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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1940582

智慧鎖：市場佔有率分析、產業趨勢與統計、成長預測（2026-2031）

Smart Lock - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2026 - 2031)
出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 120 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

2025年智慧鎖市場價值為32.3億美元，預計到2031年將達到75.2億美元，高於2026年的37.2億美元。

預計在預測期（2026-2031 年）內，複合年成長率將達到 15.11%。

智慧鎖市場-IMG1

這項前景主要受多種因素驅動，包括日益成熟的智慧家庭平台、日益成長的都市區安全隱患以及物聯網連接性的擴展，從而實現遠端門禁。 Matter 和 Thread 標準的互通性進步正在消除許多整合障礙，而生物識別感測器價格的下降則擴展了住宅和輕型商業應用的功能集。儘管半導體短缺導致的價格上漲構成短期不利因素，但保險折扣和更低的總體擁有成本 (TCO) 將繼續推動機械鎖的替換。活性化的收購活動表明，現有的門禁控制領導企業正在積極佈局，以確保規模、分銷管道和核心技術。

全球智慧鎖市場趨勢與洞察

智慧家庭生態系統的快速普及

隨著用戶對統一設備控制的偏好日益成長，智慧門鎖整合已成為連網家庭領域首批升級之一。耶魯、Schlage 和 Level 共同推出的 Matter over Thread 平台打破了廠商鎖定，並將電池續航時間延長至 12 個月以上。語音助理已在美國 70% 的家庭中普及，加速了語音門鎖的普及。預計到 2026 年，Thread 1.4 的廣泛應用將使新產品無需額外閘道器即可連接到現有網路，從而進一步增強生態系統的整合。

都市區竊盜增多，安全隱患日益嚴重

都市區犯罪模式令住宅高度警惕，數據顯示，83%的入侵者在入室行竊前會檢查安防系統。將智慧門鎖與影像認證結合，可消除傳統系統常見的15秒警報響應延遲。 Lockly的臉部認證引擎目前可在1.5秒內偵測出詐欺性人臉，並觸發即時警報以遏止機會主義犯罪。生物識別和PIN碼的多因素組合為高密度住宅高層建築增加了一層額外的安全保障，因為在這些地方，匿名性往往是入室盜竊的溫床。

網路安全與駭客攻擊漏洞

備受矚目的安全漏洞事件暴露了主流產品中生物識別繞過和可複製NFC標籤的問題。一家消費者組織的測試發現，85.7%的晶片啟動設備至少有一項嚴重缺陷。目前，供應商提供端對端加密和雙因素認證，但硬體設計的碎片化使得通用修補程式難以維護。連接標準聯盟（Connectivity Standards Alliance）內的產業組織正在製定基準要求，但實施上的差異導致網路安全風險持續居高不下。

細分市場分析

到2025年，插銷鎖將佔總收入的45.12%，反映出住宅普遍信賴其堅固耐用的品質。這一佔有率在智慧鎖硬體市場中佔比最大。由於飯店和辦公室對符合《美國殘障人士法案》(ADA)的要求，拉桿式門鎖系統將實現15.18%的複合年成長率，成為成長最快的產品，這表明其操作簡便性在高人流量環境中極具吸引力。

追求隱藏升級的消費者對改裝鎖心的需求日益成長，這類鎖芯可以將電子元件隱藏在現有外殼內，例如Level的隱形鎖芯。掛鎖式智慧型裝置適用於戶外工業應用場景，但由於防風雨改造成本較高，目前仍屬於小眾市場。儘管智慧鎖的持續小型化將模糊產品類別的界限，但預計到2031年，插銷式智慧鎖仍將佔據智慧鎖市場的主導地位。

截至2025年，藍牙智慧鎖以61.68%的市佔率佔據市場領先地位。智慧型手機與智慧鎖配對的便利性使其適用於路由器連接不穩定的租賃房屋。然而，通訊範圍和網狀網路方面的限制使其不適用於多用戶住宅。

受Matter認證和Silicon Labs超低功耗SoC的推動，Zigbee-Thread協定棧預計將以16.74%的複合年成長率成長。 Wi-Fi仍被廣泛應用於電池密集、雲端優先的部署場景，這些場景優先考慮直接遠端控制。超寬頻（UWB）等新興技術可實現免手動精準操作，但在出貨量擴大之前，它們仍將被歸類為「其他」類別。通訊協定標準化程度的提高正在減少分散化，這一趨勢將推動智慧鎖市場的整體普及。

智慧鎖市場按鎖類型（插銷鎖、拉桿鎖等）、通訊技術（藍牙、Wi-Fi等）、認證方式（密碼/小鍵盤、生物識別（指紋、人臉）等）、最終用戶（住宅、商業辦公等）和地區進行細分。市場預測以美元計價。

區域分析

預計到2025年，北美將佔總收入的37.05%，這主要得益於智慧家庭的早期普及、有利的建築規範以及智慧安防產品最高可達10%的保險折扣。在美國，由於開發商將智慧門鎖視為標準配置，維修需求正在推動市場成長。加拿大也將緊隨其後，受益於類似的建築規範和寬頻普及率。

亞太地區預計將實現最高的複合年成長率（CAGR），達到15.42%，反映出快速的都市區和中產階級可支配收入的成長。中國在智慧家庭出貨量方面主導，印度住宅自動化市場預計將成長39.79%，智慧門鎖在消費者的升級清單中名列前茅。在日本，人口老化推動了對非接觸式門禁解決方案的需求，這些方案有助於老年人保持獨立生活能力。

歐洲在能源效率指令和強而有力的隱私監管的推動下，正穩步推動智慧門鎖的發展。先進的加密要求推高了開發成本，但也促使企業推出符合GDPR要求的差異化產品。中東和非洲地區目前規模雖小，但受益於新房地產計劃中嵌入的智慧城市投資，這為智慧門鎖市場的未來發展奠定了堅實的基礎，並為其提供了重要的市場應用路徑。

其他福利：

  • Excel格式的市場預測（ME）表
  • 3個月的分析師支持

目錄

第1章 引言

  • 研究假設和市場定義
  • 調查範圍

第2章調查方法

第3章執行摘要

第4章 市場情勢

  • 市場概覽
  • 市場促進因素
    • 智慧家庭生態系統的快速普及
    • 都市區竊盜增多，安全隱患日益嚴重
    • 智慧型手機和物聯網的普及使得遠端存取成為可能。
    • 根據《建築標準法》推廣非接觸式節能門
    • Airbnb式出租房對自動化訪客的需求
    • 智慧門鎖可享住宅保險折扣
  • 市場限制
    • 網路安全與駭客攻擊漏洞
    • 初始設備和安裝成本溢價
    • 電池壽命和維護問題是消費者關注的問題。
    • 維修計劃中通訊協定之間的互通性差距
  • 供應鏈分析
  • 監管環境
  • 技術展望
  • 波特五力模型
    • 供應商的議價能力
    • 買方的議價能力
    • 新進入者的威脅
    • 替代品的威脅
    • 競爭對手之間的競爭
  • 對影響市場的宏觀經濟因素進行評估

第5章 市場規模與成長預測

  • 按鎖類型
    • 門栓
    • 槓桿手柄
    • 掛鎖
    • 其他
  • 透過通訊技術
    • Bluetooth
    • Wi-Fi
    • Zigbee
    • 其他
  • 透過身份驗證方法
    • PIN碼/小鍵盤
    • 生物識別（指紋、臉部）
    • RFID/NFC卡
    • 其他
  • 最終用戶
    • 住宅
    • 銷售辦事處
    • 住宿設施和短期租賃
    • 工業和基礎設施
  • 按地區
    • 北美洲
      • 美國
      • 加拿大
      • 墨西哥
    • 南美洲
      • 巴西
      • 阿根廷
      • 南美洲其他地區
    • 歐洲
      • 德國
      • 英國
      • 法國
      • 義大利
      • 西班牙
      • 其他歐洲地區
    • 亞太地區
      • 中國
      • 日本
      • 印度
      • 韓國
      • 東南亞
      • 亞太其他地區
    • 中東和非洲
      • 中東
        • 沙烏地阿拉伯
        • 阿拉伯聯合大公國
        • 土耳其
        • 其他中東地區
      • 非洲
        • 南非
        • 奈及利亞
        • 埃及
        • 其他非洲地區

第6章 競爭情勢

  • 市場集中度
  • 策略趨勢
  • 市佔率分析
  • 公司簡介
    • ASSA ABLOY（Yale, August）
    • Allegion plc（Schlage）
    • Spectrum Brands Holdings（Kwikset）
    • dormakaba Group
    • Honeywell International
    • SALTO Systems
    • U-TEC（ULTRALOQ）
    • Lockly
    • Master Lock
    • Nuki Home Solutions
    • Netatmo（Legrand）
    • SimpliSafe
    • Samsung SDS
    • Aqara（Xiaomi）
    • Eufy Security（Anker）
    • Level Home
    • Tedee
    • Hanman International
    • Panasonic Life Solutions
    • Xiaomi Mi Smart Home

第7章 市場機會與未來展望

簡介目錄
Product Code: 67640

The smart lock market was valued at USD 3.23 billion in 2025 and estimated to grow from USD 3.72 billion in 2026 to reach USD 7.52 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 15.11% during the forecast period (2026-2031).

Smart Lock - Market - IMG1

The outlook highlights the convergence of maturing smart-home platforms, rising urban security concerns, and expanding IoT connectivity that favors remote door access. Interoperability progress through the Matter and Thread standards now removes many integration barriers, while declining biometric sensor prices are broadening feature sets across both residential and light-commercial models. Price increases linked to semiconductor shortages are a near-term headwind, yet insurance premium discounts and total-cost-of-ownership savings continue to encourage replacement of mechanical locks. Intensifying acquisition activity shows established access-control leaders positioning to secure scale, channel reach, and core technology.

Global Smart Lock Market Trends and Insights

Rapid Adoption of Smart-Home Ecosystems

Growing preference for unified device control makes smart lock integration one of the first upgrades in connected homes. Matter-over-Thread launches by Yale, Schlage, and Level are removing vendor lock-in and extending battery life to more than 12 months. Voice assistants already reside in 70% of United States households, which accelerates voice-enabled locking. Scheduled Thread 1.4 adoption by 2026 will let new products join existing networks without additional hubs, further tightening ecosystem stickiness.

Rising Burglary and Safety Concerns in Urban Areas

Urban crime patterns have raised homeowner vigilance, and data show 83% of burglars survey security setups before entry. Integrating a smart lock with video verification closes the 15-second alarm response gap common in legacy systems. Lockly's facial recognition engine now flags unauthorized faces in 1.5 seconds, sending real-time alerts that deter opportunistic crime. Multi-factor combinations of biometrics and PINs add layered protection for dense residential high-rises where anonymity often aids break-ins.

Cyber-Security and Hacking Vulnerabilities

High-profile breaches have exposed biometric bypasses and cloneable NFC tags in mainstream models. Tests by one consumer association found 85.7% of chip-activated units exhibited at least one critical flaw. Vendors now ship end-to-end encryption and two-factor log-ins, yet fragmented hardware designs make universal patching hard to maintain. Industry groups within the Connectivity Standards Alliance are drafting baseline requirements, but wide variation in implementation keeps cyber-risk elevated.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

  1. Smartphone and IoT Proliferation Enabling Remote Access
  2. Building-Code Push for Keyless Energy-Efficient Doors
  3. Up-Front Device and Installation Cost Premium

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

Deadbolts retained 45.12% of 2025 revenue, reflecting widespread homeowner confidence in their physical robustness. This share equates to the largest slice of the smart lock market size for hardware formats. Lever handle systems achieved the leading 15.18% CAGR due to ADA compliance needs in hotels and offices, demonstrating how ease-of-operation appeals to high-traffic settings.

Consumers seeking discreet upgrades have driven interest in retrofit cylinders that hide electronics inside existing housings, exemplified by Level's invisible mechanism. Padlock-style smart devices service out-door industrial use cases but remain niche because of weather-proofing costs. Continuous miniaturization will likely blur category boundaries, though deadbolts are expected to keep a commanding presence through 2031 in the smart lock market.

Bluetooth held 61.68% share in 2025, translating into the top position within the smart lock market share for connectivity. Its phone-to-lock pairing simplicity favors rental properties where router access is uncertain. Range and mesh limitations, however, make it less suited to multi-unit dwellings.

The Zigbee-Thread stack is projected for a 16.74% CAGR, propelled by Matter certification and Silicon Labs' ultra-low-power SoCs. Wi-Fi continues in cloud-first deployments that prioritize direct remote control despite battery drain. Emerging ultra-wideband adds hands-free precision but sits within the "Others" bucket until shipping volumes scale. Across protocols, standardization is shrinking fragmentation, a trend that will raise the overall smart lock market adoption curve.

Smart Lock Market is Segmented by Lock Type (Deadbolt, Lever Handle, and More), Communication Technology (Bluetooth, Wi-Fi, and More), Authentication Method (Pin-Code / Keypad, Biometric (Fingerprint, Face), and More), End User (Residential, Commercial Offices, and More) and by Geography. The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD).

Geography Analysis

North America secured 37.05% of 2025 revenue due to early smart-home adoption, favorable codes, and insurance discounts of up to 10% for connected security. The United States drives renovation demand as developers view smart locks as standard amenity packages. Canada follows, leveraging similar building norms and broadband penetration.

Asia-Pacific is set for the highest 15.42% CAGR, reflecting rapid urban migration and growing middle-class disposable income. China leads smart-home shipments, while India's residential automation pipeline shows a 39.79% expansion outlook that positions smart locks near the top of consumer upgrade lists. Japan's aging demographic attracts contactless door solutions supporting senior independence.

Europe posts steady progression anchored by energy-efficiency directives and strong privacy oversight. Advanced encryption requirements raise development costs yet promote differentiated offerings that comply with GDPR. The Middle East and Africa, though smaller today, benefit from smart-city investments baked into greenfield real-estate projects, enabling leapfrog adoption paths that raise the future baseline of the smart lock market.

  1. ASSA ABLOY (Yale, August)
  2. Allegion plc (Schlage)
  3. Spectrum Brands Holdings (Kwikset)
  4. dormakaba Group
  5. Honeywell International
  6. SALTO Systems
  7. U-TEC (ULTRALOQ)
  8. Lockly
  9. Master Lock
  10. Nuki Home Solutions
  11. Netatmo (Legrand)
  12. SimpliSafe
  13. Samsung SDS
  14. Aqara (Xiaomi)
  15. Eufy Security (Anker)
  16. Level Home
  17. Tedee
  18. Hanman International
  19. Panasonic Life Solutions
  20. Xiaomi Mi Smart Home

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 INTRODUCTION

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions and Market Definition
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 RESEARCH METHODOLOGY

3 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

4 MARKET LANDSCAPE

  • 4.1 Market Overview
  • 4.2 Market Drivers
    • 4.2.1 Rapid adoption of smart-home ecosystems
    • 4.2.2 Rising burglary and safety concerns in urban areas
    • 4.2.3 Smartphone and IoT proliferation enabling remote access
    • 4.2.4 Building-code push for keyless energy-efficient doors
    • 4.2.5 Airbnb-style rentals demanding automated guest access
    • 4.2.6 Home-insurance premium discounts for connected locks
  • 4.3 Market Restraints
    • 4.3.1 Cyber-security and hacking vulnerabilities
    • 4.3.2 Up-front device and installation cost premium
    • 4.3.3 Battery-life / maintenance anxieties among consumers
    • 4.3.4 Inter-protocol interoperability gaps in retrofit projects
  • 4.4 Supply-Chain Analysis
  • 4.5 Regulatory Landscape
  • 4.6 Technological Outlook
  • 4.7 Porter's Five Forces
    • 4.7.1 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers
    • 4.7.3 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.7.4 Threat of Substitutes
    • 4.7.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry
  • 4.8 Assesment of Macroeconomic Factors on the market

5 MARKET SIZE AND GROWTH FORECASTS (VALUE)

  • 5.1 By Lock Type
    • 5.1.1 Deadbolt
    • 5.1.2 Lever Handle
    • 5.1.3 Padlock
    • 5.1.4 Others
  • 5.2 By Communication Technology
    • 5.2.1 Bluetooth
    • 5.2.2 Wi-Fi
    • 5.2.3 Zigbee
    • 5.2.4 Others
  • 5.3 By Authentication Method
    • 5.3.1 Pin-Code / Keypad
    • 5.3.2 Biometric (Fingerprint, Face)
    • 5.3.3 RFID / NFC Card
    • 5.3.4 Others
  • 5.4 By End-user
    • 5.4.1 Residential
    • 5.4.2 Commercial Offices
    • 5.4.3 Hospitality and Short-term Rentals
    • 5.4.4 Industrial and Infrastructure
  • 5.5 By Geography
    • 5.5.1 North America
      • 5.5.1.1 United States
      • 5.5.1.2 Canada
      • 5.5.1.3 Mexico
    • 5.5.2 South America
      • 5.5.2.1 Brazil
      • 5.5.2.2 Argentina
      • 5.5.2.3 Rest of South America
    • 5.5.3 Europe
      • 5.5.3.1 Germany
      • 5.5.3.2 United Kingdom
      • 5.5.3.3 France
      • 5.5.3.4 Italy
      • 5.5.3.5 Spain
      • 5.5.3.6 Rest of Europe
    • 5.5.4 Asia-Pacific
      • 5.5.4.1 China
      • 5.5.4.2 Japan
      • 5.5.4.3 India
      • 5.5.4.4 South Korea
      • 5.5.4.5 Southeast Asia
      • 5.5.4.6 Rest of Asia-Pacific
    • 5.5.5 Middle East and Africa
      • 5.5.5.1 Middle East
        • 5.5.5.1.1 Saudi Arabia
        • 5.5.5.1.2 United Arab Emirates
        • 5.5.5.1.3 Turkey
        • 5.5.5.1.4 Rest of Middle East
      • 5.5.5.2 Africa
        • 5.5.5.2.1 South Africa
        • 5.5.5.2.2 Nigeria
        • 5.5.5.2.3 Egypt
        • 5.5.5.2.4 Rest of Africa
        • 5.5.5.2.5 Egypt
        • 5.5.5.2.6 Rest of Africa

6 COMPETITIVE LANDSCAPE

  • 6.1 Market Concentration
  • 6.2 Strategic Moves
  • 6.3 Market Share Analysis
  • 6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global level Overview, Market level overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share for key companies, Products and Services, and Recent Developments)
    • 6.4.1 ASSA ABLOY (Yale, August)
    • 6.4.2 Allegion plc (Schlage)
    • 6.4.3 Spectrum Brands Holdings (Kwikset)
    • 6.4.4 dormakaba Group
    • 6.4.5 Honeywell International
    • 6.4.6 SALTO Systems
    • 6.4.7 U-TEC (ULTRALOQ)
    • 6.4.8 Lockly
    • 6.4.9 Master Lock
    • 6.4.10 Nuki Home Solutions
    • 6.4.11 Netatmo (Legrand)
    • 6.4.12 SimpliSafe
    • 6.4.13 Samsung SDS
    • 6.4.14 Aqara (Xiaomi)
    • 6.4.15 Eufy Security (Anker)
    • 6.4.16 Level Home
    • 6.4.17 Tedee
    • 6.4.18 Hanman International
    • 6.4.19 Panasonic Life Solutions
    • 6.4.20 Xiaomi Mi Smart Home

7 MARKET OPPORTUNITIES AND FUTURE OUTLOOK

  • 7.1 White-space and Unmet-Need Assessment