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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
2125608
印度製造業:市場佔有率分析、產業趨勢與統計及成長預測(2026-2031)India Manufacturing - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2026 - 2031) |
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根據 Mordor Intelligence 預測,印度製造業市場規模預計在 2025 年達到 1.63 兆美元,2026 年達到 1.74 兆美元,到 2031 年達到 2.47 兆美元,2026 年至 2031 年的複合年成長率為 7.26%。

本報告按所有權類型(公共部門、其他)、最終用戶產業(汽車及零件、其他)、工廠規模(大型企業)和地區(印度北部、其他)進行細分。市場預測以美元計價。
PLI 2.0 計畫向新興產業累計260 億美元,由於 50% 的補貼與銷售成長掛鉤,因此受益企業必須在開工建設前簽訂長期收購協議。計劃在古吉拉突邦和卡納塔克邦建設的三家晶圓廠預計到 2027 年將月產能擴大至 8.5 萬片晶圓;同時,電池獎勵正在推動到 2028 年生產計畫。氫能領域的津貼涵蓋每年 120 萬噸電解槽,並已獲得 40 億美元的私人投資承諾。分階段支付方案(預付 20%,剩餘 80% 與績效掛鉤)降低了財務風險,但中小企業在產能擴張期間可能會面臨融資困難。總體而言,該計劃在未來幾年內保證了國內需求的下限,其連鎖反應將波及整個零件供應鏈。
隨著蘋果和三星在印度擴大組裝廠規模,預計到2025年,製造業的外國直接投資(FDI)將達到220億美元,年增34%。四方機制的供應鏈韌性舉措已撥款50億美元用於支持印度製造業,因為中型電子產品和汽車零件的訂單正轉向印度供應商。富士康和和碩目前在印度僱用了8.7萬名員工,三星已將其全球30%的洗衣機產能轉移到諾伊達。然而,由於顯示器和感測器等零件依賴進口,行動電話的附加價值中只有38%是在本地創造的,這表明印度在後向整合方面仍有很大的提升空間。
儘管預計到2025年平均港口停留時間將縮短至2.8天,但仍是科倫坡港的兩倍,新加坡港的三倍,這推高了出口商的庫存成本。在賈瓦哈拉爾·尼赫魯港,季風高峰期排隊等候時間可長達七天,迫使電子產品托運人轉向成本高昂的空運。由於只有五分之一的工業園區設有鐵路專用線,且印度的列車週轉時間為5.2天(中國為2.8天),鐵路貨運僅佔總量的27.3%。土地糾紛導致東部貨運走廊的建設工期延誤了18個月,延後了預期中貨運成本降低30%的目標。除非最後一公里連接能夠跟上主要走廊的發展步伐,否則印度的高物流成本將持續存在。
到2025年,私人企業將佔印度製造業市場佔有率的71.68%,其中私營微型、中型和微企業(MSME)預計到2031年將以10.04%的複合年成長率(CAGR)超過整體市場成長率。數位發票貼現和生產關聯激勵計畫(PLI)補貼吸引了14個全球品牌,使Dixon Technologies的收入成長至20.4億美元。受傳統退休金制度的束縛,公共部門企業,例如Bharat Heavy Electricals,在2025會計年度的新訂單下降了11%。混合所有製企業和總合合計僅佔10%的市場佔有率,但面臨資金籌措限制。因此,印度製造業市場依賴靈活的私人企業作為成長動力,而國營企業則在重工業的基礎建設中發揮穩定作用。
放鬆管制,包括自動解除100%外商直接投資(FDI)禁令以及取消大多數類別的許可製度,鞏固了私人企業的主導地位。在迪克森(Dixon)、阿瑟(Asser)等公司的推動下,隨著在地採購的增加,印度製造業市場規模持續擴大。同時,合作社在甘蔗價格管制下舉步維艱,拖欠農民的費用總額高達26.4億美元,阻礙了技術升級。未來,微型、中型和微企業(MSME)將利用數位信用和商品及服務稅(GST)合規性來獲得原始設備製造商(OEM)的訂單,從而鞏固一種層級構造:靈活的供應商為大規模整合商提供支援。
According to Mordor Intelligence, the India manufacturing market size is projected to be USD 1.63 trillion in 2025, USD 1.74 trillion in 2026, and reach USD 2.47 trillion by 2031, growing at a CAGR of 7.26% from 2026 to 2031.

This report is Segmented by Ownership (Public Sector, and Others), by End-User Industry (Automotive & Auto Components, and Others), by Plant Size (Large Enterprises), and by Geography (North India, and Others). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).
PLI 2.0 has lined up USD 26 billion for sunrise sectors and ties 50% of subsidies to incremental sales, so recipients must close long-term offtake deals before ground-breaking. Three wafer fabs targeted for Gujarat and Karnataka will lift monthly capacity to 85,000 wafers by 2027, while battery incentives backed plans for 50 GWh of cells by 2028. Hydrogen awards cover 1.2 million t/y of electrolyzers and have already drawn USD 4 billion of private spending pledges. Staggered payouts (20% upfront, 80% performance-linked) lower fiscal risk, yet smaller firms face liquidity gaps during ramp-up. Overall, the scheme locks in a multi-year domestic-demand floor that will ripple across component supply chains.
FDI in manufacturing climbed to USD 22 billion in 2025, 34% above the previous year, as Apple and Samsung deepened India assembly footprints. The Quad supply-chain-resilience initiative earmarks USD 5 billion of concessional credit, tilting orders for mid-tier electronics and auto parts toward Indian vendors. Foxconn and Pegatron now employ 87,000 workers, while Samsung moved 30% of global washer output to Noida. Yet imported displays and sensors mean only 38% of handset value is locally added, indicating scope for deeper backward integration.
Average port dwell fell to 2.8 days in 2025, yet remains double Colombo's and triple Singapore's, hiking inventory costs for exporters. Jawaharlal Nehru Port saw seven-day queues in monsoon peaks, pushing electronics shippers to costly air freight. Rail's cargo share languishes at 27.3% because only one-fifth of parks have sidings, while rake turnaround is 5.2 days versus China's 2.8 days. Completion of the Eastern Freight Corridor slipped 18 months due to land disputes, delaying anticipated 30% freight-cost cuts. Unless last-mile links keep pace with trunk corridors, India's logistics penalty will persist.
Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:
For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.
Private firms commanded a 71.68% India manufacturing market share in 2025, while private MSMEs will outpace the broader market at 10.04% CAGR through 2031. Digital invoice discounting and PLI subsidies let Dixon Technologies lift revenue to USD 2.04 billion by onboarding 14 global brands. Public-sector units, burdened by legacy pensions, saw Bharat Heavy Electricals' new orders dip 11% in FY 2025. Joint-sector and cooperative ventures together held barely 10% but face restricted capital access. The India manufacturing market, therefore, leans on agile private players for growth while state enterprises stabilize heavy-industry baselines.
Regulatory liberalization, including automatic 100% FDI and licensing abolition for most categories, has entrenched private dominance. The India manufacturing market size generated by Dixon, Ather, and similar firms keeps broadening as localized sourcing climbs. Cooperatives struggle under controlled cane pricing, amassing USD 2.64 billion in farmer arrears that crimp tech upgrades. Looking ahead, MSMEs will exploit digital credit and GST compliance histories to win OEM mandates, cementing a two-tier structure of nimble suppliers feeding scale integrators.