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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1938608
中重型商用車排氣系統市場-全球產業規模、佔有率、趨勢、機會及預測(依燃料類型、後處理類型、零件類型、地區及競爭格局分類,2021-2031年)Medium & Heavy Commercial Vehicles Exhaust System Market - Global Industry Size, Share, Trends, Opportunity, and Forecast, Segmented By Fuel Type, By After Treatment Type, By Component Type, By Region & Competition, 2021-2031F |
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全球重型商用車 (MHCV) 排氣系統市場預計將從 2025 年的 138.1 億美元成長到 2031 年的 208.5 億美元,複合年成長率為 7.11%。
該市場涵蓋降噪和排放氣體控制部件的設計和製造,例如歧管、消音器、顆粒過濾器、觸媒轉換器等。推動市場成長的主要因素是日益嚴格的國際排放標準的實施,這些標準強制要求安裝複雜的後處理裝置以減少顆粒物和氮氧化物的排放。此外,全球基礎設施和物流行業的持續成長也帶動了車隊更新換代的需求,從而確保了對重型內燃機車輛及其排氣系統硬體的穩定需求。
| 市場概覽 | |
|---|---|
| 預測期 | 2027-2031 |
| 市場規模:2025年 | 138.1億美元 |
| 市場規模:2031年 | 208.5億美元 |
| 複合年成長率:2026-2031年 | 7.11% |
| 成長最快的細分市場 | 排氣管 |
| 最大的市場 | 亞太地區 |
然而,由於經濟情勢不明朗和汽車產量波動,市場正面臨嚴峻挑戰。高利率和不斷上漲的營運成本正在萎縮商用車市場,從而有效降低了排氣系統製造商的潛在市場。例如,歐洲汽車製造商協會(ACEA)報告稱,2024年歐盟新卡車註冊量將下降6.3%,至327,896輛。這一下降趨勢凸顯了宏觀經濟壓力如何減緩車輛採購並抑制排氣系統市場的成長。
全球排放氣體嚴格的排放法規是重型商用車(MHCV)廢氣排放系統市場的主要驅動力。世界各地的監管機構正在對顆粒物和氮氧化物排放設定更嚴格的限制,迫使製造商採用先進的後處理技術,例如柴油顆粒過濾器(DPF)和選擇性催化還原(SCR)。這些監管要求推動了對高價值廢氣排放系統架構的需求,隨著原始設備製造商(OEM)努力合規,供應商的單車收入也隨之增加。例如,2024年3月,美國環保署(EPA)最終確定了適用於2027款重型車輛的更嚴格的排放標準,即「重型車輛溫室氣體排放標準—第三階段」規則,這確保了北美對先進排放氣體控制硬體的長期需求。
同時,貨運和物流行業的擴張正推動排氣系統零件需求的持續成長。國際貿易的活性化帶動了對高性能車隊的需求,促進了跨境供應鏈所需重型卡車的生產,並透過出口機會抵消了區域經濟放緩的影響。根據中國汽車工業協會(CAAM)2025年1月的數據,預計2024年中國商用車出口量將達到90.4萬輛,較去年同期成長17.5%。同樣,印度汽車製造商協會(SIAM)的報告顯示,2024年印度國內商用車銷量將達到約95萬輛,凸顯了貨運基礎設施在維持市場成長動能方面發揮的關鍵作用。
由於經濟不穩定和由此導致的車輛產量波動,重型商用車(MHCV)排氣系統市場面臨許多挑戰。營運成本上升和高利率給物流運輸業帶來壓力,迫使車隊營運商推遲購買新卡車和巴士。車隊更新的延遲導致商用車產業萎縮,直接影響原始設備製造商(OEM)。由於排氣系統市場與新車組裝密切相關,重型商用車產量下降將導致觸媒轉換器、歧管和消音器等關鍵排放氣體控制零件的訂單減少。
近期產業數據顯示,推動全球銷售成長的關鍵發展中地區正經歷嚴重的經濟景氣衰退。終端用戶需求的下降迫使製造商縮減產量,以避免庫存積壓。例如,印度汽車經銷商協會(FADA)報告稱,2024年11月印度重型商用車零售年減11.56%,至24,441輛。車輛購買量的急劇萎縮限制了排氣系統配件供應商的潛在市場,因為重型車輛產量的減少直接且必然地減少了生產所需的排氣系統組件數量。
隨著製造商調整燃燒技術以適應零碳燃料,氫內燃機排氣系統的開發正在從根本上重塑零件設計。與傳統柴油引擎不同,氫氣燃燒產生的廢氣具有獨特的聲學特性和高水蒸氣含量,因此需要使用特殊的吸音結構和先進的耐腐蝕合金。這種技術變革確保了排放氣體控制硬體在承受氫動力推進固有的化學和熱應力的同時,仍能保持耐用性。根據《印度教徒報》2025年3月報道,塔塔汽車順應這一趨勢,已部署一支由16輛氫動力汽車(包括內燃機車型)組成的車隊,在主要貨運路線上進行性能檢驗。
此外,為滿足下一代排放氣體法規的要求(即點火後立即達到接近零氮氧化物排放水平),採用電加熱催化劑進行冷啟動已成為關鍵技術趨勢。由於在低負荷都市區行駛和冷啟動時,被動式廢氣加熱通常不足以滿足需求,供應商正將主動式電加熱元件直接整合到後處理結構中,以快速提升催化劑溫度。這種主動式溫度控管可確保最佳的污染物轉換效率,且不受引擎運轉工況的影響。康明斯公司於2025年4月發布了一項新型後處理設計,該設計採用兩個由48V交流發電機供電的5kW電暖器,可確保觸媒活性,從而滿足2027年排放標準,這便是一個很好的創新例證。
The Global Medium & Heavy Commercial Vehicles (MHCV) Exhaust System Market is projected to expand from USD 13.81 Billion in 2025 to USD 20.85 Billion by 2031, reflecting a CAGR of 7.11%. This market encompasses the engineering and production of noise attenuation and emission treatment components, such as manifolds, mufflers, particulate filters, and catalytic converters. Growth is primarily driven by the enforcement of strict international emission standards, which require the adoption of complex after-treatment devices to reduce particulate matter and nitrogen oxides. Additionally, the ongoing growth of global infrastructure and logistics sectors fuels the need for fleet renewal, ensuring steady demand for heavy-duty internal combustion engine vehicles and their exhaust hardware.
