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1934821

法國最後一公里配送：市場佔有率分析、產業趨勢與統計、成長預測（2026-2031）

France Last Mile Delivery - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2026 - 2031)
出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 200 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

法國最後一公里配送市場預計將從 2025 年的 33.5 億美元成長到 2026 年的 34.7 億美元，到 2031 年達到 41.7 億美元，2026 年至 2031 年的複合年成長率為 3.72%。

法國最後一公里配送市場-IMG1

電子商務交易量的成長、宅配櫃網路的密集化以及政府為加速車輛電氣化而採取的獎勵，推動了市場需求的成長。隨著全球聚合商、區域宅配服務商和數位平台競相爭奪路線密度和包裹櫃使用權，競爭日益激烈，迫使營運商調整收費系統以適應低價值跨境小包裹的需求。都市區擁擠、配送人員短缺以及微型配送中心用地不足制約了市場成長，而暗店合作和對溫控物流的投資則持續開拓加值服務市場。如今，盈利依賴於自動化分類、多樣化的取件和投遞（PUDO）選擇以及零排放車輛的引入，所有這些都能在監管嚴格的城市中心降低成本並帶來競爭優勢。

法國最後一公里配送市場趨勢與分析

電子商務訂單量快速成長

法國郵政的Colissimo服務在2024年處理了數百萬個小包裹。訂單密度的增加正在推動網路擴張，Geopost在2024年對分類機和配送中心的資本投資就證明了這一點。然而，盈利呈現兩極化：來自Shein和Temu等平台的輕型包裹雖然增加了總運量，但利潤卻很低。業者透過提升銷售追蹤、指定地點遞送和碳中和等高價增值服務來彌補利潤率的下降。

擴大自宅配櫃和PUDO基礎設施

法國郵政營運12.8萬個取貨點和自助取件櫃，建構了歐洲最密集的網路，有效降低了投遞失敗成本，並提升了客戶滿意度。其子公司Mondial 繼電器計劃到2025年將其自助取件櫃網路擴展至7,000個，同時精簡利用率不足的零售代理點。 Mondial Relay在2024年第三季處理的6,230萬小包裹中，約有30%是透過自助取件櫃寄送的，這顯示消費者更傾向於靈活便捷的非接觸式取件方式。對於快遞公司而言，提高自助取件櫃密度能夠將多個包裹集中到一個地點，從而顯著降低最後一公里配送成本，同時提高司機效率並減少碳排放。

都市區的交通和停車限制

巴黎是歐洲交通最擁擠的三大城市之一，都市區車速低於13公里/小時，外送司機停車時間過長。市政停車費和送貨時間的縮短加劇了配送能力的緊張，而強制司機輪班工作則增加了人事費用。為了回應這個問題，開發商提案城市集散中心的方案，例如SEGRO的Les Gobelins項目，這是一個位於巴黎市中心15分鐘車程、佔地1600平方公尺的樞紐。這些微型樞紐平均可將最終配送距離縮短1.3公里，但由於缺乏指定的工業用地，其推廣應用受到阻礙。

細分市場分析

2025年，利用現有郵局、長程幹線和經濟高效的批量分揀，標準配送將佔據法國最後一公里配送市場42.55%的佔有率。該細分市場透過提供可預測的工作量並最佳化其樞紐輻射式基礎設施，在郊區和區域路線上保持了有利的密度經濟效益。隨著消費者對必需品配送速度的需求不斷成長，其規模優勢依然存在。當日配送服務正以3.78%的複合年成長率成長，這主要得益於都市區消費者即時的需求以及零售商「下午1點前下單，當日送達」的承諾。營運商正將高價策略與碳中和認證相結合，以維持利潤率。快遞仍然是企業客戶對時效性要求高的B2B貨物運輸的主要選擇，填補了經濟型配送和當日配送之間的空白。

成長率的差異預示著未來物流格局將呈現兩極化：便利型商品將透過快速通路運輸，而體積較大、價值較低的商品則繼續走經濟型路線。零售商正在推廣混合購物車結帳模式，讓消費者將新鮮商品與標準商品分開購買，分別享有當日送達和免費送貨服務。這種柔軟性有助於提高收入，同時避免網路過載。對於承運商而言，如何在同一路線上協調不同速度的配送是一項重大的最佳化挑戰，需要動態調度和即時運力資訊。

其他福利：

  • Excel格式的市場預測（ME）表
  • 分析師支持（3個月）

目錄

第1章 引言

  • 研究假設和市場定義
  • 調查範圍

第2章調查方法

第3章執行摘要

第4章 市場情勢

  • 市場概覽
  • 市場促進因素
    • 電子商務訂單量快速成長
    • 擴大宅配櫃和PUDO基礎設施
    • 政府對零排放送貨車輛的激勵措施
    • 都市區暗店與奈米履約的發展
    • 社群電商推動了微型配送頻率的提升
    • 城市集聚中心的市政指令
  • 市場限制
    • 城市交通和停車位限制
    • 宅配員短缺和工資上漲
    • 都市區微型樞紐房地產短缺
    • 民眾對無人機監管的抵抗與障礙
  • 價值/供應鏈分析
  • 監管環境
  • 技術展望
  • 波特五力模型
    • 新進入者的威脅
    • 供應商的議價能力
    • 買方和消費者的議價能力
    • 替代品的威脅
    • 競爭對手之間的競爭

第5章 市場規模與成長預測

  • 透過服務
    • 標準配送
    • 當日送達
    • 快遞
  • 按經營模式
    • 企業對企業 (B2B)
    • 企業對消費者 (B2C)
    • 客戶對客戶 (C2C)
  • 按最終用戶行業分類
    • 電子商務零售
    • 時尚與生活風格
    • 美容、健康和個人護理
    • 居家及家具
    • 家用電器/家用電器
    • 醫療用品
    • 其他
  • 按法國地區分類
    • 法國法蘭西島
    • 奧弗涅-羅納-阿爾卑斯大區
    • 普羅旺斯-阿爾卑斯-藍色海岸
    • 上法蘭西區
    • 新阿基坦
    • 奧克西塔尼
    • 格蘭德埃斯特
    • 布列塔尼
    • 其他

第6章 競爭情勢

  • 市場集中度
  • 策略趨勢
  • 市佔率分析
  • 公司簡介
    • Colissimo（La Poste Group）
    • Chronopost
    • DPD
    • Mondial Relay（InPost）
    • DHL Express
    • FedEx
    • UPS
    • GLS
    • Colis Prive
    • Cubyn
    • Geodis
    • DSV
    • Yusen Logistics
    • GOFO
    • Relais Colis
    • Rhenus Logistics
    • My Delivery France
    • AIT Worldwide Logistics
    • CEVA Logistics

第7章 市場機會與未來展望

簡介目錄
Product Code: 92106

The France Last Mile Delivery market is expected to grow from USD 3.35 billion in 2025 to USD 3.47 billion in 2026 and is forecast to reach USD 4.17 billion by 2031 at 3.72% CAGR over 2026-2031.

France Last Mile Delivery - Market - IMG1

Demand scales with e-commerce volume growth, the densification of parcel-locker networks, and government incentives that accelerate fleet electrification. Competitive intensity has risen as global integrators, regional parcel specialists, and digital platforms jostle for route density and locker access, forcing operators to adjust tariffs in response to low-value cross-border parcels. Urban congestion, courier shortages, and scarce micro-hub real estate temper growth, yet investment in dark-store partnerships and temperature-controlled logistics continues to open premium service niches. Profitability now hinges on automated sortation, pickup-drop-off (PUDO) diversification, and zero-emission vehicle deployment, each delivering incremental cost and access advantages in heavily regulated urban cores.

France Last Mile Delivery Market Trends and Insights

Explosion in e-commerce order volume

La Poste's Colissimo processed millions of parcels in 2024. Higher order density fuels network expansion, evidenced by Geopost's capital spend on automated sorters and depots in 2024. Yet profitability diverges: lightweight shipments from platforms such as Shein and Temu carry wafer-thin yields even as they lift headline volumes. Operators counter margin pressure by upselling tracked, scheduled, or carbon-neutral options that command premium fees.

Expansion of parcel locker & PUDO infrastructure

La Poste hosts 128,000 pickup points and lockers-the densest network in Europe, cutting failed-delivery costs and lifting customer satisfaction scores. InPost-owned Mondial Relay raised its automated locker count to 7,000 by 2025 while pruning low-traffic retail agents. Nearly 30% of Mondial Relay's 62.3 million Q3-2024 parcels flowed through lockers, signaling shopper preference for flexible, contactless retrieval. For carriers, locker density collapses last-mile unit cost by consolidating multiple drop-offs into a single location, improving driver productivity and shrinking carbon intensity.

Urban traffic & parking constraints

Paris ranks among Europe's top three congestion hot spots, pushing average urban route speed below 13 km/h and inflating driver hours per stop. Municipal curb fees and reduced delivery windows squeeze capacity, forcing split-shift scheduling that raises labor requirements. Developers respond with urban consolidation centers like SEGRO's Les Gobelins, a 1,600-m2 hub fifteen minutes from central Paris. Such micro-hubs shave 1.3 km off average last-leg distance, yet the limited availability of industrial-zoned plots curtails widespread replication.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

  1. Government incentives for zero-emission delivery fleets
  2. Growth of urban dark stores & nano-fulfillment
  3. Courier labor shortages & wage inflation

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

Standard Delivery captured 42.55% of the France last mile delivery market share in 2025 by leveraging established postal depots, long-haul line-hauls, and cost-efficient batch sorting. The segment supplies predictable workloads that optimize hub-and-spoke infrastructure, sustaining favorable drop-density economics across suburban and rural routes. Volume leadership persists even as consumers upgrade to faster tiers for mission-critical items. Same-day services, advancing at a 3.78% CAGR, ride urban shopper expectations for immediacy and retailer promises of "order-by-1 pm-receive-today." Operators bundle premium fees with carbon-neutral badges to preserve margin. Express Delivery holds steady as a business account staple for time-definite B2B shipments, filling the gap between economy and same-day.

