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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
2045944
單軸汽輪機市場-全球產業規模、佔有率、趨勢、機會、預測:按類型、功率、終端用戶產業、應用、地區和競爭格局分類,2021-2031年Single Shaft Turbine Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented, By Type, By Power Rating, By End-User Industry, By Application, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F |
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全球單軸渦輪機市場預計將從 2025 年的 34.4 億美元成長到 2031 年的 47.9 億美元,複合年成長率為 5.67%。
該市場的一個關鍵特徵是廣泛採用大型渦輪機配置,主要用於恆速發電,其中壓縮機、轉子和輸出單元共用一個連續軸。該市場的主要驅動力是全球對可靠基本負載電力的需求不斷成長,以及電網慣性對於抵消間歇性再生能源來源擴張的必要性。此外,工業領域對高效能熱電聯產(CHP)系統的日益依賴也是推動這些高效率機組發展的強大動力。然而,該市場面臨燃料價格波動的重大挑戰,這可能會損害營運經濟效益並延誤資本密集型基礎設施項目。例如,預計到2024年,全球天然氣需求將成長1.9%,達到4.122兆立方米,其中發電是最大的消費領域,凸顯了該市場對原料成本波動的脆弱性,並可能限制未來的投資。
| 市場概覽 | |
|---|---|
| 預測期 | 2027-2031 |
| 市場規模:2025年 | 34.4億美元 |
| 市場規模:2031年 | 47.9億美元 |
| 複合年成長率:2026-2031年 | 5.67% |
| 成長最快的細分市場 | 蒸氣渦輪 |
| 最大的市場 | 北美洲 |
全球單軸燃氣渦輪機市場的主要驅動力是全球電力消耗量的成長和快速的都市化。隨著新興經濟體的工業化和都市區密度的增加,對可靠、高容量基本負載發電的需求日益成長,進而催生了對大型單軸燃氣渦輪機所提供的強大電網慣性的需求。這種需求的激增體現在創紀錄的採購活動中,例如GE Vernova在2024年獲得了22吉瓦的燃氣渦輪機訂單,以及國際能源署(IEA)報告的同年全球電力需求成長4.3%。同時,由於單軸聯合循環發電廠具有更高的熱效率和更緊湊的面積,其應用正在加速,從而改變了市場結構。這種配置在空間受限且需要高功率密度的專案中尤其重要,因為與多軸系統相比,它可以降低施工複雜性和資本投資。三菱電力公司在泰國完成了一個 5,300 兆瓦專案的 8 台 M701JAC 機組,就是一個很好的例子。
燃料價格波動對全球單軸燃氣渦輪機市場構成重大障礙,從根本上破壞了資本密集型發電工程賴以生存的財務模式。由於這些大型燃氣渦輪機對於使用天然氣的基本負載發電至關重要,燃料成本的劇烈波動使得營運成本難以預測。這種不確定性推高了平準化電力成本(LCOE),降低了這些資產相對於可再生能源的競爭優勢。因此,電力公司和獨立發電企業面臨更大的財務風險,由於在價格高度波動的環境下難以預測長期收益,他們往往會推遲產能擴張。這種經濟壓力也反映在消費趨勢中;根據天然氣出口商論壇(GECF)的數據,2025年11月歐盟天然氣消費量較去年同期下降2.6%。這表明市場不穩定正在降低對天然氣基礎設施的依賴。
在單軸燃氣渦輪機領域,兩大關鍵趨勢正推動顯著進展,旨在因應不斷變化的環境標準。首先,製造商正在整合氫氣相容燃燒功能,並重新設計燃燒器以適應低碳燃料獨特的熱特性。這項技術進步將使營運商能夠從天然氣無縫過渡到氫氣,無需更換設備,從而確保大型資產即使在嚴格的脫碳政策下也能持續運作。例如,三菱電力公司就與台灣一家電廠簽訂了H-25氨混燒燃氣渦輪機的合約。其次,為了在新環境法規下延長資產壽命,業界正優先維修現有設備以實現二氧化碳捕集。這包括將燃燒後捕集技術引入單軸機組,從而在保持大型轉子關鍵系統慣性的同時,顯著降低排放。一個值得注意的例子是,Capsol Technologies公司與一家美國電力公司簽訂了契約,為其安裝“CapsolGT”系統,該系統能夠捕獲單循環燃氣渦輪機95%以上的二氧化碳排放。
The Global Single Shaft Turbine Market is anticipated to grow from USD 3.44 Billion in 2025 to USD 4.79 Billion by 2031, demonstrating a 5.67% CAGR. This market is characterized by the widespread adoption of heavy-duty turbine configurations, where the compressor, rotor, and power output sections share a continuous shaft, primarily for constant-speed power generation. The market is primarily driven by the increasing global demand for reliable baseload electricity and the essential requirement for grid inertia to balance the expansion of intermittent renewable energy sources. Furthermore, the industrial sector's growing reliance on high-efficiency combined heat and power (CHP) systems acts as a strong catalyst for these thermally efficient units. However, the market faces a significant challenge from fuel price volatility, which can disrupt operational economics and delay capital-intensive infrastructure projects. For instance, global natural gas demand increased by 1.9% to 4,122 billion cubic meters in 2024, with power generation being the largest consumer, highlighting the market's vulnerability to fluctuating feedstock costs and potentially restricting future investments.
| Market Overview | |
|---|---|
| Forecast Period | 2027-2031 |
| Market Size 2025 | USD 3.44 Billion |
| Market Size 2031 | USD 4.79 Billion |
| CAGR 2026-2031 | 5.67% |
| Fastest Growing Segment | Steam Turbines |
| Largest Market | North America |
Market Driver
The primary forces propelling the Global Single Shaft Turbine Market are escalating global electricity consumption and rapid urbanization. As emerging economies industrialize and urban populations grow denser, the need for reliable, high-capacity baseload power generation intensifies, creating a demand for the robust grid inertia that heavy-duty single shaft turbines provide. This surge in demand is evident in record procurement activities, such as GE Vernova's 22 GW of gas turbine orders in 2024, and a 4.3% rise in global electricity demand in the same year, as reported by the International Energy Agency. Concurrently, the accelerated adoption of single-shaft combined cycle power plants, driven by their superior thermal efficiency and compact footprint, is reshaping the market. This configuration reduces construction complexity and capital expenditures compared to multi-shaft alternatives, making it particularly valuable for space-constrained projects requiring high power density, as demonstrated by Mitsubishi Power's completion of eight M701JAC units for a 5,300 MW project in Thailand.
Market Challenge
Fuel price volatility presents a significant barrier to the Global Single Shaft Turbine Market, fundamentally destabilizing the financial models crucial for capital-intensive power projects. Given that these heavy-duty turbines are integral to natural gas-fired baseload generation, rapid fluctuations in fuel costs render operational expenses unpredictable. This unpredictability elevates the Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE) and diminishes the competitive advantage of these assets compared to renewable alternatives. Consequently, utility companies and independent power producers encounter heightened financial risks, often leading to the postponement of capacity expansions as they struggle to forecast long-term returns in an erratic pricing environment. This economic pressure is reflected in consumption trends, such as a 2.6% year-on-year decrease in natural gas consumption in the European Union in November 2025, according to the Gas Exporting Countries Forum, signaling reduced reliance on gas-dependent infrastructure due to market instability.
Market Trends
The single shaft turbine sector is experiencing significant advancements driven by two key trends aimed at addressing evolving environmental standards. First, manufacturers are integrating hydrogen-ready combustion capabilities, redesigning combustors to accommodate the distinct thermal properties of low-carbon fuels. This technological evolution allows operators to future-proof heavy-duty assets against stringent decarbonization policies by enabling a seamless transition from natural gas to hydrogen without necessitating machinery replacement. An example is Mitsubishi Power securing a contract for H-25 turbines capable of ammonia co-firing for a factory in Taiwan. Second, the industry is prioritizing retrofitting existing fleets for carbon capture compatibility to extend asset life under new environmental regulations. This involves installing post-combustion capture technologies on single shaft units, thus retaining the critical grid inertia of heavy-duty rotors while significantly reducing emissions. A notable initiative includes Capsol Technologies' agreement to deploy its CapsolGT system, which captures over 95% of CO2 emissions from simple-cycle turbines, for a U.S. utility project.
Report Scope
In this report, the Global Single Shaft Turbine Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:
Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Single Shaft Turbine Market.
Global Single Shaft Turbine Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report: