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市場調查報告書
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1943623

綠色氨市場-全球產業規模、佔有率、趨勢、機會及預測(依生產方法、最終用途、區域及競爭格局分類,2021-2031年)

Green Ammonia Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Production Method, By End Use, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F

出版日期: | 出版商: TechSci Research | 英文 180 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

全球綠色氨市場預計將從 2025 年的 9.8612 億美元成長到 2031 年的 156.5896 億美元,複合年成長率為 58.54%。

綠色氨是指採用碳中和方法合成的氨,主要方法是利用風能和太陽能等可再生能源,透過電解。市場成長主要受全球日益嚴格的脫碳法規以及重工業和航運等難以排放的行業迫切需要減少溫室氣體排放的驅動。此外,對永續農業肥料的需求不斷成長,以及氨作為穩定的氫氣運輸介質的效用提高,也加速了工業界對綠色氨的採用。根據氨能源協會的數據,2024年公佈的全球低排放氨計劃總產能將達到3.725億噸,顯示該領域發展勢頭強勁。

市場概覽
預測期 2027-2031
市場規模:2025年 9.8612億美元
市場規模:2031年 15,658,960,000 美元
複合年成長率:2026-2031年 58.54%
成長最快的細分市場 肥料
最大的市場 亞太地區

儘管取得了這些積極進展,但該技術仍面臨一個重大障礙:與傳統的石化燃料技術相比,其平準化生產成本較高。這種經濟差距對最終投資決策(FID)構成重大阻礙,有效地延緩了從計劃宣佈到商業化實現的過渡,並限制了即時供應。

市場促進因素

隨著航運業積極尋求重質燃油的替代品,綠色氨作為一種零碳船用燃料的日益普及正在從根本上改變市場格局。隨著國際溫室氣體排放法規日益嚴格,航運業者擴大轉向使用氨,因為它具有高能量密度和無碳燃燒的特性。為了應對這一趨勢,引擎製造商和燃料生產商正在緊急合作,以建立必要的加註基礎設施和推進技術。例如,在2024年6月的新聞稿中,WinGD宣布已收到10台新型氨燃料引擎「X-DF-A」的訂單,這標誌著該引擎從理論概念到航運業商業採購的快速發展。

政府支持框架和脫碳政策是第二個關鍵促進因素,特別是透過補貼來抵消永續生產帶來的綠色溢價。差價合約 (CFD) 和競爭性競標等金融工具已被證明對最終投資決策 (FID) 至關重要,因為它們確保了生產商的可靠收入來源。德國政府的 H2Global舉措就是這項政策影響的顯著例證,該計畫已成功完成首輪競標。 2024 年 7 月, 舉措宣布贏得了向歐洲供應可再生氨的試點競標,合約價值高達 3.97 億歐元,這證實了國家支持的採購模式的可行性。氫能委員會報告稱,2024 年全球氫能及衍生計劃的承諾資本飆升至 750 億美元,反映了強勁的投資環境。

市場挑戰

阻礙全球綠色氨市場擴張的關鍵挑戰在於,綠色氨生產的平準化成本高昂,而傳統石化燃料的生產成本卻很低,兩者之間存在巨大的經濟差距。這種價格溢價對簽訂長期供應協議構成重大障礙,因為航運和農業等對價格敏感的終端用戶往往不願意在沒有補貼的情況下承擔額外的成本。因此,開發商難以證明其擁有足夠的收入來源來說服貸款方,從而造成計劃停滯在規劃階段,無法進入建設階段。

無法彌合這一融資缺口直接阻礙了從理論產能到實際商業供應的轉換。計劃公告數量,凸顯了這種停滯的程度。根據國際能源總署(IEA)統計,截至2024年,全球規劃的電解槽產能(綠色氨生產的基礎技術)中,僅有4%進入了最終投資決策階段。這項數據表明,成本壁壘有效地凍結了大部分計劃,阻礙了市場實現必要的規模經濟。

