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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1906199

中東和非洲行動通訊業者(MNO):市場佔有率分析、產業趨勢、統計數據和成長預測(2026-2031 年)

Middle East And Africa Telecom MNO - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2026 - 2031)

出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 100 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

預計到 2026 年,中東和非洲的行動通訊業者(MNO) 市場規模將達到 3,817.9 億美元。

預計該產業規模將從 2025 年的 3,450.4 億美元成長到 2031 年的 6,333.8 億美元,2026 年至 2031 年的複合年成長率為 10.65%。

中東和非洲電信 MNO 市場-IMG1

5G的快速部署、光纖回程回程傳輸的擴展以及智慧型手機普及率的不斷提高,共同推動該地區保持結構性高速成長。投資熱情依然高漲,埃及斥資1.5億美元獲得了首批5G牌照,沙烏地阿拉伯則計劃在2025年將5G固定無線接入(FWA)覆蓋率提升至78%。摩洛哥計劃投資4.75億美元,力爭2025年底實現25%的5G覆蓋率,凸顯了其對次世代接取的重視。來自低地球軌道(LEO)衛星寬頻的競爭壓力以及紅海海底光纜走廊周邊的地緣政治風險預計將抑制市場情緒,但企業數位化和行動支付帶來的每用戶平均收入(ARPU)成長將部分抵消這些影響。

中東和非洲行動通訊業者(MNO) 市場趨勢與洞察

影片類應用程式推動行動數據流量爆炸性成長

隨著用戶從語音通話和簡訊轉向高清串流媒體,影片消費正在重塑通訊業者的收入結構。沿岸地區的簡訊收入預計將從2013年的43億美元下降到2018年的32億美元,而同期行動數據流量卻增加了180%。營運商正透過增加5G小型基地台的密度來應對這項變化。預計到2030年,中東和北非地區的小型基地台市場規模將達到4.1254億美元(複合年成長率為40.9%)。固定無線存取(FWA)訂閱每月費用約為70美元,無需鋪設新的光纖即可實現家庭串流媒體流量的貨幣化。網路負責人目前正在權衡大規模MIMO升級的成本與高階用戶日益成長的Gigabit方案付費意願。在撒哈拉以南非洲地區,預計到2030年,每位用戶每月的數據使用量將成長兩倍,達到14GB,這需要同時對頻譜和回程傳輸進行投資。

支援頻譜競標將加速4G和5G部署

海灣和北非的監管機構目前優先考慮的是覆蓋目標,而不是一次性競標費用。沙烏地阿拉伯的《2025-2027年頻譜展望》為非地面電波網路和固定無線存取(FWA)分配了新的頻譜,並透過簡化的許可製度顯著縮短了營運商的產品上市時間。南非的《2025年國家無線電頻率規劃》(草案)也同樣為專用私有網路預留了頻譜,以促進工業5G的發展。阿拉伯聯合大公國目前已運作7,000個5G基地台,並計畫在2025年部署500個園區專用網路。巴林、約旦、科威特和沙烏地阿拉伯同時關閉2G/3G網路將釋放低頻寬頻譜用於5G,並進一步提高頻譜效率。這些措施將加速遍遠地區寬頻的普及,並降低每比特傳輸成本,這對於維持中東和非洲行動通訊業者(MNO)的收入基礎至關重要。

激烈的市場競爭和強制性的SIM卡註冊制度抑制了ARPU值的成長。

強制性生物識別SIM卡註冊增加了合規成本,而新進業者則在肯亞和加納等市場引發了價格戰。通貨膨脹雪上加霜,進一步削弱了消費者的購買力,監管機構為了保護家庭預算,限制了資費上漲。營運商正透過內容包和會員應用程式來應對,但法規環境的碎片化導致實施不均衡,限制了中東和非洲電信行動網路營運商市場的獲利能力。

