![]() |
市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1776721
2032 年量子運算市場預測:按組件、部署模式、技術、應用、最終用戶和地區進行的全球分析Quantum Computing Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Component (Hardware, Software and Services), Deployment Mode, Technology, Application, End User and By Geography |
根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,全球量子計算市場預計在 2025 年達到 15 億美元,到 2032 年將達到 104 億美元,預測期內的複合年成長率為 31.5%。
量子計算是一種革命性的計算形式,它利用動態原理來處理資訊。與使用位元(0 或 1)的傳統電腦不同,量子電腦使用量子位元(qubit)。量子位元可以透過疊加同時存在於多種狀態。量子位元還可以糾纏,從而實現複雜的關聯和強大的平行計算。這使得量子電腦能夠以比傳統系統更快的速度解決某些問題,例如分解大數或模擬分子。儘管量子電腦仍處於發展階段,但它擁有巨大的潛力,能夠在密碼學、材料科學和人工智慧等領域提供超越傳統限制的變革性能力。
分析師估計,到 2025 年,全球對量子工程師的需求將達到 10,000 名左右,而供應量可能會降至 5,000 名以下。
高效能運算的需求不斷成長
高效能運算 (HPC) 需求的不斷成長是量子運算市場成長的主要驅動力。 HPC 在處理複雜模擬和海量資料方面的局限性,正在加速對量子技術的投資。這種轉變正在推動量子處理器的創新,增強製藥、網路安全和氣候建模等產業的能力。學術界和產業界之間資金投入的活性化和合作的加強,進一步推動了量子技術的進步,使其成為下一代運算能力的戰略前沿。
開發成本高
量子電腦的高昂開發成本是市場發展的一大障礙。建構和維護量子系統需要在專用硬體、研究和熟練人才方面投入大量資金。這使得參與度僅限於少數資金雄厚的公司,從而阻礙了創新和競爭。規模較小的公司難以進入市場,減緩了多樣化應用開發和市場拓展。這導致商業化進程不均衡,阻礙了應用的普及,並限制了該技術的變革潛力。
量子硬體和演算法的進步
量子硬體和量子演算法的突破正在為運算速度、可擴展性和準確性提升新的維度,從而推動量子運算市場的快速成長。增強的量子位元穩定性、糾錯能力和量子霸權基準測試正在吸引各行各業的大量投資。演算法的進步正在拓寬最佳化、機器學習、加密等領域的使用案例,而硬體創新則正在賦能更可靠的量子系統。這些創新的結合正在加速商業化進程,並促進學術界、科技產業和企業之間的合作。
量子比特的技術挑戰與脆弱性
由於技術挑戰和量子位元的脆弱性,量子運算市場正面臨重大挫折。它們易受環境干擾,導致計算錯誤頻數,並限制了可擴展性。維持量子位元的一致性需要複雜的基礎設施,這會增加營運成本,並減緩實際部署速度。這些限制阻礙了量子系統的商業化,減緩了創新,抑制了投資者信心,並最終扼殺了量子技術在各行各業的普及和發展。
COVID-19的影響
新冠疫情對量子運算市場產生了雙重影響。全球供應鏈中斷導致硬體開發延遲,但這場危機也加速了藥物研發、分子建模和物流對量子解決方案的需求。各大公司為疫情相關研究提供雲端基礎的量子訪問,從而提升了公眾認知度和應用範圍。這項轉變凸顯了量子運算的戰略價值,刺激了投資成長,並將其定位為能夠應對未來全球挑戰的韌性技術。
預計在預測期內,捕獲離子部分將佔最大佔有率
預計在預測期內,離子阱將佔據最大的市場佔有率,因為其精確控制能夠實現可擴展架構和平行處理,從而加快演算法執行速度並降低錯誤率。諸如“辣肉餡捲餅餅餡陷阱”和微波驅動門之類的技術創新在提高性能的同時降低了功耗。這些進步使離子阱成為建立容錯量子系統的關鍵,促進了其商業性可行性,並吸引了密碼學、模擬和最佳化等領域的投資。
預測期內加密貨幣產業將以最高複合年成長率成長
由於量子系統威脅傳統加密技術,各行各業都在投資後量子密碼學和量子金鑰分發(QKD) 來保護資料。這種迫切性正在加速網路安全、金融和國防領域的創新、資金籌措和合作。密碼學領域不僅將量子運算定位為更具現實意義的領域,而且將其作為下一代安全基礎設施的關鍵推動因素,從而促進市場的長期擴張。
在預測期內,由於政府的大力支持、不斷增加的研究投入以及日益成長的技術型人口,亞太地區預計將佔據最大的市場佔有率。中國、日本和印度等國家正大力投資量子技術,以應用於網路安全、醫療保健和金融領域。學術機構與科技公司之間的合作正在激發創新,而對高效能運算解決方案日益成長的需求也推動著市場的成長。所有這些勢頭使得亞太地區成為量子計算發展的全球中心。
由於科技巨頭的強勁投資、政府的舉措以及蓬勃發展的新興企業生態系統,北美預計將在預測期內實現最高的複合年成長率。該地區先進的研究基礎設施和產學研合作正在加速創新。量子技術在醫療保健、金融和網路安全等領域的應用日益廣泛,使其能夠加快資料處理速度並增強解決問題的能力。這項顛覆性技術正在培育競爭優勢,並使北美成為量子創新和商業化的領導者。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Quantum Computing Market is accounted for $1.5 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach $10.4 billion by 2032 growing at a CAGR of 31.5% during the forecast period. Quantum computing is a revolutionary form of computation that leverages the principles of quantum mechanics to process information. Unlike classical computers that use bits (0 or 1), quantum computers use quantum bits or qubits, which can exist in multiple states simultaneously due to superposition. Qubits can also be entangled, allowing complex correlations that enable powerful parallel computations. This allows quantum computers to solve certain problems-like factoring large numbers or simulating molecules-exponentially faster than traditional systems. Though still in development, quantum computing holds immense potential in fields such as cryptography, material science, and artificial intelligence, offering transformative capabilities beyond classical limits.
According to an analyst survey, there could be a demand for around 10,000 quantum skilled workers and a supply of fewer than 5,000 by 2025.
Rising Demand for High-Performance Computing
The surging demand for high-performance computing (HPC) is significantly propelling growth in the quantum computing market. HPC's limitations in handling complex simulations and massive data volumes are accelerating investment in quantum technologies. This shift is driving innovation in quantum processors, enhancing capabilities for industries like pharmaceuticals, cybersecurity, and climate modeling. Increased funding and collaborations between academia and industry are further catalyzing quantum advancement, positioning it as a strategic frontier for next-generation computational power.
High Cost of Development
The high cost of quantum computing development presents a significant barrier to market growth. Building and maintaining quantum systems requires substantial financial investment in specialized hardware, research, and skilled talent. This restricts entry to only a few well-funded players, slowing innovation and competition. Smaller enterprises struggle to participate, delaying diverse application development and market expansion. Consequently, commercialization becomes uneven, hindering widespread adoption and limiting the technology's transformative potential.
Advancements in Quantum Hardware and Algorithms
Breakthroughs in quantum hardware and algorithms are unlocking new dimensions in computational speed, scalability, and accuracy-fueling rapid growth in the quantum computing market. Enhanced qubit stability, error correction, and quantum supremacy benchmarks are attracting significant investments across industries. Algorithmic advancements are broadening use cases in optimization, machine learning, and cryptography, while hardware innovations enable more reliable quantum systems. Together, they're accelerating commercialization, inspiring collaboration across academia, tech, and enterprise sectors.
Technical Challenges and Fragility of Qubits
The quantum computing market faces substantial setbacks due to technical challenges and the fragile nature of qubits. Their susceptibility to environmental interference leads to frequent computational errors and limits scalability. Maintaining qubit coherence demands complex infrastructure, raising operational costs and slowing practical deployment. These limitations hinder the commercialization of quantum systems, delay innovation, and restrain investor confidence, ultimately impeding the widespread adoption and growth of quantum technologies across industries.
Covid-19 Impact
The COVID-19 pandemic had a dual impact on the quantum computing market. While hardware development faced delays due to global supply chain disruptions, the crisis accelerated demand for quantum solutions in drug discovery, molecular modeling, and logistics. Companies offered cloud-based quantum access for pandemic-related research, boosting awareness and adoption. This shift emphasized quantum computing's strategic value, prompting increased investments and positioning it as a resilient technology for future global challenges.
The trapped ions segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The trapped ions segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period as their precise control enables scalable architectures and parallel processing, accelerating algorithm execution and reducing error rates. Innovations like the "enchilada trap" and microwave-driven gates enhance performance while lowering power dissipation. These advancements position trapped ions as a cornerstone for building fault-tolerant quantum systems, driving commercial viability and attracting investments across sectors like cryptography, simulation, and optimization.
The cryptography segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the cryptography segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate, because quantum systems threaten classical encryption, industries are investing in post-quantum cryptography and Quantum Key Distribution (QKD) to safeguard data. This urgency accelerates innovation, funding, and collaboration across cybersecurity, finance, and defense sectors. The cryptography segment not only enhances quantum computing's relevance but also positions it as a critical enabler of next-generation security infrastructure, fostering long-term market expansion.
During the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share due to strong government support, increasing research investments, and a growing tech-savvy population. Countries like China, Japan, and India are heavily investing in quantum technologies for applications in cybersecurity, healthcare, and finance. Collaborations between academic institutions and tech companies are fostering innovation, while the rising demand for high-performance computing solutions fuels market growth. This momentum is positioning Asia Pacific as a global hub for quantum computing development.
Over the forecast period, the North America region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR, owing to robust investments from tech giants, government initiatives, and a thriving startup ecosystem. The region's advanced research infrastructure and collaboration between academia and industry are accelerating innovation. Applications across sectors like healthcare, finance, and cybersecurity are expanding, enabling faster data processing and enhanced problem-solving capabilities. This transformative technology is fostering competitive advantage and positioning North America as a leader in quantum innovation and commercialization.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players profiled in the Quantum Computing Market include IBM, Google (Alphabet Inc.), Microsoft, Intel Corporation, D-Wave Systems, Rigetti Computing, IonQ, Honeywell Quantum Solutions, Alibaba Group, Baidu Inc., Zapata Computing, Xanadu, QC Ware, PsiQuantum, Fujitsu, Toshiba, Quantinuum, Atos and Quantum Circuits Inc.
In January 2025, Microsoft and OpenAI reaffirmed their strategic alliance-first forged in 2019-extending through 2030 and underpinned by mutual exclusivity and shared benefits. Microsoft retains exclusive access to OpenAI's intellectual property for integration into its flagship tools like Copilot, while OpenAI's API remains exclusively available via Azure and the Azure OpenAI Service.
In September 2024, Intel Corp. and Amazon Web Services (AWS) recently deepened their multi-year, multi-billion-dollar strategic collaboration. the collaboration brings together Intel's leading-edge chip fabrication strengths with AWS's cloud infrastructure leadership, aiming to drive innovation across AI applications, reduce costs, and support critical U.S. semiconductor manufacturing initiatives-all reinforcing each company's ecosystem and strategic long-term growth.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.