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市場調查報告書
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2046065

可再生/生物噴射機燃料市場－全球產業規模、佔有率、趨勢、機會、預測：按轉換路徑、來源、地區和競爭格局分類，2021-2031年

Renewable/Bio Jet Fuel Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented, By Conversion Pathways, By Feedstock, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F
出版日期: | 出版商: TechSci Research | 英文 185 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

全球可再生/生物噴射機燃料市場，也稱為“永續航空燃料 (SAF)”，預計將從 2025 年的 210.2 億美元大幅成長到 2031 年的 417.8 億美元，複合年成長率為 12.13%。

這種液體燃料由可再生生物來源或合成原料（例如廢油和農業殘渣）製成，與傳統煤油相比，在其整個生命週期內可顯著降低二氧化碳排放。市場擴張的根本驅動力來自各國政府嚴格的脫碳政策以及航空業到2050年實現淨零排放的法律約束力承諾，從而建立了對低碳推進劑的持續需求。然而，由於可規模化生產的原料供應有限，導致生產成本高昂，造成價格溢價，並對廣泛應用和基礎設施投資構成重大挑戰。到2025年，全球永續航空燃料（SAF）產量將不足噴射機燃料總需求的1%，這一事實凸顯了供應限制的嚴峻性。

市場概覽
預測期： 2027-2031
市場規模：2025年 210.2億美元
市場規模：2031年 417.8億美元
複合年成長率：2026-2031年 12.13%
成長最快的細分市場 氫化酯和脂肪酸（HEFA）
最大的市場 北美洲

市場促進因素

在嚴格的環境法規和強制性脫碳措施的推動下，航空業正轉向以合規為導向的採購模式。世界各國政府都在強制執行具有法律約束力的使用目標，以確保需求穩定，進而降低生產者在資本密集基礎建設項目上的風險。這一點在歐洲尤為明顯，監管的確定性正在加速航空業的規模化發展。這些強制性規定實際上為燃料的採用創造了一種有保障的市場機制。除了這些法規之外，擴大政府補貼和稅收優惠，例如生產稅額扣抵和基礎設施津貼，對於縮小可再生航空燃料和化石燃料噴射機燃料噴射機燃料之間巨大的成本差距至關重要。這些金融工具正在刺激新煉油廠的建設，並促使私部門資本流入原物料供應鏈。其中，美國聯邦政府的獎勵措施已推動投資金額在2025年1月前超過440億美元。儘管投資強勁，但經濟障礙依然存在。到 2025 年，航空業在永續燃料方面將面臨約 36 億美元的累積成本溢價，凸顯了持續提供財政支持以實現價格均衡的必要性。

市場挑戰

與傳統煤油相比，可再生/生物噴射機燃料生產成本較高，這是其市場擴張的主要障礙。這種經濟劣勢主要源自於可規模化生產的原料短缺，例如廢油和農業殘渣，這推高了投入成本。由於生產商難以確保穩定的原料供應，由此產生的營運成本導致最終產品價格大幅上漲，使得利​​潤率較低的航空公司難以在不承擔沉重經濟負擔的情況下採用永續燃料。這種經濟負擔直接限制了採購量，阻礙了基礎設施建設，並阻止了航空公司在強制性最低使用量之外自願採用永續燃料。國際航空運輸協會（IATA）預測，到2025年，某些市場永續航空燃料的價格將是化石燃料噴射機燃料的2到5倍，這將限制航空業擴大消費規模的能力，並使可再生燃料繼續保持小眾選擇而非主流標準。

市場趨勢

兩大關鍵趨勢正在重塑可再生/生物噴射機燃料市場：一是透過「醇製航空燃料 (ATJ)」技術實現合成石蠟煤油的商業性化規模生產；二是長期承購合約的激增。 ATJ 技術正成為克服脂質基原料規模化生產限制的關鍵轉捩點。與傳統的氫化酯和脂肪酸生產流程不同，ATJ 利用豐富的農業殘餘物和乙醇，拓展了原料來源，並解決了長期存在的供不應求。這項技術正從試點階段邁向商業化階段，LanzaJet 的 Freedom Pines Fuels 工廠就是一個典型的例子，該工廠預計年產量將達到 3,780 萬公升。同時，越來越多的商業航空公司與生產商簽訂多年承購契約，以確保未來的供應。這項策略建立了可靠的需求管道，並為開發商提供了必要的收益保障，從而為資本密集型煉油項目資金籌措。此外，對於航空公司而言，永續航空燃料採購協議可以有效對沖未來價格上漲的風險，即使在競爭日益激烈的環境下也能確保穩定的燃料供應。到2025年1月，全球整體已簽署的永續航空燃料採購協議累計總量將超過400億公升，顯示此類商業性承諾的規模正在不斷擴大。

目錄

第1章概述

第2章：調查方法

第3章執行摘要

第4章：客戶心聲

第5章：全球可再生/噴射機燃料市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
    • 按金額
  • 市佔率及預測
    • 依轉化途徑（FISCHER-TROPSCH法－石蠟煤油（FT-SPK）、氫化酯和脂肪酸（HEFA）、發酵和氫化處理糖衍生的合成異烷烴（SIP）、醇制噴射燃料石蠟（ATJ-SPK））
    • 依原料分類（農產品、水產品、能源產品、各種固態廢棄物等）
    • 按地區
    • 按公司（2025 年）
  • 市場地圖

第6章：北美可再生/生物噴射機燃料市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 北美洲：國別分析
    • 美國
    • 加拿大
    • 墨西哥

第7章：歐洲可再生/噴射機燃料市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 歐洲：國別分析
    • 德國
    • 法國
    • 英國
    • 義大利
    • 西班牙

第8章：亞太地區可再生/噴射機燃料市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 亞太地區：國別分析
    • 中國
    • 印度
    • 日本
    • 韓國
    • 澳洲

第9章：中東和非洲可再生/生物噴射機燃料市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 中東與非洲：國別分析
    • 沙烏地阿拉伯
    • 阿拉伯聯合大公國
    • 南非

第10章：南美洲可再生/生物噴射機燃料市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 南美洲：國別分析
    • 巴西
    • 哥倫比亞
    • 阿根廷

第11章 市場動態

  • 促進因素
  • 任務

第12章 市場趨勢與發展

  • 併購
  • 產品發布

第13章 全球可再生/生質噴射機燃料市場：SWOT分析

第14章：波特五力分析

  • 產業內部競爭
  • 新進入者的潛力
  • 供應商的議價能力
  • 顧客權力
  • 替代品的威脅

第15章 競爭格局

  • Gevo, Inc.
  • Red Rock Biofuels LLC
  • Honeywell International Inc.
  • Virent Inc.
  • Fulcrum BioEnergy, Inc.
  • Neste Oil Corporation
  • AltAir Paramount LLC
  • SG Preston Company
  • Eni SpA Total SA
  • BP PLC

第16章 策略建議

第17章：關於研究公司及免責聲明

簡介目錄
Product Code: 27823

The Global Renewable Bio Jet Fuel Market, also known as Sustainable Aviation Fuel (SAF), is projected for significant growth, rising from USD 21.02 Billion in 2025 to USD 41.78 Billion by 2031 with a 12.13% CAGR. This liquid fuel, derived from renewable biological or synthetic feedstocks like waste oils and agricultural residues, substantially reduces lifecycle carbon emissions compared to conventional kerosene. The market's expansion is fundamentally propelled by stringent government decarbonization mandates and the aviation sector's binding commitments to achieve net-zero emissions by 2050, establishing sustained demand for low-carbon propulsion. However, high production costs, primarily due to limited scalable feedstock availability, present a major challenge by creating a price premium that hinders widespread adoption and infrastructure investment. In 2025, global SAF production represented less than 1% of total jet fuel requirements, highlighting this supply constraint.

Market Overview
Forecast Period2027-2031
Market Size 2025USD 21.02 Billion
Market Size 2031USD 41.78 Billion
CAGR 2026-203112.13%
Fastest Growing SegmentHydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids (HEFA)
Largest MarketNorth America

Market Driver

Stringent environmental regulations and decarbonization mandates serve as the primary catalyst, shifting the aviation sector towards compliance-driven procurement. Governments worldwide are enforcing binding usage targets to guarantee consistent demand, thereby de-risking capital-intensive infrastructure projects for producers, particularly evident in Europe where regulatory certainty accelerates industrial scalability. These mandates effectively create a guaranteed market mechanism for fuel deployment. Complementing these regulations, expanding government subsidies and tax incentives, such as production tax credits and infrastructure grants, are crucial in mitigating the significant cost disparity between renewable and fossil-based jet fuels. These financial instruments stimulate private sector capital allocation toward new refinery construction and feedstock supply chains, with U.S. federal incentives catalyzing over $44 billion in announced investments by January 2025. Despite this robust investment, economic hurdles persist, as the aviation industry faced a cumulative cost premium of approximately $3.6 billion for sustainable fuel in 2025, underscoring the ongoing need for fiscal support to achieve price parity.

Market Challenge

High production costs, relative to conventional kerosene, constitute a primary barrier to the renewable bio jet fuel market's expansion. This economic disadvantage largely stems from the scarcity of scalable feedstocks, such as waste oils and agricultural residues, which drives up input prices. As producers struggle to secure consistent raw materials, the resulting operational expenses create a substantial price premium for the final product, making it difficult for airlines, operating on thin profit margins, to integrate sustainable fuels without significant financial strain. This financial burden directly restricts purchase volumes and stalls infrastructure development, discouraging voluntary adoption beyond mandated minimums. In 2025, sustainable aviation fuel prices reportedly exceeded fossil-based jet fuel by two to five times in certain markets, as per the International Air Transport Association, limiting the aviation industry's ability to scale consumption and keeping renewable options as a niche rather than a mainstream standard.

Market Trends

Two key trends are reshaping the renewable bio jet fuel market: the commercial scaling of Alcohol-to-Jet (AtJ) Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene and the proliferation of long-term offtake agreements. AtJ technology is emerging as a critical shift to overcome the scalability limits of lipid-based feedstocks. Unlike prevalent Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids pathways, AtJ utilizes abundant agricultural residues and ethanol, unlocking a larger raw material base and addressing chronic supply shortages; this technology is transitioning from pilot to operational reality, exemplified by LanzaJet's Freedom Pines Fuels facility expected to produce 37.8 million liters annually. Concurrently, commercial airlines are increasingly entering into multi-year offtake agreements with producers to secure future supply volumes. This strategy establishes guaranteed demand channels, provides revenue certainty for developers to finance capital-intensive refinery projects, and allows airlines to hedge against future price spikes and ensure volume availability amidst tightening competition. By January 2025, cumulative signed sustainable aviation fuel offtake agreements globally reached over 40 billion liters, reflecting the intensifying scale of these commercial commitments.

Key Market Players

  • Gevo, Inc.
  • Red Rock Biofuels LLC
  • Honeywell International Inc.
  • Virent Inc.
  • Fulcrum BioEnergy, Inc.
  • Neste Oil Corporation
  • AltAir Paramount LLC
  • S.G. Preston Company
  • Eni SpA Total S.A.
  • BP PLC

Report Scope

In this report, the Global RenewableBio Jet Fuel Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:

RenewableBio Jet Fuel Market, By Conversion Pathways

  • Fischer Tropsch Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene (FT-SPK)
  • Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids (HEFA)
  • Synthetic Iso-paraffin from Fermented Hydroprocessed Sugar (SIP)
  • Alcohol to Jet SPK (ATJ-SPK)

RenewableBio Jet Fuel Market, By Feedstock

  • Agriculture Crops
  • Aquaculture Crops
  • Energy Crops
  • Multiple Solid Waste
  • Others

RenewableBio Jet Fuel Market, By Region

  • North America
    • United States
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • Europe
    • France
    • United Kingdom
    • Italy
    • Germany
    • Spain
  • Asia Pacific
    • China
    • India
    • Japan
    • Australia
    • South Korea
  • South America
    • Brazil
    • Argentina
    • Colombia
  • Middle East & Africa
    • South Africa
    • Saudi Arabia
    • UAE

Competitive Landscape

Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global RenewableBio Jet Fuel Market.

