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軍事與防禦武器

市場調查報告書

商品編碼

1844280

彈道飛彈市場機會、成長動力、產業趨勢分析及2025-2034年預測

Ballistic Missiles Market Opportunity, Growth Drivers, Industry Trend Analysis, and Forecast 2025 - 2034

出版日期: 2025年09月18日 | 出版商:

Global Market Insights Inc. | 英文 160 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

價格

簡介目錄

2024 年全球彈道飛彈市場價值為 91 億美元，預計將以 5.1% 的複合年成長率成長，到 2034 年達到 149 億美元。

推動這一成長的關鍵促進因素包括全球國防開支的增加、過時飛彈庫的現代化、推進和瞄準系統的技術進步以及日益加劇的地區和國際衝突。世界各國正大幅增加對飛彈能力的投資，旨在加強其戰略威懾和快速反應框架。傳統平台的升級正將重點轉向更複雜的推進系統、增強的再入技術和精確導引系統。不斷變化的威脅正在推動從常規飛彈類型向更先進類型的過渡，例如高超音速飛彈、機動再入飛行器（MaRV）和精確導引系統。這一發展既反映了國家安全的優先事項，也反映了現代戰爭日益複雜的情況。

市場範圍
起始年份	2024
預測年份	2025-2034
起始值	91億美元
預測值	149億美元
複合年成長率	5.1%

短程彈道飛彈 (SRBM) 市場在 2024 年佔 32.9% 的佔有率，這得益於其在地區衝突情境下的戰術優勢、快速部署能力和成本效益。預算有限且環境威脅較大的國家正在採用這些系統，以滿足快速回應需求並增強威懾力。市場參與者應優先考慮緊湊型推進系統、可擴展彈頭配置和增強型瞄準能力的創新，以滿足新興的地區需求和現代化要求。

2024年，陸基飛彈市場佔了51.6%的佔有率。其吸引力在於更廣泛的有效載荷選擇、更遠的打擊範圍以及相對於海基或空基系統更低的成本。它還支援戰術和遠程防禦戰略。為了保持競爭力，鼓勵製造商開發下一代高超音速和固體推進系統，整合先進的精密技術，並加強與新興市場中不斷擴展的國防項目的合作。

受戰略和戰術飛彈能力持續投資的推動，美國彈道飛彈市場規模在2024年達到31億美元。國防企業應專注於提升飛彈的準確性、可靠性和性能，同時與聯邦機構密切合作，以配合當前的軍事現代化戰略。提供經濟高效、可擴展的系統對於獲得長期國防合約仍然至關重要。

塑造該行業的主要參與者包括Roketsan公司、諾斯羅普·格魯曼公司、英國宇航系統公司、拉斐爾先進防禦系統有限公司、歐洲導彈集團、洛克希德·馬丁公司、印度動力有限公司、布拉莫斯航太、以色列航太工業有限公司（IAI）和NPO Mashinostroyeniya。為了鞏固其市場地位，領先公司正在投資尖端推進技術、先進導引系統和增強性能的輕質複合材料。他們也積極與國防機構合作，使產品開發與長期軍事現代化目標保持一致。重點是擴大其產品組合，開發兼具威懾力和進攻能力的多程飛彈系統。

產業生態系統分析
- 供應商格局
- 利潤率分析
- 成本結構
- 每個階段的增值
- 影響價值鏈的因素
- 中斷
產業衝擊力
- 成長動力
  - 全球國防預算擴張
  - 地緣政治緊張局勢和區域衝突加劇
  - 老化飛彈系統的現代化與更換
  - 飛彈導引與推進技術的進步
  - 更加重視戰略威懾與核能力
- 產業陷阱與挑戰
  - 彈道飛彈研發產量成本高
  - 嚴格的軍備管制條約和出口法規
- 市場機會
  - 高超音速和機動再入飛行器（HGV/MaRV）的開發
  - 合作防禦計劃和聯合發展計劃
  - 新興國防市場（亞太、中東）的成長
成長潛力分析
監管格局
- 北美洲
- 歐洲
- 亞太地區
- 拉丁美洲
- 中東和非洲
波特的分析
PESTEL分析
技術和創新格局
- 當前的技術趨勢
- 新興技術
新興商業模式
合規性要求
國防預算分析
全球國防開支趨勢
區域國防預算分配
- 北美洲
- 歐洲
- 亞太地區
- 中東和非洲
- 拉丁美洲
重點國防現代化項目
預算預測（2025-2034）
- 對產業成長的影響
- 各國國防預算
供應鏈彈性
地緣政治分析
勞動力分析
數位轉型
合併、收購和策略夥伴關係格局
風險評估與管理
主要合約授予（2021-2024）

第4章：競爭格局

介紹
公司市佔率分析
- 按地區
  - 北美洲
  - 歐洲
  - 亞太地區
  - 拉丁美洲
  - 中東和非洲
關鍵參與者的競爭基準
- 財務績效比較
  - 收入
  - 利潤率
  - 研發
- 產品組合比較
  - 產品範圍廣度
  - 科技
  - 創新
- 地理位置比較
  - 全球足跡分析
  - 服務網路覆蓋
  - 各地區市場滲透率
- 競爭定位矩陣
  - 領導者
  - 挑戰者
  - 追蹤者
  - 利基市場參與者
- 戰略展望矩陣
2021-2024 年關鍵發展
- 併購
- 夥伴關係與合作
- 技術進步
- 擴張和投資策略
- 數位轉型舉措
新興/新創企業競爭對手格局

第5章：市場估計與預測：按範圍，2021 - 2034

主要趨勢
短距離（<1,000 公里）
中程（1,000-3,000公里）
中程（3,000-5,500公里）
洲際航程（>5,500 公里）

第6章：市場估計與預測：按發布平台，2021 - 2034 年

主要趨勢
地面
空降
海軍
太空賦能

第7章：市場估計與預測：按推進方式，2021 - 2034 年

主要趨勢
液體燃料
固體燃料
混合

第8章：市場估計與預測：按指導系統，2021 - 2034 年

主要趨勢
慣性導航系統（INS）
衛星輔助
進階探索者
地形通訊/DSMAC

第9章：市場估計與預測：按速度，2021 - 2034 年

主要趨勢
超音速
高超音速

第 10 章：市場估計與預測：按地區，2021 年至 2034 年

主要趨勢
北美洲
- 美國
- 加拿大
歐洲
- 德國
- 英國
- 法國
- 義大利
- 西班牙
- 荷蘭
亞太地區
- 中國
- 印度
- 日本
- 澳洲
- 韓國
拉丁美洲
- 巴西
- 墨西哥
- 阿根廷
多邊環境協定
- 南非
- 沙烏地阿拉伯
- 阿拉伯聯合大公國

第 11 章：公司簡介

全球關鍵參與者
- BAE Systems plc
- MBDA
- Israel Aerospace Industries Ltd. (IAI)
區域關鍵參與者
- 北美洲
  - Lockheed Martin Corporation
  - Northrop Grumman Corporation
- 歐洲
  - Avibras
  - Elbit Systems
- 亞太地區
  - Bharat Dynamics Limited
  - BrahMos Aerospace
  - China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation (CASC)
  - Hanwha Aerospace
  - Roketsan
利基市場參與者/顛覆者
- Makeyev Rocket Design Bureau (GRTs Makeyeva)
- NPO Mashinostroyeniya
- RAFAEL Advanced Defense Systems Ltd.

簡介目錄

Product Code: 14784

The Global Ballistic Missiles Market was valued at USD 9.1 billion in 2024 and is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 5.1% to reach USD 14.9 billion by 2034.

Key drivers contributing to this growth include rising global defense expenditures, the modernization of outdated missile arsenals, technological advancements in propulsion and targeting systems, and intensifying regional and international conflicts. Countries across the world are significantly increasing their investment in missile capabilities, aiming to strengthen both their strategic deterrence and rapid response frameworks. Upgrades to legacy platforms are shifting the focus toward more sophisticated propulsion systems, enhanced re-entry technologies, and precision targeting. The evolving threat is pushing the transition from conventional missile classes to more advanced types such as hypersonic, maneuverable reentry vehicles (MaRVs), and precision-guided systems. This development reflects both national security priorities and the growing complexity of modern warfare.

Market Scope
Start Year	2024
Forecast Year	2025-2034
Start Value	$9.1 billion
Forecast Value	$14.9 billion
CAGR	5.1%

The short-range ballistic missile (SRBM) segment held a 32.9% share in 2024 owing to its tactical advantages in regional conflict scenarios, rapid deployment capabilities, and cost-efficiency. Nations with limited budgets and high-threat environments are adopting these systems to meet fast-response needs and strengthen deterrent postures. Market players should prioritize innovation in compact propulsion, scalable warhead configurations, and enhanced targeting to align with emerging regional requirements and modernization mandates.

In 2024, the ground-based missile segment held a 51.6% share. Its appeal lies in broader payload options, extended strike range, and lower cost relative to sea or air-based systems. It also supports both tactical and long-range defense strategies. To remain competitive, manufacturers are encouraged to develop next-generation hypersonic and solid-propelled systems, integrate advanced precision technologies, and increase collaboration with expanding defense programs in newer markets.

U.S. Ballistic Missile Market reached USD 3.1 billion in 2024, driven by sustained investment in both strategic and tactical missile capabilities. Defense firms should focus on boosting the accuracy, reliability, and performance of missiles while working closely with federal agencies to align with current military modernization strategies. Providing cost-effective, scalable systems remains crucial in securing long-term defense contracts.

Major participants shaping the industry include Roketsan, Northrop Grumman Corporation, BAE Systems plc, RAFAEL Advanced Defense Systems Ltd., MBDA, Lockheed Martin Corporation, Bharat Dynamics Limited, BrahMos Aerospace, Israel Aerospace Industries Ltd. (IAI), and NPO Mashinostroyeniya. To secure their market position, leading companies are investing in cutting-edge propulsion technologies, advanced guidance systems, and lightweight composite materials that enhance performance. They're also actively partnering with national defense organizations to align product development with long-term military modernization goals. Emphasis is being placed on expanding portfolios with multi-range missile systems capable of both deterrence and offensive capability.

Chapter 1 Methodology

1.1 Market scope and definition
1.2 Research design
- 1.2.1 Research approach
- 1.2.2 Data collection methods
1.3 Data mining sources
- 1.3.1 Global
- 1.3.2 Regional/Country
1.4 Base estimates and calculations
- 1.4.1 Base year calculation
- 1.4.2 Key trends for market estimation
1.5 Primary research and validation
- 1.5.1 Primary sources
1.6 Forecast model
1.7 Research assumptions and limitations

Chapter 2 Executive Summary

2.1 Industry 360⁰ synopsis, 2021 - 2034
2.2 Key market trends
- 2.2.1 Range trends
- 2.2.2 Launch platform trends
- 2.2.3 Propulsion trends
- 2.2.4 Guidance system trends
- 2.2.5 Speed trends
- 2.2.6 Regional trends
2.3 TAM Analysis, 2025-2034
2.4 CXO perspectives: Strategic imperatives
- 2.4.1 Executive decision points
- 2.4.2 Critical success factors
2.5 Future outlook and strategic recommendations

Chapter 3 Industry Insights

3.1 Industry ecosystem analysis
- 3.1.1 Supplier landscape
- 3.1.2 Profit margin analysis
- 3.1.3 Cost structure
- 3.1.4 Value addition at each stage
- 3.1.5 Factor affecting the value chain
- 3.1.6 Disruptions
3.2 Industry impact forces
- 3.2.1 Growth drivers
  - 3.2.1.1 Expansion of defense budgets globally
  - 3.2.1.2 Rising geopolitical tensions and regional conflicts
  - 3.2.1.3 Modernization and replacement of aging missile systems
  - 3.2.1.4 Advancements in missile guidance and propulsion technology
  - 3.2.1.5 Increased focus on strategic deterrence and nuclear capabilities
- 3.2.2 Industry pitfalls and challenges
  - 3.2.2.1 High R&D and production costs of ballistic missiles
  - 3.2.2.2 Stringent arms control treaties and export regulations
- 3.2.3 Market opportunities
  - 3.2.3.1 Development of hypersonic and maneuverable re-entry vehicles (HGV/MaRV)
  - 3.2.3.2 Collaborative defense programs and joint development initiatives
  - 3.2.3.3 Growth in emerging defense markets (Asia-Pacific, Middle East)
3.3 Growth potential analysis
3.4 Regulatory landscape
- 3.4.1 North America
- 3.4.2 Europe
- 3.4.3 Asia Pacific
- 3.4.4 Latin America
- 3.4.5 Middle East & Africa
3.5 Porter’s analysis
3.6 PESTEL analysis
3.7 Technology and Innovation landscape
- 3.7.1 Current technological trends
- 3.7.2 Emerging technologies
3.8 Emerging business models
3.9 Compliance requirements
3.10 Defense budget analysis
3.11 Global defense spending trends
3.12 Regional defense budget allocation
- 3.12.1 North America
- 3.12.2 Europe
- 3.12.3 Asia Pacific
- 3.12.4 Middle East and Africa
- 3.12.5 Latin America
3.13 Key defense modernization programs
3.14 Budget forecast (2025-2034)
- 3.14.1 Impact on industry growth
- 3.14.2 Defense budgets by country
3.15 Supply chain resilience
3.16 Geopolitical analysis
3.17 Workforce analysis
3.18 Digital transformation
3.19 Mergers, acquisitions, and strategic partnerships landscape
3.20 Risk assessment and management
3.21 Major contract awards (2021-2024)

Chapter 4 Competitive Landscape, 2024

4.1 Introduction
4.2 Company market share analysis
- 4.2.1 By region
  - 4.2.1.1 North America
  - 4.2.1.2 Europe
  - 4.2.1.3 Asia Pacific
  - 4.2.1.4 Latin America
  - 4.2.1.5 Middle East & Africa
4.3 Competitive benchmarking of key players
- 4.3.1 Financial performance comparison
  - 4.3.1.1 Revenue
  - 4.3.1.2 Profit margin
  - 4.3.1.3 R&D
- 4.3.2 Product portfolio comparison
  - 4.3.2.1 Product range breadth
  - 4.3.2.2 Technology
  - 4.3.2.3 Innovation
- 4.3.3 Geographic presence comparison
  - 4.3.3.1 Global footprint analysis
  - 4.3.3.2 Service network coverage
  - 4.3.3.3 Market penetration by region
- 4.3.4 Competitive positioning matrix
  - 4.3.4.1 Leaders
  - 4.3.4.2 Challengers
  - 4.3.4.3 Followers
  - 4.3.4.4 Niche players
- 4.3.5 Strategic outlook matrix
4.4 Key developments, 2021-2024
- 4.4.1 Mergers and acquisitions
- 4.4.2 Partnerships and collaborations
- 4.4.3 Technological advancements
- 4.4.4 Expansion and investment strategies
- 4.4.5 Digital transformation initiatives
4.5 Emerging/ startup competitors landscape

Chapter 5 Market Estimates and Forecast, By Range, 2021 - 2034 (USD Million)

5.1 Key trends
5.2 Short range (<1,000 km)
5.3 Medium range (1,000-3,000 km)
5.4 Intermediate range (3,000-5,500 km)
5.5 Intercontinental range (>5,500 km)

Chapter 6 Market Estimates and Forecast, By Launch Platform, 2021 - 2034 (USD Million)

6.1 Key trends
6.2 Ground-based
6.3 Airborne
6.4 Naval
6.5 Space-enabled

Chapter 7 Market Estimates and Forecast, By Propulsion, 2021 - 2034 (USD Million)

7.1 Key trends
7.2 Liquid-fueled
7.3 Solid-fueled
7.4 Hybrid

Chapter 8 Market Estimates and Forecast, By Guidance System, 2021 - 2034 (USD Million)

8.1 Key trends
8.2 Inertial navigation systems (INS)
8.3 Satellite-aided
8.4 Advanced seekers
8.5 TERCOM / DSMAC

Chapter 9 Market Estimates and Forecast, By Speed, 2021 - 2034 (USD Million)

9.1 Key trends
9.2 Supersonic
9.3 Hypersonic

Chapter 10 Market Estimates & Forecast, By Region, 2021 - 2034 (USD Million)

10.1 Key trends
10.2 North America
- 10.2.1 U.S.
- 10.2.2 Canada
10.3 Europe
- 10.3.1 Germany
- 10.3.2 UK
- 10.3.3 France
- 10.3.4 Italy
- 10.3.5 Spain
- 10.3.6 Netherlands
10.4 Asia Pacific
- 10.4.1 China
- 10.4.2 India
- 10.4.3 Japan
- 10.4.4 Australia
- 10.4.5 South Korea
10.5 Latin America
- 10.5.1 Brazil
- 10.5.2 Mexico
- 10.5.3 Argentina
10.6 MEA
- 10.6.1 South Africa
- 10.6.2 Saudi Arabia
- 10.6.3 UAE

Chapter 11 Company Profiles

11.1 Global Key Players
- 11.1.1 BAE Systems plc
- 11.1.2 MBDA
- 11.1.3 Israel Aerospace Industries Ltd. (IAI)
11.2 Regional Key Players
- 11.2.1 North America
  - 11.2.1.1 Lockheed Martin Corporation
  - 11.2.1.2 Northrop Grumman Corporation
- 11.2.2 Europe
  - 11.2.2.1 Avibras
  - 11.2.2.2 Elbit Systems
- 11.2.3 Asia Pacific
  - 11.2.3.1 Bharat Dynamics Limited
  - 11.2.3.2 BrahMos Aerospace
  - 11.2.3.3 China Aerospace Science and Technology Corporation (CASC)
  - 11.2.3.4 Hanwha Aerospace
  - 11.2.3.5 Roketsan
11.3 Niche Players / Disruptors
- 11.3.1 Makeyev Rocket Design Bureau (GRTs Makeyeva)
- 11.3.2 NPO Mashinostroyeniya
- 11.3.3 RAFAEL Advanced Defense Systems Ltd.