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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1916624
全球碳農業和農業排碳權市場預測至2032年:按類型、排碳權類型、機制、部署模式、最終用戶和地區分類Carbon Farming & Agricultural Carbon Credits Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Type, Carbon Credit Type, Mechanism, Deployment Mode, End User and By Geography |
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根據 Stratistics MRC 的一項研究,全球碳農業和農業排碳權市場預計在 2025 年價值 6.1635 億美元,預計到 2032 年將達到 17.3147 億美元,在預測期內的複合年成長率為 15.9%。
碳農業和農業排碳權是指採用氣候智慧型農業實踐,將大氣中的碳儲存在土壤和植物生質能中,從而減少與農業相關的排放。碳透過保護性耕作、輪作、再生放牧和植樹造林等措施被封存在土地中。封存的碳被量化並認證為排碳權,農民可以在受監管或自願的市場上出售這些碳權。這種方法促進了環境永續性,提高了土壤肥力,並為農民提供了新的收入來源,同時也有助於實現全球氣候目標。
農業技術的進步
遙感探測、物聯網土壤感測器和衛星影像等精密農業工具正在提高土壤碳含量測量和監測的準確性。數位化農場管理平台能夠更精確地追蹤覆蓋作物和犁地等再生農業實踐。自動化和數據分析有助於最佳化投入使用,同時增加碳固存。改進的可追溯性系統增強了農業排碳權買家的信任度。這些技術正在降低整個排碳權信用價值鏈的不確定性,並提高透明度。隨著農業技術解決方案價格的降低,其在已開發市場和新興農業市場的應用都在不斷成長。
複雜檢驗(MRV)
土壤碳含量因地區、作物類型和氣候條件而異,難以進行標準化測量。監測、核查和核實(通訊協定通常需要長期資料收集、實驗室檢測和第三方審核——這些流程會增加成本和行政負擔,尤其對中小農戶而言更是如此。缺乏全球統一標準進一步加劇了碳權額度的可比較性和可接受性問題。數位化MRV工具正在興起,但尚未獲得監管機構和買家的廣泛信任。因此,複雜的檢驗要求阻礙了計劃的擴充性和市場參與企業的參與。
生態系服務的積累
除了碳封存之外,再生農業還能帶來許多好處,例如提高生物多樣性、改善土壤保水能力和提升土壤健康。農民除了可以獲得排碳權外,還可以透過將這些額外效益貨幣化,從而創造新的收入來源。企業買家越來越重視全面的永續性成果,而不僅僅是碳抵銷。一些地區的政策架構開始認可並獎勵多功能土地利用方式。環境監測技術的進步使得量化這些額外服務變得更加容易。這一趨勢正在提高計劃的盈利,並吸引著不同類型的投資者。
土地掠奪與社會公平
當大型投資者主要為了取得排碳權而收購農地時,當地農民和社區可能會被迫遷離。開發中地區薄弱的土地所有權制度加劇了土地掠奪的風險。小規模往往缺乏與機構投資者競爭的法律和經濟能力,這可能導致碳農業價值鏈中利潤分配不均。社會輿論反彈和聲譽風險可能會阻礙企業參與管治不善的計劃。
新冠疫情擾亂了農業活動,並延緩了多個碳匯農業計劃的實施。旅行限制阻礙了實地調查、土壤取樣和第三方檢驗活動。供應鏈中斷影響了再生農業所需的種子、投入品和監測設備的採購。然而,這場危機加速了遠端監測和數據收集數位化工具的應用。各國政府和氣候變遷機構在疫情後的復甦計畫中更加重視基於自然的解決方案。在此期間,對永續農業和氣候適應能力的投資興趣增加。因此,作為綠色復甦策略的一部分,碳匯農業獲得了新的發展動力。
在預測期內,土壤碳封存領域將佔據最大的市場規模。
由於土壤碳封存技術在農業系統中具有廣泛的適用性,預計在預測期內,該領域將佔據最大的市場佔有率。犁地、輪作和覆蓋作物等耕作方式已被廣泛採用並充分理解。這些方法能夠增加土壤有機碳含量,同時提高生產力和土壤韌性。與林業相關的替代方案相比,土壤碳封存計劃的實施成本相對較低。它們適用於各種規模的農業經營,從小小規模到大型商業農場均可適用。隨著科學檢驗的不斷完善,買家對土壤排碳權的信心也不斷增強。
在預測期內,金融機構和碳基金板塊的複合年成長率將最高。
預計在預測期內,金融機構和碳基金板塊將實現最高成長率。這主要得益於不斷成長的資本流入,這些資金支持大規模碳農業和再生農業計劃。銀行和專注於氣候的基金正在開發與碳排放成果掛鉤的客製化金融產品。風險分擔機制和混合融資模式降低了農民的進入門檻。機構投資者將農業排碳權視為長期的氣候行動資產。透明度的提高數位化MRV(測量、報告和檢驗)系統的完善正在增強投資者信心。
由於歐洲地區擁有強力的氣候政策和法規結構,預計在預測期內,該地區將佔據最大的市場佔有率。歐盟通用農業政策(CAP)正在加強碳排放和永續性獎勵的整合。農民和相關企業的高度重視正在推動市場成熟。已建立的碳排放登記系統和認證機構正在提升市場信譽。公私合營正在加速成員國先導計畫的推進。
預計亞太地區在預測期內將實現最高的複合年成長率。農業的快速擴張和廣闊的耕地蘊藏著巨大的碳封存潛力。各國政府正推行氣候智慧型農業舉措,以應對糧食安全和減排排放。跨國公司參與度的提高正在推動該地區對排碳權的需求。數位農業的進步正在提升監測和檢驗能力。小規模聚合模式正在促進更廣泛的農戶參與。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Carbon Farming & Agricultural Carbon Credits Market is accounted for $616.35 million in 2025 and is expected to reach $1731.47 million by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 15.9% during the forecast period. Carbon farming and agricultural carbon credits involve adopting climate-smart agricultural practices that store atmospheric carbon in soils and plant biomass and lower farm-based emissions. Methods such as conservation tillage, crop rotation, regenerative grazing, and tree integration help lock carbon into the land. The sequestered carbon is quantified and certified as carbon credits, which farmers can sell in regulated or voluntary markets. This approach promotes environmental sustainability, enhances soil fertility, and provides farmers with new revenue streams while contributing to global climate goals.
Advancements in Ag-Tech
Precision agriculture tools such as remote sensing, IoT-enabled soil sensors, and satellite imagery are improving the measurement and monitoring of soil carbon levels. Digital farm management platforms enable farmers to track regenerative practices like cover cropping and reduced tillage with greater accuracy. Automation and data analytics are helping optimize input usage while enhancing carbon sequestration outcomes. Improved traceability systems are increasing confidence among buyers of agricultural carbon credits. These technologies reduce uncertainty and enhance transparency across carbon credit value chains. As ag-tech solutions become more affordable, adoption is expanding across both developed and emerging agricultural markets.
Complex verification (MRV)
Soil carbon levels vary widely across regions, crop types, and climatic conditions, making standardized measurement difficult. MRV protocols often require long-term data collection, laboratory testing, and third-party audits. These processes increase costs and administrative burden, particularly for small and medium-sized farmers. The lack of globally harmonized standards further complicates credit comparability and acceptance. Digital MRV tools are emerging but are not yet universally trusted by regulators and buyers. As a result, complex verification requirements slow project scalability and market participation.
Stacking ecosystem services
Beyond carbon sequestration, regenerative agriculture delivers benefits such as improved biodiversity, water retention, and soil health. Farmers can potentially generate additional revenue streams by monetizing these co-benefits alongside carbon credits. Corporate buyers are increasingly seeking holistic sustainability outcomes rather than carbon offsets alone. Policy frameworks in several regions are beginning to recognize and reward multifunctional land-use practices. Advances in environmental monitoring are making it easier to quantify these additional services. This trend is enhancing project profitability and attracting diversified investor interest.
Land grabbing & social equity
Large investors may acquire farmland primarily for carbon credit generation, displacing local farmers and communities. Weak land tenure systems in developing regions heighten the risk of land grabbing. Smallholder farmers often lack the legal or financial capacity to compete with institutional buyers. This can lead to unequal benefit distribution across the carbon farming value chain. Social backlash and reputational risks may deter corporate participation in poorly governed projects.
The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted agricultural operations and delayed the implementation of several carbon farming projects. Restrictions on mobility limited field assessments, soil sampling, and third-party verification activities. Supply chain interruptions affected access to seeds, inputs, and monitoring equipment needed for regenerative practices. However, the crisis accelerated the adoption of digital tools for remote monitoring and data collection. Governments and climate-focused institutions increased attention on nature-based solutions during post-pandemic recovery planning. Investment interest in sustainable agriculture and climate resilience strengthened during this period. As a result, carbon farming gained renewed momentum as part of green recovery strategies.
The soil carbon sequestration segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The soil carbon sequestration segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period, due to its broad applicability across agricultural systems. Practices such as no-till farming, crop rotation, and cover cropping are widely adopted and well understood. These methods enhance soil organic carbon while improving productivity and resilience. Soil-based projects offer relatively lower implementation costs compared to forestry-based alternatives. They are compatible with both smallholder and large-scale commercial farming operations. Growing scientific validation is strengthening buyer confidence in soil carbon credits.
The financial institutions & carbon funds segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the financial institutions & carbon funds segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate, due to increasing capital inflows are supporting large-scale carbon farming and regenerative agriculture projects. Banks and climate-focused funds are developing tailored financing instruments linked to carbon outcomes. Risk-sharing mechanisms and blended finance models are lowering entry barriers for farmers. Institutional investors are viewing agricultural carbon credits as long-term climate assets. Enhanced transparency and digital MRV systems are improving investment confidence.
During the forecast period, the Europe region is expected to hold the largest market share, due to strong climate policies and regulatory frameworks. The European Union's Common Agricultural Policy increasingly integrates carbon and sustainability incentives. High awareness among farmers and agribusinesses supports market maturity. Well-established carbon registries and certification bodies enhance market trust. Public-private partnerships are accelerating pilot projects across member states.
Over the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR. Rapid agricultural expansion and large arable land availability create significant carbon sequestration potential. Governments are introducing climate-smart agriculture initiatives to address food security and emissions reduction. Rising participation from multinational corporations is boosting regional carbon credit demand. Improvements in digital agriculture are enhancing monitoring and verification capabilities. Smallholder aggregation models are enabling broader farmer participation.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Carbon Farming & Agricultural Carbon Credits Market include Indigo Ag, Carbon Crop, Nori, Boomitra, Soil Capital, Regrow Ag, Agreena, Terra Global, Agoro Carbon, South Pole, Bayer AG, Cargill, Inc., CIBO Technologies, Ecosystem Services Market Consortium (ESMC), and Rabobank.
In October 2025, Mars and Cargill, announced they are spurring the development of more than 224MWac* of new renewable energy capacity through five virtual power purchase agreements (PPAs) in Poland. The PPAs were signed with GoldenPeaks Capital, one of Europe's fastest-growing independent producers of renewable energy.
In September 2025, CIBO Technologies announced its partnership with Sand County Foundation, a national nonprofit recognized for equipping landowners with practical conservation tools, to power a multi-year Regional Conservation Partnership Program (RCPP) initiative, funded by the USDA NRCS.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.