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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1716392
2032 年肥料市場預測:按產品類型、形態、作物類型、應用和地區分類的全球分析Fertilizers Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Product (Organic, Inorganic and Other Products), Form, Crop Type, Application and By Geography |
根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,2025 年全球肥料市場價值為 4,025 億美元,預計到 2032 年將達到 6,809 億美元,預測期內複合年成長率為 7.8%。
肥料是施用於土壤和植物的物質,透過提供氮、磷和鉀等必需的營養物質來促進生長和生產力。肥料可以是有機的,來自堆肥或糞肥等天然來源,也可以是無機的,透過人工合成來提供精確的營養配方。肥料在現代農業中發揮著至關重要的作用,有助於提高作物產量、土壤肥力和糧食安全。全球正在採用永續肥料,包括緩釋肥料和生物基肥料,以平衡農業生產力和生態系統保護,並確保土壤的長期健康和永續性。
根據聯合國糧食及農業組織預測,2050年,全球70%的人口預計將居住在城市。
政府補貼和政策
政府透過化肥補貼提高農業生產力的努力正在推動市場成長。印度的 PM-KISAN 計畫和歐盟的通用農業政策 (CAP) 等計畫為農民使用化學肥料提供了獎勵。新興國家對尿素和氮磷鉀化肥的補貼正在減輕小農戶的經濟負擔並刺激需求。鼓勵使用平衡營養物質來改善土壤健康的政策將進一步促進市場擴張。此外,針對低碳肥料的氣候補貼與全球永續性目標一致。
原料成本波動
天然氣、磷礦和鉀肥等主要投入品的價格波動影響了化肥的生產成本。俄羅斯和烏克蘭之間的衝突等地緣政治緊張局勢加劇了關鍵礦產供應鏈的不確定性。這些波動對製造商的淨利率帶來壓力,並導致最終用戶的價格波動。開發中地區的農民面臨收購價格挑戰,導致他們延後收購或降低施用率。在燃料市場波動的情況下,能源密集型生產過程進一步增加了成本風險。
奈米液體肥料
奈米塗層和液體配方的創新將提高營養效率並減少向環境中的洩漏。 IFFCO 和 Haifa Group 等公司正在投資精準作物投放系統。這些產品透過最大限度地減少浪費和提高產量穩定性來滿足缺水地區的需求。灌溉和葉面噴布技術的日益普及正在支持市場滲透。環保奈米肥料的監管核准也為有機農業領域打開了大門。
依賴進口
許多國家高度依賴進口化肥,這使其面臨貿易中斷和外匯風險。例如,印度30%至40%的鉀肥依賴進口,使其容易受到全球鉀肥價格上漲的影響。對俄羅斯和白俄羅斯等主要出口國的製裁對主要市場的供應鏈造成壓力。資源豐富地區的地緣政治不穩定加劇了交貨延遲和庫存短缺。嚴重依賴進口也限制了國內價格管制和農業復原力。
疫情擾亂了化肥供應鏈,造成暫時供不應求和價格上漲。然而,各國政府已將農業列為重要部門,並放寬了管制以穩定供應。自疫情爆發以來,受糧食安全擔憂和囤貨行為的推動,需求急劇反彈。這場危機也加速了化肥分配和精密農業實踐的數位化。
有機農業預計將成為預測期內最大的細分市場
由於消費者對無化學和環保食品的偏好日益成長,預計有機食品將在預測期內佔據最大的市場佔有率。世界各國政府透過補貼、認證計畫和宣傳活動支持有機農業。土壤劣化的加劇也促使農民尋求永續的土壤改良替代方案。有機食品產業的成長直接影響對天然和生物肥料的需求。此外,利用有機廢棄物生產肥料符合全球循環經濟計劃。
預計在預測期內,傳統部分將以最高的複合年成長率成長。
由於其廣泛的可用性和即時的有效性,預計傳統領域將在預測期內見證最高的成長率。產量農業區的農民喜歡使用常規肥料,因為其起效快且熟悉。機械化和精密農業的進步使得傳統肥料的施用更有效率。新興經濟體繼續投資於傳統投入,以提高糧食生產力並滿足日益成長的需求。此外,塗層和緩釋技術的創新正在提高傳統產品的性能。
在預測期內,亞太地區預計將佔據最大的市場佔有率,因為該地區擁有龐大的農業基礎,並且由於人口稠密而對食品的需求不斷增加。印度和中國等國家都見證了政府對化肥補貼和農村發展的大力支持。耕地面積的擴大和種植模式的多樣化正在推動全部區域化肥使用量的增加。主要生產商和出口商的存在也增加了亞太地區的優勢。此外,生物肥料和營養管理實踐的本地創新正在推動永續的市場擴張。
在預測期內,北美地區預計將呈現最高的複合年成長率,因為精密農業技術和特殊肥料的採用將推動成長。美國農業法案強調永續農業實踐並支持生物肥料的研究和發展。加拿大鉀肥出口和墨西哥農業產業的不斷發展進一步促進了該地區的發展。氣候友善政策和碳權計畫正在獎勵低排放肥料的生產。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Fertilizers Market is accounted for $402.5 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $680.9 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 7.8% during the forecast period. Fertilizers are substances applied to soil or plants to enhance growth and productivity by supplying essential nutrients like nitrogen, phosphorus, and potassium. They can be organic, derived from natural sources like compost and manure, or inorganic, produced synthetically to provide precise nutrient formulations. Fertilizers play a crucial role in modern agriculture, helping improve crop yields, soil fertility, and food security. Sustainable fertilizer practices, including slow-release and bio-based alternatives, are being adopted globally to balance agricultural productivity with ecological conservation, ensuring long-term soil health and sustainability.
According to the Food and Agriculture Organization, 70% of the global population is expected to live in cities by 2050.
Government subsidies & policies
Government initiatives promoting agricultural productivity through fertilizer subsidies are accelerating market growth. Programs like India's PM-KISAN and the EU's Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) incentivize fertilizer adoption among farmers. Subsidies for urea and NPK fertilizers in emerging economies reduce financial burdens on smallholders, boosting demand. Policies encouraging balanced nutrient use to enhance soil health further drive market expansion. Additionally, climate-focused subsidies for low-carbon fertilizers align with global sustainability goals.
Fluctuating raw material costs
Volatility in prices of key inputs like natural gas, phosphate rock, and potash disrupts fertilizer production costs. Geopolitical tensions, such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict, exacerbate supply chain uncertainties for critical minerals. These fluctuations strain profit margins for manufacturers, leading to unstable pricing for end-users. Farmers in developing regions face affordability challenges, delaying purchases and reducing application rates. Energy-intensive production processes further amplify cost risks amid shifting fuel markets.
Nano & liquid fertilizers
Innovations in nano-coated and liquid formulations enhance nutrient efficiency and reduce environmental leaching. Companies like IFFCO and Haifa Group are investing in precision delivery systems for targeted crop uptake. These products cater to water-scarce regions by minimizing waste and improving yield consistency. Rising adoption of fertigation and foliar spraying techniques supports market penetration. Regulatory approvals for eco-friendly nano-fertilizers also open doors in organic farming sectors.
Dependency on imports
Many countries rely heavily on imported fertilizers, exposing them to trade disruptions and currency risks. For instance, India imports 30-40% of its potash, leaving it vulnerable to global price spikes. Sanctions on major exporters like Russia and Belarus strain supply chains for key markets. Geopolitical instability in resource-rich regions compounds delivery delays and inventory shortages. Over-reliance on imports also limits domestic price control and agricultural resilience.
The pandemic disrupted fertilizer supply chains, causing temporary shortages and price surges lockdowns delayed mining, production, and logistics, particularly in China and North Africa. However, governments prioritized agriculture as an essential sector, easing restrictions to stabilize supplies. Post-pandemic, demand rebounded sharply due to food security concerns and stockpiling. The crisis also accelerated digitization in fertilizer distribution and precision farming practices.
The organic segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The organic segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period due to rising consumer preference for chemical-free and environmentally friendly food products. Governments worldwide are supporting organic farming with subsidies, certification schemes, and awareness programs. Increasing soil degradation has also pushed farmers toward sustainable soil-enriching alternatives. The growth of the organic food industry is directly influencing demand for natural and bio-based fertilizers. Moreover, the use of organic waste in fertilizer production aligns with global circular economy initiatives.
The conventional segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the conventional segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate due to their widespread availability and fast-acting nature. Farmers in high-yield agricultural zones prefer conventional fertilizers for their quick results and familiarity. Ongoing mechanization and precision agriculture are enabling more efficient application of traditional fertilizers. Emerging economies continue to invest in conventional inputs to enhance food productivity and meet rising demand. Furthermore, innovations in coating and slow-release technologies are improving the performance of conventional products.
During the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share owing to its large agricultural base and increasing food demand from dense populations. Countries like India and China are witnessing strong governmental backing for fertilizer subsidies and rural development. Expanding farmland under cultivation and diverse cropping patterns are boosting fertilizer usage across the region. The presence of major producers and exporters also reinforces Asia Pacific's dominance. Additionally, regional innovation in biofertilizers and nutrient management practices is driving sustainable market expansion.
Over the forecast period, the North America region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR due to Precision agricultural technologies and adoption of specialty fertilizers propel growth. The U.S. Farm Bill's focus on sustainable practices supports biofertilizer R&D. Canada's potash exports and Mexico's agro-industrial growth further stimulate regional dynamics. Climate-smart policies and carbon credit programs incentivize low-emission fertilizer production.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Fertilizers Market include Westfarmers, Yara International, Nutrien, The Mosaic Company, CF Industries Holdings, K+S Group, EuroChem Group, Israel Chemicals, OCP Group, Haifa Group, IFFCO, Sinofert Holdings Limited, Coromandel International Limited, Uralkali, Bunge Limited, and Syngenta.
In February 2025, Coromandel International Limited received an order from the Government of Andhra Pradesh extending capital and other subsidies for the proposed investment of ₹1,539 crore towards the expansion of the fertilizer manufacturing facility at Kakinada. The incentives include 45% of eligible Fixed Capital Investment, subject to certain compliances and conditions.
In December 2024, Coromandel International partnered with International Fertilizer Development Center (IFDC) to advance fertilizer innovation and sustainable agriculture in India. The collaboration focuses on next-generation fertilizers to enhance nutrient efficiency and reduce environmental impact.
In September 2024, Mosaic Company reported operational disruptions affecting its Potash and Phosphate segments, reducing third-quarter production and shipment volumes. Despite challenges, the company-maintained resilience in financial outlook and continued share buyback programs.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.