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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
2133759
城市交通市場預測至2034年-依交通方式、動力方式、服務模式、應用和區域進行分析Urban Mobility Market Forecasts to 2034 - Analysis By Mode (Public Transit, Shared Mobility, Micro-Mobility, Demand-Responsive Transportation, and Personal Mobility), Propulsion, Service Model, Application, and By Geography |
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根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,預計到 2026 年,全球城市交通市場規模將達到 163 億美元,並在預測期內以 7.8% 的複合年成長率成長,到 2034 年將達到 297 億美元。
城市交通是指人員和貨物在城市區域內透過各種交通途徑和服務進行的流動,包括公共交通、共享出行、微出行、按需出行和個人出行。該市場涵蓋內燃機汽車、電池式電動車、混合動力汽車、氫燃料電池汽車以及人力驅動系統,其應用領域包括通勤、最後一公里和首公里連接、旅遊休閒以及城市物流配送。市場成長的主要促進因素是都市化加快、交通堵塞加劇、人們對環境問題的日益關注以及智慧城市理念的推廣。
快速的都市化和日益嚴重的交通堵塞
全球都市化進程的加速和日益嚴重的都市區交通堵塞是推動城市出行市場發展的主要動力。全球超過一半的人口居住在都市區,因此對高效交通解決方案的需求龐大。都市區交通堵塞會導致經濟損失和環境惡化。城市正在尋求創新的旅遊解決方案,例如公共交通、共享旅遊和微旅行。政府推行的促進永續城市交通和減少私家車使用的政策正在加速市場成長。隨著城市不斷發展和堵塞狀況的加劇,對各種交通途徑和服務的城市出行解決方案的需求也在不斷成長。
大型基礎設施投資與監管複雜性
城市交通基礎設施建設所需的大量投資以及複雜的法規結構是限制市場發展的主要因素。公共交通基礎設施需要大量的公共投資。共享旅遊服務面臨複雜的授權程序和監管規定。微型旅遊基礎設施,例如專用自行車道和電動滑板車停車設施,需要地方政府的投資。由於不同城市和國家法規環境的差異,營運方面也面臨諸多挑戰。出行服務的收入模式通常需要大幅擴大規模才能獲利能力。這些投資和監管方面的挑戰可能會減緩市場發展,尤其是在預算緊張的城市。
交通行動服務(MaaS) 與多模態平台的整合
交通行動服務(MaaS) 和多模態綜合平台的日益普及,為城市出行市場的擴張帶來了巨大機會。 MaaS 平台將公共交通、共乘、共享單車和微出行等多種交通方式整合到一個應用程式中,以實現無縫的行程規劃和支付。綜合出行解決方案提升了出行便利性,並促進了永續交通途徑選擇。數據分析則有助於最佳化營運和規劃。隨著智慧型手機普及率的提高和行動支付日益廣泛的應用,MaaS 平台正在擴大市場佔有率,並不斷改善城市出行體驗。
與傳統私家車所有權的競爭
傳統私家車擁有模式的競爭以及消費者對私家車的偏好,對城市出行服務的成長構成重大威脅。私家車被認為具有便利性、柔軟性和安全性。在許多地區,私家車擁有文化仍然根深蒂固。共享出行服務在與私家車的便利性競爭方面面臨挑戰。私家車擁有的吸引力可能會阻礙人們採用其他出行方式。這種競爭可能會限制市場成長,尤其是在私家車擁有模式根深蒂固且交通擁擠程度較低的地區。
新冠疫情對城市交通市場產生了重大影響。封鎖期間,大眾運輸用戶數量驟減,包括叫車和共乘汽車在內的共享旅遊服務需求也隨之下降。然而,隨著人們尋求能夠保持社交距離的出行方式,微出行的使用量迅速回升。疫情也促使人們加速投資建造自行車基礎設施和適合步行的城市空間。由於在家工作的普及,通勤需求下降。疫情過後,各城市正在重建其交通系統,對永續和韌性城市交通的關注仍在繼續。
在預測期內,公共交通領域預計將佔據最大的市場佔有率。
預計在預測期內,公共交通領域將佔據最大的市場佔有率,這主要得益於完善的基礎設施、較高的客流量以及政府對公共交通系統的投資。包括公車、火車、地鐵、電車和輕軌在內的公共交通工具,每天服務數百萬城市通勤者。該領域受益於政府的支持和公共資金投入。不斷成長的城市人口帶來了持續的需求。隨著城市加大對公共運輸系統的投入,公共交通在各類交通途徑方式中仍維持最大的市場佔有率。
預計在預測期內,電池式電動車細分市場將實現最高的複合年成長率。
在整個預測期內,受全球向電動出行轉型、政府鼓勵電動車普及的政策以及城市充電基礎設施不斷擴展的電池式電動車)細分市場預計將呈現最高的成長率。電動公車、叫車、電動滑板車和電動自行車在城市交通車隊中的比例正在迅速成長。該細分市場受益於電池成本的下降和性能的提升。政府強制推行零排放車輛的法規正在加速其普及。隨著城市交通日益電氣化,純電動車在該細分市場中正經歷最快的成長。
在整個預測期內,亞太地區預計將保持最大的市場佔有率,這得益於全球最大的城市人口、快速的都市化以及中國、印度、日本和東南亞等地對公共交通基礎設施的大量投資。該地區的特大城市對城市出行解決方案的需求顯著成長。政府對地鐵系統、公車網路和共享旅遊服務的投資正在加速。高人口密度也支撐了公共運輸使用者的數量。憑藉全球最大的城市人口,亞太地區將繼續保持主導地位。
在預測期內,亞太地區預計將呈現最高的複合年成長率,這主要得益於持續的都市化、可支配收入的成長以及共享出行和微出行解決方案在全部區域日益普及。該地區快速發展的城市對旅行服務產生了巨大的需求。政府為促進永續城市交通所採取的措施也在不斷擴大。電動出行在全部區域正加速普及。隨著城市人口和出行需求的持續成長,亞太地區正經歷全球城市出行市場最快的成長。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Urban Mobility Market is accounted for $16.3 billion in 2026 and is expected to reach $29.7 billion by 2034 growing at a CAGR of 7.8% during the forecast period. Urban mobility refers to the movement of people and goods within urban areas through various transportation modes and services, including public transit, shared mobility, micro-mobility, demand-responsive transportation, and personal mobility. The market encompasses internal combustion engine, battery electric, hybrid electric, hydrogen and fuel cell, and human-powered propulsion systems across commuting, first- and last-mile connectivity, tourism and leisure, and urban logistics and delivery applications. Growing urbanization, increasing traffic congestion, rising environmental concerns, and expanding smart city initiatives are key drivers of market expansion.
Rapid urbanization and increasing traffic congestion
The accelerating global urbanization and growing traffic congestion in cities are primary drivers for the urban mobility market. More than half the global population lives in urban areas, creating substantial demand for efficient transportation solutions. Traffic congestion in cities results in economic losses and environmental degradation. Cities are seeking innovative mobility solutions including public transit, shared mobility, and micro-mobility alternatives. Government policies promoting sustainable urban transport and reducing private vehicle usage are accelerating market growth. As cities continue growing and congestion intensifies, demand for urban mobility solutions expands across all modes and services.
High infrastructure investment and regulatory complexity
The significant investment required for urban mobility infrastructure and the complexity of regulatory frameworks represent a major restraint for the market. Public transit infrastructure requires substantial public investment. Shared mobility services face complex permitting and regulation. Micro-mobility infrastructure including bike lanes and scooter parking requires city investment. The fragmented regulatory environment across cities and countries creates operational challenges. Revenue models for mobility services often require significant scaling for profitability. These investment and regulatory challenges may slow market development, particularly in budget-constrained cities.
Integration of mobility-as-a-service and multi-modal platforms
The growing adoption of mobility-as-a-service and integrated multi-modal platforms presents significant opportunities for urban mobility market expansion. MaaS platforms integrate multiple mobility options including public transit, ride-sharing, bike-sharing, and micro-mobility into a single application, enabling seamless journey planning and payment. Integrated mobility solutions improve convenience and encourage sustainable transport choices. Data analytics enable optimized operations and planning. As smartphone penetration and mobile payment adoption grow, MaaS platforms capture growing market share, enabling enhanced urban mobility experiences.
Competition from traditional private vehicle ownership
Competition from traditional private vehicle ownership and consumer preference for personal cars poses significant threats to urban mobility service growth. Private vehicles offer convenience, flexibility, and perceived safety. Car ownership culture remains strong in many regions. Shared mobility services face challenges in competing with personal vehicle convenience. The appeal of private vehicle ownership may limit adoption of alternative mobility modes. This competition may constrain market growth, particularly in regions with established car ownership culture and limited congestion.
The COVID-19 pandemic had a significant impact on urban mobility markets. Public transit ridership declined sharply during lockdowns. Shared mobility services including ride-hailing and car-sharing experienced reduced demand. However, micro-mobility usage rebounded quickly as people sought socially distanced transport. The pandemic accelerated investment in cycling infrastructure and pedestrian-friendly urban spaces. Work-from-home trends reduced commuting demand. Post-pandemic, cities are rethinking mobility systems, with continued focus on sustainable and resilient urban transport.
The Public Transit segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The Public Transit segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period, driven by established infrastructure, high ridership volumes, and government investment in public transportation systems. Public transit including bus, rail transit, metro and subway, and tram and light rail serves millions of urban commuters daily. The segment benefits from government support and public funding. Growing urban populations create sustained demand. As cities invest in public transit expansion and modernization, public transit maintains the largest mode segment share.
The Battery Electric segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the Battery Electric segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate, fueled by the global transition toward electric mobility, government policies promoting EV adoption, and the expansion of charging infrastructure across cities. Electric buses, ride-hailing EVs, e-scooters, and e-bikes are rapidly increasing across urban mobility fleets. The segment benefits from declining battery costs and improving performance. Government mandates for zero-emission fleets are accelerating adoption. As electrification of urban transport continues, battery electric propulsion delivers the fastest segment growth.
During the forecast period, the Asia-Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share, supported by the world's largest urban populations, rapid urbanization, and significant investment in public transit infrastructure across China, India, Japan, and Southeast Asia. The region's megacities create substantial demand for urban mobility solutions. Government investment in metro systems, bus networks, and shared mobility services is accelerating. High population density supports public transit ridership. With the largest urban population, Asia Pacific maintains its dominant market position.
Over the forecast period, the Asia-Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR, driven by continued urbanization, rising disposable incomes, and increasing adoption of shared mobility and micro-mobility solutions across the region. The region's rapidly growing cities create substantial demand for mobility services. Government initiatives promoting sustainable urban transport are expanding. Electric mobility adoption is accelerating across the region. As urban populations and mobility needs continue growing, Asia Pacific delivers the fastest urban mobility market growth globally.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Urban Mobility Market include Uber Technologies, Inc., Lyft, Inc., DiDi Global Inc., Grab Holdings Limited, Bolt Technology OU, BlaBlaCar, Lime, Voi Technology AB, Dott, TIER Mobility SE, Via Transportation, Inc., Transdev Group, ComfortDelGro Corporation Limited, Moovit App Global Ltd., Siemens Mobility GmbH, and Hitachi Rail Limited.
In July 2026, Grab launched pilot operations for an on-demand autonomous vehicle shuttle service in Punggol, Singapore, supporting its regional hybrid shared mobility strategy.
In February 2026, Lyft announced a $1 billion share repurchase program following its full-year 2025 financial results, which delivered $1.12 billion in free cash flow and a major expansion into autonomous fleet orchestration.
In February 2026, Uber partnered with Waabi in a landmark commercial agreement to deploy up to 25,000 autonomous vehicles onto its global ride-hailing network, alongside reporting $52.02 billion in FY2025 revenue.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Rest of the World (RoW) Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.