非洲潤滑油市場：市場佔有率分析、產業趨勢與統計、成長預測（2026-2031）

根據 Mordor Intelligence 預測，非洲潤滑油市場將從 2025 年的 26.8 億公升成長到 2026 年的 27.7 億公升，然後在 2031 年達到 32.7 億公升，2026 年至 2031 年的複合年成長率為 3.36%。

本報告按產品類型（汽車引擎油、工業引擎油等）、終端用戶產業（汽車、船舶、航太、重型機械、工業）、基礎油類型（礦物油基、合成油、半合成油、生物基）和地區（奈及利亞、南非、埃及、阿爾及利亞、摩洛哥及其他非洲國家）進行細分。市場預測以公升為單位。

非洲潤滑油市場趨勢與洞察

汽車的快速普及帶動了對汽車潤滑油的需求。

在主要都市區，車輛數量的成長速度超過了人口成長速度，從而對引擎油、變速箱油和煞車油產生了持續的需求。拉各斯和約翰尼斯堡的商用卡車車隊面臨高強度的運作週期，導致換油週期縮短，油耗增加。北非各地的汽車組裝廠目前都在努力確保工廠的供貨量和售後市場的穩定供應，而在地採購法規也促進了國產混合油的生產。隨著現代引擎的普及，駕駛正逐漸從單級產品轉向多級產品，而小包裝的偏好也符合車主的購買力。原廠服務網路正在推薦符合歐盟5排放氣體標準的認證產品，加速了中等SAP（合成添加劑含量）合成混合油的普及。

基礎設施主導的採礦和建築業繁榮

在南非、尚比亞和摩洛哥，銅礦、磷酸鹽礦和關鍵礦產計畫正在擴張，這些計畫使用大型機械裝載機和輸送機，需要能夠承受粉塵和重載的高品質液壓油和極壓齒輪油。埃及和奈及利亞同時進行的公路、港口和鐵路維修項目，也維持了對大型土木機械和發電機組所用潤滑脂和渦輪機油的需求。能夠向偏遠地區大量供貨的供應商正在贏得契約，而提供油品品質分析和狀態監測服務的供應商則正在建立長期合作關係，以確保產品交付。建築聯合體可預測的運作計畫確保了穩定的訂單基礎，即使在乘用車需求季節性下降時期，也能確保調油機的運轉率穩定。

燃油補貼的波動會扭曲價格。

補貼的突然取消或恢復會間接影響潤滑油需求，導致零售價格波動，並促使運輸公司重新評估里程和維護預算。成本急劇上升會導致業者延長換油週期或改用更便宜的低等級潤滑油，從而降低高階潤滑油的銷售量。外匯和補貼水準的同步波動使進口商難以預測停泊成本，也使庫存管理決策更加複雜。政策的不確定性抑制了對調配廠和倉儲設施的大規模資本投資，導致企業長期依賴合約調配和第三方物流。

細分市場分析

預計到2025年，汽車機油將佔非洲潤滑油市場佔有率的36.05%。這主要得益於非洲大陸日益成長的車輛保有量，以及車輛運營環境的日益惡劣和基礎設施的老化。商用卡車佔據了相當大比例的油箱容量，頻繁的換油也推高了年度總消耗量。由於埃及和奈及利亞的產業多元化計劃，橡膠、紡織和石化工廠的加工油預計將以4.25%的複合年成長率在所有產品線中實現最高成長。齒輪油用於運作極端衝擊負荷的地下採礦機械，而隨著商用車輛中自動變速箱的普及，變速箱油的重要性也日益凸顯。液壓油方面，預計西非和北非大規模建築工地的後鏟和起重機運作提供穩定的需求。金屬加工液的需求與國內零件製造業的發展密切相關，特別是摩洛哥近期新建的煞車皮和濾清器工廠。

露天礦山和船舶推進器對潤滑脂的需求不斷成長，其中，具有卓越防水性能的鋰基複合材料產品更受青睞。煞車油的需求與新車產量同步線性成長，但向電動車的轉型可能會抑制其長期擴張。渦輪機油在根據國家電氣化計劃投入運作的聯合循環燃氣發電廠中佔據重要地位，而變壓器油則受益於旨在為快速都市化地區供電的電網強化項目。總體而言，這種多元化的產品組合增強了非洲潤滑油市場的韌性，以其他終端用戶行業的成長勢頭抵消了某些行業週期性下滑的影響。

其他好處：

• Excel格式的市場預測（ME）表
• 3個月的分析師支持

目錄

第1章：引言

• 研究假設和市場定義
• 調查範圍

第2章：調查方法

第3章執行摘要

第4章 市場狀況

• 市場概覽
• 市場促進因素
  • 汽車的快速普及帶動了對汽車潤滑油的需求。
  • 基礎設施主導的採礦和建築業繁榮
  • 由於當地煉油廠設備升級，基礎油供應量將會增加。
  • 原廠設備製造商強制執行的延長換油週期對合成機油有利。
  • 為快速發展的電子商務產業打造的車隊，需要高性能液壓油。
• 市場限制因素
  • 燃油補貼持續波動，造成價格扭曲。
  • 低品質I類進口產品的主導地位
  • 一個非官方的假石油分銷網路正在侵蝕品牌價值。
• 價值鏈分析
• 法律規範
• 終端用戶趨勢
  • 汽車產業
  • 製造業
  • 發電業
• 波特五力模型

第5章 市場規模與成長預測

• 依產品類型
  • 汽車引擎油
  • 工業機油
  • 變速箱油
  • 齒輪油
  • 煞車油
  • 油壓
  • 潤滑脂
  • 加工油（包括橡膠加工油和白油）
  • 金屬加工液
  • 渦輪機油
  • 變壓器油
  • 其他
• 按最終用戶行業分類
  • 車
    • 搭乘用車
    • 商用車輛
    • 摩托車
  • 船
  • 航太
  • 重型機械
    • 建造
    • 礦業
    • 農業
  • 產業
    • 發電
    • 冶金/金屬加工
    • 紡織品
    • 石油和天然氣
    • 其他
• 依基礎油類型
  • 礦物油基
  • 合成系統
  • 半合成體系
  • 生物基
• 按地區
  • 奈及利亞
  • 南非
  • 埃及
  • 阿爾及利亞
  • 摩洛哥
  • 其他非洲國家

第6章 競爭情勢

• 市場集中度
• 策略趨勢
• 市佔率和排名分析
• 公司簡介
  • Ardova Plc
  • BP plc
  • Chevron Corporation
  • CONOIL GROUP PTY LTD.
  • Engen Petroleum（PTY）LTD
  • Exxon Mobil Corporation
  • FUCHS
  • Misr Petroleum
  • MRS OIL NIGERIA PLC
  • Oando PLC
  • Sasol
  • Shell plc
  • TotalEnergies
  • Vivo Energy Holding BV

第7章 市場機會與未來展望

第8章：執行長應考慮的關鍵策略問題

According to Mordor Intelligence, the Africa lubricants market size is expected to grow from 2.68 billion liters in 2025 to 2.77 billion liters in 2026 and is forecast to reach 3.27 billion liters by 2031 at 3.36% CAGR over 2026-2031.

This report is Segmented by Product Type (Automotive Engine Oil, Industrial Engine Oil, and More), End-User Industry (Automotive, Marine, Aerospace, Heavy Equipment, and Industrial), Base Stock Type (Mineral Oil-Based, Synthetic, Semi-Synthetic, and Bio-Based), and Geography (Nigeria, South Africa, Egypt, Algeria, Morocco, and Rest of Africa). The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Volume (Liters).

Africa Lubricants Market Trends and Insights

Rapid Motorization Driving Automotive Lubricant Demand

Vehicle ownership is rising faster than population growth in major urban centers, creating a steady pull for engine oils, transmission fluids, and brake fluids. Commercial truck fleets in Lagos and Johannesburg experience arduous duty cycles, which shorten oil change intervals and increase consumption. National assembly plants across North Africa now require factory-fill volumes and consistent aftermarket supply, with local content regulations encouraging in-country blending. Motorists are gradually shifting from monograde to multigrade formulations as modern engines become more prevalent, and the preference for smaller pack sizes aligns with the purchasing power of individual car owners. OEM service networks champion licensed products that meet Euro 5 emission requirements, thereby accelerating the uptake of mid-SAPs synthetic blends.

Infrastructure-Led Mining and Construction Boom

Copper, phosphate, and critical mineral projects are expanding in South Africa, Zambia, and Morocco, each utilizing heavy mechanical loaders and conveyors that require premium hydraulic fluids and EP gear oils capable of withstanding dust and high loads. Concurrent road, port, and rail upgrades across Egypt and Nigeria sustain demand for greases and turbine oils used in large earth-moving equipment and power generation sets. Suppliers able to deliver bulk volumes to remote sites win contracts, while those offering oil analysis and condition monitoring services secure long-term relationships that lock in product offtake. The predictable operating schedules of construction consortia create baseline orders that stabilize blender capacity utilization even during seasonal dips in passenger car consumption.

Persistent Fuel-Subsidy Volatility Distorting Prices

Abrupt subsidy removals or reinstatements shift pump prices and indirectly influence lubricant demand, as transporters recalibrate mileage and maintenance budgets. Sudden cost spikes prompt operators to stretch drain intervals or down-trade to cheaper monograde oils, eroding premium segment volumes. Importers struggle to forecast landed costs when exchange rates and subsidy levels change in tandem, complicating inventory decisions. Policy uncertainty discourages heavy capital investment in blending plants and storage, prolonging reliance on toll blending and third-party logistics.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

1. Local Refinery Upgrades Boosting Base-Oil Availability
2. OEM Drain-Interval Extensions Favoring Synthetics
3. Dominance of Low-Grade Group I Imports

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

Automotive engine oil held 36.05% of Africa's lubricants market share in 2025, supported by a continent-wide vehicle fleet that continues to age under challenging operating conditions. Commercial trucks account for a sizable portion of sump volumes, and frequent oil changes increase the total liters consumed each year. Process oils, serving rubber, textile, and petrochemical plants, are forecast to grow at a 4.25% CAGR, the fastest among all product lines, thanks to industrial diversification programs in Egypt and Nigeria. Gear oils cater to underground mining machines that operate under extreme shock loads, while transmission fluids gain prominence as automatic gearboxes become more prevalent in commercial fleets. Hydraulic fluids experience steady demand from backhoes and cranes operating on large construction sites throughout West and North Africa. Metalworking fluids track the evolution of domestic component manufacturing, particularly the brake pad and filter plants that have recently been established in Morocco.

Demand for greases is rising in surface mining and marine thrusters, with lithium-complex products preferred for their water resistance. Brake fluids show linear growth in line with new vehicle assemblies, though the shift toward electric cars may curb long-term expansion. Turbine oils secure slots in combined-cycle gas plants commissioned under national electrification agendas, and transformer oils benefit from grid reinforcement projects feeding rapidly urbanizing regions. Collectively, the diversified product slate anchors the resilience of the Africa lubricants market, balancing cyclical softness in any single end-use with momentum in others.

Complete Report Scope:

• By Product Type
  • Automotive Engine Oil
  • Industrial Engine Oil
  • Transmission Fluids
  • Gear Oil
  • Brake Fluids
  • Hydraulic Fluids
  • Greases
  • Process Oil (Including Rubber Process Oil and White Oil)
  • Metalworking Fluids
  • Turbine Oil
  • Transformer Oil
  • Other Product Types
• By End-user Industry
  • Automotive
    • Passenger Vehicles
    • Commercial Vehicles
    • Two-Wheelers
  • Marine
  • Aerospace
  • Heavy Equipment
    • Construction
    • Mining
    • Agriculture
  • Industrial
    • Power Generation
    • Metallurgy and Metalworking
    • Textiles
    • Oil and Gas
    • Other End-Use Industries
• By Base Stock Type
  • Mineral Oil-Based Lubricants
  • Synthetic Lubricants
  • Semi-Synthetic Lubricants
  • Bio-Based Lubricants
• By Geography
  • Nigeria
  • South Africa
  • Egypt
  • Algeria
  • Morocco
  • Rest of Africa

List of Companies Covered in this Report:

1. Ardova Plc
2. BP plc
3. Chevron Corporation
4. CONOIL GROUP PTY LTD.
5. Engen Petroleum (PTY) LTD
6. Exxon Mobil Corporation
7. FUCHS
8. Misr Petroleum
9. MRS OIL NIGERIA PLC
10. Oando PLC
11. Sasol
12. Shell plc
13. TotalEnergies
14. Vivo Energy Holding B.V.

Additional Benefits:

• The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
• 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 Introduction

• 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
• 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 Research Methodology

3 Executive Summary

4 Market Landscape

• 4.1 Market Overview
• 4.2 Market Drivers
  • 4.2.1 Rapid motorisation driving automotive lubricant demand
  • 4.2.2 Infrastructure-led mining and construction boom
  • 4.2.3 Local refinery upgrades boosting base-oil availability
  • 4.2.4 OEM drain-interval extensions favouring synthetics
  • 4.2.5 Fast-growing e-commerce fleet requiring high-performance fluids
• 4.3 Market Restraints
  • 4.3.1 Persistent fuel-subsidy volatility distorting prices
  • 4.3.2 Dominance of low-grade Group I imports
  • 4.3.3 Informal counterfeit-oil networks eroding brand value
• 4.4 Value Chain Analysis
• 4.5 Regulatory Framework
• 4.6 End-User Trends
  • 4.6.1 Automotive Industry
  • 4.6.2 Manufacturing Industry
  • 4.6.3 Power Generation Industry
• 4.7 Porter's Five Forces
  • 4.7.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
  • 4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers
  • 4.7.3 Threat of New Entrants
  • 4.7.4 Threat of Substitutes
  • 4.7.5 Degree of Competition

5 Market Size and Growth Forecasts (Volume)

• 5.1 By Product Type
  • 5.1.1 Automotive Engine Oil
  • 5.1.2 Industrial Engine Oil
  • 5.1.3 Transmission Fluids
  • 5.1.4 Gear Oil
  • 5.1.5 Brake Fluids
  • 5.1.6 Hydraulic Fluids
  • 5.1.7 Greases
  • 5.1.8 Process Oil (Including Rubber Process Oil and White Oil)
  • 5.1.9 Metalworking Fluids
  • 5.1.10 Turbine Oil
  • 5.1.11 Transformer Oil
  • 5.1.12 Other Product Types
• 5.2 By End-user Industry
  • 5.2.1 Automotive
    • 5.2.1.1 Passenger Vehicles
    • 5.2.1.2 Commercial Vehicles
    • 5.2.1.3 Two-Wheelers
  • 5.2.2 Marine
  • 5.2.3 Aerospace
  • 5.2.4 Heavy Equipment
    • 5.2.4.1 Construction
    • 5.2.4.2 Mining
    • 5.2.4.3 Agriculture
  • 5.2.5 Industrial
    • 5.2.5.1 Power Generation
    • 5.2.5.2 Metallurgy and Metalworking
    • 5.2.5.3 Textiles
    • 5.2.5.4 Oil and Gas
    • 5.2.5.5 Other End-Use Industries
• 5.3 By Base Stock Type
  • 5.3.1 Mineral Oil-Based Lubricants
  • 5.3.2 Synthetic Lubricants
  • 5.3.3 Semi-Synthetic Lubricants
  • 5.3.4 Bio-Based Lubricants
• 5.4 By Geography
  • 5.4.1 Nigeria
  • 5.4.2 South Africa
  • 5.4.3 Egypt
  • 5.4.4 Algeria
  • 5.4.5 Morocco
  • 5.4.6 Rest of Africa

6 Competitive Landscape

• 6.1 Market Concentration
• 6.2 Strategic Moves
• 6.3 Market Share (%)/Ranking Analysis
• 6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global-level Overview, Market-level Overview, Core Segments, Financials, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share, Products and Services, Recent Developments)
  • 6.4.1 Ardova Plc
  • 6.4.2 BP plc
  • 6.4.3 Chevron Corporation
  • 6.4.4 CONOIL GROUP PTY LTD.
  • 6.4.5 Engen Petroleum (PTY) LTD
  • 6.4.6 Exxon Mobil Corporation
  • 6.4.7 FUCHS
  • 6.4.8 Misr Petroleum
  • 6.4.9 MRS OIL NIGERIA PLC
  • 6.4.10 Oando PLC
  • 6.4.11 Sasol
  • 6.4.12 Shell plc
  • 6.4.13 TotalEnergies
  • 6.4.14 Vivo Energy Holding B.V.

7 Market Opportunities and Future Outlook

• 7.1 White-space and Unmet-need Assessment

8 Key Strategic Questions for CEOs