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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1970900

排碳權市場－全球產業規模、佔有率、趨勢、機會和預測：按應用、計劃類型、地區和競爭格局分類，2021-2031年

Carbon Credit Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Application, By Project Type, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F
出版日期: | 出版商: TechSci Research | 英文 182 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

全球排碳權市場預計將經歷顯著成長，從 2025 年的 79.6 億美元成長到 2031 年的 199.9 億美元，複合年成長率為 16.59%。

該市場作為一個交易系統運作，營業單位透過取得可交易的碳排放證書來證明其已減少或避免了相當於一噸二氧化碳的排放，從而抵消自身的排放。該領域的擴張主要得益於各國政府更嚴格的監管以及私營企業為實現淨零排放永續性目標而加強的戰略努力。世界銀行報告稱，全球碳定價收入將在2024年達到創紀錄的1,040億美元，顯示碳定價機制在全球經濟中得到了廣泛應用，也凸顯了這些金融工具的巨大規模。

市場概覽
預測期 2027-2031
市場規模：2025年 79.6億美元
市場規模：2031年 199.9億美元
複合年成長率：2026-2031年 16.59%
成長最快的細分市場 綜合計劃
最大的市場 歐洲

然而，碳權市場在信用品質的完整性和檢驗方面面臨許多重大障礙。普遍存在的對「綠色清洗的擔憂，以及缺乏統一的全球額外性衡量標準，造成了不確定性，並阻礙了機構投資。這種缺乏標準化透明度的做法，使得檢驗過程複雜化，並經常導致價格波動，從而阻礙了排碳權作為一種可信的氣候變遷減緩機制被廣泛接受。

市場促進因素

企業加速推動碳中和及淨零排放目標，從根本上改變了該產業的需求結構。領先的企業集團正日益將永續性發展融入其核心業務，以降低聲譽風險並應對投資者壓力，並將高品質碳抵銷的採購作為其轉型策略的核心要素。根據淨零追蹤機構（Net Zero Tracker）於2024年9月發布的報告《2024年淨零盤點》（Net Zero Stocktake 2024），《富比士》全球2000強企業中設定淨零排放目標的企業數量年增23%。自願承諾的激增促使更多企業尋求檢驗的碳權額，以抵消那些難以即時減少的剩餘排放。這確保了不受經濟波動影響的穩定需求，並確保了脫碳計劃的資金持續流入。

同時，政府主導的排放交易機制的擴展提供了法規結構，既能強制工業企業遵守排放標準，又能促進價格發現。這些合規市場正從孤立的試驗計畫發展成為健全的地方機制，既能進行配額交易，又能設定排放上限。國際碳行動夥伴關係（ICAP）在2024年4月發布的報告《2024年全球排放交易現況》中指出，目前已有36個排放交易機制投入運行，涵蓋了全球約18%的溫室氣體排放。這些法律要求的嚴格性確保了交易活動的最低門檻，並為支持自願參與部門奠定了基礎。倫敦證券交易所集團（LSEG）的數據顯示，在2024年之前的一年裡，全球碳市場交易達到了創紀錄的8,810億歐元。

市場挑戰

缺乏統一的全球標準以及信用品質檢驗方面反覆出現的問題，對全球排碳權市場的擴張構成了重大障礙。當買家對碳移除或規避聲​​明的合法性感到不確定性時，他們往往會推遲或撤回投資，以避免因「綠色清洗而帶來的聲譽風險。缺乏一致的檢驗通訊協定造成了交易環境的波動，使得準確的價格發現變得困難，並阻礙了大規模機構投資者的參與。

因此，這種信心的缺失直接降低了市場流動性，並減少了交易量。根據Ecosystem Marketplace預測，2024年自願碳市場的年交易量將較上年度縮減至7.23億美元，這一急劇下降的主要原因是買家對計劃品質和調查方法持謹慎態度。資金流動的萎縮表明，如果沒有透明且標準化的機制來保證額外性，市場仍將容易受到質疑。無法保證碳權額的品質導致買家謹慎行事，直接阻礙了該行業走向成熟所需的動力。

市場趨勢

向高耐久性碳移除信用額度的轉變正在從根本上改變市場的產品偏好。買家越來越傾向於選擇能夠將碳封存數百年的計劃，例如直接大氣捕獲和生物炭，以降低「綠色清洗」風險並確保長期的氣候影響。這種轉變體現在對能夠提供檢驗的永久性的工程解決方案的需求激增，儘管這些方案價格更高。根據CDR.fyi於2025年2月發布的《2024年度回顧》，2024年全球高耐久性碳移除信用額度的購買量將達到約800萬噸，這表明市場正從低品質的排放方案轉向能夠提供清晰的地質和生物封存的資產類別。

同時，根據《巴黎協定》第六條啟動的交易機制正在為符合國際標準的交易建立一個穩健的框架。這項進展使各國能夠交換國際轉移減排成果（ITMO）以履行國家自主貢獻（NDC），並創建了一個新的主權需求層，與自願性企業購買形成互補。這些交易所需的嚴格授權程序正在為整個生態系統的信用完整性和透明度設定更高的標準。根據拉扎德·沃特金斯（Lazard Watkins）2025年9月發布的關於新加坡實施協議的最新報告，新加坡政府已宣布簽訂一份217.5萬噸符合第六條規定的信用契約，凸顯了雙邊實施協議在促進跨境流動性方面發揮的新作用。

目錄

第1章概述

第2章：調查方法

第3章執行摘要

第4章：客戶心聲

第5章：全球排碳權市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
    • 按金額
  • 市佔率及預測
    • 按應用（移除計劃、規避計劃、組合計劃）
    • 計劃類型（林業/土地利用、農業）
    • 按地區
    • 按公司（2025 年）
  • 市場地圖

第6章：北美排碳權市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 北美洲：國別分析
    • 美國
    • 加拿大
    • 墨西哥

第7章：歐洲排碳權市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 歐洲：國別分析
    • 德國
    • 法國
    • 英國
    • 義大利
    • 西班牙

第8章：亞太地區排碳權市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 亞太地區：國別分析
    • 中國
    • 印度
    • 日本
    • 韓國
    • 澳洲

第9章：中東和非洲排碳權市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 中東與非洲：國別分析
    • 沙烏地阿拉伯
    • 阿拉伯聯合大公國
    • 南非

第10章：南美洲排碳權市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 南美洲：國別分析
    • 巴西
    • 哥倫比亞
    • 阿根廷

第11章 市場動態

  • 促進因素
  • 任務

第12章 市場趨勢與發展

  • 併購
  • 產品發布
  • 近期趨勢

第13章：全球排碳權市場：SWOT分析

第14章：波特五力分析

  • 產業競爭
  • 新進入者的潛力
  • 供應商的議價能力
  • 顧客權力
  • 替代品的威脅

第15章 競爭格局

  • Indigo Ag Inc
  • Climetrek
  • Carbon Credit Capital, LLC
  • Terra Global Capital, LLC
  • South Pole
  • Cargill, Incorporated.
  • Yara International ASA
  • EcoSoul Partners
  • Bayer AG
  • 3Degrees

第16章 策略建議

第17章：關於研究公司及免責聲明

簡介目錄
Product Code: 25032

The Global Carbon Credit Market is projected to experience substantial growth, rising from a valuation of USD 7.96 Billion in 2025 to USD 19.99 Billion by 2031, reflecting a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 16.59%. This market operates as a trading system where entities acquire tradable certificates that signify the removal or avoidance of one metric ton of carbon dioxide equivalent, used to offset their specific emissions. The expansion of this sector is primarily driven by strict government regulations enforcing compliance and a growing strategic dedication among private corporations to meet Net Zero sustainability goals. Highlighting the significant financial scale of these instruments, the World Bank reported that global carbon pricing revenues hit a record USD 104 billion in 2024, demonstrating their widespread adoption within the global economy.

Market Overview
Forecast Period2027-2031
Market Size 2025USD 7.96 Billion
Market Size 2031USD 19.99 Billion
CAGR 2026-203116.59%
Fastest Growing SegmentCombination Project
Largest MarketEurope

However, the market faces a major obstacle concerning the integrity and verification of credit quality. Widespread apprehension regarding greenwashing and the lack of a unified global standard for measuring additionality create uncertainty that deters institutional investment. This absence of standardized transparency complicates the validation process and frequently leads to price volatility, thereby hindering the broader acceptance of carbon credits as a dependable mechanism for climate mitigation.

Market Driver

The accelerating momentum of corporate carbon neutrality and net-zero commitments is fundamentally transforming demand dynamics within the sector. Major conglomerates are increasingly embedding sustainability into their core operations to mitigate reputational risks and satisfy investor pressure, making the procurement of high-quality offsets a central component of their transition strategies. According to the Net Zero Tracker's "Net Zero Stocktake 2024" from September 2024, the number of Forbes Global 2000 companies with net zero targets rose by 23 percent compared to the previous year. This surge in voluntary pledges compels companies to seek verified credits for residual emissions that cannot be immediately eliminated, thereby stabilizing demand against economic fluctuations and ensuring continuous capital flow into decarbonization projects.

Concurrently, the expansion of government-mandated cap-and-trade systems provides a regulated framework that enforces industrial compliance and facilitates price discovery. These compliance markets are evolving from isolated pilot programs into robust regional mechanisms that limit total emissions while allowing for the trading of allowances. The International Carbon Action Partnership noted in its April 2024 report, "Emissions Trading Worldwide: 2024 Status Report," that 36 emissions trading systems are currently in force, covering approximately 18 percent of global greenhouse gas emissions. The rigidity of these statutory requirements guarantees a baseline volume of trading activity that supports the voluntary sector, as evidenced by LSEG data indicating that the value of traded global carbon markets reached a record 881 billion Euros in the year preceding 2024.

Market Challenge

The lack of unified global standards and recurring issues regarding the verification of credit quality present a significant barrier to the expansion of the Global Carbon Credit Market. When buyers face uncertainty about the legitimacy of carbon removal or avoidance claims, they often delay or withdraw investment to avoid reputational risks associated with greenwashing. This absence of consistent validation protocols creates a volatile trading environment where accurate price discovery becomes difficult, thereby discouraging large-scale institutional participation.

Consequently, this lack of confidence directly reduces market liquidity and lowers trading volumes. According to Ecosystem Marketplace, the annual value of the voluntary carbon market contracted to USD 723 million in 2024 for the preceding year, a sharp decline attributed largely to buyer caution regarding project quality and methodology. This reduction in financial turnover illustrates that without transparent and standardized mechanisms to ensure additionality, the market remains vulnerable to skepticism. The inability to guarantee credit quality leads to hesitant buyer behavior, directly stalling the momentum necessary for the sector to mature.

Market Trends

A shift toward high-durability carbon removal credits is fundamentally altering product preferences within the market. Buyers are increasingly prioritizing projects that sequester carbon for centuries, such as direct air capture and biochar, to mitigate greenwashing risks and ensure long-term climate impact. This transition is evident in the surging demand for engineered solutions that offer verifiable permanence despite their higher price point. According to CDR.fyi's "2024 Year in Review" from February 2025, the global purchased volume of high-durability carbon removal credits reached nearly 8 million tonnes in 2024, signifying a move away from low-quality avoidance schemes toward asset classes that provide definitive geological or biological storage.

Simultaneously, the operationalization of trading mechanisms under Article 6 of the Paris Agreement is establishing a robust framework for international compliance trading. This trend enables countries to exchange Internationally Transferred Mitigation Outcomes (ITMOs) to meet their Nationally Determined Contributions, creating a new layer of sovereign demand that complements voluntary corporate purchasing. The rigorous authorization processes required for these trades are setting higher benchmarks for credit integrity and transparency across the broader ecosystem. According to a September 2025 update by Latham & Watkins regarding Singapore's implementation agreements, the Singaporean government announced contracts for 2.175 million tonnes of Article 6-compliant credits, underscoring the emerging role of bilateral implementation agreements in driving cross-border liquidity.

Key Market Players

  • Indigo Ag Inc
  • Climetrek
  • Carbon Credit Capital, LLC
  • Terra Global Capital, LLC
  • South Pole
  • Cargill, Incorporated.
  • Yara International ASA
  • EcoSoul Partners
  • Bayer AG
  • 3Degrees

Report Scope

In this report, the Global Carbon Credit Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:

Carbon Credit Market, By Application

  • Removal Project
  • Avoidance Project
  • Combination Project

Carbon Credit Market, By Project Type

  • Forestry and Land Use
  • Agriculture

Carbon Credit Market, By Region

  • North America
    • United States
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • Europe
    • France
    • United Kingdom
    • Italy
    • Germany
    • Spain
  • Asia Pacific
    • China
    • India
    • Japan
    • Australia
    • South Korea
  • South America
    • Brazil
    • Argentina
    • Colombia
  • Middle East & Africa
    • South Africa
    • Saudi Arabia
    • UAE

Competitive Landscape

Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Carbon Credit Market.

Available Customizations:

Global Carbon Credit Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report:

Company Information

  • Detailed analysis and profiling of additional market players (up to five).

Table of Contents

1. Product Overview

  • 1.1. Market Definition
  • 1.2. Scope of the Market
    • 1.2.1. Markets Covered
    • 1.2.2. Years Considered for Study
    • 1.2.3. Key Market Segmentations

2. Research Methodology

  • 2.1. Objective of the Study
  • 2.2. Baseline Methodology
  • 2.3. Key Industry Partners
  • 2.4. Major Association and Secondary Sources
  • 2.5. Forecasting Methodology
  • 2.6. Data Triangulation & Validation
  • 2.7. Assumptions and Limitations

3. Executive Summary

  • 3.1. Overview of the Market
  • 3.2. Overview of Key Market Segmentations
  • 3.3. Overview of Key Market Players
  • 3.4. Overview of Key Regions/Countries
  • 3.5. Overview of Market Drivers, Challenges, Trends

4. Voice of Customer

5. Global Carbon Credit Market Outlook

  • 5.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 5.1.1. By Value
  • 5.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 5.2.1. By Application (Removal Project, Avoidance Project, Combination Project)
    • 5.2.2. By Project Type (Forestry and Land Use, Agriculture)
    • 5.2.3. By Region
    • 5.2.4. By Company (2025)
  • 5.3. Market Map

6. North America Carbon Credit Market Outlook

  • 6.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 6.1.1. By Value
  • 6.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 6.2.1. By Application
    • 6.2.2. By Project Type
    • 6.2.3. By Country
  • 6.3. North America: Country Analysis
    • 6.3.1. United States Carbon Credit Market Outlook
      • 6.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.1.2.1. By Application
        • 6.3.1.2.2. By Project Type
    • 6.3.2. Canada Carbon Credit Market Outlook
      • 6.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.2.2.1. By Application
        • 6.3.2.2.2. By Project Type
    • 6.3.3. Mexico Carbon Credit Market Outlook
      • 6.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.3.2.1. By Application
        • 6.3.3.2.2. By Project Type

7. Europe Carbon Credit Market Outlook

  • 7.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 7.1.1. By Value
  • 7.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 7.2.1. By Application
    • 7.2.2. By Project Type
    • 7.2.3. By Country
  • 7.3. Europe: Country Analysis
    • 7.3.1. Germany Carbon Credit Market Outlook
      • 7.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.1.2.1. By Application
        • 7.3.1.2.2. By Project Type
    • 7.3.2. France Carbon Credit Market Outlook
      • 7.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.2.2.1. By Application
        • 7.3.2.2.2. By Project Type
    • 7.3.3. United Kingdom Carbon Credit Market Outlook
      • 7.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.3.2.1. By Application
        • 7.3.3.2.2. By Project Type
    • 7.3.4. Italy Carbon Credit Market Outlook
      • 7.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.4.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.4.2.1. By Application
        • 7.3.4.2.2. By Project Type
    • 7.3.5. Spain Carbon Credit Market Outlook
      • 7.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.5.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.5.2.1. By Application
        • 7.3.5.2.2. By Project Type

8. Asia Pacific Carbon Credit Market Outlook

  • 8.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 8.1.1. By Value
  • 8.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 8.2.1. By Application
    • 8.2.2. By Project Type
    • 8.2.3. By Country
  • 8.3. Asia Pacific: Country Analysis
    • 8.3.1. China Carbon Credit Market Outlook
      • 8.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.1.2.1. By Application
        • 8.3.1.2.2. By Project Type
    • 8.3.2. India Carbon Credit Market Outlook
      • 8.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.2.2.1. By Application
        • 8.3.2.2.2. By Project Type
    • 8.3.3. Japan Carbon Credit Market Outlook
      • 8.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.3.2.1. By Application
        • 8.3.3.2.2. By Project Type
    • 8.3.4. South Korea Carbon Credit Market Outlook
      • 8.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.4.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.4.2.1. By Application
        • 8.3.4.2.2. By Project Type
    • 8.3.5. Australia Carbon Credit Market Outlook
      • 8.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.5.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.5.2.1. By Application
        • 8.3.5.2.2. By Project Type

9. Middle East & Africa Carbon Credit Market Outlook

  • 9.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 9.1.1. By Value
  • 9.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 9.2.1. By Application
    • 9.2.2. By Project Type
    • 9.2.3. By Country
  • 9.3. Middle East & Africa: Country Analysis
    • 9.3.1. Saudi Arabia Carbon Credit Market Outlook
      • 9.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.1.2.1. By Application
        • 9.3.1.2.2. By Project Type
    • 9.3.2. UAE Carbon Credit Market Outlook
      • 9.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.2.2.1. By Application
        • 9.3.2.2.2. By Project Type
    • 9.3.3. South Africa Carbon Credit Market Outlook
      • 9.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.3.2.1. By Application
        • 9.3.3.2.2. By Project Type

10. South America Carbon Credit Market Outlook

  • 10.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 10.1.1. By Value
  • 10.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 10.2.1. By Application
    • 10.2.2. By Project Type
    • 10.2.3. By Country
  • 10.3. South America: Country Analysis
    • 10.3.1. Brazil Carbon Credit Market Outlook
      • 10.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.1.2.1. By Application
        • 10.3.1.2.2. By Project Type
    • 10.3.2. Colombia Carbon Credit Market Outlook
      • 10.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.2.2.1. By Application
        • 10.3.2.2.2. By Project Type
    • 10.3.3. Argentina Carbon Credit Market Outlook
      • 10.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.3.2.1. By Application
        • 10.3.3.2.2. By Project Type

11. Market Dynamics

  • 11.1. Drivers
  • 11.2. Challenges

12. Market Trends & Developments

  • 12.1. Merger & Acquisition (If Any)
  • 12.2. Product Launches (If Any)
  • 12.3. Recent Developments

13. Global Carbon Credit Market: SWOT Analysis

14. Porter's Five Forces Analysis

  • 14.1. Competition in the Industry
  • 14.2. Potential of New Entrants
  • 14.3. Power of Suppliers
  • 14.4. Power of Customers
  • 14.5. Threat of Substitute Products

15. Competitive Landscape

  • 15.1. Indigo Ag Inc
    • 15.1.1. Business Overview
    • 15.1.2. Products & Services
    • 15.1.3. Recent Developments
    • 15.1.4. Key Personnel
    • 15.1.5. SWOT Analysis
  • 15.2. Climetrek
  • 15.3. Carbon Credit Capital, LLC
  • 15.4. Terra Global Capital, LLC
  • 15.5. South Pole
  • 15.6. Cargill, Incorporated.
  • 15.7. Yara International ASA
  • 15.8. EcoSoul Partners
  • 15.9. Bayer AG
  • 15.10. 3Degrees

16. Strategic Recommendations

17. About Us & Disclaimer