Available Customizations:

Global RenewableBio Jet Fuel Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report:

Company Information

  • Detailed analysis and profiling of additional market players (up to five).

Table of Contents

1. Product Overview

  • 1.1. Market Definition
  • 1.2. Scope of the Market
    • 1.2.1. Markets Covered
    • 1.2.2. Years Considered for Study
    • 1.2.3. Key Market Segmentations

2. Research Methodology

  • 2.1. Objective of the Study
  • 2.2. Baseline Methodology
  • 2.3. Key Industry Partners
  • 2.4. Major Association and Secondary Sources
  • 2.5. Forecasting Methodology
  • 2.6. Data Triangulation & Validation
  • 2.7. Assumptions and Limitations

3. Executive Summary

  • 3.1. Overview of the Market
  • 3.2. Overview of Key Market Segmentations
  • 3.3. Overview of Key Market Players
  • 3.4. Overview of Key Regions/Countries
  • 3.5. Overview of Market Drivers, Challenges, Trends

4. Voice of Customer

5. Global RenewableBio Jet Fuel Market Outlook

  • 5.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 5.1.1. By Value
  • 5.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 5.2.1. By Conversion Pathways (Fischer Tropsch Synthetic Paraffinic Kerosene (FT-SPK), Hydroprocessed Esters and Fatty Acids (HEFA), Synthetic Iso-paraffin from Fermented Hydroprocessed Sugar (SIP), Alcohol to Jet SPK (ATJ-SPK))
    • 5.2.2. By Feedstock (Agriculture Crops, Aquaculture Crops, Energy Crops, Multiple Solid Waste, Others)
    • 5.2.3. By Region
    • 5.2.4. By Company (2025)
  • 5.3. Market Map

6. North America RenewableBio Jet Fuel Market Outlook

  • 6.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 6.1.1. By Value
  • 6.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 6.2.1. By Conversion Pathways
    • 6.2.2. By Feedstock
    • 6.2.3. By Country
  • 6.3. North America: Country Analysis
    • 6.3.1. United States RenewableBio Jet Fuel Market Outlook
      • 6.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.1.2.1. By Conversion Pathways
        • 6.3.1.2.2. By Feedstock
    • 6.3.2. Canada RenewableBio Jet Fuel Market Outlook
      • 6.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.2.2.1. By Conversion Pathways
        • 6.3.2.2.2. By Feedstock
    • 6.3.3. Mexico RenewableBio Jet Fuel Market Outlook
      • 6.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.3.2.1. By Conversion Pathways
        • 6.3.3.2.2. By Feedstock

7. Europe RenewableBio Jet Fuel Market Outlook

  • 7.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 7.1.1. By Value
  • 7.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 7.2.1. By Conversion Pathways
    • 7.2.2. By Feedstock
    • 7.2.3. By Country
  • 7.3. Europe: Country Analysis
    • 7.3.1. Germany RenewableBio Jet Fuel Market Outlook
      • 7.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.1.2.1. By Conversion Pathways
        • 7.3.1.2.2. By Feedstock
    • 7.3.2. France RenewableBio Jet Fuel Market Outlook
      • 7.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.2.2.1. By Conversion Pathways
        • 7.3.2.2.2. By Feedstock
    • 7.3.3. United Kingdom RenewableBio Jet Fuel Market Outlook
      • 7.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.3.2.1. By Conversion Pathways
        • 7.3.3.2.2. By Feedstock
    • 7.3.4. Italy RenewableBio Jet Fuel Market Outlook
      • 7.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.4.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.4.2.1. By Conversion Pathways
        • 7.3.4.2.2. By Feedstock
    • 7.3.5. Spain RenewableBio Jet Fuel Market Outlook
      • 7.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.5.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.5.2.1. By Conversion Pathways
        • 7.3.5.2.2. By Feedstock

8. Asia Pacific RenewableBio Jet Fuel Market Outlook

  • 8.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 8.1.1. By Value
  • 8.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 8.2.1. By Conversion Pathways
    • 8.2.2. By Feedstock
    • 8.2.3. By Country
  • 8.3. Asia Pacific: Country Analysis
    • 8.3.1. China RenewableBio Jet Fuel Market Outlook
      • 8.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.1.2.1. By Conversion Pathways
        • 8.3.1.2.2. By Feedstock
    • 8.3.2. India RenewableBio Jet Fuel Market Outlook
      • 8.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.2.2.1. By Conversion Pathways
        • 8.3.2.2.2. By Feedstock
    • 8.3.3. Japan RenewableBio Jet Fuel Market Outlook
      • 8.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.3.2.1. By Conversion Pathways
        • 8.3.3.2.2. By Feedstock
    • 8.3.4. South Korea RenewableBio Jet Fuel Market Outlook
      • 8.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.4.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.4.2.1. By Conversion Pathways
        • 8.3.4.2.2. By Feedstock
    • 8.3.5. Australia RenewableBio Jet Fuel Market Outlook
      • 8.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.5.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.5.2.1. By Conversion Pathways
        • 8.3.5.2.2. By Feedstock

9. Middle East & Africa RenewableBio Jet Fuel Market Outlook

  • 9.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 9.1.1. By Value
  • 9.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 9.2.1. By Conversion Pathways
    • 9.2.2. By Feedstock
    • 9.2.3. By Country
  • 9.3. Middle East & Africa: Country Analysis
    • 9.3.1. Saudi Arabia RenewableBio Jet Fuel Market Outlook
      • 9.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.1.2.1. By Conversion Pathways
        • 9.3.1.2.2. By Feedstock
    • 9.3.2. UAE RenewableBio Jet Fuel Market Outlook
      • 9.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.2.2.1. By Conversion Pathways
        • 9.3.2.2.2. By Feedstock
    • 9.3.3. South Africa RenewableBio Jet Fuel Market Outlook
      • 9.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.3.2.1. By Conversion Pathways
        • 9.3.3.2.2. By Feedstock

10. South America RenewableBio Jet Fuel Market Outlook

  • 10.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 10.1.1. By Value
  • 10.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 10.2.1. By Conversion Pathways
    • 10.2.2. By Feedstock
    • 10.2.3. By Country
  • 10.3. South America: Country Analysis
    • 10.3.1. Brazil RenewableBio Jet Fuel Market Outlook
      • 10.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.1.2.1. By Conversion Pathways
        • 10.3.1.2.2. By Feedstock
    • 10.3.2. Colombia RenewableBio Jet Fuel Market Outlook
      • 10.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.2.2.1. By Conversion Pathways
        • 10.3.2.2.2. By Feedstock
    • 10.3.3. Argentina RenewableBio Jet Fuel Market Outlook
      • 10.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.3.2.1. By Conversion Pathways
        • 10.3.3.2.2. By Feedstock

11. Market Dynamics

  • 11.1. Drivers
  • 11.2. Challenges

12. Market Trends & Developments

  • 12.1. Merger & Acquisition (If Any)
  • 12.2. Product Launches (If Any)
  • 12.3. Recent Developments

13. Global RenewableBio Jet Fuel Market: SWOT Analysis

14. Porter's Five Forces Analysis

  • 14.1. Competition in the Industry
  • 14.2. Potential of New Entrants
  • 14.3. Power of Suppliers
  • 14.4. Power of Customers
  • 14.5. Threat of Substitute Products

15. Competitive Landscape

  • 15.1. Gevo, Inc.
    • 15.1.1. Business Overview
    • 15.1.2. Products & Services
    • 15.1.3. Recent Developments
    • 15.1.4. Key Personnel
    • 15.1.5. SWOT Analysis
  • 15.2. Red Rock Biofuels LLC
  • 15.3. Honeywell International Inc.
  • 15.4. Virent Inc.
  • 15.5. Fulcrum BioEnergy, Inc.
  • 15.6. Neste Oil Corporation
  • 15.7. AltAir Paramount LLC
  • 15.8. S.G. Preston Company
  • 15.9. Eni SpA Total S.A.
  • 15.10. BP PLC

16. Strategic Recommendations

17. About Us & Disclaimer