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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1938795
食用油市場-全球產業規模、佔有率、趨勢、機會與預測:按類型、性質、最終用戶、地區和競爭格局分類,2021-2031年Edible Oils Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Type, By Nature, By End User, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F |
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全球食用油市場預計將從 2025 年的 2,314.8 億美元成長到 2031 年的 3,075.6 億美元,複合年成長率達到 4.85%。
食用油是源自植物、動物或合成材料的脂質液體產品,是烹飪、食品加工和工業製造中不可或缺的原料。市場成長主要受宏觀經濟和人口因素驅動,例如全球人口快速成長和都市化加快,這些因素共同推動了加工食品和簡便食品食品的消費。此外,新興市場可支配收入的增加正在推動結構性變化,人們的卡路里攝取量增加,飲食習慣也更加多樣化,從而穩步提升了對食用油和脂肪的需求,使其超越了基本生存需求。
| 市場概覽 | |
|---|---|
| 預測期 | 2027-2031 |
| 市場規模:2025年 | 2314.8億美元 |
| 市場規模:2031年 | 3075.6億美元 |
| 複合年成長率:2026-2031年 | 4.85% |
| 成長最快的細分市場 | 有機的 |
| 最大的市場 | 北美洲 |
該行業面臨的關鍵挑戰之一是原料供應易受氣候變遷影響,這往往會導致整個價值鏈的收成波動和價格波動。根據美國農業部海外農業局的數據,預計2024/2025銷售年度全球植物油產量將達到2.28億噸。然而,極端天氣事件和日益複雜的供應鏈構成重大風險,可能限制這一預期產量,並影響其進入全球市場,從而削弱該行業滿足不斷成長的國際需求的能力。
植物油作為生質燃料原料的日益普及正在從根本上重塑全球食用油市場,大量食用油,例如大豆油、棕櫚油和菜籽油,正從食品供應鏈轉向能源領域。這項結構性轉變的驅動力來自國際脫碳指令以及氫化植物油(HVO)和永續航空燃料(SAF)產能的快速擴張。國際能源總署(IEA)於2024年10月發布的《2024年再生能源報告》強調了這一趨勢,並預測到2030年,殘渣油的需求量將增加70%,達到每年3000萬噸。日益激烈的行業競爭導致供應趨緊和價格上漲;聯合國糧食及農業組織(FAO)報告稱,全球供應限制導致2024年11月植物油價格指數上漲7.5%。
同時,日益增強的健康意識和消費者對功能性油脂的偏好正在推動市場變革,帶動對橄欖油、葵花籽油和米糠油等高附加價值油脂的需求。已開發國家和新興國家的健康意識消費者都優先選擇富含單元不飽和脂肪酸和抗氧化劑的油脂來源,以對抗文明病,而生產商也在努力改進種植和提取技術。這一趨勢推動了油脂產量的復甦,以滿足優質化。根據國際橄欖理事會(IOC)於2024年12月發布的《全球橄欖油和食用橄欖市場》報告,預計2024/25年度全球橄欖油產量將達到338萬噸,顯示其產量將顯著回升,以滿足不斷成長的營養需求。
氣候波動仍然是全球食用油市場成長的主要障礙,其主要表現是擾亂了生產所需農業原料的供應。諸如長期乾旱和過度降雨等不可預測的天氣事件直接影響棕櫚油、大豆油和葵花籽油等主要油籽的產量。產量意外下降導致整個價值鏈供不應求和價格波動加劇,使食品加工商和工業買家的籌資策略更加複雜。這種供應保障的缺失阻礙了市場充分利用人口成長和都市化帶來的消費成長趨勢。
這些環境因素的影響在近期主要地區的生產數據中得到了清楚體現。印尼棕櫚油協會(GAPKI)2025年報告稱,印尼2024會計年度的粗製棕櫚油產量年減3.80%,至5,276萬噸。這一降幅主要歸因於厄爾尼諾現象的不利影響。作為全球最大的棕櫚油生產國,印尼的產量出現如此顯著的下滑,顯示氣候變遷如何直接限制市場供應。因此,該行業在維持穩定的產量以滿足不斷成長的全球需求方面面臨持續的挑戰,這阻礙了整體產量成長和收入穩定。
對不涉及森林砍伐且獲得RSPO認證的棕櫚油採購的推動,正在從根本上改變籌資策略,因為歐盟《森林砍伐條例》(EUDR)等法規結構嚴格要求供應鏈透明度。大型消費品製造商正迅速從基於信任的永續性模式轉向實體認證的供應鏈,以最大限度地降低聲譽風險並確保符合國際環境標準。儘管生產面臨諸多挑戰,但這種轉變推動了認證棕櫚油產量的穩定成長,因此,實施嚴格的可追溯性系統至關重要。根據永續棕櫚油圓桌會議(RSPO)於2025年9月發布的《2024年進度報告》,全球經認證的永續棕櫚油(CSPO)產量預計將達到1,620萬噸,佔其成員組織總產量的20.1%。
同時,精準發酵和培養脂肪替代品的興起,正在催生一個全新的「客製化脂肪」市場,這些脂肪無需佔用土地即可複製熱帶植物油和動物脂質的功能。透過利用微生物平台生產客製化甘油三酯,製造商正在開發棕櫚油等資源密集型原料的永續替代品,從而直接解決人們對供應不穩定和資源消耗的擔憂。由於投資者對價值鏈脫碳的潛力充滿熱情,該領域持續吸引大量資金。正如良好食品研究所 (Good Food Institute) 2025 年 6 月發布的《2024 年行業趨勢:發酵》報告所述,基於發酵的替代蛋白和脂肪領域預計將在 2024 年獲得 6.51 億美元的資金籌措,這表明人們對這些生物技術解決方案的持續信心。
The Global Edible Oils Market is projected to expand from USD 231.48 Billion in 2025 to USD 307.56 Billion by 2031, achieving a CAGR of 4.85%. These lipid-based liquid products, derived from vegetable, animal, or synthetic origins, are essential components in culinary preparations, food processing, and industrial manufacturing. The market's growth is largely underpinned by macroeconomic and demographic factors, such as rapidly growing global populations and accelerated urbanization, which collectively boost the consumption of processed and convenience foods. Additionally, rising disposable incomes in emerging markets are driving a structural shift toward higher caloric intake and more diverse dietary habits, steadily increasing the demand for cooking oils and fats beyond basic subsistence needs.
| Market Overview | |
|---|---|
| Forecast Period | 2027-2031 |
| Market Size 2025 | USD 231.48 Billion |
| Market Size 2031 | USD 307.56 Billion |
| CAGR 2026-2031 | 4.85% |
| Fastest Growing Segment | Organic |
| Largest Market | North America |
One major hurdle for this sector is the vulnerability of raw material supplies to climatic volatility, which often leads to fluctuating harvest yields and price instability throughout the value chain. Data from the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service indicates that global vegetable oil production was expected to reach 228 million tons for the 2024/2025 marketing year. However, severe weather events and supply chain complexities pose significant risks that could limit this projected output and affect global market accessibility, potentially compromising the industry's capacity to satisfy the escalating international demand.
Market Driver
The rising use of vegetable oils as feedstock for biofuels is fundamentally reshaping the global edible oils market, diverting substantial volumes of soybean, palm, and rapeseed oils from food channels to the energy sector. This structural transition is driven by international decarbonization mandates and the rapid growth of hydrotreated vegetable oil (HVO) and sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) production capacities. The International Energy Agency's 'Renewables 2024' report, released in October 2024, underscores this trend, projecting a 70% increase in demand for residue oils to 30 million tonnes annually by 2030. This intensified industrial competition for raw materials has tightened supplies and impacted pricing, evidenced by the Food and Agriculture Organization's report of a 7.5 percent rise in the Vegetable Oil Price Index in November 2024 due to global constraints.
Simultaneously, market evolution is being fueled by a growing consumer preference for healthy and functional oils, driving demand for high-value varieties such as olive, sunflower, and rice bran oils. Health-conscious populations in both developed and emerging economies are prioritizing lipid sources rich in monounsaturated fats and antioxidants to combat lifestyle diseases, prompting producers to enhance cultivation and extraction techniques. This trend is facilitating a recovery in production volumes to meet the premiumization of dietary fats. According to the International Olive Council's December 2024 report on the 'World Market of Olive Oil and Table Olives,' global olive oil production for the 2024/25 crop year is forecast to reach 3.38 million tonnes, marking a significant rebound aimed at satisfying this rising nutritional demand.
Market Challenge
Climatic instability remains a formidable barrier to the growth of the Global Edible Oils Market, primarily by disrupting the consistent supply of agricultural raw materials necessary for production. Unpredictable weather events, such as prolonged droughts or excessive rainfall, directly reduce yields for key oilseeds like palm, soybean, and sunflower. When harvest volumes contract unexpectedly, the entire value chain experiences supply shortages and heightened price volatility, complicating procurement strategies for food processors and industrial buyers. This inability to ensure a stable supply prevents the market from fully capitalizing on rising consumption trends driven by population growth and urbanization.
The impact of these environmental factors is clearly reflected in recent production data from major regions. In 2025, the Indonesian Palm Oil Association (GAPKI) reported that Indonesia's crude palm oil production for the 2024 fiscal year fell by 3.80% to 52.76 million tons compared to the previous year, a decline largely attributed to the adverse effects of El Nino. Such significant disruptions in output from the world's largest palm oil producer illustrate how climatic volatility directly constrains market availability. Consequently, the industry faces ongoing challenges in maintaining the reliable output levels needed to meet escalating global requirements, thereby hindering overall volume growth and revenue stability.
Market Trends
The push for deforestation-free and RSPO-certified palm oil sourcing is fundamentally altering procurement strategies, as regulatory frameworks like the EU Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) mandate stricter supply chain transparency. Major FMCG corporations are rapidly shifting from credit-based sustainability models to physical certified supply chains to minimize reputational risks and ensure compliance with global environmental standards. This transition is driving tangible growth in certified volumes despite broader production challenges, necessitating the adoption of rigorous traceability systems. According to the Roundtable on Sustainable Palm Oil's 'Annual Communication of Progress 2024' released in September 2025, global production of Certified Sustainable Palm Oil (CSPO) reached 16.2 million metric tonnes, representing 20.1% of the total volume produced by its members.
Concurrently, the rise of precision fermentation and lab-grown fat alternatives is creating a new market segment for "designer fats" that replicate the functionality of tropical oils and animal lipids without the associated land footprint. By utilizing microbial platforms to produce tailored triglycerides, manufacturers are developing sustainable substitutes for resource-intensive ingredients like palm oil, directly addressing concerns regarding supply volatility and resource usage. This sector continues to attract significant capital, with investors betting on its potential to decarbonize the value chain. As noted in The Good Food Institute's '2024 State of the Industry: Fermentation' report from June 2025, the fermentation-enabled alternative protein and fat sector secured $651 million in funding in 2024, highlighting enduring confidence in these biotechnological solutions.
Report Scope
In this report, the Global Edible Oils Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:
Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Edible Oils Market.
Global Edible Oils Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report: