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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1831897
2025-2033年鈧市場報告(依產品類型、應用、最終用途產業和地區)Scandium Market Report by Product Type, Application, End Use Industry, and Region 2025-2033 |
2024年,全球鈧市場規模達6.288億美元。展望未來, IMARC Group預計到2033年,市場規模將達到10.688億美元,2025-2033年期間的複合年成長率(CAGR)為6.1%。市場成長主要得益於航太和汽車產業對輕量化高性能合金的需求日益成長、電動車市場的顯著擴張以及政府為減少鈧進口依賴而訂定的優惠政策。
航太和國防工業需求
鈧在航太和國防領域具有重要意義,因為它能夠提升鋁合金的性能,使其更輕、更堅固。這項應用對於生產更有效率的航太結構和軍事裝備至關重要。根據美國聯邦航空管理局 (FAA) 的數據,預計到 2039 年,現役通用航空機隊總數將從 2018 年的 212,875 架增加到 211,575 架。為了創新和提升國防能力,鈧合金等先進材料的應用受到了廣泛重視。這些投資推動了鈧增強材料的開發,因為它們滿足了現代航太工程和國防系統的嚴格要求。此外,政府資金支持的持續研發促進了鈧的創新,拓展了鈧的用途,從而推動了其市場成長。隨著這些產業轉向更高強度重量比的材料以提高燃油效率和性能,鈧的價值日益凸顯,使其成為未來國防和航太發展的關鍵基礎。
電動汽車(EV)市場的成長
電動車市場的擴張大幅拉動了對鈧的需求,鈧被廣泛用於製造各種電動車零件所需的輕質鋁鈧合金。根據全球永續電力夥伴關係組織的數據,國家電網的一項研究預測,到2025年,中國交通運輸部門的電力佔有率將達到10%,高於2015年的5%,並將在2030年進一步上升至15%,到2040年達到25%。此外,中國的電動車銷量持續成長,從2011年的5,600輛開始,到2014年達到4.5萬輛,2016年擴大到74萬輛。到2017年,中國已生產了約77萬輛電動車,總保有量約200萬輛。到2030年,中國預計將擁有近5,000萬輛電動車,每年用於電動車充電的專用電力需求將達到200TWh。根據中國汽車工程學會的數據,2030年汽車銷量將達3,800萬輛,其中1,500萬輛(40%)為電動車。此外,鈧合金能夠滿足減輕汽車重量的要求,從而提高汽車性能和電池效率。同時,美國、中國和歐盟等多個主要經濟體的政府正在透過制定法規和目標來推動電動車銷售的成長,同時支持包括鈧使用在內的技術進步。因此,這些法規的推動加上鈧合金的優勢,使這種材料成為滿足電動車市場蓬勃發展的需求所需的關鍵資源。
政府支持舉措
各國政府正在實施戰略措施,以確保鈧的供應,並促進其在各行各業的應用,因為它們認知到鈧是一種關鍵礦產。在美國,能源部與歐盟和澳洲的其他實體合作,已撥出專款和補貼,專門用於提高鈧的開採能力,減少對進口的依賴。例如,2023年11月9日,鈧國際礦業公司宣布,其全資子公司EMC Metals Australia Pty Ltd已啟動Nyngan鈧項目的實體開發,此前2023年Nyngan鑽探計劃取得了積極成果。 Nyngan鈧計畫位於澳洲新南威爾斯州西部Nyngan鎮南偏西南17.5公里處。 Nyngan鈧項目將是世界上第一個專門開採鈧的礦產項目,專注於一種被澳洲、加拿大和美國政府認定為關鍵礦產的高需求金屬。這項開發案為新南威爾斯州成為負責任的關鍵礦產供應領域的全球領導者提供了一個重要機會。因此,政府採取的積極措施確保了鈧的供應,穩定了市場,將鈧推到了高科技產業和永續發展項目的前沿。
氟化物佔據大部分市場佔有率
氟化物因其在高強度金屬鹵化物燈和電子產品中的廣泛應用,正逐漸成為最大的細分市場。此外,由於其優異的導電性和耐腐蝕性,氟化物也是固態氧化物燃料電池的優質材料。此外,各行各業都高度依賴這種化合物來提升輕型航太結構和體育用品的性能,這進一步刺激了氟化物的需求。氟化鈧的多功能性,加上其在各種高科技應用中不可或缺的作用,使其在鈧市場中佔據領先地位,這反映了多個行業對提高效率和性能的廣泛趨勢。
鋁鈧合金在鈧市場中佔有相當大的佔有率,這主要得益於航太和汽車產業。這種合金與少量鈧結合後,會表現出優異的性能,例如強度增加、晶粒減小和可焊性改善,有助於提高飛機和車輛的性能。此外,減少碳排放和提高燃油效率的重要性日益增加,也顯著影響了該行業不斷成長的需求,因此輕量化材料變得越來越重要。因此,主要參與者正在推出先進的產品變體來滿足這些需求。例如,2023 年 10 月 18 日,NioCorp Developments Ltd. 及其開發合作夥伴 Nanoscale Powders LLC 在賓州新自由的創意工程師工廠成功生產出 1 公斤鋁鈧合金錠。
此外,高強度金屬鹵化物燈中添加鈧元素,可提高光的品質和效率。這類燈廣泛應用於大型照明應用,例如體育場館、工業設施和公共場所,這些場所需要強勁可靠的照明。此外,添加鈧元素還能使這些燈發出與自然光非常相似的光線,從而提高可見度和顯色性。此外,這一細分市場的主要驅動力是城市基礎設施的不斷成長以及對節能照明解決方案日益成長的需求。
雷射鈧廣泛應用於各種雷射技術,尤其是科研、軍事和醫療領域。此外,鈧製成的雷射因其能夠精確控制地產生特定波長的雷射光束而備受推崇。這些特性使其適用於基礎研究、外科手術以及精確度至關重要的特定軍事用途。此外,醫療設備的創新以及現代通訊和武器系統國防開支的增加也推動了雷射對鈧的需求。
此外,固態氧化物燃料電池 (SOFC) 使用鈧穩定氧化鋯作為電解質,以提高其在低溫下的性能,從而實現更有效率、更穩定的能源生產。隨著全球向永續能源的轉變,以及燃料電池技術在固定式、攜帶式和運輸應用領域的日益普及,這一領域正蓬勃發展。此外,在固態氧化物燃料電池中加入鈧可以延長 SOFC 的使用壽命並提高燃料利用效率,從而解決燃料電池技術中的一些關鍵問題。隨著各國政府和私營部門加強對再生能源基礎設施和技術的投資,預計未來對鈧的需求將推動市場成長,並為市場發展帶來巨大的機會。
航太和國防是領先的細分市場
航太和國防正在成為主導產業。鈧主要用於增強鋁合金的性能,使其重量輕且耐腐蝕。這些加值合金在飛機製造中對眾多零件有著巨大的需求,有助於降低油耗並增加有效載荷。此外,航太業對更高效率和性能最佳化的不斷追求,以及商用航空生產率的飆升,也推動了對鈧的需求。此外,鈧也被用於固態氧化物燃料電池,該電池也用於清潔能源應用,進一步擴展了其在先進航太設計和各種國防系統中的適用性。例如,2023年7月13日,尼奧集團發展有限公司(NioCorp Developments Ltd.,又稱NioCorp)讚揚美國眾議院軍事委員會強調鋁鈧母合金對美國的重要性,因為它可應用於眾多國防平台。
北美引領市場,佔據最大的鈧市場佔有率
該報告還對所有主要區域市場進行了全面分析,包括北美(美國和加拿大);歐洲(德國、法國、英國、義大利、西班牙、俄羅斯等);亞太地區(中國、日本、印度、韓國、澳洲、印尼等);拉丁美洲(巴西、墨西哥等);以及中東和非洲。報告指出,北美是鈧的最大區域市場。
根據鈧市場產業概覽,北美正成為最大的市場,這得益於其不斷擴張的航太和國防工業,這些工業在高性能合金中使用了大量鈧。該地區擁有先進的技術基礎設施,並在鈧的各種應用方面開展了研發活動。此外,隨著再生能源的不斷成長(主要在美國和加拿大),固態氧化物燃料電池(SOFC)中鈧的消費量不斷增加也促進了市場的成長。此外,政府對稀土礦物研發的支持性政策也支持了市場的成長。例如,2023年9月28日,NioCorp Developments Ltd.宣布計畫在美國市場推出鋁鈧母合金產品(Al-Sc MA)。該計劃源於其擬在Elk Creek項目建設的採礦和加工設施,但前提是獲得專案融資並啟動採礦作業。推出這種合金旨在使商用和國防製造商能夠用富含鈧的替代品取代車輛中的某些鋁零件。這些含鈧的鋁合金具有強度高、耐腐蝕、可焊性好等特點,性能顯著改善,具有減輕重量的潛力,尤其是在運輸領域。
The global scandium market size reached USD 628.8 Million in 2024. Looking forward, IMARC Group expects the market to reach USD 1,068.8 Million by 2033, exhibiting a growth rate (CAGR) of 6.1% during 2025-2033. The market is primarily driven by the growing usage of lightweight, high-performance alloys in aerospace and automotive industries, significant expansion in the electric vehicle market, and favorable government policies to reduce the scandium import dependency.
Aerospace and Defense Industry Demand
Scandium's incorporation into aerospace and defense sectors is instrumental due to its attributes that enhance the performance of aluminum alloys, making them lighter and stronger. This application is critical for producing more efficient aerospace structures and military equipment. As per the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA), the overall active general aviation fleet is projected to change from 212,875 aircraft in 2018 to 211,575 by the year 2039. There is a substantial emphasis on incorporating advanced materials like scandium alloys to innovate and improve defense capabilities. These investments boost the development of scandium-enhanced materials as they fulfill the stringent requirements of modern aerospace engineering and defense systems. Furthermore, continuous R&D facilitated by government funding promotes innovation and expands the uses of scandium, therefore driving its market growth. As these industries move toward materials with higher strength-to-weight ratios for added fuel efficiency and performance, scandium's value becomes increasingly critical, making it a key base for future defense and aerospace developments.
Growth in the Electric Vehicle (EV) Market
The expansion of the electric vehicle (EV) market considerably boosts the demand for scandium, which is widely employed in the manufacturing of lightweight aluminum-scandium alloys for various EV components. According to the Global Sustainable Electricity Partnership, a study by state grid forecasts that, the share of China's electricity in transport sector will reach 10% in 2025, which increased from 5% in 2015 and which will further increase to 15% in 2030 and 25% in 2040. Besides, electric vehicle sales continued growing in China, starting from 5,600 units in 2011, reaching 45,000 pieces in 2014, and expanding to 740,000 pieces in 2016. By 2017, China had produced approximately 770,000 EVs and had a total of about 2 million EVs. By 2030, China is expected to have close to 50 million electric vehicles, with a dedicated electricity demand for electric vehicle charging of 200 TWh annually. According to the Society of Automotive Engineering of China, car sales in 2030 will total 38 million, with 15 million or 40% being electric vehicles. Besides, scandium alloys meet the requirement in lightening vehicle weights which increases their performances and efficiency of batteries. Along with this, several governments across major economies like the U.S., China, and the European Union are pushing for higher EV sales through regulations and targets while supporting technological advancements that include the use of scandium. Hence, this regulatory push combined with the advantages provided by scandium alloys places the material at the forefront of critical resources needed to meet the burgeoning demand of the EV market.
Supportive Government Initiatives
Various governments are implementing strategic measures to secure scandium supply and promote its utilization across various industries as they recognize scandium as a critical mineral. In the United States, the Department of Energy, in conjunction with other entities within the European Union and Australia, has earmarked funds and subsidies explicitly designed to improve scandium mining capabilities and decrease reliance on imports. For instance, on 9 November 2023, Scandium International Mining Corp. announced that its wholly-owned subsidiary, EMC Metals Australia Pty Ltd, has initiated physical development at the Nyngan Scandium Project, after positive results of the 2023 Nyngan drilling program. The Nyngan Scandium project is situated 17.5 kilometers south-southwest of Nyngan in western New South Wales, Australia. The Nyngan scandium project will be the world's first scandium-only mining operation, focusing on a high-demand metal identified as critical by the governments of Australia, Canada, and the United States. This development presents a significant opportunity for New South Wales to become a world leader in the responsible supply of critical minerals. Therefore, positive government initiatives secure supplies of scandium and stabilize the markets which push scandium to the forefront of high-tech industries and sustainable development projects.
Fluoride accounts for the majority of the market share
Fluoride is emerging as the largest segment due to its extensive use in high-intensity metal halide lamps and electronics. Additionally, it serves as a superior material for solid oxide fuel cells owing to its exceptional electrical conductivity and resistance to corrosion. Moreover, various industries heavily rely on this compound to enhance the performance of lighter aerospace structures and sporting goods, further boosting its demand. The versatility of scandium fluoride, combined with its integral role in various high-tech applications, positions it at the forefront of the scandium market, reflecting broader trends toward efficiency and performance enhancement across multiple sectors.
The aluminum-scandium alloy segment represents a significant share of the scandium market, which is largely driven by the aerospace and automotive sectors. Alloys of this type, when combined with small amounts of scandium, exhibit superior properties such as increased strength, reduced grain size, and improved weldability which helps aircraft and vehicles with superior performance properties. Also, the rising demand in this industry is significantly influenced by the growing importance of reducing carbon emissions and enhancing fuel efficiency, thus making lightweight materials increasingly crucial. Hence key players are introducing advanced product variants to meet these needs. For instance, on 18 October 2023, NioCorp Developments Ltd. and its development partner, Nanoscale Powders LLC achieved the successful production of a 1-kilogram ingot of aluminum-scandium alloy at the creative engineer's facility in New Freedom, Pennsylvania.
Moreover, high-intensity metal halide lamps scandium serves as an additive to improve the quality and efficiency of light produced. These lamps are widely used in large-scale lighting applications, such as stadiums, industrial facilities, and public spaces, where strong, reliable lighting is essential. Additionally, the addition of scandium allows these lamps to produce a light that closely resembles natural daylight enhancing visibility and color rendering. Besides, this segment is primarily driven by the growing urban infrastructure and the increasing demand for energy-efficient lighting solutions.
Laser scandium finds applications in various laser technologies, particularly those used in scientific research, military, and medical applications. Also, lasers made from scandium are valued for their ability to generate specific wavelengths of laser beams with accuracy and control. These characteristics make them suitable for primary research, surgical procedures, and specific military uses where precision is crucial. In addition, demand for scandium in lasers is driven by innovations in medical equipment and increased defense spending on modern communication and weaponry systems.
Besides, solid oxide fuel cells (SOFC) use scandium-stabilized zirconia as an electrolyte to enhance their performances at lower temperatures, thus leading to more efficient and stable energy production. This segment is gathering momentum due to the global shift toward sustainable energy sources, coupled with the increasing diffusion of fuel cell technology across stationary, portable, and transportation applications. Additionally, scandium incorporation in solid oxide fuel cells enables SOFCs to have longer operational lifetimes and improve fuel utilization efficiency, solving some of the key issues in fuel cell technology. As governments and private sectors have been investing more in renewable energy infrastructure and technologies, the future demand for scandium is anticipated to drive growth in the market and present great opportunities for market development.
Aerospace and Defence represent the leading market segment
Aerospace and defense are emerging as the dominant sectors. Scandium is mainly used to enhance the performance properties of aluminum alloys, making them lightweight and resistant to corrosion. These value-added alloys have tremendous demand in aircraft manufacturing for numerous components, which facilitate reduced fuel consumption and increased payload. Furthermore, the demand from the aerospace industry is fuelled by the unceasing pursuit of greater efficiency and performance optimization, coupled with surging commercial aviation production rates. Additionally, scandium finds its way into solid oxide fuel cells, also employed in clean energy applications, further expanding its applicability in advanced aerospace design and various defense systems. For instance, on 13 July 2023, NioCorp Developments Ltd., also known as NioCorp, commended the U.S. House Armed Services Committee for emphasizing that the aluminum-scandium master alloy is important to the United States for its applications in numerous defense platforms.
North America leads the market, accounting for the largest scandium market share
The report has also provided a comprehensive analysis of all the major regional markets, which include North America (the United States and Canada); Europe (Germany, France, the United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, Russia, and others); Asia Pacific (China, Japan, India, South Korea, Australia, Indonesia, and others); Latin America (Brazil, Mexico, and others); and the Middle East and Africa. According to the report, North America was the largest regional market for scandium.
As per the scandium market industry overview, North America is emerging as the largest segment owing to its expanding aerospace and defense industries that use large quantities of scandium in high-performance alloys. The region has an advanced technological infrastructure coupled with research and development activities concerning various applications of scandium. Moreover, the increasing consumption of scandium in SOFCs also helps the market growth, as the renewable creation of energy is increasing, majorly across the U.S. and Canada. Besides, supportive governmental policies toward research and development of rare earth minerals support the market growth. For instance, on 28 September 2023, NioCorp Developments Ltd. announced that it intends to make available an aluminum-scandium master alloy product (Al-Sc MA) in the US market. This initiative, stemming from its proposed mining and processing facilities at the Elk Creek Project, is contingent upon securing project financing and initiating mining operations. The introduction of this alloy is aimed at enabling commercial and defense manufacturers to substitute certain aluminum components in vehicles with scandium-enriched alternatives. These scandium-containing aluminum alloys are notable for their enhanced strength, resistance to corrosion, and weldability, offering considerable improvements in properties and potential for reducing weight, especially in transportation.