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空調設備熱泵

市場調查報告書

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2048286

住宅熱泵市場 - 全球產業規模、佔有率、趨勢、機會、預測：按類型、容量、地區和競爭格局分類，2021-2031年

Residential Heat Pumps Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Type (Air Source, Water Source, Geothermal (Ground) Source), By Capacity (Up To 10 kW, 10 To 20 kW), By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F

出版日期: 2026年05月25日 | 出版商:

TechSci Research | 英文 180 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

全球住宅熱泵市場預計將從 2025 年的 542.6 億美元大幅成長至 2031 年的 861.5 億美元，複合年成長率為 8.01%。

這些先進的溫度控管系統透過轉移熱能而非燃燒產生熱能來實現供暖、製冷和熱水供應，其發展動力源於全球嚴格的脫碳法規以及建築電氣化的結構性轉變。此外，政府的財政獎勵和支持節能基礎設施的法規結構也在加速傳統石化燃料系統的替代方案。美國暖氣、空調和冷凍協會 (AHRI) 的最新數據顯示，這一趨勢顯而易見：預計到 2024 年，美國空氣源熱泵的總出貨量將達到 412 萬台，比上年成長 14.0%。

市場概覽
預測期	2027-2031
市場規模：2025年	542.6億美元
市場規模：2031年	861.5億美元
複合年成長率：2026-2031年	8.01%
成長最快的細分市場	10-20千瓦
最大的市場	亞太地區

儘管市場成長環境良好，但仍面臨一個重大障礙：安裝和維修工程需要大量的初期投資。與傳統的燃氣鍋爐和燃油鍋爐相比，高昂的成本往往會阻礙價格敏感型消費者採用這項技術，尤其是在缺乏全面補貼和便利融資管道的情況下。因此，高昂的初期成本仍是市場大規模普及，特別是低收入者市場普及的一大障礙。

市場促進因素

目前，支持性的法規結構和降低高昂初始成本的財政獎勵是推動住宅熱泵普及的主要動力。世界各國政府正積極實施補貼計畫、稅額扣抵和津貼，以縮小電熱泵與傳統石化燃料鍋爐之間的價格差距。此類財政干預措施對於鼓勵住宅改用電力供暖至關重要，尤其是在天然氣價格停滯不前的市場。例如，英國能源安全與淨零排放部門在2024年9月報告稱，僅在2024年8月，鍋爐升級計畫下的熱泵津貼申請就達到了2890份，比上年同期成長了100%。

同時，低全球暖化潛勢（GWP）冷媒的技術進步以及在寒冷氣候下的性能提升，克服了嚴冬地區傳統供暖效率方面的挑戰，擴大了目標市場。製造商正迅速推出即使在零下溫度下也能保持高熱輸出，且無需輔助電阻加熱的系統，這證明了該技術的有效性，使其有望得到更廣泛的應用。 2024年4月，美國能源局宣布「住宅寒冷氣候熱泵挑戰賽」的原型機在華氏5度（約零下15.6度）的環境下成功實現了100%的供暖能力，進一步凸顯了這一進展。然而，正如歐洲熱泵協會的報告顯示，前一年在21個歐洲國家共售出302萬台熱泵，市場規模仍極易受到政策和經濟環境變化的影響。

市場挑戰

設備和安裝所需的大量前期投資仍然是全球住宅熱泵市場成長的主要障礙。雖然長期運作成本通常可以降低，但熱泵系統的初始成本往往遠高於更換標準燃氣鍋爐或燃油鍋爐的成本。這種價格差異對價格敏感的家庭構成了很高的進入門檻，尤其是在電力價格高於石化燃料價格的地區。因此，住宅往往基於短期經濟效益的考量而繼續使用傳統系統，這延緩了向電加熱基礎設施的過渡。

這些經濟障礙顯然正在減緩關鍵地區的市場成長勢頭，並導致普及率波動。根據歐洲熱泵協會（EHPA）預測，到2024年，歐洲13個主要市場的熱泵銷售量將年減23%，至約200萬台。這一萎縮凸顯了經濟壓力和相對較高的安裝成本如何直接限制了熱泵的普及。中低收入群體無力承擔這些初始成本，限制了市場基本客群，並阻礙了這項技術的穩定和廣泛應用。

市場趨勢

在現有建築脫碳過程中，如果大規模隔熱維修在經濟上不可行，混合式熱泵系統的普及正成為關鍵趨勢。這些雙燃料裝置能夠根據即時效率和能源成本自動在電熱泵和傳統石化燃料鍋爐之間切換，為老舊建築的電氣化改造提供了一種切實可行的過渡方案，而無需升級散熱器。這種維修適應性正在推動該領域的顯著成長，尤其是在基礎設施老化的市場。例如，英國熱泵協會於2025年1月宣布，英國整合式混合熱泵系統的成長率在2024年達到了100%。

同時，熱泵與住宅太陽能發電和儲熱系統的整合正日益受到希望最大限度提高能源自用率並規避電價波動風險的住宅青睞。透過智慧控制，這些系統能夠有效利用現場可再生能源發電滿足熱負荷需求，並將熱水箱轉化為“儲熱電池”，儲存多餘的太陽能以備後用。這種技術協同帶來的經濟效益是推動其普及的主要動力，正如歐洲太陽能協會 (SolarPower Europe) 於 2024 年 12 月發布的《歐盟市場展望》中所強調的那樣。該報告指出，與依賴傳統燃氣供暖的家庭相比，採用太陽能發電和熱泵組合系統的家庭能夠節省高達 84% 的能源費用。

The Global Residential Heat Pumps Market is projected to expand significantly, rising from USD 54.26 Billion in 2025 to USD 86.15 Billion by 2031, registering a CAGR of 8.01%. These advanced thermal management systems, which facilitate space heating, cooling, and water heating by transferring thermal energy rather than generating it via combustion, are being driven by stringent global decarbonization mandates and a structural pivot toward building electrification. Additionally, government financial incentives and regulatory frameworks supporting energy-efficient infrastructure are hastening the displacement of legacy fossil-fuel systems. This momentum is evident in recent data from the Air-Conditioning, Heating, and Refrigeration Institute, which reported that total shipments of air-source heat pumps in the United States reached 4.12 million units in 2024, marking a 14.0 percent increase over the prior year.

Market Overview
Forecast Period	2027-2031
Market Size 2025	USD 54.26 Billion
Market Size 2031	USD 86.15 Billion
CAGR 2026-2031	8.01%
Fastest Growing Segment	10 To 20 kW
Largest Market	Asia Pacific

Despite these favorable growth conditions, the market confronts a substantial hurdle in the form of high upfront capital investments required for equipment and retrofit installations. This cost premium, when compared to traditional gas or oil boilers, frequently discourages adoption among price-sensitive consumers, especially where comprehensive subsidy programs or accessible financing are unavailable. Consequently, this significant initial expense persists as a critical barrier preventing mass market penetration, particularly within lower-income demographics.

Market Driver

Supportive regulatory frameworks and financial incentives currently act as the principal catalysts for residential heat pump adoption by mitigating high initial costs. Governments worldwide are deploying aggressive subsidy programs, tax credits, and grants to narrow the price differential between electric heat pumps and conventional fossil-fuel boilers. These fiscal interventions are vital for motivating homeowners to switch to electrified heating, especially in markets where gas prices have leveled off. For example, the United Kingdom Department for Energy Security and Net Zero reported in September 2024 that the 'Boiler Upgrade Scheme' received 2,890 applications for heat pump grants in August 2024 alone, reflecting a 100 percent increase from the same month the previous year.

Simultaneously, technological advancements in low-GWP refrigerants and cold-climate performance are broadening the addressable market by overcoming historical efficiency issues in regions with severe winters. Manufacturers are rapidly bringing to market systems that maintain high thermal output without relying on auxiliary resistance heating, even in sub-freezing conditions, thus validating the technology for wider deployment. This progress was underscored by the U.S. Department of Energy in April 2024, announcing that prototypes from the 'Residential Cold Climate Heat Pump Challenge' successfully delivered 100 percent heating capacity at 5 degrees Fahrenheit. However, market volumes remain sensitive to policy and economic shifts, as evidenced by the European Heat Pump Association reporting 2024 sales of 3.02 million units across 21 European countries during the preceding year.

Market Challenge

The considerable upfront capital investment necessary for equipment and installation remains a severe obstruction to the growth of the global residential heat pump market. Although long-term operational savings are often realized, the initial expenditure for a heat pump system is frequently much higher than replacing a standard gas or oil boiler. This price disparity establishes a high barrier to entry for price-sensitive households, particularly in areas where electricity costs are high compared to fossil fuels. As a result, the immediate financial calculation often leads homeowners to retain legacy systems, thereby postponing the shift to electrified heating infrastructure.

This financial obstacle has visibly dampened market momentum in key regions, resulting in volatility regarding deployment rates. According to the European Heat Pump Association, heat pump sales across 13 major European markets declined by 23 percent in 2024 compared to the previous year, falling to approximately 2 million units. This contraction highlights how economic pressures and the high relative cost of installation directly constrain mass adoption. The inability of lower-to-middle-income demographics to shoulder these initial costs restricts the market's customer base, preventing the technology from securing consistent, widespread penetration.

Market Trends

The widespread adoption of hybrid heat pump systems is emerging as a crucial trend for decarbonizing existing buildings where extensive thermal retrofits are not economically viable. These dual-fuel units automatically toggle between an electric heat pump and a legacy fossil-fuel boiler depending on real-time efficiency and energy costs, providing a practical electrification bridge for older properties that avoids the need for radiator upgrades. This suitability for retrofits is fueling significant segment growth, particularly in markets with aging infrastructure; for instance, the Heat Pump Association announced in January 2025 that integrated hybrid heat pump systems in the United Kingdom experienced a 100 percent growth rate during 2024.

Concurrently, the integration of heat pumps with residential solar PV and thermal energy storage is gaining popularity as homeowners aim to maximize self-consumption and protect themselves from volatile grid electricity rates. By utilizing smart controls, these systems leverage on-site renewable generation to power thermal loads, effectively transforming hot water tanks into thermal batteries that store surplus solar energy for later use. The economic benefits of this technological synergy are a major driver of adoption, as highlighted by SolarPower Europe in their December 2024 'EU Market Outlook,' which reported that households using combined solar photovoltaic and heat pump systems realized energy bill savings of up to 84 percent compared to those relying on conventional gas heating.

Key Market Players

Alpex Pumps
Aqua Group
Bright Limited
C.R.I. Pumps Private Limited
Crompton
LORENTZ
Dankoff
Duke Plasto Technique Private Limited
EcoSoach
Ecozen Solutions

Report Scope

In this report, the Global Residential Heat Pumps Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:

Residential Heat Pumps Market, By Type

Air Source
Water Source
Geothermal (Ground) Source

Residential Heat Pumps Market, By Capacity

Up To 10 kW
10 To 20 kW

Residential Heat Pumps Market, By Region

North America
- United States
- Canada
- Mexico
Europe
- France
- United Kingdom
- Italy
- Germany
- Spain
Asia Pacific
- China
- India
- Japan
- Australia
- South Korea
South America
- Brazil
- Argentina
- Colombia
Middle East & Africa
- South Africa
- Saudi Arabia
- UAE

Competitive Landscape

Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Residential Heat Pumps Market.

Available Customizations:

Global Residential Heat Pumps Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report:

1. Product Overview

1.1. Market Definition
1.2. Scope of the Market
- 1.2.1. Markets Covered
- 1.2.2. Years Considered for Study
- 1.2.3. Key Market Segmentations

2. Research Methodology

2.1. Objective of the Study
2.2. Baseline Methodology
2.3. Key Industry Partners
2.4. Major Association and Secondary Sources
2.5. Forecasting Methodology
2.6. Data Triangulation & Validation
2.7. Assumptions and Limitations

3. Executive Summary

3.1. Overview of the Market
3.2. Overview of Key Market Segmentations
3.3. Overview of Key Market Players
3.4. Overview of Key Regions/Countries
3.5. Overview of Market Drivers, Challenges, Trends

4. Voice of Customer

5. Global Residential Heat Pumps Market Outlook

5.1. Market Size & Forecast
- 5.1.1. By Value
5.2. Market Share & Forecast
- 5.2.1. By Type (Air Source, Water Source, Geothermal (Ground) Source)
- 5.2.2. By Capacity (Up To 10 kW, 10 To 20 kW)
- 5.2.3. By Region
- 5.2.4. By Company (2025)
5.3. Market Map

6. North America Residential Heat Pumps Market Outlook

6.1. Market Size & Forecast
- 6.1.1. By Value
6.2. Market Share & Forecast
- 6.2.1. By Type
- 6.2.2. By Capacity
- 6.2.3. By Country
6.3. North America: Country Analysis
- 6.3.1. United States Residential Heat Pumps Market Outlook
  - 6.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 6.3.1.1.1. By Value
  - 6.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 6.3.1.2.1. By Type
    - 6.3.1.2.2. By Capacity
- 6.3.2. Canada Residential Heat Pumps Market Outlook
  - 6.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 6.3.2.1.1. By Value
  - 6.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 6.3.2.2.1. By Type
    - 6.3.2.2.2. By Capacity
- 6.3.3. Mexico Residential Heat Pumps Market Outlook
  - 6.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 6.3.3.1.1. By Value
  - 6.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 6.3.3.2.1. By Type
    - 6.3.3.2.2. By Capacity

7. Europe Residential Heat Pumps Market Outlook

7.1. Market Size & Forecast
- 7.1.1. By Value
7.2. Market Share & Forecast
- 7.2.1. By Type
- 7.2.2. By Capacity
- 7.2.3. By Country
7.3. Europe: Country Analysis
- 7.3.1. Germany Residential Heat Pumps Market Outlook
  - 7.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 7.3.1.1.1. By Value
  - 7.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 7.3.1.2.1. By Type
    - 7.3.1.2.2. By Capacity
- 7.3.2. France Residential Heat Pumps Market Outlook
  - 7.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 7.3.2.1.1. By Value
  - 7.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 7.3.2.2.1. By Type
    - 7.3.2.2.2. By Capacity
- 7.3.3. United Kingdom Residential Heat Pumps Market Outlook
  - 7.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 7.3.3.1.1. By Value
  - 7.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 7.3.3.2.1. By Type
    - 7.3.3.2.2. By Capacity
- 7.3.4. Italy Residential Heat Pumps Market Outlook
  - 7.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 7.3.4.1.1. By Value
  - 7.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 7.3.4.2.1. By Type
    - 7.3.4.2.2. By Capacity
- 7.3.5. Spain Residential Heat Pumps Market Outlook
  - 7.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 7.3.5.1.1. By Value
  - 7.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 7.3.5.2.1. By Type
    - 7.3.5.2.2. By Capacity

8. Asia Pacific Residential Heat Pumps Market Outlook

8.1. Market Size & Forecast
- 8.1.1. By Value
8.2. Market Share & Forecast
- 8.2.1. By Type
- 8.2.2. By Capacity
- 8.2.3. By Country
8.3. Asia Pacific: Country Analysis
- 8.3.1. China Residential Heat Pumps Market Outlook
  - 8.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 8.3.1.1.1. By Value
  - 8.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 8.3.1.2.1. By Type
    - 8.3.1.2.2. By Capacity
- 8.3.2. India Residential Heat Pumps Market Outlook
  - 8.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 8.3.2.1.1. By Value
  - 8.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 8.3.2.2.1. By Type
    - 8.3.2.2.2. By Capacity
- 8.3.3. Japan Residential Heat Pumps Market Outlook
  - 8.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 8.3.3.1.1. By Value
  - 8.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 8.3.3.2.1. By Type
    - 8.3.3.2.2. By Capacity
- 8.3.4. South Korea Residential Heat Pumps Market Outlook
  - 8.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 8.3.4.1.1. By Value
  - 8.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 8.3.4.2.1. By Type
    - 8.3.4.2.2. By Capacity
- 8.3.5. Australia Residential Heat Pumps Market Outlook
  - 8.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 8.3.5.1.1. By Value
  - 8.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 8.3.5.2.1. By Type
    - 8.3.5.2.2. By Capacity

9. Middle East & Africa Residential Heat Pumps Market Outlook

9.1. Market Size & Forecast
- 9.1.1. By Value
9.2. Market Share & Forecast
- 9.2.1. By Type
- 9.2.2. By Capacity
- 9.2.3. By Country
9.3. Middle East & Africa: Country Analysis
- 9.3.1. Saudi Arabia Residential Heat Pumps Market Outlook
  - 9.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 9.3.1.1.1. By Value
  - 9.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 9.3.1.2.1. By Type
    - 9.3.1.2.2. By Capacity
- 9.3.2. UAE Residential Heat Pumps Market Outlook
  - 9.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 9.3.2.1.1. By Value
  - 9.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 9.3.2.2.1. By Type
    - 9.3.2.2.2. By Capacity
- 9.3.3. South Africa Residential Heat Pumps Market Outlook
  - 9.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 9.3.3.1.1. By Value
  - 9.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 9.3.3.2.1. By Type
    - 9.3.3.2.2. By Capacity

10. South America Residential Heat Pumps Market Outlook

10.1. Market Size & Forecast
- 10.1.1. By Value
10.2. Market Share & Forecast
- 10.2.1. By Type
- 10.2.2. By Capacity
- 10.2.3. By Country
10.3. South America: Country Analysis
- 10.3.1. Brazil Residential Heat Pumps Market Outlook
  - 10.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 10.3.1.1.1. By Value
  - 10.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 10.3.1.2.1. By Type
    - 10.3.1.2.2. By Capacity
- 10.3.2. Colombia Residential Heat Pumps Market Outlook
  - 10.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 10.3.2.1.1. By Value
  - 10.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 10.3.2.2.1. By Type
    - 10.3.2.2.2. By Capacity
- 10.3.3. Argentina Residential Heat Pumps Market Outlook
  - 10.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
    - 10.3.3.1.1. By Value
  - 10.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
    - 10.3.3.2.1. By Type
    - 10.3.3.2.2. By Capacity

11. Market Dynamics

11.1. Drivers
11.2. Challenges

12. Market Trends & Developments

12.1. Merger & Acquisition (If Any)
12.2. Product Launches (If Any)
12.3. Recent Developments

13. Global Residential Heat Pumps Market: SWOT Analysis

14. Porter's Five Forces Analysis

14.1. Competition in the Industry
14.2. Potential of New Entrants
14.3. Power of Suppliers
14.4. Power of Customers
14.5. Threat of Substitute Products

15. Competitive Landscape

15.1. Alpex Pumps
- 15.1.1. Business Overview
- 15.1.2. Products & Services
- 15.1.3. Recent Developments
- 15.1.4. Key Personnel
- 15.1.5. SWOT Analysis
15.2. Aqua Group
15.3. Bright Limited
15.4. C.R.I. Pumps Private Limited
15.5. Crompton
15.6. LORENTZ
15.7. Dankoff
15.8. Duke Plasto Technique Private Limited
15.9. EcoSoach
15.10. Ecozen Solutions