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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1848356
全球再生農業和碳封存市場:預測至2032年-按解決方案、技術/服務、生產商類型、封存機制、最終用戶和地區進行分析Regenerative Agriculture and Carbon Sequestration Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Solution, Technology & Services, Producer Type, Sequestration Mechanism, End User, and By Geography |
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根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,預計到 2025 年,全球再生農業和碳封存市場規模將達到 152 億美元,到 2032 年將達到 529 億美元,預測期內複合年成長率為 19.4%。
再生農業和碳封存涵蓋植物肉、乳製品替代品、培養蛋白以及能夠複煞車物產品質地和營養的新型配料體系。環境問題、健康偏好、動物福利考量以及配方和加工技術的進步正在推動這些產品的成長。零售通路的拓展、餐飲服務業的採用以及感官品質的提升正在提高消費者的接受度。供應鏈最佳化和配料創新帶來的成本降低,以及監管政策的明朗化和投資,正在促進更廣泛的市場滲透。
促進土壤健康
該市場的核心驅動力在於再生農業實踐帶來的土壤健康根本性改善。透過摒棄傳統犁地,引入覆蓋作物和多樣化的輪作模式,這些方法顯著增強了土壤有機質含量。這帶來更具韌性的土壤結構、更佳的水分滲透和保持能力以及更高的微生物活性。健康的土壤是碳固存的關鍵,能夠吸收大氣中的二氧化碳並將其儲存在地下。更健康、更有效率的土地所帶來的實際農業效益,是促使農民採用這些方法的主要動力,也是市場成長的直接驅動力。
初始成本高
農民面臨許多直接成本,包括新設備、專用覆蓋作物種子以及生態系統重新平衡過程中可能出現的短期產量損失。此外,轉型通常需要新的知識和管理技能,從而產生培訓費用。這些經濟負擔對於缺乏大量資金的小型農民來說尤其具有挑戰性,導致他們猶豫不決,從而阻礙了市場擴張的步伐。如果沒有充足的財政支持機制,高昂的初始成本將使許多生產者望而卻步,儘管轉型有望帶來長期收益和成本節約。
政府獎勵
加速市場發展的關鍵在於擴大政府獎勵和政策框架。這些措施包括為採用保護措施提供直接補貼、為檢驗的碳封存提供稅額扣抵,以及將其納入國家氣候策略。例如,美國農業部(USDA)的「氣候智慧型商品夥伴關係」等項目正在向農業部門注入大量資金。這些舉措透過抵銷初始成本和利用碳市場創造新的收入來源,降低了農民轉型的風險。此類政府支持不僅推動了供應方的採用,也增強了企業投資可再生供應鏈的信心,從而擴大了整個市場生態系統。
氣候變遷
嚴重的乾旱、洪水和異常的氣溫會擾亂對再生系統至關重要的精心調控的生物循環。此類極端天氣事件會損害覆蓋作物,使多年生植物系統面臨壓力,甚至釋放土壤中固存的碳。這種波動性會為碳權計劃帶來不確定性,使長期儲存保障難以實現,並可能損害碳資產的經濟價值。這些固有風險使得農民和投資者都持謹慎態度,並威脅市場的穩定性和可預測性。
疫情初期擾亂了供應鏈,並轉移了政府的關注重點。但最終,它成為了催化劑,鮮明地揭露了傳統全球化食品體系的脆弱性。這種意識的增強加速了對具有韌性、在地化和永續農業生產的需求。此外,這場危機凸顯了環境與公共衛生之間的聯繫,並促使企業和消費者優先考慮供應鏈的永續性。因此,疫情後的復甦策略正擴大將再生農業納入其中,以此作為重建更強大、更具氣候適應能力的食品經濟的手段。
預計在預測期內,MRV工具和平台細分市場將成為最大的細分市場。
在預測期內,測量、報告和檢驗(MRV) 工具和平台預計將佔據最大的市場佔有率,因為它為整個碳封存經濟提供了至關重要的支柱。如果沒有可靠、可擴展且經濟高效的 MRV,量化和貨幣化碳權額度是不可能的。此類數位化平台和工具使農民能夠準確追蹤其影響,並使買家能夠信任其購買產品的環境完整性。隨著受監管和自願性碳市場的日益成熟,對穩健的 MRV 解決方案的需求不容忽視,這使得該領域成為市場生態系統的基礎和最主導的組成部分。
預計在預測期內,農業、林業和畜牧業板塊的複合年成長率將最高。
由於農業生產與巨大的碳封存潛力之間存在強大的協同效應,預計農林複合系統在預測期內將實現最高成長率。這些將樹木、農作物和牲畜結合的系統,能夠提供來自木材、水果、堅果和碳權額的多種收入來源,從而提高農場盈利並分散風險。此外,它們還具有顯著的生態學效益,包括增加生物多樣性和改善微氣候。隨著農民和大地主尋求更具韌性和經濟可行性的再生農業途徑,農林複合系統的多方面吸引力正在迅速擴大。
預計北美地區在預測期內將佔據最大的市場佔有率。其領先地位得益於成熟的農業技術產業、私部門對碳農業計畫的大量投資以及政府的支持政策。此外,大型農戶的高度認知和強大的科研基礎設施也推動了相關技術的早期應用。主要企業參與者的存在以及成熟的自願性碳市場也鞏固了北美的主導地位,使其成為再生農業領域的活動、投資和創新中心。
預計亞太地區在預測期內將實現最高的複合年成長率。這一快速成長主要源自於人口稠密國家迫切需要解決土壤劣化和糧食安全問題。此外,印度和中國等國的政府舉措也極大地推動了永續發展,這些國家正在推廣永續實踐以實現其氣候目標。該地區廣闊的農業用地蘊藏著巨大的碳封存潛力。隨著人們環保意識的提高和監測、報告和核查(MRV)技術的普及,亞太地區的技術應用速度可能會比成熟市場更快。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Regenerative Agriculture and Carbon Sequestration Market is accounted for $15.2 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $52.9 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 19.4% during the forecast period. Regenerative agriculture and carbon sequestration includes plant-based meats, dairy alternatives, cultured proteins, and novel ingredient systems that replicate animal product texture and nutrition. Growth is propelled by environmental concerns, health preferences, animal welfare considerations, and technical advances in formulation and processing. Wider retail distribution, foodservice adoption, and improved sensory quality increase consumer acceptance. Cost reductions through optimized supply chains and ingredient innovations, together with regulatory clarity and investment enable broader market penetration.
Soil Health Improvement
The core driver for this market is the fundamental improvement in soil health that regenerative practices deliver. By moving away from conventional tillage and incorporating cover crops and diverse rotations, these methods significantly enhance soil organic matter. This leads to a more resilient soil structure, improved water infiltration and retention, and increased microbial activity. Healthy soil is the very engine of carbon sequestration, pulling CO2 from the atmosphere and storing it underground. Consequently, the tangible agronomic benefits of healthier, more productive land are a primary motivator for farmer adoption, directly fueling market growth.
High Initial Costs
Farmers face immediate costs for new equipment, specialized seeds for cover crops, and potential short-term yield dips as ecosystems rebalance. Furthermore, the shift often demands new knowledge and management skills, incurring training expenses. This financial burden is particularly challenging for smaller operations without ample capital reserves, creating a hesitancy that restrains the pace of market expansion. Without adequate financial support mechanisms, the high initial cost can prevent many producers from making the transition, despite the promised long-term benefits and cost savings.
Government Incentives
A major opportunity for market acceleration lies in the expanding suite of government incentives and policy frameworks. These include direct subsidies for adopting conservation practices, tax credits for verified carbon sequestration, and integration into national climate strategies. Programs like the USDA's Partnerships for Climate-Smart Commodities are channeling significant funding into the agricultural sector. Such initiatives de-risk the transition for farmers by offsetting initial costs and creating new revenue streams through carbon markets. This governmental push not only stimulates supply-side adoption but also bolsters corporate confidence in investing in regenerative supply chains, thereby expanding the entire market ecosystem.
Climate Variability
Severe droughts, floods, and unseasonal temperatures can disrupt the carefully managed biological cycle's essential for regenerative systems. These extreme events can damage cover crops, stress perennial systems, and even lead to the release of sequestered carbon from soils. Such volatility introduces uncertainty into carbon credit projects, making it difficult to guarantee long-term sequestration levels and potentially undermining the financial value of carbon assets. This inherent risk can make both farmers and investors cautious, threatening the stability and predictability of the market.
The pandemic initially disrupted supply chains and shifted governmental focus, temporarily slowing some market investments. However, it ultimately acted as a catalyst by starkly exposing the fragility of conventional, globalized food systems. This heightened awareness accelerated the demand for resilient, localized, and sustainable agricultural production. Furthermore, the crisis underscored the link between environmental health and public health, pushing corporations and consumers to prioritize supply chain sustainability. Consequently, post-pandemic recovery strategies began to incorporate regenerative agriculture as a means to build back more robust and climate-resilient food economies.
The MRV tools and platforms segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The MRV tools and platforms segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period because it provides the essential backbone for the entire carbon sequestration economy. Without reliable, scalable, and cost-effective MRV, the quantification and monetization of carbon credits would be impossible. These digital platforms and tools enable farmers to accurately track their impact and allow buyers to trust the environmental integrity of their purchases. As both regulatory and voluntary carbon markets mature, the demand for robust MRV solutions becomes non-negotiable, making this segment the foundational and most dominant component of the market ecosystem.
The agroforestry & silvopasture segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the agroforestry & silvopasture segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate due to its potent synergy of agricultural production and significant carbon sequestration potential. These systems, which integrate trees with crops or livestock, offer multiple revenue streams from timber, fruit, nuts, and carbon credits, enhancing farm profitability and risk diversification. Moreover, they deliver exceptional ecological co-benefits like enhanced biodiversity and improved microclimates. As farmers and large landowners seek more resilient and economically viable pathways into regenerative agriculture, the multifunctional appeal of agroforestry makes it an increasingly attractive and rapidly expanding practice.
During the forecast period, the North America region is expected to hold the largest market share. This leadership is anchored by a well-established agricultural technology sector, significant private sector investment in carbon farming programs, and supportive government policies. Furthermore, high awareness levels among large-scale farmers and robust scientific research infrastructure have accelerated early adoption. The presence of major corporate players and a mature voluntary carbon market also contribute to North America's dominant position, creating a concentrated hub of activity, investment, and innovation in the regenerative agriculture space.
Over the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR. This rapid growth is fueled by the pressing need to address soil degradation and food security concerns in densely populated countries. Additionally, substantial governmental initiatives in nations like India and China, which are promoting sustainable practices to meet climate goals, are providing a significant push. The region's vast agricultural land area presents a massive untapped potential for carbon sequestration. As awareness grows and MRV technologies become more accessible, the adoption rate in Asia Pacific is set to accelerate faster than in more mature markets.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Regenerative Agriculture and Carbon Sequestration Market include Indigo Ag, Inc., Cargill Incorporated, Soil Capital, General Mills Inc., Nestle S.A., Unilever PLC, PepsiCo, Inc., McDonald's Corporation, Kering S.A., Danone S.A., Boomitra, Carbon8 Systems, Yara International ASA, Agreena, Perennial, Varaha, Loam Bio, InPlanet, Nori, and CarbonZero.Eco.
In October 2025, Two leading global food companies, Mars and Cargill, announced they are spurring the development of more than 224MWac* of new renewable energy capacity through five virtual power purchase agreements (PPAs) in Poland. The PPAs were signed with GoldenPeaks Capital, one of Europe's fastest-growing independent producers of renewable energy.
In October 2023, General Mills, Walmart and Sam's Club announced a collaboration today to help accelerate the adoption of regenerative agriculture on 600,000 acres in the U.S. by 2030. This represents the approximate number of acres General Mills engages to source key ingredients for its products sold through Walmart and Sam's Club. Initial projects will be supported through grants administered by the National Fish and Wildlife Foundation (NFWF) and seek to advance regenerative agriculture outcomes across a variety of crops, including wheat, in the Northern and Southern Great Plains.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.