨運代理,從而推動了其在貨運和物流市場佔有率的成長。
各業者都在整合關稅分類引擎、同步文件工作流程和到貨預測演算法,以縮短邊境清關時間。隨著全球供應鏈分散在多個始發地,端到端協調和異常管理正成為關鍵的差異化因素,使貨運代理商能夠贏得那些優先考慮靈活性而非純粹成本的托運人的合約。因此,儘管資產密集型運輸企業在絕對收入規模上仍然佔據主導地位,但貨運代理商在貨運和物流市場的佔有率正在穩步成長。
到2025年,亞太地區將佔全球貨運和物流市場規模的41.20%,預計2026年至2031年間,該地區將以6.15%的複合年成長率(CAGR)實現行業最高成長,這主要得益於貿易路線從中國向東南亞、印度和大洋洲的多元化發展。上海、新加坡和科倫坡等港口的大規模擴建,中老之間的高速鐵路貨運線路以及數位化單一窗口海關項目,都在縮短運輸時間並降低合規成本。隨著製造業向越南、印尼和菲律賓轉移,亞洲內部的卡車運輸、支線船舶運輸和跨境鐵路運輸的需求也不斷增加。
歐洲憑藉其高運力的鐵路貨運走廊、沿海運輸網路以及申根區內協調一致的海關體系,在貨運和物流行業中保持著強大的多模態提案。其在永續性的獎勵,推動了氫燃料卡車、電動末端運輸車輛的早期應用,以及重塑運輸路線經濟格局的運輸方式模式轉換。儘管與俄羅斯的地緣政治緊張局勢使東部陸路運輸路線變得複雜,但對波羅的海和地中海門戶港口的投資正在促進替代供應路線的開發,並維持貨運和物流市場的競爭。
北美正受益於墨西哥和加拿大的近岸外包模式,促進了跨境拖車運輸和雙邊海關程序的協調統一。美國的《基礎設施投資與就業法案》正在加速公路維修、內陸港口開發和港口疏浚工程。一級鐵路公司正在擴大多式聯運碼頭,以應對電子商務的激增;與此同時,墨西哥灣沿岸港口設施的現代化改造正吸引著來自亞洲的遠洋航線經由擴建後的巴拿馬運河抵達該地區。這些舉措共同推動了該地區貨運和物流市場實現中等水準的成長。
According to Mordor Intelligence, the freight and logistics market size is expected to increase from USD 6.38 trillion in 2025 to USD 6.72 trillion in 2026 and reach USD 8.5 trillion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 4.83% over 2026-2031.

This report is Segmented by End User Industry (Agriculture, Fishing, and Forestry, Construction, Wholesale and Retail Trade, and More), by Logistics Function (Courier, Express, and Parcel, Freight Forwarding, Freight Transport, Warehousing and Storage, and Other Services), and Geography (North America, Asia-Pacific, South America, and More). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).
Rising smartphone use and digital payment adoption in Asia-Pacific and Latin America amplify demand for rapid order fulfillment, forcing logistics providers to build micro-fulfillment facilities near high-density urban clusters. This structural shift boosts international CEP volumes, which command premium margins and require robust customs-clearing capabilities, harmonized product classification, and data-driven shipment visibility. Providers invest in automated sortation, artificial-intelligence-guided route planning, and omnichannel inventory orchestration to meet elevated consumer delivery promises. Regionally fragmented regulatory frameworks add complexity, prompting collaborative initiatives among customs authorities to streamline cross-border e-commerce compliance. As these efforts mature, cross-border parcel flows further integrate small and medium-sized sellers into global trade networks, expanding the overall freight and logistics market.
In mature consumer markets, more than one-third of shoppers now prefer same-day delivery on key purchases, prompting retailers to reset fulfillment blueprints. Brick-and-mortar stores increasingly double as hyperlocal distribution nodes, shrinking last-mile distances and reducing per-parcel costs. Automated storage and retrieval systems, collaborative robots, and predictive labor scheduling enhance throughput in urban micro-warehouses. Last-mile specialists leverage crowdsourced couriers, dynamic routing software, and application programming interface (API) integrations that feed real-time order data into fleet management tools, ensuring delivery windows under two hours. High service expectations intensify margin pressure for traditional parcel operators yet create expansion avenues for tech-enabled entrants targeting dense cities across North America, Europe, and advanced Asia-Pacific markets.
The median professional truck driver age in the United States and Western Europe exceeds 50 years, while pipeline talent lags due to lifestyle concerns and training backlogs. Rising wage bills elevate contract rates, inflate last-mile delivery costs, and limit surge capacity during peak seasons. To mitigate, carriers adopt telematics for optimized dispatching, deploy driver-assist technologies that cut fatigue, and pilot autonomous vehicle platoons on controlled corridors. Warehousing faces similar labor headwinds, encouraging investments in goods-to-person robotics and automated palletizing. Persistent personnel scarcity remains the single most pronounced brake on potential output gains within the freight and logistics market.
Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:
For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.
Wholesale and retail trade accounted for 33.10% of the freight and logistics market size in 2025, driven by constant replenishment cycles, omnichannel fulfillment, and promotional seasonality. Inventory decentralization strategies require agile middle-mile transfers among regional distribution centers and store replenishment hubs. E-commerce surges magnify parcel density, challenging legacy hub-and-spoke topologies and stimulating investments in sortation automation and carrier diversification.
Manufacturing expands at the fastest 5.17% CAGR (2026-2031) as regionalization bolsters intra-continental raw material and component flows. Original equipment manufacturers mandate just-in-time sequencing, precise line-side deliveries, and real-time visibility to synchronize production across multi-plant footprints. Heavy-lift, project cargo, and temperature-controlled segments benefit from high-value machinery, electronics, and pharmaceutical demand, widening total addressable revenue within the freight and logistics market. Specialized logistics models, including vendor-managed inventory and supplier parks, gain traction, driving deeper integration between manufacturers and third-party logistics providers.
Freight transport generated 61.45% of the freight and logistics market size in 2025, underpinned by vast road, rail, sea, and air networks that physically move global commerce. Its mature footprint yields moderate expansion, projected at 4.19% CAGR between 2026-2031, as macro trade growth offsets efficiency gains. Forwarding, representing a 5.18% CAGR (2026-2031), leverages digital booking platforms, shipment visibility dashboards, and customs-brokerage expertise to orchestrate multimodal routing. Small and medium-sized exporters increasingly outsource compliance and carrier selection to forwarders, driving wallet-share capture within the freight and logistics market.
Providers integrate tariff classification engines, synchronized document workflows, and predictive arrival algorithms to shrink clearance times at borders. As global supply chains fragment across multiple origins, end-to-end orchestration and exception management become core differentiators, enabling forwarders to win contracts from shippers prioritizing agility over pure cost. Consequently, forwarding's share of the freight and logistics market steadily climbs, even as asset-heavy transport operations continue to dominate absolute revenue pools.
Asia-Pacific produced 41.20% of the freight and logistics market size in 2025 and posts the leading 6.15% CAGR between 2026-2031 as trade corridors diversify beyond China to Southeast Asia, India, and Oceania. Massive port expansions at Shanghai, Singapore, and Colombo, high-speed rail cargo lines on the China-Laos route, and digital single-window customs programs shrink transit times and lower compliance costs. Manufacturing shifts toward Vietnam, Indonesia, and the Philippines increase intra-Asian trucking, feeder vessel demand, and cross-border rail traffic.
Europe maintains a strong multimodal proposition in the freight and logistics industry, leveraging high-capacity rail freight corridors, short-sea shipping networks, and synchronized customs regimes inside the Schengen area. Sustainability leadership translates into early deployment of hydrogen trucks, electrified last-mile fleets, and modal shift incentives that reshape lane economics. Although geopolitical frictions with Russia complicate eastern overland routes, investments in Baltic and Mediterranean gateway ports foster alternative supply paths, preserving competitiveness within the freight and logistics market.
North America benefits from near-shoring to Mexico and Canada, driving cross-border tractor-trailer volumes and bilateral customs harmonization. The United States' Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act accelerates highway rehabilitation, inland port development, and port dredging. Class I railroads expand intermodal terminals to capture e-commerce surge, while Gulf Coast port upgrades attract Asian blue-water services via the expanded Panama Canal. Collectively, these initiatives sustain mid-single-digit growth for the region's freight and logistics market.