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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1953479
碳農業市場-全球產業規模、佔有率、趨勢、機會及預測(依計劃類型、實務、最終用戶、地區和競爭格局分類,2021-2031年)Carbon Farming Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Project Type, By Practice, By End User, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F |
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全球碳農業市場預計將從 2025 年的 5.4434 億美元成長到 2031 年的 12.8961 億美元,複合年成長率為 15.46%。
碳農業是指一系列旨在將大氣中的二氧化碳固存在土壤和植物生質能中的專業農業管理措施,它既是一種基於自然的應對氣候變遷的解決方案,又能產生可交易的排碳權。這一市場成長的主要驅動力是企業為實現嚴格的淨零排放目標而尋求高品質碳移除抵銷額度的需求不斷成長。此外,為保障長期糧食安全而迫切需要恢復劣化農田,這也構成了一個結構性促進因素,為碳農業的推廣提供了經濟獎勵,使其不受自願碳市場波動的影響。
| 市場概覽 | |
|---|---|
| 預測期 | 2027-2031 |
| 市場規模:2025年 | 5.4434億美元 |
| 市場規模:2031年 | 12.8961億美元 |
| 複合年成長率:2026-2031年 | 15.46% |
| 成長最快的細分市場 | 綜合農業和畜牧業系統 |
| 最大的市場 | 北美洲 |
然而,該領域在土壤有機碳的測量、報告和檢驗(MRV)方面面臨著許多障礙,高成本和技術複雜性目前阻礙了大規模實施。缺乏統一且經濟的量化通訊協定常常導致人們對碳權的可靠性產生不確定性,這可能會嚇退謹慎的投資者。根據森林趨勢(Forest Trends)的生態系統市場報告,儘管到2024年自願碳市場的總交易額將縮減至5.35億美元,但由於買家更傾向於選擇碳移除資產,農業計劃類別的平均碳權價格卻出現了特異性上漲。
企業淨零排放承諾和不斷擴大的ESG(環境、社會和治理)承諾正在從根本上改變全球碳農業市場的需求結構。隨著跨國公司尋求供應鏈脫碳,特別是透過減少範圍3排放,它們擴大與農民合作,實施能夠產生檢驗碳資產的再生農業實踐。這種積極的籌資策略源於獲取高可信度碳移除信用額的需求,以支持其官方氣候行動聲明並降低監管風險。根據2024年3月發布的《科學碳目標舉措(SBTi)2023年監測報告》,預計到2023年底,設定檢驗的科學碳目標的公司數量將加倍,達到4204家,這表明未來對陸基碳移除以排放不可避免的排放的需求將顯著成長。
同時,政府的支持政策和財政獎勵正在幫助農民降低轉型風險。公共部門資金對於彌合實施覆蓋作物和犁地設備所需的初始投資與未來碳收益實現之間的資金缺口至關重要。例如,美國農業部在2024年4月的新聞稿中宣布,將在2024會計年度為其區域保護夥伴關係計畫撥款15億美元,該計畫旨在支持採用氣候智慧型農業實踐。這些公共機制通常與私人支付方案協同運作,從而提高土壤碳封存計劃的整體經濟可行性。作為私營部門發展勢頭的一個例子,Agrina公司報告稱,該公司在2024年向歐洲各地的農民支付了1500萬歐元,用於購買其產生的碳權額,這證實了早期採用者可獲得的流動性正在增加。
全球碳農業市場成長的最大障礙在於土壤有機碳測量、報告和檢驗(MRV)的高成本和技術複雜性。準確量化碳固存需要嚴格且昂貴的採樣程序,這往往會擠壓農民的利潤空間,並削弱小規模計劃的經濟可行性。缺乏經濟高效且統一的調查方法,導致碳移除聲明的有效性存在系統性不確定性,並造成企業買家可信賴的高保真資產短缺。因此,由於擔心信譽和與「綠色清洗」相關的潛在聲譽風險,規避風險的投資者往往會猶豫不決,不願進行投資。
這種結構性瓶頸直接限制了市場的供給面,阻礙了滿足全球需求所需的快速擴張。根據森林趨勢組織(Forest Trends)的生態系統市場報告,2024年自願碳市場發行的碳權下降了20%。這一萎縮主要是由於計劃註冊速度放緩以及對土地利用調查方法的審查力度加大。發行量的下降表明,測量、報告和檢驗(MRV)方面的局限性正在嚴重阻礙檢驗計劃的推進,而這些項目對於市場擴張至關重要。
人工智慧 (AI) 與基於衛星的監測、核查和核查 (MRV) 系統的融合,正從根本上改變全球碳農業市場,消除傳統土壤取樣帶來的成本障礙。新型遙感探測技術利用機器學習演算法分析衛星影像,精確量化大片農田的土壤有機碳含量,無需昂貴的實驗室物理檢測。這項技術革新有效地將營運規模與管理成本脫鉤,使小規模農戶能夠盈利參與碳市場。 Boomitra 在 2025 年 6 月的新聞稿中宣布的一項突破性協議,便是這項營運模式轉變的典型案例。該公司簽署了一份契約,提供 50 萬個完全使用其專有的 AI 和遙感探測技術檢驗的碳移除信用額度,證明了數位化檢驗技術的商業性可行性。
同時,高可信度、基於移除的排碳權的興起正將資金流向永續碳封存資產。企業買家正逐漸放棄低成本、基於避免的碳抵消,轉而選擇基於經過調查方法(例如生物炭施用和可衡量的土壤碳含量提升)的碳權。這種「回歸品質」的趨勢正在推動市場供應端的大規模長期投資,因為相關人員優先考慮那些能夠經受嚴格的永久性和額外性檢驗的資產。南極研究所2025年5月發布的報告《基於自然和技術的碳移除》顯示,投資者在2021年至2024年間承諾向碳移除計劃投入約300億美元,這凸顯了這一趨勢。這顯示市場對高品質碳排放的強烈偏好,而非簡單的減排。
The Global Carbon Farming Market is projected to expand from USD 544.34 Million in 2025 to USD 1289.61 Million by 2031, registering a CAGR of 15.46%. Defined as a specialized suite of agricultural management practices intended to sequester atmospheric carbon dioxide into soil and plant biomass, carbon farming serves as a nature-based solution to climate change while producing tradable carbon credits. This market growth is chiefly underpinned by intensifying demand from corporations looking for high-quality removal offsets to satisfy strict net-zero emissions goals. Additionally, the critical necessity to restore degraded arable land for long-term food security acts as a structural driver, offering an economic incentive for adoption that exists independently of voluntary carbon market volatility.
| Market Overview | |
|---|---|
| Forecast Period | 2027-2031 |
| Market Size 2025 | USD 544.34 Million |
| Market Size 2031 | USD 1289.61 Million |
| CAGR 2026-2031 | 15.46% |
| Fastest Growing Segment | Integrated Crop-Livestock System |
| Largest Market | North America |
Nevertheless, the sector confronts a significant obstacle regarding the measurement, reporting, and verification (MRV) of soil organic carbon, where elevated costs and technical complexities currently hinder scalable implementation. The absence of unified, affordable quantification protocols often creates uncertainty concerning credit integrity, which can discourage cautious investors. According to Forest Trends' Ecosystem Marketplace, in 2024, the agriculture project category uniquely observed a rise in average credit prices due to buyer preference for removal assets, even as the total transaction value of the voluntary carbon market shrank to USD 535 million.
Market Driver
The escalation of corporate net-zero pledges and ESG commitments is fundamentally altering the demand dynamics of the Global Carbon Farming Market. As multinational organizations aim to decarbonize their supply chains, particularly regarding Scope 3 emissions, they are increasingly partnering with agricultural producers to implement regenerative practices that yield verifiable carbon assets. This aggressive procurement strategy is driven by the need to obtain high-integrity removal credits to validate public climate claims and mitigate regulatory risks. According to the Science Based Targets initiative's 'SBTi Monitoring Report 2023', published in March 2024, the number of companies with validated science-based targets doubled to 4,204 by the end of 2023, indicating a substantial future requirement for land-based carbon removals to offset unavoidable emissions.
Simultaneously, the introduction of supportive government policies and financial incentives is de-risking the operational transition for agricultural producers. Public sector funding is crucial to bridge the financial divide between the initial capital outlay required for cover crops or no-till equipment and the eventual realization of carbon revenue. For instance, the U.S. Department of Agriculture announced in an April 2024 'Press Release' that $1.5 billion would be available in fiscal year 2024 for the Regional Conservation Partnership Program to assist farmers in adopting climate-smart practices. These public mechanisms often operate alongside private payment schemes, enhancing the overall economic viability of soil sequestration projects. Illustrating this private sector momentum, Agreena reported in 2024 that it paid out €15 million to farmers across Europe for generated carbon certificates, confirming the rising liquidity available to early adopters.
Market Challenge
The most significant hurdle impeding the growth of the Global Carbon Farming Market is the high cost and technical complexity associated with the Measurement, Reporting, and Verification (MRV) of soil organic carbon. Accurate quantification of carbon sequestration necessitates rigorous and expensive sampling protocols, which often erode profit margins for farmers and render smaller projects economically unfeasible. This lack of cost-effective, unified methodologies creates systemic uncertainty regarding the validity of carbon removal claims, leading to a shortage of high-integrity assets that corporate buyers can trust. Consequently, risk-averse investors often withhold capital due to concerns over credit quality and potential reputational risks related to greenwashing.
This structural bottleneck directly constrains the supply side of the market, preventing the rapid scaling necessary to meet global demand. According to Forest Trends' Ecosystem Marketplace, in 2024, the volume of carbon credits issued in the voluntary market declined by 20 percent, a contraction largely attributed to the slowdown in project registrations and intensified scrutiny of land-use methodologies. This decrease in issuance illustrates how MRV limitations are actively stifling the pipeline of verified projects that are essential for market expansion.
Market Trends
The Integration of AI and Satellite-Based MRV Systems is fundamentally transforming the Global Carbon Farming Market by dismantling the cost barriers associated with traditional soil sampling. New remote sensing technologies utilize machine learning algorithms to analyze satellite imagery, allowing for the accurate quantification of soil organic carbon levels across vast agricultural landscapes without the need for expensive physical lab tests. This technological evolution effectively decouples operational scaling from administrative costs, enabling smaller farms to participate profitably in carbon markets. A testament to this operational shift occurred when, according to Boomitra in a June 2025 'Press Release', the company finalized a landmark agreement to deliver 500,000 carbon removal credits verified exclusively through its proprietary AI and remote sensing capabilities, proving the commercial acceptance of digital verification.
Concurrently, the Emergence of High-Integrity and Removal-Based Carbon Credits is shifting capital flows toward durable sequestration assets. Corporate buyers are increasingly abandoning low-cost avoidance offsets in favor of credits derived from methodologies with lower reversal risks, such as biochar application and measurable soil carbon enhancement. This flight to quality is driving substantial long-term investment into the supply side of the market, as stakeholders prioritize assets that can withstand rigorous scrutiny regarding permanence and additionality. This trend is highlighted by the fact that, according to South Pole's May 2025 'Nature-based and tech-based carbon removals' report, investors committed nearly $30 billion to carbon removal projects between 2021 and 2024, signaling a robust market preference for high-quality sequestration over simple emission reductions.
Report Scope
In this report, the Global Carbon Farming Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:
Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Carbon Farming Market.
Global Carbon Farming Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report: