市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1190166
巴士市場 - COVID-19 的增長、趨勢、影響和預測 (2023-2028)Bus Market - Growth, Trends, and Forecasts (2023 - 2028) |
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客車市場預計到 2021 年將達到 414.4 億美元,到 2027 年將達到 640.7 億美元,預測期內復合年增長率為 7.58%。
COVID-19 大流行促使世界各國政府和當局以前所未有的規模實施交通和行動限制。 身體距離對旅行行為和偏好有重大影響。 因此,在疫情期間,很多人選擇了乘坐私家車出行,以降低感染風險。 在此期間,私家車的使用有所增加,但那些依賴公共交通工具的人轉而使用其他交通方式,例如騎自行車或步行。
從中期來看,對污染的日益關注和更嚴格的廢氣法規正在推動各國在現有公交車隊中增加電動公交車,從而促進整個公交車市場的增長。 同時,城市人口的不斷增長促使政府設計BRT系統,將地鐵的容量和速度、公交系統的靈活性、低成本和便利性有效地結合起來。 預計在預測期內,不斷增長的城市人口和對高效快速公交系統 (BRT) 發展的關注將推動公交市場。
北美,其次是亞太地區,由於需求和人口不斷增長,預計將佔據很大的市場份額。 預計這些地區的需求將受到對公共交通(例如公共汽車,尤其是雙層和鉸接式公共汽車)不斷增長的需求的支持。
燃料是車輛運行成本的很大一部分。 不斷上漲的燃料成本推動了公共交通對電動巴士的需求。 這是因為電動公交車可以降低初始成本,例如燃料成本和總擁有成本。 到 2030 年,電動公交車的價格有望下降並達到柴油公交車的水平。 與柴油發動機公交車相比,電動公交車有助於將維護和運營成本降低 81-83%。
由於世界各地嚴格的排放法規,電池電動公交車市場在研究期間穩步增長。 例如,2019 年純電動公交車數量為 69.961 輛,到 2020 年增長 11.5% 至 78,032 輛。 這一增長是由於政府向購買者和車隊所有者提供了多項激勵措施。
由於重型運輸領域的銷售額預計會上升,電動汽車的需求也會增加,一些原始設備製造商正在向全球市場推出新的電動產品,以滿足不斷增長的需求。 例如:
這些新興國家的市場發展和因素預計將在預測期內促進市場發展。
截至 2020 年 12 月,美國擁有近 2,800 輛零排放公交車(已部署併計劃交付),其中 2,700 多輛據信是電動的。 儘管與政府機構競爭提供交通服務,但私人和個人車主正在獲得幫助,將他們的公交車隊轉變為零排放車輛。 例如:
在美國,由於實施嚴格的尾氣法規,電動巴士市場有望復蘇。 許多美國城市現在要求他們的公共汽車車隊中有一定比例是電動或混合動力的,並且還對新的內燃機公共汽車招標施加了限制。 例如,費城交通管理局 SEPTA 已承諾到 2021 年將柴油公交車的比例限制在不超過 5%,並逐步過渡到純電動公交車。 全國各州已經開始交付新型電動校車,一些州還計劃在未來引入更多的電動公交車。 例如:
此類新興市場的發展預計將在預測期內對市場產生重大影響。
客車市場適度整合,主要參與者憑藉其發達的產品和多元化的經銷商網絡佔據了很大的市場份額。 主要參與者包括鄭州宇通客車有限公司、廈門金龍聯盟、戴姆勒股份公司、沃爾沃、Traton(Man、Scania 等)、塔塔汽車和 Ashok Leyland。
公交車市場的特點是各種製造商合併、收購和合作,以期開拓潛在市場。 由於電動客車市場預計在預測期內將顯著增長,因此客車製造商正在大力投資研發以增強其產品組合以包含更多電動車型。
The bus market registered USD 41.44 billion in 2021, and it is projected to be worth USD 64.07 billion by 2027, registering a CAGR of 7.58% during the forecast period.
The COVID-19 pandemic prompted governments and authorities worldwide to impose restrictions on transport and mobility at an unprecedented scale and magnitude. Physical distancing had a significant impact on mobility behavior and preferences. Therefore, during the pandemic, many people preferred private transport to reduce the risk of infection. The use of private vehicles increased during the period, while those who relied on public transport switched to other modes of transport, such as biking or walking.
Over the medium term, growing concerns over pollution and the rise in stringent emission regulations encouraged countries to include more electric buses in the existing bus fleet, thereby contributing to the overall bus market's growth. The continuous rise in urban population also drove the government to design BRT systems that can effectively combine the capacity and speed of a metro with the flexibility, lower cost, and simplicity of a bus system. The rapidly growing urban population and enhanced focus on developing an efficient bus rapid transit (BRT) system are likely to drive the bus market during the forecast period.
North America, followed by Asia-Pacific, is expected to occupy a significant share in the market due to the increasing demand and population. The demand across these regions is likely to be supported by the growing need for public transportation like buses, particularly double-decker and articulated buses.
Fuel constitutes a major part of the operating cost of any vehicle. With the increasing fuel costs, the demand for an electric bus for public transport is increasing, as an electric can reduce fuel costs and other upfront costs, as well as the total cost of ownership. By 2030, the prices of electric buses are expected to decline and reach the level of diesel fuel buses. Electric buses help reduce 81-83% of the maintenance and operating costs compared to diesel-engine buses.
The battery electric bus market witnessed steady growth over the study period due to the stringent emission norms across several countries of the world. For instance, the number of battery electric buses was 69.961 units in 2019, increasing by 11.5% to 78,032 units in 2020. This increase can be attributed to several government incentives offered to buyers and fleet owners.
Due to the increased sales and the projected increase in demand for electric mobility in the heavy-duty transportation segment, several OEMs are introducing new electric products into the worldwide market to cater to the increasing demand. For instance,
Such developments and factors are anticipated to contribute to the development of the market during the forecast period.
As of December 2020, United States had nearly 2,800 zero-emission buses (deployed and to be delivered), out of which over 2,700 are electric buses. Despite competing with government agencies to provide transit services, private and individual fleet owners have been receiving aid to transition their bus fleets to zero-emission vehicles. For instance,
The implementation of stringent emission laws and regulations is expected to fuel the market for electric buses in United States. Many cities in United States now require a certain fraction of their bus fleet to be electric or hybrid, and they are also pushing the limitations on new IC engine bus tenders. For instance, SEPTA, the transport authority of Philadelphia, is committed to restricting the diesel bus share in its bus fleet to less than 5% by 2021 to gradually make way for battery electric buses. Various states in the country are taking the delivery of new electric school buses, whereas some states are planning to include more electric buses in the coming years. For instance,
Such developments are expected to significantly impact the market during the forecast period.
The market for buses is moderately consolidated, with the major players holding a significant market share due to their developed products and network of various dealers. The major players in the market include Zhengzhou Yutong Bus Co., Xiamen King Long United, Daimler AG, Volvo, Traton (Man, Scania, etc.), Tata Motors, and Ashok Leyland.
The bus market is characterized by mergers, acquisitions, and collaborations between various manufacturers trying to tap into potential markets. Since the market for electric buses is expected to grow significantly over the forecast period, bus manufacturers are investing considerably in R&D and ramping up their portfolios to include more electric models.