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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1818053
2032 年碳農業市場預測:按實踐類型、碳權類型、服務類型、收益模式、技術、最終用戶和地區進行全球分析Carbon Farming Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Practice Type, Carbon Credit Type, Service Type, Revenue Model, Technology, End User and By Geography |
根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,全球碳農業市場預計在 2025 年達到 6.163 億美元,到 2032 年將達到 17.314 億美元,預測期內的複合年成長率為 15.9%。
碳農業是一套再生農業實踐,旨在增強土壤、植被和生質能的碳儲存。透過最佳化土地管理實踐,例如覆蓋作物、農林複合經營、輪牧和減少耕作,這些實踐可以增加土壤有機質並減少溫室氣體排放。其目標是形成淨碳匯,改善土壤健康、生物多樣性和應對氣候變遷的能力。碳農業支持永續的糧食系統,同時透過檢驗的碳補償計畫和增強的生態系統服務為減緩氣候變遷做出貢獻。
企業淨零排放與永續性目標不斷提升
各行各業的公司正在將基於自然的解決方案(例如土壤碳封存和重新造林)納入其脫碳策略。這種轉變的推動力來自日益成長的投資者壓力、監管獎勵以及氣候智慧型企業營運帶來的聲譽效益。隨著碳計量框架的成熟,企業擴大投資於檢驗的農業碳抵消,以實現其範圍三的減排目標。預計對源自可再生農業實踐的高度整合碳權的需求將激增,從而增強市場的成長軌跡。
缺乏標準化和市場分散
從遙感探測到土壤採樣等測量技術的多樣性,為碳排放額度的評估和持久性帶來了不確定性。不同登記機構和地區之間缺乏統一的標準,使得碳排放額度的可比性變得複雜,並限制了其可擴展性。小農戶往往難以駕馭複雜的認證流程,這進一步阻礙了他們的參與。這些不一致之處削弱了投資者的信心,並減緩了碳農業作為主流氣候減緩工具的普及。
碳加信貸發展
平台正在不斷發展,以量化和收益這些附加效益,從而實現溢價定價並擴大市場吸引力。人工智慧監控與區塊鏈可追溯性的整合也提高了透明度,並有助於區分高品質的信用額度。這些增強信用額度涵蓋了生物多樣性恢復、水資源保護和土壤健康改善等內容,對尋求整體永續性成果的買家更具吸引力。隨著需求轉向多重影響抵消,碳+信用額度有可能重新定義自願性碳市場的價值提案。
無常風險
諸如野火、乾旱和土地利用變化等事件可能會使多年的碳儲存失效,並破壞碳權的完整性。這種非永久性風險威脅著農業碳補償的可信度,尤其是在氣候不穩定或土地權屬保護薄弱的地區。買家和監管機構對永久性擔保的審查日益嚴格,這促使人們需要建立健全的緩衝池並做出長期監控承諾。如果沒有可靠的保障措施,市場信心可能會受到侵蝕,進而影響未來的投資流。
新冠疫情對碳農業市場的影響不大。起初,農業供應鏈和田間作業的中斷減緩了計劃實施和檢驗活動。然而,這場危機也激發了人們對韌性和分散式氣候解決方案的興趣。各國政府和非政府組織開始將再生農業作為綠色復甦計畫的一部分進行推廣,以提高公眾意識並籌集資金。遙感探測技術作為現場審核的替代方案,日益受到關注,從而確保了信貸發放的連續性。
預計保護性犁地和犁地農業領域將成為預測期內最大的領域
預計在預測期內,保護性犁地和犁地農業領域將佔據最大的市場佔有率,因為保護性耕作和免耕技術能夠最大限度地減少土壤擾動,增強有機碳保留,並減少土壤侵蝕。擴充性不同的農業氣候區,適合大規模的碳封存工作。此外,由於其兼顧環境和經濟目標,降低燃料消耗和提高作物抗逆性等營運效益預計將顯著提升其應用。
預測期內,牲畜甲烷減排信用額度預計將以最高複合年成長率成長
預計畜牧業甲烷減量額度將在預測期內實現最高成長率,這得益於飼料添加劑、厭氧消化器和糞便管理系統等技術創新的推動。這些技術因其在減少溫室氣體排放的同時提高農場生產力的雙重效應而日益受到青睞。甲烷的全球暖化潛勢遠高於二氧化碳,因此,畜牧業干預措施產生的減排額度正在吸引優質買家。
由於強力的政策框架和企業對氣候變遷的承諾,北美預計將在預測期內佔據最大的市場佔有率。該地區受益於先進的農業基礎設施、精密農業的廣泛應用以及對自願性碳市場的積極參與。美國的「氣候智慧型商品」計畫和加州的「限額與交易」計畫等美國本土舉措正在推動計劃發展。
在預測期內,由於農業經濟的擴張和氣候意識的增強,亞太地區預計將呈現最高的複合年成長率。印度、中國和印尼等國家正在投資再生農業,以應對土壤劣化並增強糧食安全。政府支持的碳權計畫和國際氣候融資正在為小農戶的參與創造新的機會。該地區廣闊的土地和多樣化的生態系統為可擴展的碳封存提供了巨大的潛力。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Carbon Farming Market is accounted for $616.3 million in 2025 and is expected to reach $1731.4 million by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 15.9% during the forecast period. Carbon farming is a suite of regenerative agricultural practices designed to enhance carbon sequestration in soil, vegetation, and biomass. By optimizing land management such as cover cropping, agroforestry, rotational grazing, and reduced tillage these methods increase soil organic matter and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. The goal is to create a net carbon sink, improving soil health, biodiversity, and climate resilience. Carbon farming supports sustainable food systems while contributing to climate mitigation through verified carbon offset programs and ecosystem service enhancement
Increasing corporate net-zero and sustainability goals
Businesses across sectors are integrating nature-based solutions like soil carbon sequestration and afforestation into their decarbonization strategies. This shift is driven by mounting investor pressure, regulatory incentives, and reputational benefits tied to climate-positive operations. As carbon accounting frameworks mature, companies are increasingly investing in verified agricultural offsets to meet Scope 3 reduction targets. The demand for high-integrity carbon credits sourced from regenerative farming practices is expected to surge, reinforcing the market's growth trajectory.
Lack of standardization and market fragmentation
Variability in measurement techniques ranging from remote sensing to soil sampling creates uncertainty in credit valuation and permanence. The absence of unified standards across registries and geographies complicates credit comparability, limiting scalability. Smallholder farmers often struggle to navigate complex certification processes, further impeding participation. These inconsistencies hinder investor confidence and slow the adoption of carbon farming as a mainstream climate mitigation tool.
Development of "carbon-plus" credits
Platforms are evolving to quantify and monetize these ancillary benefits, enabling premium pricing and broader market appeal. The integration of AI-driven monitoring and blockchain-based traceability is also boosting transparency, helping differentiate high-quality credits. These enhanced credits incorporate biodiversity restoration, water conservation, and soil health improvements, making them more attractive to buyers seeking holistic sustainability outcomes. As demand shifts toward multi-impact offsets, carbon-plus credits could redefine value propositions in voluntary carbon markets.
Risk of non-permanence
Events such as wildfires, droughts, or land-use changes can negate years of carbon storage, undermining credit integrity. This non-permanence risk challenges the credibility of agricultural offsets, especially in regions with unstable climate conditions or weak land tenure protections. Buyers and regulators are increasingly scrutinizing permanence guarantees, prompting the need for robust buffer pools and long-term monitoring commitments. Without reliable safeguards, market trust may erode, affecting future investment flows.
The COVID-19 pandemic had a nuanced impact on the carbon farming market. Initially, disruptions in agricultural supply chains and field operations delayed project implementation and verification activities. However, the crisis also accelerated interest in resilient, decentralized climate solutions. Governments and NGOs began promoting regenerative agriculture as part of green recovery packages, boosting awareness and funding. Remote sensing technologies gained traction as alternatives to in-person audits, enabling continuity in credit issuance.
The conservation tillage & no-till farming segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The conservation tillage & no-till farming segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period as these techniques minimize soil disturbance, enhancing organic carbon retention and reducing erosion. Their scalability across diverse agro-climatic zones makes them a preferred choice for large-scale carbon sequestration initiatives. Moreover, they offer operational benefits such as reduced fuel consumption and improved crop resilience, aligning with both environmental and economic goals thus their adoption is expected to expand significantly.
The livestock methane reduction credits segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the livestock methane reduction credits segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate owing to innovations such as feed additives, anaerobic digesters, and manure management systems are enabling measurable reductions in enteric and waste-related methane emissions. These technologies are gaining traction due to their dual impact-lowering greenhouse gases while improving farm productivity. With methane having a significantly higher global warming potential than CO2, credits derived from livestock interventions are attracting premium buyers.
During the forecast period, the North America region is expected to hold the largest market share driven by robust policy frameworks and corporate climate commitments. The region benefits from advanced agricultural infrastructure, widespread adoption of precision farming, and strong participation in voluntary carbon markets. U.S.-based initiatives such as the USDA's Climate-Smart Commodities program and California's cap-and-trade system are catalyzing project development.
Over the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR fueled by expanding agricultural economies and rising climate awareness. Countries like India, China, and Indonesia are investing in regenerative farming to combat soil degradation and enhance food security. Government-backed carbon credit schemes and international climate finance are unlocking new opportunities for smallholder participation. The region's vast land availability and diverse ecosystems offer significant potential for scalable carbon sequestration.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Carbon Farming Market include Indigo Ag, Nori, Regrow Ag, Carbon America, Carbon Streaming Corporation, DevvStream, AgriProve, Soil Capital, Terramera, Carbonfuture, Agreena, CIBO Technologies, EKI Energy Services, Locus Agricultural Solutions, Climate Impact X, The Climate Trust, Perennial, and Corteva Agriscience.
In August 2025, CIBO Technologies Alongside launching a refreshed website, CIBO reflected on its recent milestones: selection for the USDA-Virginia Tech grant, recognition in AgTech rankings, and progress in scaling regenerative/agricultural practices. All part of CIBO's push to make regenerative agriculture more accessible and measurable.
In May 2025, Microsoft agrees to purchase 60,000 soil carbon credits from Indigo's fourth 'carbon crop' (issued April 2025 via the Climate Action Reserve), expanding its portfolio of high-quality carbon removals. The program channels significant private funding to support regenerative farming; 75% of carbon sales go directly to farmers, helping accelerate adoption of soil-carbon practices.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.