細分市場分析

資料通訊和網際網路套餐將成為中東和非洲電信行動網路營運商 (MNO) 市場最大的收入驅動力,到 2025 年將佔總收入的 39.35%。物聯網/機器對機器 (IoT/M2M) 業務將特別突出,到 2031 年,其在中東和非洲電信 MNO 市場規模中的複合年成長率 (CAGR) 將達到 10.74%。隨著 OTT 平台逐漸佔據市場主導地位,語音和通訊的佔有率將合計低於 25%。為此,通訊業者將透過影片服務免流量和與付費電視捆綁銷售等方式來客戶維繫。邊緣運算節點和 API 的商業化將成為補充資料方案的新收入來源。

在預測期內,應用即服務(AppaaS)模式將依賴5G獨立組網,從而在遊戲和遠端醫療領域實現低延遲應用。漫遊和批發流量曾經呈現週期性波動,但隨著非洲內部貿易的成長,這些流量將趨於穩定。平均數據價格將繼續下降,但強勁的流量彈性將抵消這一趨勢,從而支撐中東和北非地區行動網路營運商(MNO)市場規模的擴張。

中東和非洲電信行動網路營運商 (MNO) 市場按服務類型(語音服務、數據/網際網路服務、通訊服務、物聯網/機器對機器 (IoT/M2M) 服務、OTT/付費電視服務及其他服務)、最終用戶(企業、消費者)和地區進行細分。市場預測以價值(美元)和用戶數)為單位。

其他福利:

  • Excel格式的市場預測(ME)表
  • 3個月的分析師支持

目錄

第1章 引言

  • 研究假設和市場定義
  • 調查範圍

第2章調查方法

第3章執行摘要

第4章 市場情勢

  • 市場概覽
  • 監理與政策框架
  • 頻譜環境和競爭性擁有情形
  • 電信業生態系統
  • 宏觀經濟與外在因素
  • 波特五力分析
    • 競爭對手之間的競爭
    • 新進入者的威脅
    • 供應商的議價能力
    • 買方的議價能力
    • 替代品的威脅
  • 領先行動網路營運商的關鍵績效指標(2020-2025)
    • 獨立行動用戶和滲透率
    • 行動網路使用者數量和普及率
    • 按接取技術和滲透率分類的SIM卡連線數
    • 蜂巢式物聯網/M2M連接
    • 寬頻連線(移動和固定)
    • ARPU(每位用戶平均收入)
    • 用戶平均每月數據使用量(GB/月)
  • 市場促進因素
    • 影片類應用程式推動行動數據流量爆炸性成長
    • 支援性的頻譜競標加速了4G和5G的部署。
    • 企業數位化推動了對物聯網/機器對機器(IoT/M2M)連接的需求
    • 撒哈拉以南非洲地區由青年主導的智慧型手機普及
    • 跨境行動支付互通性提升了每位用戶平均收入 (ARPU)。
    • 面向大型企劃和智慧城市的專用 5G 網路切片
  • 市場限制
    • 激烈的市場競爭和SIM卡註冊要求會抑制ARPU值。
    • 地緣政治不穩定延緩了基礎建設投資
    • 低地球軌道衛星寬頻成為農村地區的替代方案
    • 非洲內陸國家光纖回程傳輸短缺
  • 技術展望
  • 電信業主要經營模式分析
  • 定價模式和定價分析

第5章 市場規模及成長預測(價值及數量)

  • 通訊總收入和每位用戶平均收入
  • 服務類型
    • 語音服務
    • 數據和網際網路服務
    • 通訊服務
    • 物聯網和機器對機器服務
    • OTT和付費電視服務
    • 其他服務(附加價值服務、漫遊服務、企業/批發服務等)
  • 最終用戶
    • 公司
    • 消費者
  • 地區
    • 中東
      • 沙烏地阿拉伯
      • 阿拉伯聯合大公國
      • 其他中東國家(卡達、科威特、巴林、阿曼、約旦、伊拉克、黎巴嫩、以色列等)
    • 非洲
      • 南非
      • 奈及利亞
      • 其他非洲國家(埃及、摩洛哥、阿爾及利亞、突尼西亞、迦納、坦尚尼亞、塞內加爾、衣索比亞、烏干達、肯亞等)

第6章 競爭情勢

  • 市場集中度
  • 主要供應商的策略與投資動向(2023-2025)
  • 2024年行動通訊業者(MNO)市佔率分析
  • Product Benchmarking Analysis for mobile network services
  • MNO snapshot(subscribers, churn rate, ARPU, etc.)
  • 行動通訊業者(MNO)公司簡介*
    • e&(Etisalat Group)
    • STC Group
    • Ooredoo Group
    • Zain Group
    • MTN Group
    • Vodacom Group
    • Orange Middle East and Africa
    • Airtel Africa
    • Safaricom PLC
    • Maroc Telecom SA
    • Telecom Egypt(WE)
    • Globacom Limited(Glo Mobile)
    • 9mobile(EMTS)
    • Telkom SA SOC Limited
    • Cell C
    • Omantel
    • Batelco(Beyon Group)
    • du(EITC)
    • Sudan Telecom Group Limited(Sudatel)
    • Ethio Telecom
    • AXIAN Telecom
    • Econet Wireless Zimbabwe
    • MTC Namibia

第7章 市場機會與未來展望

簡介目錄
Product Code: 91877

Middle East And Africa Telecom MNO Market size in 2026 is estimated at USD 381.79 billion, growing from 2025 value of USD 345.04 billion with 2031 projections showing USD 633.38 billion, growing at 10.65% CAGR over 2026-2031.

Middle East And Africa Telecom MNO - Market - IMG1

Rapid 5G deployments, expanding fiber backhaul, and rising smartphone penetration combine to keep the region on a structurally high-growth trajectory. Investment intensity remains elevated: Egypt paid USD 150 million for its first 5G license, while Saudi Arabia pushed 5G Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) to 78% population coverage in 2025. Morocco committed USD 475 million to reach 25% 5G coverage by end-2025, underscoring a broad policy focus on next-generation access. Competitive pressure from low-earth-orbit (LEO) satellite broadband and geopolitical risks around the Red Sea cable corridor temper sentiment, but are offset by enterprise digitalization and mobile-money-driven ARPU gains.

Middle East And Africa Telecom MNO Market Trends and Insights

Explosive growth in mobile data traffic from video-centric apps

Video viewing reshapes operator revenue architecture as users pivot from voice and SMS to high-definition streaming. SMS revenue in the Gulf fell from USD 4.3 billion in 2013 to a projected USD 3.2 billion in 2018, while mobile data volumes rose 180% in the same span . Operators respond by densifying 5G small cells; the MENA small-cell market is projected to reach USD 412.54 million by 2030, a 40.9% CAGR . FWA subscriptions, priced near USD 70 each month, monetize in-home streaming traffic without fresh fiber builds. Network planners now weigh the cost of massive-MIMO upgrades against the rising willingness of premium users to pay for gigabit packages. In Sub-Saharan Africa, monthly data usage is forecast to triple to 14 GB per user by 2030, demanding parallel investment in both spectrum and backhaul.

Accelerated 4G and 5G roll-outs enabled by supportive spectrum auctions

Regulators across the Gulf and North Africa now favor coverage targets over windfall auction fees. Saudi Arabia's 2025-2027 Spectrum Outlook sets aside new bands for non-terrestrial networks and FWA via light licensing, slashing time-to-market for operators. South Africa's draft 2025 National Radio Frequency Plan similarly carves out dedicated private-network spectrum that encourages industrial 5G . The UAE already operates 7,000 5G sites, with a policy aiming for 500 on-campus private networks by 2025. Concurrent 2G/3G switch-offs in Bahrain, Jordan, Kuwait, and Saudi Arabia release low-band spectrum for 5G, further boosting spectral efficiency. The collective result is faster rural broadband coverage and lower per-bit delivery cost, crucial for sustaining the Middle East and Africa telecom MNO market's profit pool.

Aggressive price competition and SIM registration curbing ARPU

Mandatory biometric SIM registration raises compliance costs even as new entrants trigger price wars in markets like Kenya and Ghana. Inflation adds a second squeeze by eroding consumer spend capacity, while regulators cap tariff hikes to protect households. Operators counter with content bundles and loyalty apps, but execution is uneven in fragmented regulatory environments, restraining monetization in the Middle East and Africa telecom MNO market.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

  1. Enterprise digitization fueling IoT/M2M connectivity demand
  2. Youth-driven smartphone adoption across Sub-Saharan Africa
  3. Geopolitical instability delaying infrastructure investment

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

Data and Internet plans accounted for 39.35% of 2025 revenue, making them the single largest contributor to the Middle East and Africa telecom MNO market. IoT/M2M is the standout, expanding at a CAGR of 10.74% in the Middle East and Africa telecom MNO market size by 2031. Voice and messaging together will slip below 25% as OTT platforms cannibalize usage. Operators respond by zero-rating video services and bundling PayTV to sustain stickiness. Edge computing nodes and API monetization emerge as adjacent revenue streams that complement data plans.

Over the forecast horizon, Apps-as-a-Service models will lean on 5G standalone cores, opening low-latency use cases in gaming and telemedicine. Roaming and wholesale traffic, once cyclical, stabilize as intra-Africa trade flows broaden. Average data pricing will continue its southward drift but remain offset by strong volume elasticity, supporting the Middle East and Africa telecom MNO market size expansion.

The Middle East and Africa Telecom MNO Market is Segmented by Service Type (Voice Services, Data and Internet Services, Messaging Services, Iot and M2M Services, OTT and PayTV Services, and Other Services), End User (Enterprises, Consumer), and Geography. The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD) and Volume (Subscribers).

List of Companies Covered in this Report:

  1. e& (Etisalat Group)
  2. STC Group
  3. Ooredoo Group
  4. Zain Group
  5. MTN Group
  6. Vodacom Group
  7. Orange Middle East and Africa
  8. Airtel Africa
  9. Safaricom PLC
  10. Maroc Telecom SA
  11. Telecom Egypt (WE)
  12. Globacom Limited (Glo Mobile)
  13. 9mobile (EMTS)
  14. Telkom SA SOC Limited
  15. Cell C
  16. Omantel
  17. Batelco (Beyon Group)
  18. du (EITC)
  19. Sudan Telecom Group Limited (Sudatel)
  20. Ethio Telecom
  21. AXIAN Telecom
  22. Econet Wireless Zimbabwe
  23. MTC Namibia

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4 MARKET LANDSCAPE

  • 4.1 Market Overview
  • 4.2 Regulatory and Policy Framework
  • 4.3 Spectrum Landscape and Competitive Holdings
  • 4.4 Telecom Industry Ecosystem
  • 4.5 Macroeconomic and External Drivers
  • 4.6 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
    • 4.6.1 Competitive Rivalry
    • 4.6.2 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.6.3 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.6.4 Bargaining Power of Buyers
    • 4.6.5 Threat of Substitutes
  • 4.7 Key MNO KPIs (2020-2025)
    • 4.7.1 Unique Mobile Subscribers and Penetration Rate
    • 4.7.2 Mobile Internet Users and Penetration Rate
    • 4.7.3 SIM Connections by Access Technology and Penetration
    • 4.7.4 Cellular IoT / M2M Connections
    • 4.7.5 Broadband Connections (Mobile and Fixed)
    • 4.7.6 ARPU (Average Revenue Per User)
    • 4.7.7 Average Data Usage per Subscription (GB/month)
  • 4.8 Market Drivers
    • 4.8.1 Explosive growth in mobile data traffic from video-centric apps
    • 4.8.2 Accelerated 4G and 5G roll-outs enabled by supportive spectrum auctions
    • 4.8.3 Enterprise digitization fueling IoT/M2M connectivity demand
    • 4.8.4 Youth-driven smartphone adoption across Sub-Saharan Africa
    • 4.8.5 Cross-border mobile-money interoperability boosting ARPU
    • 4.8.6 Private 5G network slicing for mega-projects and smart cities
  • 4.9 Market Restraints
    • 4.9.1 Aggressive price competition and SIM registration curbing ARPU
    • 4.9.2 Geopolitical instability delaying infrastructure investment
    • 4.9.3 LEO satellite broadband emerging as rural substitute
    • 4.9.4 Limited fiber backhaul in land-locked African nations
  • 4.10 Technological Outlook
  • 4.11 Analysis of key business models in Telecom Sector
  • 4.12 Analysis of Pricing Models and Pricing

5 MARKET SIZE AND GROWTH FORECASTS (VALUE AND VOLUME)

  • 5.1 Overall Telecom Revenue and ARPU
  • 5.2 Service Type
    • 5.2.1 Voice Services
    • 5.2.2 Data and Internet Services
    • 5.2.3 Messaging Services
    • 5.2.4 IoT and M2M Services
    • 5.2.5 OTT and PayTV Services
    • 5.2.6 Other Services (VAS, Roaming, Enterprise and Wholesale, etc.)
  • 5.3 End-user
    • 5.3.1 Enterprises
    • 5.3.2 Consumer
  • 5.4 Geography
    • 5.4.1 Middle East
      • 5.4.1.1 Saudi Arabia
      • 5.4.1.2 United Arab Emirates
      • 5.4.1.3 Rest of the Middle East (Qatar, Kuwait, Bahrain, Oman, Jordan, Iraq, Lebanon, Israel, and Others)
    • 5.4.2 Africa
      • 5.4.2.1 South Africa
      • 5.4.2.2 Nigeria
      • 5.4.2.3 Rest of Africa (Egypt, Morocco, Algeria, Tunisia, Ghana, Tanzania, Senegal, Ethiopia, Uganda, Kenya, and Others)

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 6.1 Market Concentration
  • 6.2 Strategic Moves and Investments by key vendors, 2023-2025
  • 6.3 Market share analysis for MNOs, 2024
  • 6.4 Product Benchmarking Analysis for mobile network services
  • 6.5 MNO snapshot (subscribers, churn rate, ARPU, etc.)
  • 6.6 Company Profiles* of MNOs (Includes Business Overview | Service Portfolio | Financials | Business Strategy and Recent Developments | SWOT Analysis)
    • 6.6.1 e& (Etisalat Group)
    • 6.6.2 STC Group
    • 6.6.3 Ooredoo Group
    • 6.6.4 Zain Group
    • 6.6.5 MTN Group
    • 6.6.6 Vodacom Group
    • 6.6.7 Orange Middle East and Africa
    • 6.6.8 Airtel Africa
    • 6.6.9 Safaricom PLC
    • 6.6.10 Maroc Telecom SA
    • 6.6.11 Telecom Egypt (WE)
    • 6.6.12 Globacom Limited (Glo Mobile)
    • 6.6.13 9mobile (EMTS)
    • 6.6.14 Telkom SA SOC Limited
    • 6.6.15 Cell C
    • 6.6.16 Omantel
    • 6.6.17 Batelco (Beyon Group)
    • 6.6.18 du (EITC)
    • 6.6.19 Sudan Telecom Group Limited (Sudatel)
    • 6.6.20 Ethio Telecom
    • 6.6.21 AXIAN Telecom
    • 6.6.22 Econet Wireless Zimbabwe
    • 6.6.23 MTC Namibia

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE OUTLOOK

  • 7.1 White-space and Unmet-Need Assessment