![]() |
市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1865457
電動巴士和公共交通市場預測至2032年:按動力方式、車輛配置、充電類型、應用和區域分類的全球分析Electric Bus & Public Transit Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Propulsion Type, Vehicle Configuration, Charging Type, Application and By Geography |
||||||
根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,預計到 2025 年,全球電動巴士和公共交通市場規模將達到 238 億美元,到 2032 年將達到 595.5 億美元,預測期內複合年成長率為 14.0%。
電動公車正以其更乾淨、更安靜的出行方式改變公共運輸。城市交通部門正以電池驅動和氫燃料電池電動公車取代柴油車輛,以污染防治並減少碳排放。這些公車營運成本更低,機械維護更少,是長期車隊規劃中經濟高效的選擇。充電站、快速充電系統和智慧電網整合技術的進步,有助於維持可靠的線路運作。世界各國政府正透過政策、補貼和基礎設施投資來支持電動公車的普及。隨著儲能技術和車輛技術的不斷進步,電動公車有望成為全球永續城市交通的核心組成部分。
據印度重工業部稱,截至 2023 年,FAME-II 計劃已批准 7,000 多輛電動公車,其中 3,000 多輛已在主要城市投入使用,這反映出中央政府對公共交通電氣化的大力支持。
更嚴格的環境法規與排放目標
更嚴格的污染法規和氣候變遷措施正在加速公共交通網路向電動公車的轉型。柴油公車是都市區空氣污染的主要來源,因此政府部門正在推出更嚴格的排放法規和清潔出行框架。電動公車零排放且城市噪音極低,使其成為交通負責人重要的環境改善工具。許多國家正在製定綠色交通政策,擴大低排放區,並設定逐步淘汰石化燃料公車的最後期限。這些措施迫使營運商用環保車款替換老舊車輛。隨著許多城市致力於減少碳排放,電動公車正成為永續公共交通策略的優先組成部分。
高昂的初始投資和採購成本
電動公車普及面臨的主要挑戰之一是高昂的初始投資。與柴油車相比,電動公車需要昂貴的電池、電控系統和專用推進技術,這顯著增加了其購買成本。營運商還必須撥出資金用於充電站、快速充電器和電氣設備升級,以支援日常營運。許多地方交通機構缺乏進行這些投資的資金,從而延緩了其轉型計劃。雖然從長遠來看,電動公車可以降低燃料和維護成本,但初始成本差距仍然難以克服。因此,高昂的購置和基礎設施成本繼續阻礙電動公車市場的大規模擴張。
電池和充電系統的技術進步
電池技術和充電方式的持續改進正在釋放電動公共交通的巨大成長潛力。高密度電池解決方案可實現更長的續航里程、更快的充電速度和更高的耐用性,使公車能夠運行更長的線路,減少停駛次數。固態電池、感應式充電平台和直流快速充電站等技術的進步正在提高營運效率。增強的冷卻和能源管理系統確保了公車即使在惡劣環境下也能可靠運作。隨著生產規模的擴大和單位成本的下降,電動出行正成為公共運輸機構更經濟實惠的選擇。這些技術創新提高了可靠性,減少了運作,並加速了尋求更清潔、更智慧交通系統的城市採用電動公車的進程。
供應鏈不穩定和電池材料短缺
全球原料供應鏈的不穩定性對電動公車的廣泛應用構成重大威脅,特別是因為電池依賴鋰、鈷、鎳和稀土元素礦物等稀缺金屬。採礦限制和精煉能力不足導致價格波動和運輸延誤。地緣政治問題、出口限制和貿易爭端使得製造商的採購計畫難以預測。電動車製造商和電網儲能公司需求的成長進一步加劇了原料供應的壓力。短缺會增加生產成本並延誤車輛交付。除非擴大回收系統並開發新的礦產資源,否則長期的原料短缺可能會減緩電動公車的普及,並阻礙其在公共交通網路中的普及。
新冠疫情對電動巴士和公共運輸市場產生了顯著影響,主要體現在生產停滯、採購週期延遲以及封鎖期間客流量下降等。交通管理部門面臨的財政壓力導致電氣化計劃延期,投資能力受限。零件短缺,尤其是電池和電子元件的短缺,進一步阻礙了生產進度。然而,這場危機也促使人們對永續交通途徑的關注度提升,許多政府推出了綠色復甦預算和新的零排放政策。額外的補貼、充電基礎設施計劃和環保措施有助於恢復人們對電動公共交通的信心。儘管短期影響抑制了成長,但長期推廣策略依然穩健,全球的進展仍在持續。
預計在預測期內,電池電動巴士(BEB)細分市場將佔據最大的市場佔有率。
由於易於整合、零排放以及與不斷擴展的充電網路相容,電池電動巴士(BEB)預計將在預測期內佔據最大的市場佔有率。交通管理部門選擇BEB的原因在於其燃料成本更低、乘坐舒適,並且在頻繁停靠的城市線路上性能可靠。電池技術的快速發展提高了續航里程、縮短了充電時間並增強了車隊的可靠性。支援法規、清潔旅遊計畫以及對充電基礎設施不斷增加的投資正在加速BEB的普及。隨著城市負責人尋求可靠的零排放交通方式,BEB已成為日常營運的首選,也是公共運輸領域最廣泛接受的車款。
預計在預測期內,鉸接式公車(車長超過12公尺的鉸接式公車)細分市場將以最高的複合年成長率成長。
鉸接式公車(長度超過12米,鉸接式設計)預計將在預測期內呈現最高的成長率,這主要得益於其能夠搭載更多乘客以及在擁擠路段增加發車頻率。鉸接式公車適用於多種應用場景,包括客流量大的線路、都市區交通幹線以及需要持續客流的機場接送服務。其獨特的設計使公車公司能夠以更少的車輛應對尖峰時段的交通流量,從而減少道路擁塞並降低營運成本。電池技術和充電基礎設施的進步使得鉸接式公車能夠以最小的停機時間延長營運時間。隨著許多城市投資建設現代化、高容量的公共交通網路,鉸接式電動公車正迅速被市場接受,加速其車隊的電氣化進程。
由於快速的城市化進程、完善的公共交通系統以及對排放排放交通的強力政策支持,亞太地區預計將在整個預測期內佔據最大的市場佔有率。中國和印度等國家正積極推動從柴油公車向電動公車的轉型,以減少污染併升級其交通基礎設施。主要公車製造商的存在、慷慨的補貼計劃以及先進充電站的推廣,進一步鞏固了該地區的地位。隨著眾多特大城市不斷擴張並實現交通網路的現代化,亞太地區在電動公車的普及應用方面處於領先地位,並在主導全球市場走向方面發揮關鍵作用。
在預測期內,由於強力的環境政策、清潔交通策略以及對零排放車輛投資的不斷增加,歐洲預計將成為複合年成長率最高的地區。許多歐洲國家已設定了逐步淘汰柴油公車的明確期限,這迅速推動了對電動車型的需求。都市區正在推行低排放區,擴建車庫和行動充電設施,並為營運商提供財務獎勵。本地製造商正在為密集的交通網路開發最佳化的電池效率和快速充電解決方案。隨著大眾偏好轉向零排放出行和更嚴格的氣候法規,歐洲仍然是電動公車普及和城市車輛轉型成長最快的地區。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Electric Bus & Public Transit Market is accounted for $23.8 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $59.55 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 14.0% during the forecast period. Electric buses are reshaping public transportation by delivering cleaner and quieter mobility solutions. Urban transit agencies are replacing diesel fleets with battery-powered and hydrogen-fuel electric buses to fight pollution and lower carbon footprints. Since these buses offer reduced operating expenses and require less mechanical upkeep, they are becoming a cost-effective choice for long-term fleet planning. Advancements in charging stations, rapid charging systems, and smart grid integration help maintain consistent route coverage. Global governments are supporting deployment through policies, grants, and infrastructure investments. With ongoing improvements in energy storage and vehicle technology, electric buses are poised to become a core element of sustainable city transportation worldwide.
According to India's Ministry of Heavy Industries, over 7,000 electric buses have been sanctioned under the FAME-II scheme as of 2023, with more than 3,000 already deployed across major cities. This reflects strong central support for electrifying public transport.
Rising environmental regulations and emission reduction targets
Stricter pollution laws and climate commitments are accelerating the shift toward electric buses in public transport networks. Diesel buses contribute heavily to urban air contaminants, causing authorities to adopt tougher emission regulations and clean-mobility frameworks. Since electric buses operate with zero exhaust and minimal urban noise, transit planners view them as an essential tool for environmental improvement. Numerous nations are rolling out green-transport policies, expanding low-pollution zones, and setting deadlines to phase out fossil-fuel buses. These initiatives are pressuring operators to replace older fleets with eco-friendly models. With many cities aiming for reduced carbon footprints, electric buses are becoming a priority component in sustainable public transit strategies.
High initial investment and procurement costs
The primary challenge restricting the growth of electric buses is the substantial upfront financial requirement. Compared to diesel vehicles, electric buses demand costly batteries, electronic control units, and specialized propulsion technology, raising purchase prices considerably. Fleet operators must also allocate funds for charging depots, rapid chargers, and electrical upgrades to support daily operations. Many regional transport agencies lack the capital to make these investments, delaying their transition plans. Even though electric buses reduce fuel and maintenance expenses over time, the initial cost gap remains difficult to overcome. As a result, high purchase and infrastructure expenses continue to slow down large-scale market expansion.
Technological advancements in batteries and charging systems
Continuous improvements in battery technology and charging methods are unlocking major growth prospects for electric public transit. Higher-density battery solutions deliver extended range, quicker charging, and improved durability, allowing buses to run longer routes with fewer interruptions. Advancements such as solid-state cells, inductive charging platforms, and rapid DC charging stations are increasing operational efficiency. Enhanced cooling and energy-management systems make buses reliable even under harsh environmental conditions. As manufacturing scales and unit prices decrease, electric mobility becomes more affordable for transit agencies. These technology upgrades boost reliability, reduce downtime, and encourage faster adoption of electric buses across cities aiming for cleaner and smarter transportation systems.
Supply chain instability and battery material shortages
Instability in global material supply chains is a major threat for electric bus growth, particularly because batteries rely on scarce metals like lithium, cobalt, nickel, and rare earth minerals. Limited mining output and refining capacity create price volatility and shipment delays. Geopolitical issues, export limits, and trade disputes make procurement unpredictable for manufacturers. Rising demand from EV automakers and grid-storage companies puts additional pressure on material availability. When shortages occur, production costs increase and fleet delivery schedules are pushed back. Unless recycling systems expand and new mining sources are developed, long-term material constraints may slow deployment and reduce affordability of electric buses in public transport networks.
The Covid-19 outbreak had a notable influence on the Electric Bus & Public Transit Market, mainly through halted production activities, slowed procurement cycles, and reduced ridership during lockdown phases. Financial pressure on transit authorities caused delays in electrification projects and limited investment capacity. Component shortages, especially for batteries and electronic parts, further obstructed manufacturing schedules. Yet, the crisis also boosted interest in sustainable transportation as many governments introduced green recovery budgets and new zero-emission policies. Additional subsidies, charging infrastructure projects, and environmental initiatives helped revive confidence in electric public transit. Although the short-term impact weakened growth, long-term adoption strategies remained resilient and continued progressing worldwide.
The battery electric bus (BEB) segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The battery electric bus (BEB) segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period because they are easier to integrate, produce no exhaust emissions, and fit well within growing charging networks. Transport authorities choose BEBs for reduced fuel expenses, smoother rides, and dependable performance on urban routes with frequent halts. Faster progress in battery innovation has led to improved range, quicker charging, and stronger fleet reliability. Supportive regulations, clean mobility programs, and rising investment in charging infrastructure help accelerate adoption. As urban planners look for reliable zero-emission mobility, BEBs have become the preferred option for daily service, making them the most widely accepted segment in public transportation.
The articulated bus (>12 meters, jointed) segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the articulated bus (>12 meters, jointed) segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate due to their ability to carry larger passenger loads and improve service frequency on busy routes. They are widely suited for high-demand corridors, metro-feeder systems, and airport transportation where continuous passenger movement is required. Their design allows transit agencies to handle peak-hour traffic with fewer vehicles, decreasing road congestion and operating expenses. Advancements in battery technology and charging infrastructure enable longer service hours with minimal downtime. With many cities investing in modern, high-capacity public transport networks, articulated electric buses are gaining rapid preference and accelerating fleet electrification.
During the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share due to its rapid urban growth, extensive public transit systems, and robust policy support for emissions-free transportation. Nations like China and India are aggressively transitioning from diesel buses to electric fleets to curb pollution and upgrade mobility infrastructure. Dominant bus manufacturers, generous subsidies, and advanced charging station deployment further reinforce the region's prominence. As numerous large cities expand and modernise their transit operations, the Asia-Pacific region remains the foremost arena for electric bus adoption and plays a key role in driving global market direction.
Over the forecast period, the Europe region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR because of its strong environmental policies, clean transport strategies, and rising investment in zero-emission vehicles. Many European nations have set firm deadlines to retire diesel buses, driving rapid demand for electric models. Cities are introducing low-emission districts, expanding depot and on-route charging, and offering financial incentives for operators. Local manufacturers are advancing battery efficiency and fast-charging solutions tailored for dense transit networks. With public preference shifting toward pollution-free mobility and climate regulations becoming stricter, Europe remains the fastest-growing region for electric bus deployment and urban fleet transformation.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Electric Bus & Public Transit Market include Proterra, King Long Bus, Irizar e-mobility, Alexander Dennis, Yutong, DFAC, BYD, Zhong Tong, Foton, ANKAI, Guangtong, Nanjing Gold Dragon, Volvo, New Flyer and Daimler.
In October 2025, BYD and HONOR launch deep collaboration to integrate smartphone connectivity and vehicle intelligence, setting the stage for a new smart-mobility ecosystem. In a move that could reshape connected mobility, smartphone manufacturer HONOR and new-energy vehicle maker BYD have signed a strategic partnership to deliver AI-enabled intelligent vehicle experiences.
In August 2025, Daimler Truck AG, Mitsubishi Fuso Truck and Bus Corporation, Hino Motors Ltd., and Toyota Motor Corporation have signed definitive agreements to integrate Mitsubishi Fuso and Hino. The agreement marks a major step in creating a unified force to accelerate innovation, decarbonisation, and competitiveness in the commercial vehicle sector.
In June 2025, Volvo Cars has signed an agreement with Swedish steelmaker SSAB to begin using recycled, near zero-emission steel in its manufacturing operations from 2025, reinforcing its goal to reach net-zero emissions by 2040 and increase circularity across its supply chain.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.