| Market Overview | |
|---|---|
| Forecast Period | 2027-2031 |
| Market Size 2025 | USD 13.81 Billion |
| Market Size 2031 | USD 20.85 Billion |
| CAGR 2026-2031 | 7.11% |
| Fastest Growing Segment | Tailpipe |
| Largest Market | Asia Pacific |
However, the market faces significant headwinds due to economic instability and volatility in vehicle production volumes. High interest rates and rising operational costs have caused a contraction in the commercial vehicle sector, effectively shrinking the addressable market for exhaust manufacturers. For instance, the European Automobile Manufacturers' Association (ACEA) reported a 6.3% decline in new EU truck registrations in 2024, amounting to 327,896 units. This downturn highlights how macroeconomic pressures can delay fleet procurement, subsequently restraining the growth of the exhaust system market.
Market Driver
The implementation of stringent global emission regulations serves as the primary catalyst for the MHCV exhaust system market. Regulatory authorities worldwide are imposing tighter limits on particulate matter and nitrogen oxides, forcing manufacturers to adopt advanced after-treatment technologies like Diesel Particulate Filters (DPF) and Selective Catalytic Reduction (SCR). These mandates require higher-value exhaust architectures, thereby increasing revenue per vehicle for suppliers as OEMs work to ensure compliance. For example, the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) finalized stricter emission standards for model year 2027 heavy-duty vehicles in March 2024 under the 'Greenhouse Gas Emissions Standards for Heavy-Duty Vehicles - Phase 3' rule, securing long-term demand for sophisticated emission control hardware in North America.
Concurrently, the expansion of the freight transportation and logistics sectors is driving sustained volume growth for exhaust components. As global trade intensifies, the demand for robust fleet capabilities rises, boosting the production of heavy-duty trucks needed for cross-border supply chains and offsetting regional slowdowns through export opportunities. Data from the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM) in January 2025 showed that Chinese commercial vehicle exports jumped by 17.5% year-on-year in 2024, reaching 904,000 units. Similarly, the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM) reported domestic commercial vehicle sales of approximately 950,000 units in India during 2024, underscoring the vital role of freight infrastructure in maintaining market momentum.
Market Challenge
The MHCV exhaust system market encounters a significant obstacle due to economic instability and the resulting volatility in vehicle production volumes. Rising operational costs and high interest rates are placing pressure on the logistics and transportation sectors, leading fleet operators to postpone the purchase of new trucks and buses. This delay in fleet renewal causes a contraction in the commercial vehicle sector, which directly impacts original equipment manufacturers (OEMs). Because the exhaust system market is inextricably linked to new vehicle assembly, any reduction in MHCV manufacturing output results in fewer orders for essential emission control components, including catalytic converters, manifolds, and mufflers.
Recent industrial data highlights the severity of this downturn in key developing regions that typically drive global volume growth. A decline in end-user demand forces manufacturers to scale back production to avoid inventory surpluses. For instance, the Federation of Automobile Dealers Associations (FADA) reported an 11.56% year-over-year decrease in retail sales of heavy commercial vehicles in India in November 2024, totaling 24,441 units. This sharp contraction in vehicle uptake limits the addressable market for exhaust hardware suppliers, as the reduced throughput of heavy-duty vehicles leads to a direct and unavoidable drop in the volume of exhaust sub-assemblies required for production.
Market Trends
The development of hydrogen internal combustion engine exhausts is fundamentally reshaping component engineering as manufacturers adapt combustion technology for zero-carbon fuels. Unlike traditional diesel engines, hydrogen combustion generates exhaust with unique acoustic properties and high water vapor content, necessitating the use of specialized muffling architectures and advanced corrosion-resistant alloys. This technological shift ensures that emission control hardware can withstand the specific chemical and thermal stresses of hydrogen propulsion while remaining durable. As reported by The Hindu in March 2025, Tata Motors illustrated this trend by deploying a fleet of 16 hydrogen-powered vehicles, including internal combustion engine models, to validate their performance across major freight corridors.
Additionally, the deployment of electrically heated catalysts for cold starts has emerged as a crucial technical trend to meet next-generation emission mandates requiring near-zero nitrogen oxide levels immediately upon ignition. Since passive exhaust heat is often insufficient during low-load urban driving or cold starts, suppliers are integrating active electric heating elements directly into the aftertreatment architecture to rapidly raise catalyst temperatures. This active thermal management ensures optimal pollutant conversion efficiency regardless of engine operating conditions. Exemplifying this innovation, Cummins Inc. introduced a new aftertreatment design in April 2025 featuring two 5kW electric heaters powered by a 48V alternator to guarantee rapid catalytic activation for compliance with 2027 standards.
Report Scope
In this report, the Global Medium & Heavy Commercial Vehicles Exhaust System Market has been segmented into the following categories, in addition to the industry trends which have also been detailed below:
Company Profiles: Detailed analysis of the major companies present in the Global Medium & Heavy Commercial Vehicles Exhaust System Market.
Global Medium & Heavy Commercial Vehicles Exhaust System Market report with the given market data, TechSci Research offers customizations according to a company's specific needs. The following customization options are available for the report: