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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
2046941

彈道飛彈市場－全球產業規模、佔有率、趨勢、機會和預測：按發射方式、射程、地區和競爭格局分類，2021-2031年

Ballistic Missile Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Launch Mode, By Range, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F
出版日期: | 出版商: TechSci Research | 英文 180 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

全球彈道飛彈市場預計將大幅擴張，從 2025 年的 72.1 億美元成長到 2031 年的 92.4 億美元，複合年成長率為 4.22%。

彈道飛彈是指以火箭推進的戰略武器系統，其沿亞軌道飛行，可將常規彈頭或核彈頭投送至特定目標。這一市場擴張的主要驅動力是日益加劇的地緣政治緊張局勢，以及各國對具備快速遠程打擊能力的增強型防禦系統的迫切需求。先進導引技術的引進和高超音速運載系統的進步，增強了飛彈規避攔截的能力，也推動了這一成長趨勢。國際戰略研究所（IISS）的一份報告預測，到2024年，全球國防費用將達到2.46兆美元，顯示各國在國家安全和戰略武器方面投入龐大，這印證了上述趨勢。

市場概覽
預測期 2027-2031
市場規模：2025年 72.1億美元
市場規模：2031年 92.4億美元
複合年成長率：2026-2031年 4.22%
成長最快的細分市場 地面對地面
最大的市場 北美洲

儘管市場有所成長，但嚴格的國際法規和不擴散條約對其構成限制。這些法律體制嚴重限制了關鍵飛彈技術和零件的跨境出口和共用，阻礙了製造商進入新的區域市場，也阻礙了國際產業合作。因此，全球整體彈道飛彈庫存的成長速度正在放緩。

市場促進因素

全球彈道飛彈市場的主要促進因素是地緣政治緊張局勢和不斷升級的區域衝突。隨著安全情勢惡化，各國越來越重視加強核阻礙力以維護其戰略獨立性。這種地緣政治不穩定直接導致用於研發和購買洲際彈道飛彈以及旨在穿越爭議空域的潛射飛彈平台的資金增加。對這些策略資產的投資規模龐大且持續成長。例如，2024年6月，國際廢除核武宣傳活動（ICAN）在其題為《激增：2023年全球核武支出》的報告中指出，九個核子擁有國家在其核武庫上的支出總合914億美元，這直接支持了飛彈生產和維護相關產業的發展。

第二個重要因素是舊戰略飛彈系統的持續現代化，這迫使各國政府用先進技術取代過時的系統。此次升級週期優先考慮引進下一代推進系統和精確導引系統，以解決技術過時問題並提高可靠性。此類轉型需要對歷時多年的大規模工程項目進行投資。例如，根據美國國防部2024年3月發布的2025會計年度預算申請，空軍已累計37億美元用於LGM-35A「哨兵」飛彈計畫的持續技術和製造研發。這種全球能力更新的趨勢在中國也十分明顯。根據斯德哥爾摩國際和平研究所（SIPRI）的報告，中國計劃在2024年將其核彈頭數量增加到500枚。這清楚地表明了中國擴大武庫和更新技術的更廣泛趨勢。

市場挑戰

全球彈道飛彈市場的商業性成長受到嚴格的國際法規結構和防擴散條約的顯著限制。這些法律體制對包括推進系統和導引系統在內的關鍵飛彈技術實施嚴格的出口管制，以防止戰略武器擴散。製造商面臨著繁瑣的合規要求和冗長的核准程序，這實際上阻礙了它們進入新的區域市場。因此，國防相關企業往往只能向特定的核准盟友銷售產品，阻礙了新的國際合作發展，並限制了它們的收入潛力。

此類監管條件直接阻礙了國際貿易規模，並造成市場潛力與實際供給能力之間的差距。儘管地緣政治緊張局勢加劇刺激了需求，但戰略資產無法自由轉讓正在減緩產業擴張。斯德哥爾摩國際和平研究所2025年3月的報告顯示，2015-2019年和2020-2024年間，全球主要武器轉移規模下降了0.6%。這一降幅凸顯了出口限制和合規壁壘如何阻礙飛彈系統的廣泛應用，並因此對市場整體成長軌跡產生負面影響。

市場趨勢

隨著高超音速滑翔飛行器（HGV）有效載荷的引入，市場正在經歷一場根本性的變革。這種飛行器優先考慮機動性而非單純的速度，以避免先進的攔截系統。與遵循可預測拋物線彈道的傳統彈頭不同，高超音速滑翔飛行器與助推器分離後，會在低空滑翔，從而產生不可預測的彈道變化，使現有的雷達追蹤和動態攔截系統失效。這項技術進步正推動業界快速推進作戰部隊的部署。根據《防務新聞》2025年4月報道，美國陸軍已最終確定計劃，將於2025會計年度末部署其首支陸基高超音速飛彈部隊，這標誌著該技術從研發階段向作戰部署階段邁出了重要一步。

同時，市場正朝著固體燃料推進系統做出決定性轉變，以提高飛彈的快速部署能力和生存能力。液體燃料飛彈由於發射前需要長時間的燃料加註，因此容易受到先發制人的打擊；而固體燃料飛彈則預先裝載燃料，幾乎可以從移動平台上瞬間發射。對於那些尋求確保二次打擊能力以應對潛在先發制人打擊的國家而言，這種轉變尤其顯著。例如，2025年10月，《跑道》（The Runway）報導，北韓已成功完成其洲際彈道飛彈（ICBM）計畫高推力固體燃料引擎的最終地面測試，證實了該推進系統的運作可靠性。

目錄

第1章概述

第2章：調查方法

第3章執行摘要

第4章：客戶心聲

第5章：全球彈道飛彈市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
    • 按金額
  • 市佔率及預測
    • 發射方式（水面發射、水面發射、空面發射、空空發射、水下發射）
    • 按射程（短程、中程、中遠程、洲際）
    • 按地區
    • 按公司（2025 年）
  • 市場地圖

第6章：北美彈道飛彈市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 北美洲：國別分析
    • 美國
    • 加拿大
    • 墨西哥

第7章：歐洲彈道飛彈市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 歐洲：國別分析
    • 德國
    • 法國
    • 英國
    • 義大利
    • 西班牙

第8章：亞太地區彈道飛彈市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 亞太地區：國別分析
    • 中國
    • 印度
    • 日本
    • 韓國
    • 澳洲

第9章：中東和非洲彈道飛彈市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 中東與非洲：國別分析
    • 沙烏地阿拉伯
    • 阿拉伯聯合大公國
    • 南非

第10章：南美洲彈道飛彈市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 南美洲：國別分析
    • 巴西
    • 哥倫比亞
    • 阿根廷

第11章 市場動態

  • 促進因素
  • 任務

第12章 市場趨勢與發展

  • 併購
  • 產品發布
  • 近期趨勢

第13章：全球彈道飛彈市場：SWOT分析

第14章：波特五力分析

  • 產業競爭
  • 新進入者的潛力
  • 供應商的議價能力
  • 顧客權力
  • 替代品的威脅

第15章 競爭格局

  • Lockheed Martin Corporation
  • Northrop Grumman Corporation
  • The Boeing Company
  • Raytheon Technologies Corporation
  • General Dynamics Corporation
  • BAE Systems plc
  • Airbus Defence and Space
  • L3Harris Technologies, Inc.
  • Thales Group
  • Leonardo SpA
  • Israel Aerospace Industries Ltd.

第16章 策略建議

第17章：關於研究公司及免責聲明

簡介目錄
Product Code: 13081

The global ballistic missile market is projected to expand significantly, rising from USD 7.21 Billion in 2025 to USD 9.24 Billion by 2031, achieving a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 4.22%. Ballistic missiles, defined as rocket-propelled strategic weapon systems, traverse a suborbital path to deliver conventional or nuclear warheads to specific targets. This market expansion is predominantly driven by heightened geopolitical tensions and the critical need for countries to enhance their defense systems with swift, long-range strike capabilities. This trajectory is also supported by the incorporation of sophisticated guidance technologies and the advancement of hypersonic delivery systems, which improve their ability to evade interception. As an indicator of this trend, global defense spending reached 2.46 trillion dollars in 2024, as reported by the International Institute for Strategic Studies, demonstrating a considerable investment in national security and strategic weaponry.

Market Overview
Forecast Period2027-2031
Market Size 2025USD 7.21 Billion
Market Size 2031USD 9.24 Billion
CAGR 2026-20314.22%
Fastest Growing SegmentSurface-to-Surface
Largest MarketNorth America

Despite this growth, the market is constrained by strict international regulations and nonproliferation treaties. These legal structures strictly govern the export and sharing of critical missile technologies and components across borders, hindering manufacturers from accessing new regional markets and impeding international industrial partnerships, which in turn slows the overall increase in global ballistic missile inventories.

Market Driver

A primary driver for the global ballistic missile market is the escalation of geopolitical tensions and regional conflicts. With deteriorating security landscapes, countries are increasingly focused on bolstering nuclear deterrence to safeguard their strategic independence. This geopolitical volatility directly leads to increased funding for developing and acquiring intercontinental and submarine-launched missile platforms designed to traverse contested airspaces. The financial investment in these strategic assets is substantial and on the rise. For instance, in June 2024, the International Campaign to Abolish Nuclear Weapons reported in its 'Surge: 2023 Global Nuclear Weapons Spending' that the nine nuclear-armed nations collectively spent $91.4 billion on their arsenals, thereby directly supporting the industry involved in missile production and upkeep.

The second crucial driver is the ongoing modernization of aging strategic missile arsenals, which necessitates governments replacing older systems with advanced technologies. This upgrade cycle prioritizes the incorporation of next-generation propulsion and precision guidance systems to counter technical obsolescence and boost reliability. Such transitions require significant, multi-year engineering program investments. For example, the U.S. Department of Defense's March 2024 'Fiscal Year 2025 Budget Request' shows the Air Force earmarked $3.7 billion for the LGM-35A Sentinel program's ongoing engineering and manufacturing development. This global push for updated capabilities is also evident in China, where the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute reported a 2024 increase to 500 warheads, illustrating the widespread trend of expanding inventories and technological updates.

Market Challenge

The global ballistic missile market's commercial growth is significantly hindered by stringent international regulatory frameworks and nonproliferation treaties. These legal instruments enforce strict export controls on critical missile technologies, including propulsion and guidance systems, to prevent the spread of strategic weapons. Manufacturers face extensive compliance demands and lengthy approval procedures, which effectively prevent their entry into new regional markets. Consequently, defense contractors are frequently limited to selling only to a select group of approved allies, thereby stifling the creation of new international collaborations and restricting revenue potential.

This regulatory landscape directly impedes the volume of international trade, creating a disconnect between market potential and actual delivery capabilities. Even with increased geopolitical tensions stimulating demand, the inability to freely transfer strategic assets slows industrial expansion. As reported by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute in March 2025, the global volume of major arms transfers declined by 0.6 percent between 2015-19 and 2020-24. This reduction highlights how export restrictions and compliance obstacles hinder the wider distribution of missile systems, thereby negatively impacting the market's overall growth path.

Market Trends

The market is undergoing a fundamental transformation due to the incorporation of Hypersonic Glide Vehicle (HGV) payloads, which emphasize maneuverability over sheer speed to bypass sophisticated interception systems. In contrast to conventional warheads that follow foreseeable parabolic trajectories, HGVs separate from their boosters and glide at lower altitudes, performing unpredictable course alterations that render current radar tracking and kinetic interceptors ineffective. This technological advancement is prompting swift industrial efforts to deploy operational units. As reported by Defense News in April 2025, the U.S. Army confirmed plans to field its inaugural ground-launched hypersonic missile unit by the close of fiscal year 2025, signaling a crucial shift from development to combat readiness.

Concurrently, the market is decisively shifting towards solid-fuel propulsion systems to improve both rapid readiness and survivability. While liquid-fueled missiles demand lengthy fueling processes before launch, making them vulnerable to preemptive attacks, solid-fuel versions are pre-loaded and can be launched almost instantly from mobile platforms. This change is especially noticeable in countries aiming to secure their second-strike capabilities against potential preemptive strikes. For instance, The Runway reported in October 2025 that North Korea successfully finished the final ground test of a high-thrust solid-fuel engine for its intercontinental ballistic missile program, thereby confirming the operational dependability of this propulsion design.

Key Market Players

  • Lockheed Martin Corporation
  • Northrop Grumman Corporation
  • The Boeing Company
  • Raytheon Technologies Corporation
  • General Dynamics Corporation
  • BAE Systems plc
  • Airbus Defence and Space
  • L3Harris Technologies, Inc.
  • Thales Group
  • Leonardo S.p.A.
  • Israel Aerospace Industries Ltd.

Report Scope

In this report, the Global Ballistic Missile Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:

Ballistic Missile Market, By Launch Mode

  • Surface-to-Surface
  • Surface-to-Air
  • Air-to-Surface
  • Air-to-Air
  • Subsea-to-Air

Ballistic Missile Market, By Range

  • Short-Range
  • Medium-Range
  • Intermediate-Range
  • Intercontinental

Ballistic Missile Market, By Region

  • North America
    • United States
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • Europe
    • France
    • United Kingdom
    • Italy
    • Germany
    • Spain
  • Asia Pacific
    • China
    • India
    • Japan
    • Australia
    • South Korea
  • South America
    • Brazil
    • Argentina
    • Colombia
  • Middle East & Africa
    • South Africa
    • Saudi Arabia
    • UAE

Competitive Landscape

Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Ballistic Missile Market.

Available Customizations:

Global Ballistic Missile Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report:

Company Information

  • Detailed analysis and profiling of additional market players (up to five).

Table of Contents

1. Product Overview

  • 1.1. Market Definition
  • 1.2. Scope of the Market
    • 1.2.1. Markets Covered
    • 1.2.2. Years Considered for Study
    • 1.2.3. Key Market Segmentations

2. Research Methodology

  • 2.1. Objective of the Study
  • 2.2. Baseline Methodology
  • 2.3. Key Industry Partners
  • 2.4. Major Association and Secondary Sources
  • 2.5. Forecasting Methodology
  • 2.6. Data Triangulation & Validation
  • 2.7. Assumptions and Limitations

3. Executive Summary

  • 3.1. Overview of the Market
  • 3.2. Overview of Key Market Segmentations
  • 3.3. Overview of Key Market Players
  • 3.4. Overview of Key Regions/Countries
  • 3.5. Overview of Market Drivers, Challenges, Trends

4. Voice of Customer

5. Global Ballistic Missile Market Outlook

  • 5.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 5.1.1. By Value
  • 5.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 5.2.1. By Launch Mode (Surface-to-Surface, Surface-to-Air, Air-to-Surface, Air-to-Air, Subsea-to-Air)
    • 5.2.2. By Range (Short-Range, Medium-Range, Intermediate-Range, Intercontinental)
    • 5.2.3. By Region
    • 5.2.4. By Company (2025)
  • 5.3. Market Map

6. North America Ballistic Missile Market Outlook

  • 6.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 6.1.1. By Value
  • 6.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 6.2.1. By Launch Mode
    • 6.2.2. By Range
    • 6.2.3. By Country
  • 6.3. North America: Country Analysis
    • 6.3.1. United States Ballistic Missile Market Outlook
      • 6.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.1.2.1. By Launch Mode
        • 6.3.1.2.2. By Range
    • 6.3.2. Canada Ballistic Missile Market Outlook
      • 6.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.2.2.1. By Launch Mode
        • 6.3.2.2.2. By Range
    • 6.3.3. Mexico Ballistic Missile Market Outlook
      • 6.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.3.2.1. By Launch Mode
        • 6.3.3.2.2. By Range

7. Europe Ballistic Missile Market Outlook

  • 7.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 7.1.1. By Value
  • 7.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 7.2.1. By Launch Mode
    • 7.2.2. By Range
    • 7.2.3. By Country
  • 7.3. Europe: Country Analysis
    • 7.3.1. Germany Ballistic Missile Market Outlook
      • 7.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.1.2.1. By Launch Mode
        • 7.3.1.2.2. By Range
    • 7.3.2. France Ballistic Missile Market Outlook
      • 7.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.2.2.1. By Launch Mode
        • 7.3.2.2.2. By Range
    • 7.3.3. United Kingdom Ballistic Missile Market Outlook
      • 7.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.3.2.1. By Launch Mode
        • 7.3.3.2.2. By Range
    • 7.3.4. Italy Ballistic Missile Market Outlook
      • 7.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.4.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.4.2.1. By Launch Mode
        • 7.3.4.2.2. By Range
    • 7.3.5. Spain Ballistic Missile Market Outlook
      • 7.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.5.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.5.2.1. By Launch Mode
        • 7.3.5.2.2. By Range

8. Asia Pacific Ballistic Missile Market Outlook

  • 8.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 8.1.1. By Value
  • 8.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 8.2.1. By Launch Mode
    • 8.2.2. By Range
    • 8.2.3. By Country
  • 8.3. Asia Pacific: Country Analysis
    • 8.3.1. China Ballistic Missile Market Outlook
      • 8.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.1.2.1. By Launch Mode
        • 8.3.1.2.2. By Range
    • 8.3.2. India Ballistic Missile Market Outlook
      • 8.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.2.2.1. By Launch Mode
        • 8.3.2.2.2. By Range
    • 8.3.3. Japan Ballistic Missile Market Outlook
      • 8.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.3.2.1. By Launch Mode
        • 8.3.3.2.2. By Range
    • 8.3.4. South Korea Ballistic Missile Market Outlook
      • 8.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.4.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.4.2.1. By Launch Mode
        • 8.3.4.2.2. By Range
    • 8.3.5. Australia Ballistic Missile Market Outlook
      • 8.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.5.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.5.2.1. By Launch Mode
        • 8.3.5.2.2. By Range

9. Middle East & Africa Ballistic Missile Market Outlook

  • 9.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 9.1.1. By Value
  • 9.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 9.2.1. By Launch Mode
    • 9.2.2. By Range
    • 9.2.3. By Country
  • 9.3. Middle East & Africa: Country Analysis
    • 9.3.1. Saudi Arabia Ballistic Missile Market Outlook
      • 9.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.1.2.1. By Launch Mode
        • 9.3.1.2.2. By Range
    • 9.3.2. UAE Ballistic Missile Market Outlook
      • 9.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.2.2.1. By Launch Mode
        • 9.3.2.2.2. By Range
    • 9.3.3. South Africa Ballistic Missile Market Outlook
      • 9.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.3.2.1. By Launch Mode
        • 9.3.3.2.2. By Range

10. South America Ballistic Missile Market Outlook

  • 10.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 10.1.1. By Value
  • 10.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 10.2.1. By Launch Mode
    • 10.2.2. By Range
    • 10.2.3. By Country
  • 10.3. South America: Country Analysis
    • 10.3.1. Brazil Ballistic Missile Market Outlook
      • 10.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.1.2.1. By Launch Mode
        • 10.3.1.2.2. By Range
    • 10.3.2. Colombia Ballistic Missile Market Outlook
      • 10.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.2.2.1. By Launch Mode
        • 10.3.2.2.2. By Range
    • 10.3.3. Argentina Ballistic Missile Market Outlook
      • 10.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.3.2.1. By Launch Mode
        • 10.3.3.2.2. By Range

11. Market Dynamics

  • 11.1. Drivers
  • 11.2. Challenges

12. Market Trends & Developments

  • 12.1. Merger & Acquisition (If Any)
  • 12.2. Product Launches (If Any)
  • 12.3. Recent Developments

13. Global Ballistic Missile Market: SWOT Analysis

14. Porter's Five Forces Analysis

  • 14.1. Competition in the Industry
  • 14.2. Potential of New Entrants
  • 14.3. Power of Suppliers
  • 14.4. Power of Customers
  • 14.5. Threat of Substitute Products

15. Competitive Landscape

  • 15.1. Lockheed Martin Corporation
    • 15.1.1. Business Overview
    • 15.1.2. Products & Services
    • 15.1.3. Recent Developments
    • 15.1.4. Key Personnel
    • 15.1.5. SWOT Analysis
  • 15.2. Northrop Grumman Corporation
  • 15.3. The Boeing Company
  • 15.4. Raytheon Technologies Corporation
  • 15.5. General Dynamics Corporation
  • 15.6. BAE Systems plc
  • 15.7. Airbus Defence and Space
  • 15.8. L3Harris Technologies, Inc.
  • 15.9. Thales Group
  • 15.10. Leonardo S.p.A.
  • 15.11. Israel Aerospace Industries Ltd.

16. Strategic Recommendations

17. About Us & Disclaimer