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市場調查報告書
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1971361

5.8毫米彈藥市場－全球產業規模、佔有率、趨勢、機會、預測：按類型、應用、地區和競爭格局分類，2021-2031年

5.8mm Ammunition Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Type (5.8-39MM, 5.8-51MM, 5.8-54MM, Others), By Application (Military, Law Enforcement, Civilian), By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F
出版日期: | 出版商: TechSci Research | 英文 186 Pages | 商品交期: 2-3個工作天內

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簡介目錄

全球 5.8 毫米彈藥市場預計將從 2025 年的 25.4 億美元成長到 2031 年的 31.6 億美元，複合年成長率為 3.71%。

該市場以5.8×42毫米中間威力彈為核心，這是一種無底緣彈藥，由中華人民共和國專門設計並採用，用於其製式輕武器。市場成長的主要驅動力是中國人民解放軍的大規模現代化戰略，該戰略旨在透過以更輕、更高初速的彈藥取代老舊的7.62毫米彈藥，從而提升士兵的作戰能力。此外，全軍各軍種對此單一口徑彈藥的系統性標準化，是確保生產水準穩定和後勤保障統一性的根本驅動力，使其不受暫時性技術趨勢的影響。

市場概覽
預測期 2027-2031
市場規模：2025年 25.4億美元
市場規模：2031年 31.6億美元
複合年成長率：2026-2031年 3.71%
成長最快的細分市場 軍隊
最大的市場 北美洲

市場擴張的一大障礙是該彈藥不符合北約標準。這主要限制了其應用範圍，使其主要局限於中國軍方，並限制了其出口潛力。關於支撐該產業的財政狀況，斯德哥爾摩國際和平研究所的估計表明，中國2024年的軍事支出約為3,140億美元。這筆巨額預算直接用於持續採購和戰略儲備，以維持5.8毫米彈藥市場的穩定性。

市場促進因素

亞太地區地緣政治緊張局勢加劇，大大刺激了全球5.8毫米彈藥市場的需求，促使各國提升彈藥生產能力以確保國防戰備。隨著中國人民解放軍加快作戰步伐，充足的彈藥儲備對於應對台灣海峽、南海等戰略要地可能發生的高強度衝突至關重要。這種情況迫使中國將重點放在戰略儲備上，透過健全的後勤網路確保步兵部隊能夠維持持續的作戰能力。政府對軍事資產的投資為這項戰略提供了資金支持。根據國務院2024年3月發布的《中央和地方預算執行報告》，國防預算撥款1.67兆元人民幣，為大規模彈藥採購項目累計了必要的資金保障。

新一代QBZ-191步槍平台的引入是第二個主要驅動力，它顯著改變了該領域的技術要求。與以往的系統不同，QBZ-191採用現代化的5.8×42毫米DBP191彈藥，該彈藥具有更高的彈道係數和終端性能，因此需要對現有庫存進行系統性的現代化改造。這項轉變需要大規模生產這種特定型號的彈藥，以供應目前正在進行現代化改造的大規模步兵部隊。根據國際戰略研究所（IISS）2024年2月發布的《2024年軍事平衡》報告，中國人民解放軍現役部隊人數約為96.5萬人，為此標準化進程構成了一個龐大而即時的市場。這項現代化努力也符合更廣泛的金融趨勢。根據《環球時報》2024年3月發布的《中國2024年國防預算》，國防支出增速設定為7.2%，確保了裝備轉型升級的持續資金投入。

市場挑戰

全球5.8毫米彈藥市場擴張的主要障礙在於其與北約標準缺乏互通性。在國際國防工業中，後勤相容性是採購的關鍵因素，各國傾向於選擇能夠與盟友共用且可從全球多個供應商採購的彈藥。由於5.8×42毫米彈藥是中國特有的標準，它被排除在這些既有的供應網路之外，因此對依賴標準5.56毫米或7.62毫米平台的外國軍隊缺乏吸引力。