Growth differentials hint at a bifurcated future where convenience-led SKUs flow through rapid-cycle channels, while bulkier, lower-value items continue in economy lanes. Retailers increasingly offer hybrid cart checkout, letting shoppers split baskets between same-day perishables and slower, free-shipping lines. That elasticity underpins incremental revenue while preventing network overload. For carriers, orchestrating multi-speed promises within a single route remains the primary optimization frontier, demanding dynamic dispatching and real-time capacity visibility.

The France Last Mile Delivery Market Report is Segmented by Service (Standard Delivery, Same-Day, and Express Delivery), Business Model (Business-To-Business (B2B), Business-To-Consumer (B2C), and Customer-To-Consumer (C2C)), End-User Industry (E-Commerce Retail, Fashion & Lifestyle, Beauty, and More), Region (Hauts-De-France, Nouvelle-Aquitaine, Occitanie, and More). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).

List of Companies Covered in this Report:

  1. Colissimo (La Poste Group)
  2. Chronopost
  3. DPD
  4. Mondial Relay (InPost)
  5. DHL Express
  6. FedEx
  7. UPS
  8. GLS
  9. Colis Prive
  10. Cubyn
  11. Geodis
  12. DSV
  13. Yusen Logistics
  14. GOFO
  15. Relais Colis
  16. Rhenus Logistics
  17. My Delivery France
  18. AIT Worldwide Logistics
  19. CEVA Logistics

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 Introduction

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions & Market Definition
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 Research Methodology

3 Executive Summary

4 Market Landscape

  • 4.1 Market Overview
  • 4.2 Market Drivers
    • 4.2.1 Explosion in e-commerce order volume
    • 4.2.2 Expansion of parcel locker & PUDO infrastructure
    • 4.2.3 Government incentives for zero-emission delivery fleets
    • 4.2.4 Growth of urban dark stores & nano-fulfilment
    • 4.2.5 Social commerce boosts micro-shipment frequency
    • 4.2.6 Municipal mandates for urban consolidation centres
  • 4.3 Market Restraints
    • 4.3.1 Urban traffic & parking constraints
    • 4.3.2 Courier labour shortages & wage inflation
    • 4.3.3 Scarcity of urban micro-hub real estate
    • 4.3.4 Public resistance & drone-regulation hurdles
  • 4.4 Value / Supply-Chain Analysis
  • 4.5 Regulatory Landscape
  • 4.6 Technological Outlook
  • 4.7 Porter's Five Forces
    • 4.7.1 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.7.3 Bargaining Power of Buyers/Consumers
    • 4.7.4 Threat of Substitute Products
    • 4.7.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

5 Market Size & Growth Forecasts

  • 5.1 By Service
    • 5.1.1 Standard Delivery
    • 5.1.2 Same-day
    • 5.1.3 Express Delivery
  • 5.2 By Business Model
    • 5.2.1 Business-to-Business (B2B)
    • 5.2.2 Business-to-Consumer (B2C)
    • 5.2.3 Customer-to-Consumer (C2C)
  • 5.3 By End-user Industry
    • 5.3.1 E-commerce Retail
    • 5.3.2 Fashion & Lifestyle
    • 5.3.3 Beauty, Wellness & Personal Care
    • 5.3.4 Home & Furniture
    • 5.3.5 Consumer Electronics & Appliances
    • 5.3.6 Healthcare & Medical Supplies
    • 5.3.7 Others
  • 5.4 By French Region
    • 5.4.1 Ile-de-France
    • 5.4.2 Auvergne-Rhone-Alpes
    • 5.4.3 Provence-Alpes-Cote d'Azur
    • 5.4.4 Hauts-de-France
    • 5.4.5 Nouvelle-Aquitaine
    • 5.4.6 Occitanie
    • 5.4.7 Grand Est
    • 5.4.8 Brittany
    • 5.4.9 Others

6 Competitive Landscape

  • 6.1 Market Concentration
  • 6.2 Strategic Moves
  • 6.3 Market Share Analysis
  • 6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global level Overview, Market level overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share for key companies, Products & Services, and Recent Developments)
    • 6.4.1 Colissimo (La Poste Group)
    • 6.4.2 Chronopost
    • 6.4.3 DPD
    • 6.4.4 Mondial Relay (InPost)
    • 6.4.5 DHL Express
    • 6.4.6 FedEx
    • 6.4.7 UPS
    • 6.4.8 GLS
    • 6.4.9 Colis Prive
    • 6.4.10 Cubyn
    • 6.4.11 Geodis
    • 6.4.12 DSV
    • 6.4.13 Yusen Logistics
    • 6.4.14 GOFO
    • 6.4.15 Relais Colis
    • 6.4.16 Rhenus Logistics
    • 6.4.17 My Delivery France
    • 6.4.18 AIT Worldwide Logistics
    • 6.4.19 CEVA Logistics

7 Market Opportunities & Future Outlook

  • 7.1 White-space & Unmet-need Assessment