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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1880560
潮汐能和波浪能市場預測至2032年:按類型、部署方式、應用和區域分類的全球分析Tidal and Wave Energy Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Type (Tidal Energy, and Wave Energy), Deployment (Nearshore, and Offshore), Application, and By Geography |
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根據 Stratistics MRC 的一項研究,預計到 2025 年,全球潮汐能和波浪能市場價值將達到 19 億美元,到 2032 年將達到 34 億美元。
預計在預測期內,潮汐能和波浪能將以8.5%的複合年成長率成長。潮汐能和波浪能專注於利用渦輪機、振動裝置和浮體式平台將洋流、潮汐和海面波浪轉化為電能。其涵蓋資源評估、技術開發、計劃部署以及沿海和島嶼地區的電網併網。其優點包括:發電高度可預測、與脫碳目標高度契合、創造當地就業機會,以及在海洋資源豐富的地區實現可再生能源結構的多元化。
根據國際可再生能源機構(IRENA)的數據,截至2024年底,全球海洋能(潮汐能和波浪能)的總設備容量約為494兆瓦。
全球為實現脫碳和可再生能源多元化所做的努力
各國政府和企業正積極實現能源結構多元化,不再只依賴太陽能和風能等間歇性能源。潮汐能和波浪能提供了一種可預測且可靠的基本負載能源,這對電網穩定至關重要。這種穩定的發電特性使其成為嚴格的脫碳目標和增強國家能源安全的理想選擇,從而推動了該領域的大量投資和政策支持。
技術尚不成熟,商業部署有限。
與成熟的可再生能源不同,大多數潮汐能和波浪能裝置仍處於示範或試點階段,缺乏規模經濟效益,無法實現具有成本競爭力的發電。惡劣的海洋環境也帶來了巨大的技術挑戰,導致維護成本高昂和營運風險。缺乏可靠的成功案例阻礙了大規模私人投資,並減緩了商業部署的步伐。
偏遠海上企業對電力供應的需求不斷成長
為偏遠海上工業設施(包括石油和天然氣平台、海上水產養殖場)以及離島社區供電,是重要的全新機會。這些設施傳統上依賴高成本且污染嚴重的柴油發電機。潮汐能和波浪能系統可以為這些局部微電網提供更清潔、永續且最終更具成本效益的替代方案。這個應用領域代表著一個可行的短期市場,能夠提供對該技術成熟至關重要的收入和營運數據。
政府支持政策的不確定性與不一致性
市場面臨政府獎勵和法規結構不確定性帶來的重大威脅。海洋能源計劃的長期開發週期極易受到政治優先事項轉變、上網電價補貼政策(FIT)調整、津貼計畫到期等因素的影響。這種政策不確定性造成了投資環境的動盪,使得開發商難以獲得從試點階段過渡到全面商業化計劃所需的長期融資。因此,這可能會抑制整體市場成長。
疫情對潮汐能和波浪能產業造成了沉重打擊,導致計劃大規模延期和供應鏈瓶頸。工廠停工和國際旅行限制阻礙了零件生產,並妨礙了現場關鍵的安裝和維護工作。此外,經濟衝擊暫時將政府和私人資本從新興技術領域轉移,減緩了創新和投資的步伐。然而,這場危機也激發了全球對清潔能源的興趣,將其納入經濟復甦計劃,可能帶來長期的利多因素。
預計在預測期內,潮汐能領域將佔據最大的市場佔有率。
預計在預測期內,潮汐能將佔據最大的市場佔有率,這主要是因為與波浪能相比,潮汐能的技術成熟度更高。潮汐流和潮汐攔潮系統利用潮汐運動的可預測性,從而能夠進行精確的發電量預測,並更容易併入電網。此外,多個示範計劃,尤其是在歐洲和加拿大,已成功證明了其在商業化前階段的可行性,這增強了投資者和電力公司對該技術在不久的將來實現公用事業規模發電的潛力的信心。
預計在預測期內,發電業將呈現最高的複合年成長率。
預計在預測期內,發電領域將實現最高成長率。這主要得益於為實現可再生能源目標而加速將海洋能併入國家電網的舉措。隨著技術可靠性的提高和成本的下降,潮汐能和波浪能正變得越來越具有競爭力,有望成為大規模發電的理想選擇。此外,與小規模示範計畫相比,對併網計劃的投資不斷增加,也推動了該領域在預測期內的加速成長。
預計在整個預測期內,歐洲將保持最大的市場佔有率,這得益於各國政府的大力支持以及歐盟雄心勃勃的脫碳目標。該地區聚集了大量技術開發商,尤其是在英國和法國,並且是許多世界主要潮汐能計劃的所在地。此外,上網電價補貼和創新津貼等扶持政策為計劃開發創造了有利環境,有助於歐洲鞏固其當前的市場領導地位。
預計亞太地區在預測期內將實現最高的複合年成長率,這主要得益於其漫長的海岸線以及各國政府對可再生能源結構多元化日益成長的興趣。韓國、中國和澳洲等國已開始大力投資海洋能源研究和示範計劃,以開發利用其豐富的潮汐能和波浪能資源。此外,沿海人口和工業迫切需要電力供應,同時減少對進口石化燃料的依賴,這些因素進一步推動了這一成長,為市場擴張創造了沃土。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Tidal and Wave Energy Market is accounted for $1.9 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $3.4 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 8.5% during the forecast period. The tidal and wave energy focuses on converting ocean currents, tides, and surface waves into electricity using turbines, oscillating devices, and floating platforms. It spans resource assessment, technology development, project deployment, and grid integration in coastal and island regions. Benefits include highly predictable generation, strong alignment with decarbonization targets, local job creation, and diversification of the renewable mix in areas with strong marine resources.
According to IRENA, total global ocean (tidal + wave) energy capacity was about 494 MW by the end of 2024.
Global push for decarbonization and renewable energy diversification
Governments and corporations are actively diversifying their energy portfolios beyond intermittent sources like solar and wind. Tidal and wave energy offer a highly predictable and reliable baseload power alternative, which is crucial for grid stability. This consistent generation profile makes it an attractive option for meeting stringent decarbonization targets and enhancing national energy security, thereby driving significant investment and policy support into the sector.
Immature technology with limited commercial deployment
Unlike more established renewables, most tidal and wave devices remain in the demonstration or pilot phase, lacking the economies of scale for cost-competitive generation. The harsh marine environment also presents substantial engineering challenges, leading to high maintenance costs and operational risks. This lack of a proven, bankable track record discourages large-scale private investment and slows the pace of commercial rollout.
Growing demand for powering remote offshore operations
A substantial emerging opportunity lies in providing power for remote offshore industrial operations. This includes electrifying oil and gas platforms, offshore aquaculture farms, and remote island communities, which traditionally rely on expensive and polluting diesel generators. Tidal and wave energy systems can offer a cleaner, more sustainable, and ultimately cost-effective alternative for these localized microgrids. This specific application represents a viable near-term market that can provide crucial revenue and operational data to help the technology mature.
Uncertain and inconsistent government support policies
The market faces a considerable threat from the unpredictability of government incentives and regulatory frameworks. Long-term development cycles for marine energy projects are highly vulnerable to shifts in political priorities, changes in feed-in tariffs, or the expiration of grant programs. This policy uncertainty creates a volatile investment landscape, making it difficult for developers to secure the long-term financing required to advance from pilot to full-scale commercial projects, thereby stalling overall market growth.
The pandemic severely disrupted the tidal and wave energy sector, causing widespread project delays and supply chain bottlenecks. Factory shutdowns and restrictions on international travel stalled component manufacturing and prevented crucial on-site installation and maintenance work. Furthermore, the economic fallout led to a temporary reallocation of government and private capital away from nascent technologies, slowing the pace of innovation and investment. However, the crisis also reinforced the global focus on clean energy as part of economic recovery plans, offering a potential tailwind for the long term.
The tidal energy segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The tidal energy segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period, primarily due to its higher technological maturity compared to wave energy. Tidal stream generators and barrage systems benefit from the predictable nature of tidal movements, which allows for accurate power output forecasting and easier grid integration. Furthermore, several pre-commercial projects, particularly in Europe and Canada, have successfully demonstrated viability, giving investors and utilities more confidence in the technology's near-term potential for utility-scale power generation.
The power generation segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the power generation segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate, driven by the increasing focus on integrating marine energy into national grids to meet renewable targets. As technology reliability improves and costs begin to decline, tidal and wave power are becoming more competitive for large-scale electricity production. Additionally, growing investments in projects designed specifically for grid supply, rather than small-scale pilot demonstrations, are fueling the accelerated growth of this segment over the forecast period.
During the forecast period, the Europe region is expected to hold the largest market share, backed by strong governmental support and ambitious decarbonization goals set by the European Union. The region boasts a high concentration of technology developers and has been the site of most of the world's flagship tidal energy projects, particularly in the UK and France. Moreover, supportive policy mechanisms like feed-in tariffs and innovation grants have created a favorable environment for project development, consolidating Europe's position as the current market leader.
During the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR, driven by its extensive coastline and rising governmental interest in diversifying its renewable energy mix. Countries like South Korea, China, and Australia are beginning to invest heavily in marine energy research and demonstration projects to harness their significant tidal and wave resources. This growth is further propelled by the urgent need to power coastal populations and industries while reducing reliance on imported fossil fuels, creating fertile ground for market expansion.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Tidal and Wave Energy Market include Orbital Marine Power Ltd, SIMEC Atlantis Energy Ltd, Nova Innovation Ltd, Ocean Power Technologies, Inc., Carnegie Clean Energy Ltd, CorPower Ocean AB, Eco Wave Power Global AB, Seabased AB, AW-Energy Oy, Minesto AB, Verdant Power, Inc., Mocean Energy Ltd, Ocean Energy Ltd, Wave Swell Energy Ltd, Ocean Renewable Power Company, Inc., Scotrenewables Tidal Power Ltd, and Wello Oy.
In November 2025, Orbital Marine Power Ltd authorized Canada's first tidal energy array and awarded an IECRE feasibility statement for their O2-X turbine. Their partnerships and expansions include projects in Scotland, Canada, and the US.
In November 2025, Eco Wave Power Global AB launched its first US project, with strategic advancements in Europe, Asia, and Africa, and plans for third to fifth wave projects in Los Angeles, Taiwan, and Portugal. The company also holds a projects pipeline of 404.7 MW.
In September 2024, Nova Innovation Ltd secured three 15-year Contracts for Difference (CfD) from the UK government for 6MW tidal energy projects in Orkney, supporting long-term project financing and expansion.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.