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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1842529

二手車：市場佔有率分析、行業趨勢、統計數據和成長預測（2025-2030 年）

Used Car - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2025 - 2030)
出版日期: | 出版商: Mordor Intelligence | 英文 100 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

預計到 2025 年二手車市值將達到 2.31 兆美元，到 2030 年將達到 2.98 兆美元。

二手車市場-IMG1

這一成長軌跡證實了二手車市場在消費者面臨通膨壓力和供應鏈不穩定的情況下依然保持韌性。新車與二手車之間價差的擴大、數位零售平台的興起以及認證二手車 (CPO) 計劃的日趨成熟（這些計劃旨在解決二等車主的品質問題）推動了二手車市場的成長。亞太地區正經歷最快的成長，因為收入水準的提高和快速的都市化推動了首次購車者對經濟實惠的需求。同時，疫情後近全新車輛的供不應求正在推高殘值並增強經銷商的定價能力，但這也限制了許多供應商的存貨周轉。

全球二手車市場趨勢與洞察

新車價格上漲

2024年，新車平均價格將升至4.9萬美元，與二手車近3.3萬美元的價差將進一步擴大。 1.6萬美元的價差將是史上最大，這將鼓勵高所得家庭選擇二手車。在半導體短缺期間，汽車製造商將生產重點放在高階車型上，導致凱迪拉克CT5等熱門車款的標價上漲高達23%。因此，目前五分之一的美國購車者每月還款超過1000美元，從而刺激了對更實惠二手車的需求。

擴展數位零售平台

eBay於2025年1月收購Caramel，簡化了消費者對消費者（C2C）的交易流程，而Carvana則以22億美元收購ADESA旗下的56個競標網站，確保了上游供應和物流規模。這些措施凸顯了在二手車市場建立全國性、垂直整合的電商業務所需的資本密集度。

二手車融資有限

由於貸款機構收緊評分標準，二手車貸款平均年利率在2025年升至14.73%。高利率使終身利息增加數千美元，降低了行動電子錢包的負擔能力。在印度和非洲部分地區，許多家庭仍未納入正式的信用資料庫，這迫使他們進行現金購買，抑制了潛在的需求。使用手機錢包歷史記錄的替代信用評分正在興起，但規模仍然較小，並且面臨監管審查。

細分分析

到2024年，SUV和MPV將佔據二手車市場佔有率的48.21%。隨著汽車製造商持續推出兼具燃油經濟性和高載客量的緊湊型跨界車，預計該細分市場將以9.50%的強勁複合年成長率成長。隨著特斯拉Model Y和福特Mustang Mach-E的大規模上市，電動SUV正顯示出在該細分市場中主導的跡象。轎車仍然受到預算有限的消費者和叫車車隊的青睞，而掀背車則吸引了尋求低營運成本和便捷停車的城市通勤者。

車身尺寸持續增加的趨勢將導致經銷商基礎設施發生變化。維修站將需要更大容量的升降機和更大的儲存空間來存放更大的面板。物流夥伴也將調整其裝運船隻配置，以便在單程運輸中容納更多SUV。行銷策略將強調多功能性和家庭安全，這些主題與二手車市場的廣泛領域產生了共鳴。

雖然非正規經銷商將在2024年佔據二手車市場規模的68.54%，但由於透明度更高且保固覆蓋全國，預計到2030年，正規連鎖經銷商的複合年成長率將達到12.05%。數位化檢驗報告、7天退貨和一體化融資使授權零售商與路邊經銷商區分開來。在印度，隨著Cars24等平台擴大其農村業務並推出上門取車服務，預計到2030年，授權經銷商的佔有率將從30%上升到50%。

專有軟體和翻新中心的資本支出仍然很高。因此，私募股權繼續向擁有網路規模和技術藍圖的參與者註入資金。規模較小的獨立經銷商面臨利潤率壓縮，通常會轉向古董車和商用貨車等利基市場。

汽油車仍佔二手車市場的65.65%，但二手電動車的成長速度將超過其他燃料汽車，到2030年，其複合年成長率將達到16.40%。早期採用者將以舊換新，換購續航里程更長的後續車型，從而為經銷商提供充足的供應。隨著歐洲低排放氣體區的擴大，柴油車數量將下降，而混合動力汽車汽車將填補那些擔心充電基礎設施有限的買家的中間空白。

電池健康評級是價格發現的決定性因素。健康評分高於 90% 的車輛可獲得溢價，而低於 80% 的車輛則可獲得大幅折扣。供應商會宣傳免費的家用充電樁套餐和公用事業收費折扣，以在公共充電密度較低的地區為電動車提供更優惠的價格。

區域分析

北美二手車市場將繼續在各地區佔據主導地位，到 2024 年將佔 38.06% 的佔有率。這是由於穩定的租賃回報流和成熟的金融基礎設施支援快速的存貨周轉。雖然隨著車輛接近飽和，成長正在放緩，但全通路零售商繼續增加產能，並實施人工智慧主導的定價引擎，以平滑批發波動。歐洲在以金額為準緊隨其後，但其擴張受到排放法規的影響，這些法規正在推動買家從舊款柴油車型轉向低排放氣體汽油和混合動力車型。歐洲內部的跨境交易增加了流動性，特別是對於在英國脫歐後從英國採購庫存的右側駕駛國家。同時，經銷商集團正在標準化認證二手車通訊協定並加速整合以與線上參與企業競爭。

亞太地區將成為所有地區中成長最快的地區，增幅達7.90%。隨著監管機構取消省級過戶限制並開放城際貿易，縮短全球車隊的銷售時間，中國二手車市場規模預計到2025年將達到3,850億美元。印度的目標是到2028會計年度達到5兆印度盧比（602億美元），這得益於商品及服務稅協調和智慧型手機普及帶來的數位清單擴張。日本將利用日圓疲軟的機會向非洲和大洋洲出口五年車齡的緊湊型SUV，緩解國內定價壓力，並擴大當地競標中心作為出口基地的角色。因此，亞太地區的二手車市場將擴大，抵銷西方成熟經濟體經濟放緩的影響。

《塗料世界》稱，隨著宏觀經濟回歸穩定，南美洲正重拾成長動能。預計2024年巴西新車銷售將創十年新高，為該地區的二手車市場提供未來供應。融資利差仍然較大，外匯波動使庫存採購變得複雜，導致經銷商越來越依賴國內租賃回報和已租車輛。在中東和非洲，阿拉伯聯合大公國和沙烏地阿拉伯佔銷售量的大部分，因為日本和韓國品牌在惡劣氣候條件下仍享有很高的轉售價值。杜拜正在試行基於區塊鏈的數位產權，以遏制里程表欺詐，而南非的十年原廠保固則提高了購買新車的可靠性。這些新興地區具有長期上漲空間，儘管基礎設施差距和信貸管道繼​​續限制二手車市場佔有率的成長。

其他福利：

  • Excel 格式的市場預測 (ME) 表
  • 3個月的分析師支持

目錄

第1章 引言

  • 研究假設和市場定義
  • 調查範圍

第2章調查方法

第3章執行摘要

第4章 市場狀況

  • 市場概況
  • 市場促進因素
    • 新車價格上漲
    • 擴展數位零售平台
    • OEM認證二手車的普及
    • 新興市場個人出行需求快速成長
    • OTA電動汽車電池健康認證
    • OEM回購保證
  • 市場限制
    • 二手車融資限制
    • 加強進口廢氣監管
    • 新冠疫情導致供不應求
    • 資訊娛樂資料隱私問題
  • 價值/供應鏈分析
  • 監管狀況
  • 技術展望
  • 波特五力分析
    • 新進入者的威脅
    • 買家/消費者的議價能力
    • 供應商的議價能力
    • 替代品的威脅
    • 競爭對手之間的競爭強度

第5章市場規模及成長預測

  • 按車輛類型
    • 掀背車
    • 轎車
    • SUV和MPV
  • 依供應商類型
    • 組織
    • 無組織的
  • 按燃料類型
    • 汽油
    • 柴油引擎
    • 混合
    • 電
    • 其他替代燃料
  • 按銷售管道
    • 線上平台
    • 線下經銷商
  • 車齡
    • 不到3年
    • 3-5年
    • 5-8歲
    • 8歲以上
  • 按里程
    • 少於2萬公里
    • 20,001至50,000公里
    • 超過5萬公里
  • 價格分佈範圍
    • 低於10,000美元
    • 10,001美元至30,000美元
    • 超過3萬美元
  • 按地區
    • 北美洲
      • 美國
      • 加拿大
      • 北美其他地區
    • 南美洲
      • 巴西
      • 阿根廷
      • 其他南美
    • 歐洲
      • 德國
      • 英國
      • 法國
      • 西班牙
      • 俄羅斯
      • 其他歐洲國家
    • 亞太地區
      • 中國
      • 印度
      • 日本
      • 韓國
      • 其他亞太地區
    • 中東
      • 沙烏地阿拉伯
      • 阿拉伯聯合大公國
      • 南非
      • 埃及
      • 土耳其
      • 其他中東地區

第6章 競爭態勢

  • 市場集中度
  • 策略舉措
  • 市佔率分析
  • 公司簡介
    • CarMax Inc.
    • Cox Automotive
    • AutoNation
    • Penske Automotive Group
    • Asbury Automotive Group
    • Hertz Global Holdings
    • Pendragon PLC
    • Arnold Clark Automobiles
    • Emil Frey AG
    • Mahindra First Choice Wheels
    • Maruti Suzuki True Value
    • Carro
    • Cars24
    • AUTO1 Group
    • Cazoo Group
    • ACV Auctions
    • BCA Marketplace
    • Copart Inc.
    • Vroom Inc.

第7章 市場機會與未來展望

簡介目錄
Product Code: 66802

The Used Car Market was valued at USD 2.31 trillion in 2025 and is forecast to climb to USD 2.98 trillion by 2030, translating into a steady 5.20% CAGR.

Used Car - Market - IMG1

This trajectory confirms that the used car market remains resilient despite inflationary pressure on consumers and supply-chain volatility. Growth is supported by the widening price gap between new and pre-owned vehicles, the rise of digital retail platforms, and the maturing of certified-pre-owned (CPO) programs that ease quality concerns for second owners. Asia-Pacific delivers the fastest regional expansion as rising income levels and rapid urbanisation push first-time buyers toward affordable mobility. Meanwhile, supply shortages of near-new vehicles following the pandemic increase residual values and strengthen dealer pricing power, though they also constrain inventory turnover for many vendors.

Global Used Car Market Trends and Insights

Rising New-Car Prices

Average new vehicle prices climbed to USD 49,000 in 2024, widening the gap with used equivalents priced near USD 33,000. The USD 16,000 delta is the broadest on record and pushes even higher-income households toward pre-owned choices. Automakers concentrated output on premium trims during semiconductor shortages, inflating sticker prices on popular models such as the Cadillac CT5 by up to 23%. Consequently, one in five US buyers now faces monthly payments above USD 1,000, reinforcing demand for the more affordable used car market.

Expansion of Digital Retail Platforms

Online platforms recorded a major growth in transaction volume, as 83% of shoppers began their vehicle search on dealer websites. eBay's January 2025 acquisition of Caramel streamlines consumer-to-consumer trades, while Carvana's USD 2.2 billion purchase of ADESA's 56 auction sites secures upstream supply and logistics scale. These moves underline the capital intensity required to build nationwide, vertically-integrated ecommerce footprints in the used car market.

Limited Used-Car Financing

Average used loan rates rose to 14.73% APR in 2025 as lenders tightened score thresholds. High rates add thousands in lifetime interest, eroding affordability for mainstream buyers. In India and parts of Africa, many households remain outside formal credit databases, forcing cash purchases and suppressing addressable demand. Alternative credit scoring using mobile-wallet histories is emerging but still small-scale and faces regulatory review.

Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:

  1. OEM Certified-Pre-Owned Penetration
  2. OEM Buy-Back Guarantees
  3. Supply Crunch of Near-New Vehicles Post-COVID

For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.

Segment Analysis

SUVs and MPVs controlled 48.21% used car market share in 2024. The segment is projected to grow at a robust 9.50% CAGR as automakers release successive generations of compact crossovers that combine fuel efficiency with higher seating. The Tesla Model Y and Ford Mustang Mach-E are now appearing in significant quantities, signalling that electric SUVs will deepen segment leadership. Sedans retain relevance among budget shoppers and ride-hailing fleets, while hatchbacks appeal to city commuters seeking lower operating costs and easier parking.

The continuing tilt toward larger body styles drives changes in dealership infrastructure. Service bays require higher-capacity lifts and more storage space for bulkier panels. Logistics partners also adjust carrier configurations to fit more SUVs per haul. Marketing strategies emphasise versatility and family safety, themes that resonate with a wider demographic spread in the used car market.

Unorganised dealers held 68.54% of the used car market size in 2024, yet organised chains are forecast for a 12.05% CAGR to 2030 due to superior transparency and nationwide warranty reach. Digital inspection reports, seven-day return policies, and integrated finance offer a differentiation between formal retailers and kerbside sellers. In India, the organised share is set to climb from 30% to 50% by 2030 as platforms such as Cars24 expand rural footprints and introduce doorstep pick-up services.

Capital expenditure on proprietary software and reconditioning hubs remains high. As a result, private equity continues to inject funds into players with network scale and technology roadmaps. Smaller independent lots face margin compression and often pivot to niche segments like vintage cars or commercial vans.

Gasoline units still command 65.65% of the used car market size, but pre-owned EVs outpace other fuels with a 16.40% CAGR to 2030. Early adopters are trading first-generation models for longer-range successors, releasing supply into dealer pipelines. Diesel volumes taper as low-emission zones expand in Europe, while hybrids secure a middle ground for buyers wary of limited charging infrastructure.

Battery-health grading becomes a decisive factor in price discovery. Vehicles with state-of-health scores above 90% secure premiums, whereas those below 80% face steep discounts. Vendors advertise complimentary home-charger bundles and discounted utility tariffs to sweeten EV deals in regions where public charging density remains low.

The Used Car Market Report is Segmented by Vehicle Type (Hatchback, Sedan, and More), Vendor Type (Organized and Unorganized), Fuel Type (Gasoline, Diesel, and More), Sales Channel (Online Platforms and More), Vehicle Age (Below 3 Years and More), Mileage (Less Than 20, 000 Kms and More), Price Band (Less Than USD 10, 000 and More), and Geography. The Market Forecasts are Provided in Terms of Value (USD) and Volume (Units).

Geography Analysis

The North American used car market remains the largest regional contributor with a 38.06% share in 2024, benefiting from a steady flow of lease returns and a mature financing infrastructure that supports rapid inventory turnover. Growth is moderating as vehicle ownership levels approach saturation, yet omnichannel retailers keep adding capacity and deploy AI-driven pricing engines to smooth wholesale volatility. Europe follows in value terms, but its expansion is shaped by emission legislation that pushes buyers away from older diesel models toward low-emission gasoline and hybrid units. Cross-border trade inside the bloc enhances liquidity, particularly for right-hand-drive countries sourcing stock from the United Kingdom after BREXIT. At the same time, dealer groups accelerate consolidation to standardise certified-pre-owned protocols and compete with online entrants.

The Asia-Pacific region delivers the fastest growth with 7.90% among all geographies. China's used car market is projected to reach USD 385 billion in 2025 after regulators scrapped province-level transfer restrictions, unlocking intercity trades that shorten days-to-sale for Global Fleet. India aims for an INR 5 trillion turnover (USD 60.2 billion) by FY 2028 as GST harmonisation and smartphone penetration expand digital listings. Japan leverages a weak yen to export five-year-old compact SUVs to Africa and Oceania, cushioning domestic price pressure and widening the export-hub role of local auction houses. The result is a rising Asia-Pacific used car market size that offsets slower momentum in mature Western economies.

South America is regaining momentum as macro stability returns, with Brazil recording a 10-year high in new-vehicle sales during 2024 that will feed future supply for the regional used car market, Coatings World. Financing spreads remain wide, and currency volatility complicates inventory sourcing, prompting dealers to rely more on domestic lease returns and ex-rental fleets. In the Middle East and Africa, the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia dominate volumes as Japanese and Korean brands enjoy strong resale values under harsh climate conditions. Dubai is piloting blockchain-based digital titles to curb odometer fraud, while South Africa's decade-long factory warranties boost confidence in late-model purchases. Together, these emerging regions provide long-term upside, although infrastructure gaps and credit access continue to restrain the used car market share capture.

  1. CarMax Inc.
  2. Cox Automotive
  3. AutoNation
  4. Penske Automotive Group
  5. Asbury Automotive Group
  6. Hertz Global Holdings
  7. Pendragon PLC
  8. Arnold Clark Automobiles
  9. Emil Frey AG
  10. Mahindra First Choice Wheels
  11. Maruti Suzuki True Value
  12. Carro
  13. Cars24
  14. AUTO1 Group
  15. Cazoo Group
  16. ACV Auctions
  17. BCA Marketplace
  18. Copart Inc.
  19. Vroom Inc.

Additional Benefits:

  • The market estimate (ME) sheet in Excel format
  • 3 months of analyst support

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1 Introduction

  • 1.1 Study Assumptions & Market Definition
  • 1.2 Scope of the Study

2 Research Methodology

3 Executive Summary

4 Market Landscape

  • 4.1 Market Overview
  • 4.2 Market Drivers
    • 4.2.1 Rising new-car prices
    • 4.2.2 Expansion of digital retail platforms
    • 4.2.3 OEM certified-pre-owned penetration
    • 4.2.4 Surging personal-mobility demand in emerging markets
    • 4.2.5 OTA EV battery-health certification
    • 4.2.6 OEM buy-back guarantees
  • 4.3 Market Restraints
    • 4.3.1 Limited used-car financing
    • 4.3.2 Stricter import-emission rules
    • 4.3.3 Supply crunch of near-new vehicles post-COVID production slump
    • 4.3.4 Infotainment data-privacy concerns
  • 4.4 Value / Supply-Chain Analysis
  • 4.5 Regulatory Landscape
  • 4.6 Technological Outlook
  • 4.7 Porter's Five Forces Analysis
    • 4.7.1 Threat of New Entrants
    • 4.7.2 Bargaining Power of Buyers/Consumers
    • 4.7.3 Bargaining Power of Suppliers
    • 4.7.4 Threat of Substitute Products
    • 4.7.5 Intensity of Competitive Rivalry

5 Market Size & Growth Forecasts (Value (USD) and Volume (Units))

  • 5.1 By Vehicle Type
    • 5.1.1 Hatchbacks
    • 5.1.2 Sedans
    • 5.1.3 SUVs & MPVs
  • 5.2 By Vendor Type
    • 5.2.1 Organized
    • 5.2.2 Unorganized
  • 5.3 By Fuel Type
    • 5.3.1 Gasoline
    • 5.3.2 Diesel
    • 5.3.3 Hybrid
    • 5.3.4 Electric
    • 5.3.5 Other Alternative Fuels
  • 5.4 By Sales Channel
    • 5.4.1 Online Platforms
    • 5.4.2 Offline Dealerships
  • 5.5 By Vehicle Age
    • 5.5.1 Below 3 Years
    • 5.5.2 3 - 5 Years
    • 5.5.3 5 - 8 Years
    • 5.5.4 Above 8 Years
  • 5.6 By Mileage
    • 5.6.1 Less Than 20,000 km
    • 5.6.2 20,001 - 50,000 km
    • 5.6.3 Above 50,000 km
  • 5.7 By Price Band
    • 5.7.1 Less Than USD 10,000
    • 5.7.2 USD 10,001 - USD 30,000
    • 5.7.3 Above USD 30,000
  • 5.8 By Geography
    • 5.8.1 North America
      • 5.8.1.1 United States
      • 5.8.1.2 Canada
      • 5.8.1.3 Rest of North America
    • 5.8.2 South America
      • 5.8.2.1 Brazil
      • 5.8.2.2 Argentina
      • 5.8.2.3 Rest of South America
    • 5.8.3 Europe
      • 5.8.3.1 Germany
      • 5.8.3.2 United Kingdom
      • 5.8.3.3 France
      • 5.8.3.4 Spain
      • 5.8.3.5 Russia
      • 5.8.3.6 Rest of Europe
    • 5.8.4 Asia-Pacific
      • 5.8.4.1 China
      • 5.8.4.2 India
      • 5.8.4.3 Japan
      • 5.8.4.4 South Korea
      • 5.8.4.5 Rest of Asia-Pacific
    • 5.8.5 Middle East
      • 5.8.5.1 Saudi Arabia
      • 5.8.5.2 United Arab Emirates
      • 5.8.5.3 South Africa
      • 5.8.5.4 Egypt
      • 5.8.5.5 Turkey
      • 5.8.5.6 Rest of the Middle East

6 Competitive Landscape

  • 6.1 Market Concentration
  • 6.2 Strategic Moves
  • 6.3 Market Share Analysis
  • 6.4 Company Profiles (includes Global level Overview, Market level overview, Core Segments, Financials as available, Strategic Information, Market Rank/Share for key companies, Products & Services, and Recent Developments)
    • 6.4.1 CarMax Inc.
    • 6.4.2 Cox Automotive
    • 6.4.3 AutoNation
    • 6.4.4 Penske Automotive Group
    • 6.4.5 Asbury Automotive Group
    • 6.4.6 Hertz Global Holdings
    • 6.4.7 Pendragon PLC
    • 6.4.8 Arnold Clark Automobiles
    • 6.4.9 Emil Frey AG
    • 6.4.10 Mahindra First Choice Wheels
    • 6.4.11 Maruti Suzuki True Value
    • 6.4.12 Carro
    • 6.4.13 Cars24
    • 6.4.14 AUTO1 Group
    • 6.4.15 Cazoo Group
    • 6.4.16 ACV Auctions
    • 6.4.17 BCA Marketplace
    • 6.4.18 Copart Inc.
    • 6.4.19 Vroom Inc.

7 Market Opportunities & Future Outlook

  • 7.1 White-space & Unmet-Need Assessment