市場趨勢

在發電領域採用氨混燒正成為一大趨勢,尤其是在亞洲市場。該地區的電力公司正在對其燃煤電廠進行改造,以在提高能源安全性的同時減少排放。這種運作改造使得氨可以直接在現有火力發電廠內燃燒,從而有效地實現了從石化燃料依賴向完全可再生能源電網的過渡,而無需進行全面的基礎設施升級。日本正積極檢驗這項技術,以建構氨燃料供應網路。 2025年4月,IHI株式會社在報導中宣布,其位於碧南的火力發電廠在大規模示範試驗中實現了20%氨混燒比例的穩定運行,這充分證明了該系統的技術可行性。

同時,市場正向固體氧化物電解(SOEC)技術轉型,以最佳化生產效率,優於傳統的鹼性電解和質子交換膜(PEM)製程。 SOEC系統採用高溫電解,並整合工業廢熱,顯著降低氫氣合成所需的電能,進而降低綠色氨的平準化成本。這種效率優勢正推動工業快速擴張,以滿足預期的全球需求。根據托普索公司2025年10月發布的新聞稿,該公司將在赫寧開設歐洲最大的SOEC工廠之一,初期年產能將達到500兆瓦。這顯示業界決心大規模部署下一代技術。

目錄

第1章概述

第2章調查方法

第3章執行摘要

第4章:客戶評價

第5章 全球綠色氨市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
    • 按金額
  • 市佔率及預測
    • 依生產方法(鹼性水電電解、質子交換膜法、固體氧化物電解)
    • 按用途(發電、運輸、肥料等)
    • 按地區
    • 按公司(2025 年)
  • 市場地圖

第6章 北美綠氨市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 北美洲:國家分析
    • 美國
    • 加拿大
    • 墨西哥

7. 歐洲綠氨市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 歐洲:國家分析
    • 德國
    • 法國
    • 英國
    • 義大利
    • 西班牙

8. 亞太地區綠色氨市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 亞太地區:國家分析
    • 中國
    • 印度
    • 日本
    • 韓國
    • 澳洲

9. 中東和非洲綠色氨市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 中東和非洲:國家分析
    • 沙烏地阿拉伯
    • 阿拉伯聯合大公國
    • 南非

第10章:南美綠氨市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 南美洲:國家分析
    • 巴西
    • 哥倫比亞
    • 阿根廷

第11章 市場動態

  • 促進要素
  • 任務

第12章 市場趨勢與發展

  • 併購
  • 產品發布
  • 最新進展

第13章 全球綠色氨市場:SWOT分析

第14章 波特五力分析

  • 產業競爭
  • 新進入者的可能性
  • 供應商電力
  • 顧客權力
  • 替代品的威脅

第15章 競爭格局

  • Nel Hydrogen
  • Siemens Energy
  • MAN Energy Solutions
  • ThyssenKrupp AG
  • ITM Power PLC
  • Hydrogenics
  • Green Hydrogen Systems
  • McPhy Energy
  • Electrochaea
  • EXYTRON
  • AquaHydrex

第16章 策略建議

第17章:關於研究公司及免責聲明

簡介目錄
Product Code: 14227

The Global Green Ammonia Market is projected to expand from USD 986.12 Million in 2025 to USD 15658.96 Million by 2031, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 58.54%. Green ammonia is characterized as ammonia synthesized through carbon-neutral methods, primarily utilizing water electrolysis powered by renewable sources like wind or solar to produce hydrogen. The market's growth is largely driven by strict global decarbonization regulations and the critical necessity to lower greenhouse gas emissions in difficult-to-abate sectors, such as heavy industry and maritime shipping. Furthermore, the increasing requirement for sustainable agricultural fertilizers and the rising utility of ammonia as a stable medium for hydrogen transport are hastening industrial uptake. Data from the Ammonia Energy Association indicates that in 2024, the global pipeline of announced low-emission ammonia projects amassed a total capacity of 372.5 million tons, highlighting significant sectoral momentum.

Market Overview
Forecast Period2027-2031
Market Size 2025USD 986.12 Million
Market Size 2031USD 15658.96 Million
CAGR 2026-203158.54%
Fastest Growing SegmentFertilizers
Largest MarketAsia Pacific

Despite this positive trajectory, the market encounters a major obstacle regarding the high levelized cost of production relative to traditional fossil-fuel-based techniques. This economic gap establishes a considerable hurdle for Final Investment Decisions (FID), effectively slowing the transition from project announcements to commercial realization and restricting the immediate availability of supply.

Market Driver

The increasing utilization of green ammonia as a zero-carbon maritime fuel is fundamentally altering the market landscape as the shipping sector actively seeks feasible substitutes for heavy fuel oil. With international regulations regarding greenhouse gas emissions becoming more stringent, maritime operators are favoring ammonia because of its high energy density and carbon-free combustion. This trend is fostering urgent collaboration between engine manufacturers and fuel producers to establish necessary bunkering infrastructure and propulsion technologies. For instance, WinGD announced in a June 2024 press release that it had secured orders for 10 of its new ammonia-fueled X-DF-A engines, demonstrating the rapid progression from theoretical concepts to commercial procurement within the maritime industry.

Supportive government frameworks and decarbonization mandates serve as a second vital driver, particularly through subsidies aimed at offsetting the green premium associated with sustainable production. Financial tools such as contracts-for-difference and competitive auctions are proving crucial for facilitating Final Investment Decisions (FID) by ensuring reliable revenue streams for producers. A notable example of this policy impact was the German government's H2Global initiative, which successfully completed its first tender. In July 2024, Fertiglobe announced it had won this pilot auction to deliver renewable ammonia to Europe with a contract value up to €397 million, confirming the effectiveness of state-backed procurement. Highlighting this robust investment climate, the Hydrogen Council reported in 2024 that the global volume of committed capital for hydrogen and derivative projects surged to USD 75 billion.

Market Challenge

The principal difficulty hindering the expansion of the Global Green Ammonia Market is the substantial economic gap between the elevated levelized cost of green ammonia production and the established, lower costs of conventional fossil-fuel-based versions. This price premium acts as a significant barrier to finalizing long-term offtake agreements, as price-sensitive end-users in sectors like shipping and agriculture are frequently reluctant to absorb the extra cost without subsidies. Consequently, developers find it difficult to prove the guaranteed revenue streams necessary to satisfy lenders, resulting in a bottleneck where projects remain stalled in the planning phase rather than progressing to construction.

This failure to bridge the financial divide directly delays the industry's shift from theoretical capacity to actual commercial supply. The extent of this stagnation is evident in the low rate of project realization compared to announcements. According to the International Energy Agency, in 2024, merely 4 percent of the global planned electrolyser capacity-the fundamental technology for green ammonia production-had reached the final investment decision stage. This statistic demonstrates how the cost barrier effectively freezes the vast majority of the project pipeline, preventing the market from achieving necessary economies of scale.

Market Trends

The adoption of ammonia co-firing in power generation is developing into a key trend, especially in Asian markets where utilities are modifying coal assets to enhance energy security while reducing emissions. This operational shift enables the direct combustion of ammonia within existing thermal plants, effectively bridging the gap between fossil fuel reliance and a fully renewable grid without requiring complete infrastructure replacement. Japan is actively validating this technology to build a viable supply chain for fuel ammonia. In April 2025, IHI Corporation confirmed in a news article regarding the Hekinan Thermal Power Station that their large-scale demonstration successfully achieved a stable 20 percent ammonia co-firing ratio, proving the system's technical readiness for broader implementation.

Concurrently, the market is undergoing a technological shift toward Solid Oxide Electrolysis (SOEC) to optimize production efficiency relative to traditional alkaline or PEM methods. SOEC systems employ high-temperature electrolysis that integrates industrial waste heat to substantially lower the electrical energy required for hydrogen synthesis, thereby reducing the levelized cost of green ammonia. This efficiency benefit is driving rapid industrial scaling to meet projected global demand. According to a Topsoe press release in October 2025, the manufacturer inaugurated Europe's largest SOEC facility in Herning with an initial annual production capacity of 500 megawatts, underscoring the sector's commitment to deploying this next-generation technology at a commercial scale.

