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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1971365

全球奶粉市場－按產品類型、銷售管道、地區和競爭格局分類的產業規模、佔有率、趨勢、機會和預測（2021-2031年）

Evaporated Milk Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity and Forecast, By Product Type (Skimmed, Whole), By Sales Channel (Supermarket/Hypermarket, Convenience Stores, Online, Others), By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F
出版日期: | 出版商: TechSci Research | 英文 185 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

全球煉乳市場預計將從 2025 年的 59.3 億美元成長到 2031 年的 69.7 億美元，複合年成長率為 2.73%。

這種濃縮乳是通過去除原奶中約60%的水分，然後進行均質化和巴氏殺菌製成的。其市場成長主要得益於其保存期限長、無需冷藏即可保持穩定等特性，這在低溫運輸物流不完善的地區尤其重要。此外，該產品在烘焙、糖果甜點和飲料行業的廣泛應用也持續推動全球需求。

市場概覽
預測期 2027-2031
市場規模：2025年 59.3億美元
市場規模：2031年 69.7億美元
複合年成長率：2026-2031年 2.73%
成長最快的細分市場 線上
最大的市場 歐洲

近期產業指標顯示，煉乳產量正呈現復甦跡象，擺脫先前下滑的趨勢。根據國際酪農聯合會（IDF）預測，2024年全球煉乳產量將年增1.4%，其中美國和歐盟將佔據約50%的市場佔有率。然而，由於消費者偏好轉向生乳和植物性替代品，該行業正面臨嚴峻挑戰，這一趨勢可能會阻礙已開發經濟體的市場成長。

市場促進因素

全球烘焙、糖果甜點和飲料行業的成長是淡奶市場的主要驅動力。這主要歸功於淡奶能提升風味和口感的特性。它正日益成為一種口感醇厚且經濟實惠的生牛奶和奶油替代品，並在亞洲料理中廣泛應用，例如用於製作蛋奶凍、湯和奶茶。星獅集團（Fraser & Neave, Limited）的報告凸顯了淡乳商業性的強勁成長動能。該公司在2024年12月發布的《2024年度報告》中指出，旗下品牌TEAPOT透過與飲料和烘焙企業建立策略合作夥伴關係，實現了40%的年成長率，顯著優於同類產品的整體表現。

同時，在低溫運輸基礎設施不完善的地區，不易腐爛乳製品的需求仍是市場需求的重要驅動力。在東南亞和拉丁美洲的許多開發中國家，加糖煉乳是重要的營養來源，在常溫下不易變質。根據美國農業部海外農業局2025年3月發布的《秘魯食品加工原料年度報告》，加糖煉乳和煉乳約佔全國乳製品市場總量的45%。此外，美國農業部海外農業局2025年11月發布的《菲律賓：乳製品年度報告》預測，2026年，菲律賓乳製品總需求量將增加1.5%，達到350萬噸，凸顯了依賴進口地區對這些產品的持續依賴。

市場挑戰

全球煉乳市場面臨的主要障礙之一是消費者日益傾向於選擇生牛奶和植物來源替代品，尤其是在已開發地區。隨著消費者優先考慮那些被認為更新鮮、加工更少、更環保的產品，對保存期限長的濃縮乳的需求正在下降。在成熟市場，消費者擴大用生牛奶或植物來源產品（例如杏仁奶和燕麥奶）來取代烹飪和咖啡中的傳統煉乳。這使得煉乳從日常必需品轉變為偶爾用於烘焙的原料，從而限制了其產量成長。

消費模式的轉變導致主要乳製品產業的生產顯著停滯。根據歐洲乳業協會預測，到2024年，歐盟煉乳產量將穩定在100萬噸，不再實現年成長。這個關鍵市場的停滯凸顯了飲食習慣的改變如何直接抵消了擴張政策的影響，儘管其他地區取得了進展，但實際上卻限制了整個產業的成長。

市場趨勢

目前，包裝產業正經歷一場重大變革，加速永續和可重複密封包裝形式的轉型。隨著製造商從傳統的金屬罐轉向低碳替代品，大型乳製品公司正積極採用可再生纖維紙盒，以滿足嚴格的環境目標和消費者對環保產品的需求。這項轉型降低了供應鏈的碳足跡，並引入了可重複密封蓋等便利功能，解決了一次性罐裝包裝的儲存難題。根據利樂公司於2025年6月發布的《2024會計年度永續發展報告》，其整個價值鏈的溫室氣體排放較2019年基準值減少了25%。這項成就主要歸功於業界對資源高效型包裝解決方案的採用。

同時，針對特定營養需求和健康意識趨勢的加值產品線的推出，正在為市場注入新的活力。製造商透過在加糖煉乳添加維生素、礦物質和必需蛋白質，使其從普通產品升級為功能性健康成分，從而實現產品差異化。這種優質化策略使品牌能夠獲得更高的利潤率，並對抗基礎濃縮乳的同質化趨勢。根據 Arla Foods 於 2025 年 8 月發布的《2025 會計年度上半年報告》，該公司原料部門的銷售額成長了 53.7%，這主要得益於全球對功能性配方和用於支持高階產品的增值乳蛋白質的強勁需求。

目錄

第1章概述

第2章：調查方法

第3章執行摘要

第4章：客戶心聲

第5章：全球奶粉市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
    • 按金額
  • 市佔率及預測
    • 依產品類型（脫脂、全脂）
    • 銷售管道（超級市場/大賣場、便利商店、線上、其他）
    • 按地區
    • 按公司（2025 年）
  • 市場地圖

第6章：北美奶粉市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 北美洲：國別分析
    • 美國
    • 加拿大
    • 墨西哥

第7章：歐洲奶粉市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 歐洲：國別分析
    • 德國
    • 法國
    • 英國
    • 義大利
    • 西班牙

第8章：亞太地區奶粉市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 亞太地區：國別分析
    • 中國
    • 印度
    • 日本
    • 韓國
    • 澳洲

第9章：中東與非洲奶粉市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 中東與非洲：國別分析
    • 沙烏地阿拉伯
    • 阿拉伯聯合大公國
    • 南非

第10章：南美洲奶粉市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 南美洲：國別分析
    • 巴西
    • 哥倫比亞
    • 阿根廷

第11章 市場動態

  • 促進因素
  • 任務

第12章 市場趨勢與發展

  • 併購
  • 產品發布
  • 近期趨勢

第13章：全球奶粉市場：SWOT分析

第14章：波特五力分析

  • 產業競爭
  • 新進入者的潛力
  • 供應商的議價能力
  • 顧客權力
  • 替代品的威脅

第15章 競爭格局

  • Nestle SA
  • Dana Dairy Group LTD
  • Arla Foods amba
  • Fraser and Neave, Limited
  • Alaska Milk Corporation
  • Yotsuba Milk Products Co., Ltd.
  • Royal FrieslandCampina NV
  • Delta Food Industries FZC
  • Alokozay Group
  • Eagle Family Foods Group LLC

第16章 策略建議

第17章：關於研究公司及免責聲明

簡介目錄
Product Code: 26665

The Global Evaporated Milk Market is projected to expand from USD 5.93 Billion in 2025 to USD 6.97 Billion by 2031, reflecting a CAGR of 2.73%. This concentrated dairy staple is produced by eliminating roughly 60% of fresh milk's water content before undergoing homogenization and sterilization. The market's growth is anchored by the product's extended shelf life and stability without refrigeration, features that are indispensable in areas with inadequate cold chain logistics, while its widespread use in bakery, confectionery, and beverage applications continues to fuel global demand.

Market Overview
Forecast Period2027-2031
Market Size 2025USD 5.93 Billion
Market Size 2031USD 6.97 Billion
CAGR 2026-20312.73%
Fastest Growing SegmentOnline
Largest MarketEurope

Recent industry metrics suggest a rebound in production levels following prior declines. According to the International Dairy Federation, global condensed milk production rose by 1.4% in 2024 compared to the preceding year, with the United States and European Union comprising nearly 50% of the total market share. Nevertheless, the sector encounters significant headwinds due to evolving consumer preferences favoring fresh milk and plant-based substitutes, a trend that threatens to hinder market growth in developed economies.

Market Driver

The growth of the global bakery, confectionery, and beverage sectors acts as a primary propellant for the evaporated milk market, largely due to the product's ability to enhance flavor and texture. It is increasingly adopted as a creamy, economical alternative to fresh milk and cream, finding extensive application in Asian cuisines for custards, soups, and milk tea preparations. This strong commercial adoption is highlighted by Fraser & Neave, Limited; in their 'Annual Report 2024' published in December 2024, the company noted that its TEAPOT brand recorded a 40% growth rate for the fiscal year, significantly outpacing the broader category through strategic partnerships with beverage and bakery operators.

Concurrently, the need for non-perishable dairy options in areas lacking robust cold chain infrastructure remains a crucial driver of market demand. In many developing nations across Southeast Asia and Latin America, evaporated milk serves as an essential nutritional source that resists spoilage under ambient conditions. According to the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service's 'Food Processing Ingredients Annual' report for Peru in March 2025, evaporated and condensed milk comprise nearly 45% of the country's total dairy market. Furthermore, the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service's 'Philippines: Dairy and Products Annual' report from November 2025 projects total dairy demand to rise by 1.5% to 3.5 million metric tons in 2026, emphasizing the enduring reliance on these products in import-dependent regions.

Market Challenge

A significant obstacle to the Global Evaporated Milk Market is the growing consumer preference for fresh milk and plant-based alternatives, especially within developed regions. As shoppers increasingly prioritize items viewed as fresher, less processed, or more environmentally friendly, the appetite for shelf-stable dairy concentrates has diminished. In mature markets, consumers are replacing traditional evaporated milk in culinary and coffee applications with fresh liquid milk or plant-derived options such as almond and oat beverages, transforming the product from a daily staple into an infrequent baking ingredient and thereby limiting volume growth.

This shift in consumption has led to a noticeable stagnation in manufacturing output across key dairy sectors. According to the European Dairy Association, production of condensed milk in the European Union leveled off at 1.000 million tonnes in 2024, exhibiting no growth relative to the prior year. Such stagnation in a major market highlights how changing dietary patterns are directly counteracting expansion initiatives, effectively imposing a ceiling on industry performance despite progress in other geographical areas.

Market Trends

The industry is currently undergoing a significant transformation regarding packaging, shifting towards sustainable and resealable formats as manufacturers transition from traditional metal cans to lower-carbon alternatives. Major dairy corporations are actively adopting renewable, fiber-based cartons to align with strict environmental goals and consumer preferences for eco-friendly goods. This transition reduces the supply chain's carbon footprint and introduces convenient features like resealable caps, resolving the storage issues associated with single-use tins. According to Tetra Pak's 'Sustainability Report FY24' from June 2025, the company realized a 25% decrease in greenhouse gas emissions across its value chain compared to its 2019 baseline, a result driven largely by the sector's adoption of resource-efficient packaging solutions.

At the same time, the market is being revitalized by the introduction of value-added fortified product lines designed to meet specific nutritional needs and health-conscious trends. Manufacturers are differentiating their offerings by enriching evaporated milk with vitamins, minerals, and essential proteins, elevating the product from a standard commodity to a functional wellness ingredient. This premiumization approach enables brands to secure higher margins and counter the commoditization of basic dairy concentrates. According to Arla Foods' 'Half-year report 2025' released in August 2025, the company's ingredients division saw revenue surge by 53.7%, fueled by robust global demand for functional formulations and value-added dairy proteins that support these advanced products.

Key Market Players

  • Nestle S.A.
  • Dana Dairy Group LTD
  • Arla Foods amba
  • Fraser and Neave, Limited
  • Alaska Milk Corporation
  • Yotsuba Milk Products Co., Ltd.
  • Royal FrieslandCampina N.V
  • Delta Food Industries FZC
  • Alokozay Group
  • Eagle Family Foods Group LLC

Report Scope

In this report, the Global Evaporated Milk Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:

Evaporated Milk Market, By Product Type

  • Skimmed
  • Whole

Evaporated Milk Market, By Sales Channel

  • Supermarket/Hypermarket
  • Convenience Stores
  • Online
  • Others

Evaporated Milk Market, By Region

  • North America
    • United States
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • Europe
    • France
    • United Kingdom
    • Italy
    • Germany
    • Spain
  • Asia Pacific
    • China
    • India
    • Japan
    • Australia
    • South Korea
  • South America
    • Brazil
    • Argentina
    • Colombia
  • Middle East & Africa
    • South Africa
    • Saudi Arabia
    • UAE

Competitive Landscape

Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Evaporated Milk Market.

Available Customizations:

Global Evaporated Milk Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report:

Company Information

  • Detailed analysis and profiling of additional market players (up to five).

Table of Contents

1. Product Overview

  • 1.1. Market Definition
  • 1.2. Scope of the Market
    • 1.2.1. Markets Covered
    • 1.2.2. Years Considered for Study
    • 1.2.3. Key Market Segmentations

2. Research Methodology

  • 2.1. Objective of the Study
  • 2.2. Baseline Methodology
  • 2.3. Key Industry Partners
  • 2.4. Major Association and Secondary Sources
  • 2.5. Forecasting Methodology
  • 2.6. Data Triangulation & Validation
  • 2.7. Assumptions and Limitations

3. Executive Summary

  • 3.1. Overview of the Market
  • 3.2. Overview of Key Market Segmentations
  • 3.3. Overview of Key Market Players
  • 3.4. Overview of Key Regions/Countries
  • 3.5. Overview of Market Drivers, Challenges, Trends

4. Voice of Customer

5. Global Evaporated Milk Market Outlook

  • 5.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 5.1.1. By Value
  • 5.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 5.2.1. By Product Type (Skimmed, Whole)
    • 5.2.2. By Sales Channel (Supermarket/Hypermarket, Convenience Stores, Online, Others)
    • 5.2.3. By Region
    • 5.2.4. By Company (2025)
  • 5.3. Market Map

6. North America Evaporated Milk Market Outlook

  • 6.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 6.1.1. By Value
  • 6.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 6.2.1. By Product Type
    • 6.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 6.2.3. By Country
  • 6.3. North America: Country Analysis
    • 6.3.1. United States Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 6.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.1.2.1. By Product Type
        • 6.3.1.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 6.3.2. Canada Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 6.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.2.2.1. By Product Type
        • 6.3.2.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 6.3.3. Mexico Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 6.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.3.2.1. By Product Type
        • 6.3.3.2.2. By Sales Channel

7. Europe Evaporated Milk Market Outlook

  • 7.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 7.1.1. By Value
  • 7.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 7.2.1. By Product Type
    • 7.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 7.2.3. By Country
  • 7.3. Europe: Country Analysis
    • 7.3.1. Germany Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 7.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.1.2.1. By Product Type
        • 7.3.1.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 7.3.2. France Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 7.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.2.2.1. By Product Type
        • 7.3.2.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 7.3.3. United Kingdom Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 7.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.3.2.1. By Product Type
        • 7.3.3.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 7.3.4. Italy Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 7.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.4.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.4.2.1. By Product Type
        • 7.3.4.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 7.3.5. Spain Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 7.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.5.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.5.2.1. By Product Type
        • 7.3.5.2.2. By Sales Channel

8. Asia Pacific Evaporated Milk Market Outlook

  • 8.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 8.1.1. By Value
  • 8.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 8.2.1. By Product Type
    • 8.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 8.2.3. By Country
  • 8.3. Asia Pacific: Country Analysis
    • 8.3.1. China Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 8.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.1.2.1. By Product Type
        • 8.3.1.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 8.3.2. India Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 8.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.2.2.1. By Product Type
        • 8.3.2.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 8.3.3. Japan Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 8.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.3.2.1. By Product Type
        • 8.3.3.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 8.3.4. South Korea Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 8.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.4.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.4.2.1. By Product Type
        • 8.3.4.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 8.3.5. Australia Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 8.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.5.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.5.2.1. By Product Type
        • 8.3.5.2.2. By Sales Channel

9. Middle East & Africa Evaporated Milk Market Outlook

  • 9.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 9.1.1. By Value
  • 9.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 9.2.1. By Product Type
    • 9.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 9.2.3. By Country
  • 9.3. Middle East & Africa: Country Analysis
    • 9.3.1. Saudi Arabia Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 9.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.1.2.1. By Product Type
        • 9.3.1.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 9.3.2. UAE Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 9.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.2.2.1. By Product Type
        • 9.3.2.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 9.3.3. South Africa Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 9.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.3.2.1. By Product Type
        • 9.3.3.2.2. By Sales Channel

10. South America Evaporated Milk Market Outlook

  • 10.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 10.1.1. By Value
  • 10.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 10.2.1. By Product Type
    • 10.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 10.2.3. By Country
  • 10.3. South America: Country Analysis
    • 10.3.1. Brazil Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 10.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.1.2.1. By Product Type
        • 10.3.1.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 10.3.2. Colombia Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 10.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.2.2.1. By Product Type
        • 10.3.2.2.2. By Sales Channel
    • 10.3.3. Argentina Evaporated Milk Market Outlook
      • 10.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.3.2.1. By Product Type
        • 10.3.3.2.2. By Sales Channel

11. Market Dynamics

  • 11.1. Drivers
  • 11.2. Challenges

12. Market Trends & Developments

  • 12.1. Merger & Acquisition (If Any)
  • 12.2. Product Launches (If Any)
  • 12.3. Recent Developments

13. Global Evaporated Milk Market: SWOT Analysis

14. Porter's Five Forces Analysis

  • 14.1. Competition in the Industry
  • 14.2. Potential of New Entrants
  • 14.3. Power of Suppliers
  • 14.4. Power of Customers
  • 14.5. Threat of Substitute Products

15. Competitive Landscape

  • 15.1. Nestle S.A.
    • 15.1.1. Business Overview
    • 15.1.2. Products & Services
    • 15.1.3. Recent Developments
    • 15.1.4. Key Personnel
    • 15.1.5. SWOT Analysis
  • 15.2. Dana Dairy Group LTD
  • 15.3. Arla Foods amba
  • 15.4. Fraser and Neave, Limited
  • 15.5. Alaska Milk Corporation
  • 15.6. Yotsuba Milk Products Co., Ltd.
  • 15.7. Royal FrieslandCampina N.V
  • 15.8. Delta Food Industries FZC
  • 15.9. Alokozay Group
  • 15.10. Eagle Family Foods Group LLC

16. Strategic Recommendations

17. About Us & Disclaimer