這種孤立狀態實際上阻礙了彈藥從聯合國國防費用和共用盈利中獲益。根據歐洲航太、安全和國防工業協會（ASD）預測，到2024年，國防領域的銷售額預計將達到1,834億歐元，成長13.8%，這主要得益於標準化庫存的聯合補充。由於5.8毫米彈藥無法融入這廣泛的互通庫存系統，因此錯失了隨著全球需求成長而擴大市場佔有率的機會。結果，該市場仍然局限於特定地域，無法享受標準化彈藥類型所帶來的規模經濟和出口優勢。

市場趨勢

5.8毫米彈藥的研發正從獨立槍械製造轉向融入更廣泛的「智慧士兵」生態系統。這一趨勢意味著將5.8毫米武器平台與採用彈道電腦和數據鏈的先進火控光學系統相結合，這就要求彈藥具備極其精密的製造公差，以確保與數位化瞄準系統配合使用時的精度。正如《環球時報》2025年6月報道的《中國QBZ-191突擊步槍透過戰術瞄準鏡提升精度》所述，這些整合系統能夠實現20發子彈散佈在3厘米以內的精度，這對下一代DBP-191彈藥的品管提出了更高的要求。

5.8毫米彈藥市場的另一個顯著趨勢是其獨特性的增強。中國正積極推行一項政策，力求完全作為國產軍用彈藥。與國際互通性提升的趨勢相反，5.8毫米彈藥市場的特點是刻意禁止出口，製造商控制著技術和庫存，使其僅限於國內現代化建設。這種國內化戰略得到了強大的國有工業基礎的支持。根據中國北方工業公司（NORINCO）2025年6月發布的《關於北方工業》公司簡介，該公司2025年的銷售收入將達到2190億元人民幣，這為其維持這一獨特的、非出口的彈藥生態系統提供了必要的龐大財力，使其獨立於北約標準國際市場之外。

目錄

第1章概述

第2章：調查方法

第3章執行摘要

第4章：客戶心聲

第5章：全球5.8毫米彈藥市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
    • 按金額
  • 市佔率及預測
    • 按類型（5.8 x 39 毫米、5.8 x 51 毫米、5.8 x 54 毫米、其他）
    • 按申請類別（軍事、執法機關、民事）
    • 按地區
    • 按公司（2025 年）
  • 市場地圖

第6章：北美5.8毫米彈藥市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 北美洲：國別分析
    • 美國
    • 加拿大
    • 墨西哥

第7章：歐洲5.8毫米彈藥市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 歐洲：國別分析
    • 德國
    • 法國
    • 英國
    • 義大利
    • 西班牙

第8章：亞太地區5.8毫米彈藥市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 亞太地區：國別分析
    • 中國
    • 印度
    • 日本
    • 韓國
    • 澳洲

第9章：中東和非洲5.8毫米彈藥市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 中東與非洲：國別分析
    • 沙烏地阿拉伯
    • 阿拉伯聯合大公國
    • 南非

第10章：南美5.8毫米彈藥市場展望

  • 市場規模及預測
  • 市佔率及預測
  • 南美洲：國別分析
    • 巴西
    • 哥倫比亞
    • 阿根廷

第11章 市場動態

  • 促進因素
  • 任務

第12章 市場趨勢與發展

  • 併購
  • 產品發布
  • 近期趨勢

第13章 全球5.8毫米彈藥市場：SWOT分析

第14章：波特五力分析

  • 產業競爭
  • 新進入者的潛力
  • 供應商的議價能力
  • 顧客權力
  • 替代品的威脅

第15章 競爭格局

  • Northrop Grumman Corporation
  • Vista Outdoor Inc.
  • Olin Corporation
  • RUAG International Holding AG
  • FN Herstal, SA
  • Nammo AS
  • BAE Systems plc
  • Poongsan Corporation
  • Sellier & Bellot AS
  • China North Industries Group Corporation Limited

第16章 策略建議

第17章：關於研究公司及免責聲明

簡介目錄
Product Code: 22403

The Global 5.8mm Ammunition Market is projected to expand from USD 2.54 Billion in 2025 to USD 3.16 Billion by 2031, reflecting a compound annual growth rate of 3.71%. This market is anchored by the 5.8X42mm intermediate cartridge, a unique rimless round designed and used solely by the People's Republic of China for its standard-issue small arms. The market's growth is primarily propelled by the People's Liberation Army's extensive modernization directives, which emphasize the replacement of older 7.62mm stocks with lighter, higher-velocity ammunition to improve individual soldier lethality. Additionally, the methodical standardization of this single caliber across all military branches serves as a fundamental driver for consistent production levels and ensures logistical uniformity, separate from fleeting technological trends.

Market Overview
Forecast Period2027-2031
Market Size 2025USD 2.54 Billion
Market Size 2031USD 3.16 Billion
CAGR 2026-20313.71%
Fastest Growing SegmentMilitary
Largest MarketNorth America

A major obstacle hindering wider market growth is the cartridge's incompatibility with NATO standards, which restricts its adoption mainly to domestic Chinese forces and curtails export potential. In terms of the financial landscape supporting this industry, the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute estimates that China's military expenditure rose to approximately 314 billion dollars in 2024. This substantial budgetary commitment directly funds the continuous procurement and strategic stockpiling necessary to maintain the stability of the 5.8mm ammunition sector.

Market Driver

Rising geopolitical friction in the Asia-Pacific region serves as a major stimulant for the Global 5.8mm Ammunition Market, requiring increased manufacturing capabilities to ensure national defense readiness. As the People's Liberation Army intensifies its operational pace, there is a critical need for significant ammunition reserves to prepare for possible high-intensity conflicts in strategic areas like the Taiwan Strait and the South China Sea. This situation forces the state to focus on strategic stockpiling, guaranteeing that infantry units possess enduring combat sustainability through strong logistical networks, a stance financially backed by the government's investment in military assets. According to the 'Report on the Execution of the Central and Local Budgets' by the State Council of the People's Republic of China in March 2024, a national defense budget of 1.67 trillion yuan was allocated, providing the necessary funds for these extensive ammunition acquisition initiatives.

The introduction of next-generation QBZ-191 service rifle platforms acts as a second pivotal driver, significantly altering the sector's technological demands. Unlike previous systems, the QBZ-191 employs the modernized 5.8x42mm DBP191 cartridge, which delivers enhanced ballistic coefficients and terminal performance, necessitating a systematic update of current inventories. This shift requires the mass production of this specific cartridge model to supply the large infantry forces currently undergoing modernization. As noted in 'The Military Balance 2024' by the International Institute for Strategic Studies in February 2024, the PLA Ground Force consists of roughly 965,000 active personnel, representing a substantial immediate market for this standardization process. This modernization effort aligns with wider fiscal patterns; the Global Times reported in 'China's defense budget 2024' (March 2024) that defense spending growth was established at 7.2 percent, ensuring continued funding for these equipment transitions.

Market Challenge

The main obstacle to the expansion of the Global 5.8mm Ammunition Market is the cartridge's inherent lack of interoperability with NATO standards. In the international defense industry, logistical compatibility is a crucial factor for procurement, as countries prefer ammunition that can be shared with allies and obtained from various global suppliers. Since the 5.8X42mm round is proprietary to China, it is isolated from these established supply networks, making it unappealing to foreign military forces that depend on standard 5.56mm or 7.62mm platforms.

This isolation effectively prevents the cartridge from benefiting from the profitable trend towards collaborative defense expenditure and shared logistics. According to the Aerospace, Security and Defence Industries Association of Europe, defense sector turnover hit €183.4 billion in 2024, a 13.8% rise largely fueled by the collective restocking of standardized inventories. Because the 5.8mm format cannot be integrated into these extensive, interoperable stockpiles, it fails to gain market share from this increase in global demand. As a result, the market remains geographically restricted, unable to capitalize on the economies of scale and export profits associated with standardized ammunition types.

Market Trends

The development of 5.8mm ammunition is becoming increasingly distinct from standalone firearm manufacturing, shifting towards integration within broader "smart soldier" ecosystems. This trend entails combining 5.8mm weapon platforms with advanced fire-control optics that employ ballistic computers and data links, necessitating ammunition with extremely precise manufacturing tolerances to guarantee accuracy with digital targeting systems. As reported by the Global Times in June 2025 in 'China's QBZ-191 automatic rifle receives accuracy boost with tactical scopes', these integrated systems have attained 20-shot groupings within three centimeters, a level of precision that demands rigorous quality control for the new generation of DBP-191 cartridges.

Another notable trend in the 5.8mm market is the strengthening of its proprietary status, with China actively preserving it as an exclusive domestic military caliber. In contrast to the global movement towards cross-border interoperability, the 5.8mm market is defined by a deliberate absence of exports for this specific caliber, as manufacturers keep the technology and stockpiles isolated for internal modernization purposes. This domestic orientation is bolstered by significant state-supported industrial capability; according to the 'About NORINCO' corporate profile from China North Industries Corporation in June 2025, the company recorded sales revenue of 219 billion yuan, providing the massive financial scale needed to maintain this unique, non-exportable ammunition ecosystem separate from international NATO-standard markets.

Key Market Players

  • Northrop Grumman Corporation
  • Vista Outdoor Inc.
  • Olin Corporation
  • RUAG International Holding AG
  • FN Herstal, S.A.
  • Nammo AS
  • BAE Systems plc
  • Poongsan Corporation
  • Sellier & Bellot A.S.
  • China North Industries Group Corporation Limited

Report Scope

In this report, the Global 5.8mm Ammunition Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:

5.8mm Ammunition Market, By Type

  • 5.8X39MM
  • 5.8X51MM
  • 5.8X54MM
  • Others

5.8mm Ammunition Market, By Application

  • Military
  • Law Enforcement
  • Civilian

5.8mm Ammunition Market, By Region

  • North America
    • United States
    • Canada
    • Mexico
  • Europe
    • France
    • United Kingdom
    • Italy
    • Germany
    • Spain
  • Asia Pacific
    • China
    • India
    • Japan
    • Australia
    • South Korea
  • South America
    • Brazil
    • Argentina
    • Colombia
  • Middle East & Africa
    • South Africa
    • Saudi Arabia
    • UAE

Competitive Landscape

Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global 5.8mm Ammunition Market.

Available Customizations:

Global 5.8mm Ammunition Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report:

Company Information

  • Detailed analysis and profiling of additional market players (up to five).

Table of Contents

1. Product Overview

  • 1.1. Market Definition
  • 1.2. Scope of the Market
    • 1.2.1. Markets Covered
    • 1.2.2. Years Considered for Study
    • 1.2.3. Key Market Segmentations

2. Research Methodology

  • 2.1. Objective of the Study
  • 2.2. Baseline Methodology
  • 2.3. Key Industry Partners
  • 2.4. Major Association and Secondary Sources
  • 2.5. Forecasting Methodology
  • 2.6. Data Triangulation & Validation
  • 2.7. Assumptions and Limitations

3. Executive Summary

  • 3.1. Overview of the Market
  • 3.2. Overview of Key Market Segmentations
  • 3.3. Overview of Key Market Players
  • 3.4. Overview of Key Regions/Countries
  • 3.5. Overview of Market Drivers, Challenges, Trends

4. Voice of Customer

5. Global 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook

  • 5.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 5.1.1. By Value
  • 5.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 5.2.1. By Type (5.8X39MM, 5.8X51MM, 5.8X54MM, Others)
    • 5.2.2. By Application (Military, Law Enforcement, Civilian)
    • 5.2.3. By Region
    • 5.2.4. By Company (2025)
  • 5.3. Market Map

6. North America 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook

  • 6.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 6.1.1. By Value
  • 6.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 6.2.1. By Type
    • 6.2.2. By Application
    • 6.2.3. By Country
  • 6.3. North America: Country Analysis
    • 6.3.1. United States 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 6.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.1.2.1. By Type
        • 6.3.1.2.2. By Application
    • 6.3.2. Canada 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 6.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.2.2.1. By Type
        • 6.3.2.2.2. By Application
    • 6.3.3. Mexico 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 6.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 6.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 6.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 6.3.3.2.1. By Type
        • 6.3.3.2.2. By Application

7. Europe 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook

  • 7.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 7.1.1. By Value
  • 7.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 7.2.1. By Type
    • 7.2.2. By Application
    • 7.2.3. By Country
  • 7.3. Europe: Country Analysis
    • 7.3.1. Germany 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 7.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.1.2.1. By Type
        • 7.3.1.2.2. By Application
    • 7.3.2. France 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 7.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.2.2.1. By Type
        • 7.3.2.2.2. By Application
    • 7.3.3. United Kingdom 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 7.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.3.2.1. By Type
        • 7.3.3.2.2. By Application
    • 7.3.4. Italy 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 7.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.4.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.4.2.1. By Type
        • 7.3.4.2.2. By Application
    • 7.3.5. Spain 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 7.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 7.3.5.1.1. By Value
      • 7.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 7.3.5.2.1. By Type
        • 7.3.5.2.2. By Application