Key Market Players

  • Nel Hydrogen
  • Siemens Energy
  • MAN Energy Solutions
  • ThyssenKrupp AG
  • ITM Power PLC
  • Hydrogenics
  • Green Hydrogen Systems
  • McPhy Energy
  • Electrochaea
  • EXYTRON
  • AquaHydrex

Report Scope

In this report, the Global Green Ammonia Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:

Green Ammonia Market, By Production Method

  • Alkaline Water Electrolysis
  • Proton Exchange Membrane
  • Solid Oxide Electrolysis

Green Ammonia Market, By End Use

  • Power Generation
  • Transportation
  • Fertilizers
  • Others

Green Ammonia Market, By Region

  • North America
    • United States
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • Europe
    • France
    • United Kingdom
    • Italy
    • Germany
    • Spain
  • Asia Pacific
    • China
    • India
    • Japan
    • Australia
    • South Korea
  • South America
    • Brazil
    • Argentina
    • Colombia
  • Middle East & Africa
    • South Africa
    • Saudi Arabia
    • UAE

Competitive Landscape

Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Green Ammonia Market.

Available Customizations:

Global Green Ammonia Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report:

Company Information

  • Detailed analysis and profiling of additional market players (up to five).

Table of Contents

1. Product Overview

  • 1.1. Market Definition
  • 1.2. Scope of the Market
    • 1.2.1. Markets Covered
    • 1.2.2. Years Considered for Study
    • 1.2.3. Key Market Segmentations

2. Research Methodology

  • 2.1. Objective of the Study
  • 2.2. Baseline Methodology
  • 2.3. Key Industry Partners
  • 2.4. Major Association and Secondary Sources
  • 2.5. Forecasting Methodology
  • 2.6. Data Triangulation & Validation
  • 2.7. Assumptions and Limitations

3. Executive Summary

  • 3.1. Overview of the Market
  • 3.2. Overview of Key Market Segmentations
  • 3.3. Overview of Key Market Players
  • 3.4. Overview of Key Regions/Countries
  • 3.5. Overview of Market Drivers, Challenges, Trends

4. Voice of Customer

5. Global Green Ammonia Market Outlook

  • 5.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 5.1.1. By Value
  • 5.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 5.2.1. By Production Method (Alkaline Water Electrolysis, Proton Exchange Membrane, Solid Oxide Electrolysis)
    • 5.2.2. By End Use (Power Generation, Transportation, Fertilizers, Others)
    • 5.2.3. By Region
    • 5.2.4. By Company (2025)
  • 5.3. Market Map

6. North America Green Ammonia Market Outlook

  • 6.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 6.1.1. By Value
  • 6.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 6.2.1. By Production Method
    • 6.2.2. By End Use
    • 6.2.3. By Country
  • 6.3. North America: Country Analysis
    • 6.3.1. United States Green Ammonia Market Outlook
      • 6.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.1.2.1. By Production Method
        • 6.3.1.2.2. By End Use
    • 6.3.2. Canada Green Ammonia Market Outlook
      • 6.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.2.2.1. By Production Method
        • 6.3.2.2.2. By End Use
    • 6.3.3. Mexico Green Ammonia Market Outlook
      • 6.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.3.2.1. By Production Method
        • 6.3.3.2.2. By End Use

7. Europe Green Ammonia Market Outlook

  • 7.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 7.1.1. By Value
  • 7.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 7.2.1. By Production Method
    • 7.2.2. By End Use
    • 7.2.3. By Country
  • 7.3. Europe: Country Analysis
    • 7.3.1. Germany Green Ammonia Market Outlook
      • 7.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.1.2.1. By Production Method
        • 7.3.1.2.2. By End Use
    • 7.3.2. France Green Ammonia Market Outlook
      • 7.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.2.2.1. By Production Method
        • 7.3.2.2.2. By End Use
    • 7.3.3. United Kingdom Green Ammonia Market Outlook
      • 7.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.3.2.1. By Production Method
        • 7.3.3.2.2. By End Use
    • 7.3.4. Italy Green Ammonia Market Outlook
      • 7.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.4.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.4.2.1. By Production Method
        • 7.3.4.2.2. By End Use
    • 7.3.5. Spain Green Ammonia Market Outlook
      • 7.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.5.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.5.2.1. By Production Method
        • 7.3.5.2.2. By End Use

