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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1824112
排碳權的全球市場:類型,供給來源,計劃類型,產業,廢棄物處理廠房,地區 - 市場規模,產業動態,機會分析,預測(2025年~2035年)Global Carbon Credit Market: Type, Sources, Project Type, Industry, Waste Treatment Plant, Region - Market Size, Industry Dynamics, Opportunity Analysis And Forecast For 2025-2035 |
碳信用額市場正經歷爆炸性成長,且日益複雜,反映出其在全球應對氣候變遷的努力中日益重要的地位。 2024年,市場規模為1.1424兆美元,預計到2035年將達到4.9837兆美元。這一增長在預測期(2025-2035年)的複合年增長率為18%,顯示碳交易作為減排關鍵手段的動能正在加速。
這項預測的成長並非僅僅是市場投機的結果;它深植於具體的需求動態,尤其是來自企業部門的需求動態。光是2023年,企業就註銷了約1.61億個碳信用額,顯示企業對抵銷排放的承諾日益堅定且持續成長。隨著科學減碳目標 (SBT) 的日益普及,企業普遍採取的行動也得到了進一步加強。全球已有超過 5,200 家公司將其氣候變遷策略與科學減碳目標結合。
新興經濟體和企業對參與碳信用交易表現出濃厚興趣,這表明全球市場正在不斷拓寬和深化。一個值得關注的例子是星展中國最近與中新蘇州工業園區發展集團 (CSSD) 旗下子公司中新蘇州工業園區綠色發展有限公司 (CSSGD) 和氣候影響 X (CIX) 簽署的諒解備忘錄 (MOU)。該合作旨在促進中國境內的碳信用交易,並將其範圍擴大到境外。
同時,企業正透過旨在促進優質信用額取得的新服務進入碳信用額市場。 2025 年 3 月,亞馬遜為符合資格的企業推出了碳信用額服務。這項服務簡化了取得經過驗證的可靠碳信用額的流程,使企業能夠更有效、更透明地抵銷排放。亞馬遜進軍這一領域反映了企業對可靠氣候解決方案日益增長的需求。它展示了私營部門的創新如何補充政府和多邊努力,以擴大全球碳市場。
成長動力
日益嚴格的政府法規和雄心勃勃的國家氣候變遷目標是碳信用市場快速成長的關鍵驅動力。認識到碳信用額在實現氣候變遷目標方面發揮的關鍵作用,世界各國政府正在實施更嚴格的政策和監管框架來支持其使用。這些監管收緊措施旨在確保碳信用額的可靠性、可驗證性和溫室氣體減排有效性。
新的機會趨勢
數位化測量、報告和驗證 (MRV) 系統的發展是推動碳市場成長和創新的變革趨勢。這些數位化MRV解決方案是一項重要的進步,透過提高透明度和確保碳信用額的完整性,顯著增強了碳交易的管理和整體效率。隨著碳市場的擴張和日益複雜,對排放和碳清除活動的可靠、即時和準確監測的需求變得比以往任何時候都更加重要。數位化MRV系統利用尖端技術,自動化和簡化碳減排追蹤流程,從而滿足了這項需求。
優化障礙
對 "漂綠" 和碳抵消專案聲明完整性的擔憂是可能阻礙碳信用額市場成長的重大課題。隨著碳抵消需求的增加,對聲稱減少或消除溫室氣體排放的各種項目的真實性和有效性的審查也日益嚴格。 "漂綠" ——即呈現誤導性或誇大環境效益的做法——會破壞市場信任,並引發人們對碳信用對氣候變遷的真正影響的懷疑。這種懷疑態度可能會疏遠潛在的買家、投資者和監管機構,減緩市場擴張,並削弱整體信心。
本報告探討並分析了全球碳信用市場,提供了每個細分市場的規模和預測、市場動態和趨勢以及公司概況。
The carbon credit market is one marked by explosive growth and increasing complexity, reflecting its rising importance in the global effort to combat climate change. Valued at an impressive US$1,142.40 billion in 2024, the market is on track for extraordinary expansion, with projections estimating it will reach nearly US$4,983.7 billion by 2035. This growth corresponds to a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18% over the forecast period from 2025 to 2035, underscoring the accelerating momentum behind carbon trading as a critical tool for emissions reduction.
This projected surge is not merely a result of market speculation but is deeply rooted in tangible demand dynamics, particularly from the corporate sector. In 2023 alone, companies retired an estimated 161 million carbon credits, demonstrating a strong and growing commitment to offsetting their emissions. This widespread corporate engagement is further bolstered by the increasing adoption of Science-Based Targets (SBTs), with more than 5,200 firms globally aligning their climate strategies with scientifically grounded goals.
Emerging economies and companies are increasingly demonstrating a strong interest in participating in carbon credit trading, signaling a broadening and deepening of the market on a global scale. A notable example is DBS China's recent signing of a memorandum of understanding with China-Singapore Suzhou Industrial Park Green Development Company (CSSGD), a subsidiary of China-Singapore Suzhou Industrial Park Development Group (CSSD), along with Climate Impact X (CIX). This partnership aims to advance carbon credit trading within China and extend its reach beyond national borders.
Meanwhile, corporate players are entering the carbon credit market with new services designed to facilitate access to high-quality credits. In March 2025, Amazon launched its carbon credit service aimed at qualified companies. This service provides streamlined access to verified and credible carbon credits, enabling businesses to offset their emissions more effectively and transparently. Amazon's entry into this space reflects the growing corporate demand for credible climate solutions. This illustrates how private sector innovation is complementing government and multilateral efforts to scale carbon markets globally.
Core Growth Drivers
Increasingly stringent government regulations and ambitious national climate targets are key drivers behind the rapid growth of the carbon credit market. Around the world, governments are recognizing the critical role that carbon credits play in achieving their climate goals and are consequently implementing more rigorous policies and regulatory frameworks to support their use. These enhanced regulations are designed to ensure that carbon credits are credible, verifiable, and effective in reducing greenhouse gas emissions.
Emerging Opportunity Trends
The development of digital Measurement, Reporting, and Verification (MRV) systems represents a major transformative trend driving growth and innovation within the carbon market. These digital MRV solutions are vital advancements that significantly enhance the operations and overall effectiveness of carbon trading by improving transparency and ensuring the integrity of carbon credits. As the carbon market expands and becomes increasingly complex, the need for reliable, real-time, and accurate monitoring of emissions and carbon removal activities has become more critical than ever. Digital MRV systems address this need by leveraging cutting-edge technologies to automate and streamline the processes involved in tracking carbon reductions.
Barriers to Optimization
Concerns over greenwashing and the integrity of offset project claims present significant challenges that could hamper the growth of the carbon credit market. As the demand for carbon offsets increases, so too does scrutiny over the authenticity and effectiveness of various projects claiming to reduce or remove greenhouse gas emissions. Greenwashing-the practice of presenting misleading or exaggerated environmental benefits-undermines trust in the market and raises doubts about whether carbon credits truly represent genuine climate action. This skepticism can deter potential buyers, investors, and regulators, slowing market expansion and reducing overall confidence.
By Type, the compliance segment's overwhelming 99.6% share of the carbon credit market highlights its absolute dominance and fundamental influence over the entire landscape. This dominance is not a coincidence but rather a structural reality shaped by legally binding government mandates and international agreements designed to curb greenhouse gas emissions. Central to this framework are cap-and-trade systems, which establish limits on emissions and create a regulated marketplace for trading carbon credits. Among these, the European Union's Emissions Trading System (EU ETS) stands out as the world's largest and most influential.
By Source, technology-based carbon credits have firmly established their dominance in the market, capturing a substantial 46.9% share. This growing prominence reflects an increasing demand for carbon removal solutions that are not only effective but also permanent and highly verifiable. Unlike many nature-based solutions, which can be vulnerable to risks such as forest fires, disease, or land-use changes that may reverse the carbon sequestration achieved, technology-driven methods provide a more durable and reliable approach to removing CO2 from the atmosphere.
By Project Type, carbon removal projects dominate the market with an impressive 75.3% share, reflecting a significant shift in global climate strategy. The focus within the environmental community and among policymakers has moved beyond merely preventing future emissions to actively removing existing carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. This transition acknowledges the urgent need to address legacy carbon-greenhouse gases that have already accumulated and continue to drive climate change.
By Selling Platform, climate exchange platforms have emerged as the dominant force in the carbon credit transaction infrastructure, commanding an impressive 64.9% share of the market. Their rise to prominence is largely due to their ability to deliver the transparency, liquidity, and efficiency that the evolving carbon market demands. By operating as centralized digital marketplaces, these platforms effectively bring together buyers and sellers within a highly regulated environment. This setup fosters robust price discovery, allowing market participants to gauge the true value of carbon credits through open and dynamic trading processes.
By Industry, the power generation industry holds the position of the largest consumer in the carbon credit market, commanding a significant 22.1% share. This prominent role directly stems from its status as one of the primary sources of global greenhouse gas emissions. Fossil fuel power plants, which generate much of the world's electricity, release vast amounts of carbon dioxide and other pollutants into the atmosphere, making them central targets for emissions reduction efforts worldwide.
By Type
By Project Type
By Selling Platform
By Business Size
By Industry
By Region
Geography Breakdown