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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
2128038
城市公車市場規模、佔有率、成長、全球產業分析、區域趨勢及2026年至2034年預測City Bus Market Size, Share, Growth, Global Industry Analysis, Regional Insights and Forecast to 2026-2034 |
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全球城市公車市場到2025年達到2,686.8億美元,從2026年的2,889.1億美元成長到2034年的4,955.2億美元,預測期間(2026-2034年)CAGR為6.98%。亞太地區引領全球市場,到2025年佔據72.34%的市場佔有率,這主要得益於快速的都市化、政府對公共交通的大規模投資以及國內電動公車產量的活性化。
城市公車目的是為都市區提供高效的客運服務,其特點是停靠站點頻繁、載客量大且操作便捷。現代城市公車種類繁多,包括小型巴士、標準巴士、鉸接式巴士和雙層巴士,動力來源也多種多樣,包括內燃機、混合動力系統、純電動動力傳動系統和氫燃料電池技術。隨著人們對永續公共交通的需求日益成長,加之排放氣體法規日趨嚴格以及智慧城市計畫的推進,全球範圍內向零排放城市公車的轉型加速。
市場趨勢
塑造城市公車市場的最重要趨勢之一是向零排放和互聯公車車輛的快速轉型。各國政府和交通管理部門正擴大用純電動和氫燃料電池公車取代柴油公車,以減少溫室氣體排放並改善城市空氣品質。
公車製造商整合先進的遠端資訊處理技術、預測維修系統、即時乘客資訊、GPS追蹤和車輛管理軟體,以提高營運效率。此外,旅遊即服務(MaaS)平台的引進,透過整合城市公車和地鐵系統、共享出行服務和微出行解決方案,改變城市交通,打造無縫的多模態出行體驗。
市場成長要素
都市化加快以及政府推動公共交通電氣化的舉措仍然是市場成長的主要驅動力。大都會圈人口的快速成長推動對經濟實惠、可靠且環保的公共交通系統的需求。
世界各國政府實施補貼、稅收優惠和清潔旅行計劃,以促進電動和混合動力城市公車的普及。對充電基礎設施、電池技術和快速公車系統(BRT)的投資進一步推動了市場擴張。此外,電池技術成本的降低和電動驅動系統的進步,使得零排放公車對公共交通運輸業者越來越具有吸引力。
汽車製造商、電池供應商和充電基礎設施供應商之間不斷擴大的合作關係,既加速了創新,也幫助地方政府實現了公共交通網路的現代化。
市場限制
儘管成長前景強勁,但由於各地區獲得資金籌措和補助計畫的機會不均,市場仍面臨挑戰。在許多開發中國家,地方政府往往缺乏足夠的資金投資電動公車和充電基礎設施,導致繼續依賴老舊的柴油公車隊。
車輛電氣化、車庫現代化改造、電網升級和充電設施建設所需的大量資金投入,也為許多公共交通系統帶來了財務障礙。各國政府支持計畫和資金籌措可用性的差異,也持續限制全球電動公車的普及速度。
市場區隔
從車輛類型來看,市場細分為單層巴士和雙層巴士。2026年,單層巴士將佔據市場主導地位,市場佔有率高達93.19%,主要歸功於其營運柔軟性、低維護成本以及適用於城市交通網路等優勢。
依尺寸分類,市場可分為小型巴士、標準巴士和鉸接式巴士。預計到2026年,標準巴士市場佔有率將達到67.65%,佔最大佔有率。這主要得益於其均衡的載客量、高效的運作以及在都市區和郊區線路的廣泛應用。
依動力系統分類,市場可分為內燃機(ICE)公車、混合動力公車及電動公車。預計到2026年,電動公車市場佔有率將達到62.50%,成為最大的銷售細分市場,這主要得益於各國政府對零排放交通運輸的監管日益嚴格、電池價格下降以及充電基礎設施的不斷完善。儘管電動公車銷量成長迅速,但在開發中國家,內燃機(ICE)公車仍然佔據了公車總數的很大一部分。
根據座位容量,市場分為三類:「30人及以下」、「31至80人」和「80人以上」。到2026年,「31至80人」細分市場將佔據主導地位,市場佔有率高達68.27%。這反映出該細分市場非常適合高密度城市線路和快速公車系統(BRT)。
依所有權歸屬,市場可分為公有車輛和私有車輛。政府採購計畫和國家公共交通電氣化舉措持續推動全球對公有車輛的需求。
亞太地區仍是最大的區域市場,2025年市場規模達1,943.6億美元,預計2026年將達到2,092.6億美元。快速的都市化、政府對清潔交通途徑的大力支持,以及比亞迪和宇通等主要製造商的存在,將繼續推動該地區的成長。中國預計2026年市場規模將達到1,677.7億美元,而印度和日本預計分別達到109.6億美元和63.1億美元。
2025年,歐洲市場規模達到201.6億美元,預計到2026年將達到209.6億美元,主要得益於嚴格的排放氣體法規、車輛電氣化計畫以及對充電基礎設施的投資。英國和德國市場預計到2026年將分別達到24.3億美元和26.5億美元。
到2025年,北美市場規模達到69.7億美元,預計到2026年將達到74.7億美元,主要得益於車輛現代化、政府激勵措施以及電動公車在主要大都會圈不斷擴大的部署。美國市場預計到2026年將達到43.2億美元。
2025年全球其他地區的市場規模為 472億美元,預計到2026年將成長至 512.2億美元,這得益於對快速公交系統(BRT)的投資、都市化的加快以及電動公共交通的逐步引進。
主要市場參與者
全球城市公車市場的主要參與者包括Yutong Bus Co. Ltd.、BYD Co. Ltd.、Daimler Buses GmbH、AB Volvo、Force Motors Ltd.、Tata Motors、Ashok Leyland、Scania AB、IVECO S.p.A、NFI Group。這些製造商正大力投資於純電動公車、氫燃料公車、智慧車輛管理技術、在地化生產和策略合作,以鞏固其在全球市場的地位。
The global city bus market was valued at USD 268.68 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow from USD 288.91 billion in 2026 to USD 495.52 billion by 2034, registering a CAGR of 6.98% during the forecast period (2026-2034). Asia Pacific dominated the global market with a 72.34% market share in 2025, supported by rapid urbanization, large-scale government investments in public transportation, and strong domestic manufacturing of electric buses.
City buses are designed for efficient passenger transportation within urban and suburban areas, offering frequent stops, high passenger capacity, and easy accessibility. Modern city buses are available in multiple configurations, including mini, standard, articulated, and double-decker models, powered by internal combustion engines (ICE), hybrid systems, battery-electric powertrains, and hydrogen fuel-cell technologies. Increasing demand for sustainable public transportation, coupled with stricter emission regulations and expanding smart city initiatives, is accelerating the transition toward zero-emission city buses worldwide.
Market Trends
One of the most significant trends shaping the city bus market is the rapid transition toward zero-emission and connected bus fleets. Governments and transport authorities are increasingly replacing diesel-powered buses with battery-electric and hydrogen-powered alternatives to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and improve urban air quality.
Bus manufacturers are integrating advanced telematics, predictive maintenance systems, real-time passenger information, GPS tracking, and fleet management software to improve operational efficiency. The adoption of Mobility-as-a-Service (MaaS) platforms is also transforming urban transportation by integrating city buses with metro systems, ride-sharing services, and micro-mobility solutions, creating seamless multimodal travel experiences.
Market Growth Factors
The increasing pace of urbanization and government initiatives promoting public transport electrification remain the primary drivers of market growth. Rapid population growth in metropolitan areas has increased demand for affordable, reliable, and environmentally friendly public transportation systems.
Governments across the world are introducing subsidies, tax incentives, and clean mobility programs to encourage the adoption of electric and hybrid city buses. Investments in charging infrastructure, battery technology, and Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) systems are further supporting market expansion. In addition, the declining cost of battery technology and advancements in electric drivetrains are making zero-emission buses increasingly attractive for public transport operators.
Growing partnerships between vehicle manufacturers, battery suppliers, and charging infrastructure providers are accelerating innovation while helping municipalities modernize public transportation networks.
Market Restraining Factors
Despite strong growth prospects, the market faces challenges due to uneven access to financing and subsidy programs across different regions. Many developing countries continue to rely on aging diesel bus fleets because municipal authorities often lack sufficient funding to invest in electric buses and charging infrastructure.
The large capital investment required for fleet electrification, depot modernization, grid upgrades, and charging facilities also creates financial barriers for many transit agencies. Differences in government support programs and funding availability continue to limit the pace of global electric bus adoption.
Market Segmentation
Based on type, the market is segmented into single-decker and double-decker buses. The single-decker segment dominated the market with a 93.19% share in 2026, owing to its operational flexibility, lower maintenance costs, and suitability for urban transportation networks.
Based on size, the market includes mini, standard, and articulated buses. The standard-size bus segment accounted for the largest 67.65% market share in 2026, supported by its balanced passenger capacity, operating efficiency, and widespread deployment across urban and suburban routes.
Based on propulsion, the market comprises internal combustion engine (ICE), hybrid, and electric buses. The electric bus segment held the largest revenue share of 62.50% in 2026, driven by increasing government mandates for zero-emission transportation, declining battery prices, and expanding charging infrastructure. While electric buses lead revenue generation, ICE buses continue to account for significant fleet volumes in developing economies.
Based on seating capacity, the market is categorized into up to 30 passengers, 31-80 passengers, and above 80 passengers. The 31-80 passenger segment dominated the market with a 68.27% share in 2026, reflecting its suitability for high-density urban routes and Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) systems.
Based on ownership, the market is divided into public-owned and private-owned fleets. Public-owned fleets continue to dominate global demand due to government procurement programs and national public transport electrification initiatives.
Asia Pacific remained the largest regional market with USD 194.36 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 209.26 billion in 2026. Rapid urbanization, strong government support for clean transportation, and the presence of leading manufacturers such as BYD and Yutong continue to strengthen regional growth. China is projected to reach USD 167.77 billion in 2026, while India and Japan are expected to reach USD 10.96 billion and USD 6.31 billion, respectively.
Europe accounted for USD 20.16 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 20.96 billion in 2026, supported by strict emission regulations, fleet electrification programs, and investments in charging infrastructure. The U.K. and Germany markets are expected to reach USD 2.43 billion and USD 2.65 billion, respectively, in 2026.
North America generated USD 6.97 billion in 2025 and is forecast to reach USD 7.47 billion in 2026, driven by fleet modernization, government incentives, and expanding deployment of electric buses across major metropolitan areas. The U.S. market is projected to reach USD 4.32 billion in 2026.
The Rest of the World market stood at USD 47.20 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow to USD 51.22 billion in 2026, supported by investments in Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) systems, increasing urbanization, and the gradual adoption of electric public transportation.
Key Market Players
Leading companies operating in the global city bus market include Yutong Bus Co. Ltd., BYD Co. Ltd., Daimler Buses GmbH, AB Volvo, Force Motors Ltd., Tata Motors, Ashok Leyland, Scania AB, IVECO S.p.A, and NFI Group. These manufacturers are investing heavily in battery-electric and hydrogen-powered buses, smart fleet management technologies, localized manufacturing, and strategic collaborations to strengthen their global market presence.
Key Industry Developments
The city bus industry continues to witness significant technological advancements and fleet expansion initiatives. In November 2025, battery-electric bus registrations in Europe increased by approximately 41% during the first half of 2025 compared to the same period in 2024. In March 2025, Transport & Environment reported that 49% of all newly registered city buses in the European Union during 2024 were zero-emission models, reflecting accelerating electrification. In February 2025, Volvo Buses secured its first electric bus order from Go-Ahead London for 25 Volvo BZL Electric buses. In October 2024, Go-Ahead Transport Group announced a £500 million investment to procure up to 1,200 zero-emission buses manufactured by Wrightbus. Earlier, in March 2024, Wrightbus secured a contract to supply 87 zero-emission buses for London's public transport network.
Conclusion
The global city bus market is expected to experience steady growth through 2034, supported by rapid urbanization, expanding public transportation infrastructure, and accelerating adoption of electric and hydrogen-powered buses. Government electrification initiatives, smart city development, and advancements in battery technology are transforming public transit systems worldwide. Although financing challenges and infrastructure investment requirements remain barriers in certain regions, continued innovation in zero-emission mobility, digital fleet management, and sustainable transportation solutions will create significant long-term growth opportunities for city bus manufacturers and transit operators.
Segmentation By Type, Propulsion, Drivetrain, Seating Capacity, and Region
By Type * Single-Decker
By Size * Mini
By Propulsion * ICE
By Passenger Capacity * Up to 30 Passengers
By Ownership
Public-Owned
By Region * North America (By Type, Size, Propulsion, Passenger Capacity, Ownership, and Country)