8. Asia Pacific Green Ammonia Market Outlook

  • 8.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 8.1.1. By Value
  • 8.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 8.2.1. By Production Method
    • 8.2.2. By End Use
    • 8.2.3. By Country
  • 8.3. Asia Pacific: Country Analysis
    • 8.3.1. China Green Ammonia Market Outlook
      • 8.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.1.2.1. By Production Method
        • 8.3.1.2.2. By End Use
    • 8.3.2. India Green Ammonia Market Outlook
      • 8.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.2.2.1. By Production Method
        • 8.3.2.2.2. By End Use
    • 8.3.3. Japan Green Ammonia Market Outlook
      • 8.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.3.2.1. By Production Method
        • 8.3.3.2.2. By End Use
    • 8.3.4. South Korea Green Ammonia Market Outlook
      • 8.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.4.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.4.2.1. By Production Method
        • 8.3.4.2.2. By End Use
    • 8.3.5. Australia Green Ammonia Market Outlook
      • 8.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.5.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.5.2.1. By Production Method
        • 8.3.5.2.2. By End Use

9. Middle East & Africa Green Ammonia Market Outlook

  • 9.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 9.1.1. By Value
  • 9.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 9.2.1. By Production Method
    • 9.2.2. By End Use
    • 9.2.3. By Country
  • 9.3. Middle East & Africa: Country Analysis
    • 9.3.1. Saudi Arabia Green Ammonia Market Outlook
      • 9.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.1.2.1. By Production Method
        • 9.3.1.2.2. By End Use
    • 9.3.2. UAE Green Ammonia Market Outlook
      • 9.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.2.2.1. By Production Method
        • 9.3.2.2.2. By End Use
    • 9.3.3. South Africa Green Ammonia Market Outlook
      • 9.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.3.2.1. By Production Method
        • 9.3.3.2.2. By End Use

10. South America Green Ammonia Market Outlook

  • 10.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 10.1.1. By Value
  • 10.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 10.2.1. By Production Method
    • 10.2.2. By End Use
    • 10.2.3. By Country
  • 10.3. South America: Country Analysis
    • 10.3.1. Brazil Green Ammonia Market Outlook
      • 10.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.1.2.1. By Production Method
        • 10.3.1.2.2. By End Use
    • 10.3.2. Colombia Green Ammonia Market Outlook
      • 10.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.2.2.1. By Production Method
        • 10.3.2.2.2. By End Use
    • 10.3.3. Argentina Green Ammonia Market Outlook
      • 10.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.3.2.1. By Production Method
        • 10.3.3.2.2. By End Use

11. Market Dynamics

  • 11.1. Drivers
  • 11.2. Challenges

12. Market Trends & Developments

  • 12.1. Merger & Acquisition (If Any)
  • 12.2. Product Launches (If Any)
  • 12.3. Recent Developments

13. Global Green Ammonia Market: SWOT Analysis

14. Porter's Five Forces Analysis

  • 14.1. Competition in the Industry
  • 14.2. Potential of New Entrants
  • 14.3. Power of Suppliers
  • 14.4. Power of Customers
  • 14.5. Threat of Substitute Products

15. Competitive Landscape

  • 15.1. Nel Hydrogen
    • 15.1.1. Business Overview
    • 15.1.2. Products & Services
    • 15.1.3. Recent Developments
    • 15.1.4. Key Personnel
    • 15.1.5. SWOT Analysis
  • 15.2. Siemens Energy
  • 15.3. MAN Energy Solutions
  • 15.4. ThyssenKrupp AG
  • 15.5. ITM Power PLC
  • 15.6. Hydrogenics
  • 15.7. Green Hydrogen Systems
  • 15.8. McPhy Energy
  • 15.9. Electrochaea
  • 15.10. EXYTRON
  • 15.11. AquaHydrex

16. Strategic Recommendations

17. About Us & Disclaimer