8. Asia Pacific 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook

  • 8.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 8.1.1. By Value
  • 8.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 8.2.1. By Type
    • 8.2.2. By Application
    • 8.2.3. By Country
  • 8.3. Asia Pacific: Country Analysis
    • 8.3.1. China 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 8.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.1.2.1. By Type
        • 8.3.1.2.2. By Application
    • 8.3.2. India 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 8.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.2.2.1. By Type
        • 8.3.2.2.2. By Application
    • 8.3.3. Japan 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 8.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.3.2.1. By Type
        • 8.3.3.2.2. By Application
    • 8.3.4. South Korea 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 8.3.4.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.4.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.4.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.4.2.1. By Type
        • 8.3.4.2.2. By Application
    • 8.3.5. Australia 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 8.3.5.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 8.3.5.1.1. By Value
      • 8.3.5.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 8.3.5.2.1. By Type
        • 8.3.5.2.2. By Application

9. Middle East & Africa 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook

  • 9.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 9.1.1. By Value
  • 9.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 9.2.1. By Type
    • 9.2.2. By Application
    • 9.2.3. By Country
  • 9.3. Middle East & Africa: Country Analysis
    • 9.3.1. Saudi Arabia 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 9.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.1.2.1. By Type
        • 9.3.1.2.2. By Application
    • 9.3.2. UAE 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 9.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.2.2.1. By Type
        • 9.3.2.2.2. By Application
    • 9.3.3. South Africa 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 9.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 9.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 9.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 9.3.3.2.1. By Type
        • 9.3.3.2.2. By Application

10. South America 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook

  • 10.1. Market Size & Forecast
    • 10.1.1. By Value
  • 10.2. Market Share & Forecast
    • 10.2.1. By Type
    • 10.2.2. By Application
    • 10.2.3. By Country
  • 10.3. South America: Country Analysis
    • 10.3.1. Brazil 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 10.3.1.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.1.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.1.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.1.2.1. By Type
        • 10.3.1.2.2. By Application
    • 10.3.2. Colombia 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 10.3.2.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.2.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.2.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.2.2.1. By Type
        • 10.3.2.2.2. By Application
    • 10.3.3. Argentina 5.8mm Ammunition Market Outlook
      • 10.3.3.1. Market Size & Forecast
        • 10.3.3.1.1. By Value
      • 10.3.3.2. Market Share & Forecast
        • 10.3.3.2.1. By Type
        • 10.3.3.2.2. By Application

11. Market Dynamics

  • 11.1. Drivers
  • 11.2. Challenges

12. Market Trends & Developments

  • 12.1. Merger & Acquisition (If Any)
  • 12.2. Product Launches (If Any)
  • 12.3. Recent Developments

13. Global 5.8mm Ammunition Market: SWOT Analysis

14. Porter's Five Forces Analysis

  • 14.1. Competition in the Industry
  • 14.2. Potential of New Entrants
  • 14.3. Power of Suppliers
  • 14.4. Power of Customers
  • 14.5. Threat of Substitute Products

15. Competitive Landscape

  • 15.1. Northrop Grumman Corporation
    • 15.1.1. Business Overview
    • 15.1.2. Products & Services
    • 15.1.3. Recent Developments
    • 15.1.4. Key Personnel
    • 15.1.5. SWOT Analysis
  • 15.2. Vista Outdoor Inc.
  • 15.3. Olin Corporation
  • 15.4. RUAG International Holding AG
  • 15.5. FN Herstal, S.A.
  • 15.6. Nammo AS
  • 15.7. BAE Systems plc
  • 15.8. Poongsan Corporation
  • 15.9. Sellier & Bellot A.S.
  • 15.10. China North Industries Group Corporation Limited

16. Strategic Recommendations

17. About Us & Disclaimer