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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1734885
2032 年固網通訊市場預測:按產品類型、網路類型、服務類型、技術、最終用戶和地區進行的全球分析Fixed-line Communications Market Forecasts to 2032 - Global Analysis By Product Type (Routers, Set-top Box (STB) and Fiber-optic Cables), Network Type, Service Type, Technology, End User and By Geography |
根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,預測期內全球固網通訊市場以 13.32% 的複合年成長率成長。
固網通訊系統是指使用有線網路(例如同軸電纜、光纖和銅線電話線)傳輸語音、資料和視訊的系統。固網通訊系統提供可靠且通常高容量的資料傳輸,但與無線通訊不同,它們依賴實體基礎設施來連接使用者。對於有線電視、寬頻網路和固定電話等服務,這些系統通常用於機構、商業和住宅環境。儘管無線和行動技術日益普及,固網通訊對於確保可靠的連接仍然至關重要,尤其是在需要安全資料傳輸和高速網路的地方。
根據TRAI用戶數據,印度有線電視用戶數預計將從2024年4月底的3426萬成長到2024年5月底的3,473萬,淨增加47萬,月增率為1.38%。
對可靠、高速網路的需求日益成長
雲端運算、高畫質串流、視訊會議和即時線上遊戲等高頻寬應用的日益普及,推動了對可靠高速網路存取的需求。與行動網路相比,固定寬頻速度更穩定,延遲更低,尤其是在透過光纖網路傳輸時。企業和消費者擴大選擇固網連接,以獲得可靠的服務,尤其是在多用戶接入、海量資料傳輸和持續連接至關重要的環境中。此外,隨著數位消費的成長,固網服務正被定位為一種可選的公共設施,而非必要的基礎設施。
基礎設施實施高成本
基礎設施建設(尤其是光纖網路部署)所需的巨額資本支出是固網通訊的主要障礙之一。鋪設電纜涉及挖溝、取得路權、土木工程、網路設備等相關成本。在地形崎嶇、交通擁擠的城市和人口稀少的地區,這些成本甚至更高,這使得服務擴展在財務上不切實際。此外,由於投資回收期較長,私人業者不願在沒有政府支持和收益保障的情況下投資固網基礎設施。
人們對數位娛樂和智慧家居的興趣日益濃厚
高清視訊串流、雲端遊戲、智慧家庭技術以及擴增實境/虛擬實境 (AR/VR) 應用都在推動對可靠、閃電般快速的家庭網際網路的需求,而固網連接正是提供這種服務的最佳途徑。語音助理、家庭自動化平台、安全系統和連網電器只是眾多智慧型裝置中的一小部分,它們需要始終在線、低延遲的網際網路,而行動連線通常難以提供這種服務。現代數位家庭所需的多設備支援和頻寬可以透過固定寬頻(尤其是光纖)實現。此外,消費行為的這些變化為寬頻供應商和網路服務供應商提供了巨大的成長機會,他們可以透過改進產品和服務來吸引更多客戶。
政策變化和監管不確定性
不可預測的監管變化、政策轉變以及不定期的政府激勵措施都可能固網市場產生不利影響。市場准入、許可要求、稅收、頻譜分配和其他問題的延誤都可能擾亂產業計畫和營運。許多國家的政策架構與最新技術發展脫節,或是更新速度過慢,難以鼓勵創新。此外,電訊法律和資費的頻繁修訂可能會阻礙外國直接投資,並增加長期基礎設施規劃的複雜性和風險。
新冠疫情對固網通訊市場產生了許多影響,但總體而言是積極的,因為保持社交距離和全球封鎖措施增加了對可靠高速網際網路連接的需求,以支持數位娛樂、遠端醫療、線上教育和遠距辦公。此外,疫情導致的網路流量激增凸顯了行動網路在支援長時間高頻寬活動的局限性,凸顯了固定寬頻(尤其是光纖連線)的重要性。然而,疫情也暴露出一些弱點,包括勞動力短缺和供應鏈中斷導致基礎設施部署放緩,以及消費者和小型企業的財務負擔阻礙了新設施的安裝和升級。
路由器市場預計將成為預測期內最大的市場
預計路由器領域將在預測期內佔據最大的市場佔有率。路由器對於控制和引導固網通訊中的資料流至關重要。無論是住宅通訊還是商業通訊,路由器都能促進資料在各種設備和網際網路之間的順暢傳輸。隨著對高速網際網路以及5G和物聯網等最尖端科技的需求不斷成長,對高效路由器的需求也日益成長。隨著智慧家庭、遠端辦公和各行各業數位轉型的興起,路由器已成為確保可靠、快速網際網路接入的關鍵設備,並已成為固網通訊基礎設施的重要組成部分。
預計光纖領域在預測期內將實現最高的複合年成長率。
預計光纖市場將在預測期內實現最高成長率。高速網際網路服務需求的不斷成長以及光纖寬頻基礎設施的建設是這一成長的主要驅動力。例如,在亞太地區,預計到2028年,光纖接入線路將佔新興市場固定接入線路總量的63%左右,泰國和印度等新興市場的滲透率預計將更高。此外,這一趨勢凸顯了光纖技術對於滿足住宅和商業用戶日益成長的連接需求至關重要。
預計亞太地區將在預測期內佔據最大的市場佔有率。這種主導地位的背後是網際網路使用率的不斷成長、快速的都市化以及中國、印度和日本等國家對數位基礎設施的大量投資。該地區也正在向光纖寬頻轉型,預計到2028年,光纖到戶(FTTH)連接將佔亞太發達市場所有固定接入線路的63%左右,新興市場的這一比例將更高。此外,政府措施和對高速網路服務日益成長的需求是推動這一成長的另外兩個因素。
預計中東和非洲 (MEA) 地區在預測期內的複合年成長率最高。該地區正在進行的數位轉型,以及政府改善寬頻基礎設施和連接性的舉措,是這一成長的主要驅動力。為了增強數位服務並滿足家庭和企業的需求,阿拉伯聯合大公國、沙烏地阿拉伯和南非等國家已將光纖網路建設和 5G 就緒作為優先事項。此外,這些市場的快速擴張也得益於對智慧城市舉措的投資以及對高速網路存取日益成長的需求。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Fixed-line Communications Market is growing at a CAGR of 13.32% during the forecast period. A fixed-line communications system is one that uses wired networks, like coaxial, fiber-optic, and copper telephone lines, to send voice, data, and video. Fixed-line systems provide reliable and frequently high-capacity data transmission, but they depend on a physical infrastructure to connect users, unlike wireless communications. For services like cable television, broadband internet, and landline telephone, these systems are frequently utilized in institutional, commercial, and residential settings. Even with the increasing popularity of wireless and mobile technologies, fixed-line communications are still essential for dependable connectivity, particularly in places that need secure data transfer and high-speed internet.
According to TRAI's subscriber data, the number of wireline subscribers in India increased from 34.26 million at the end of April 2024 to 34.73 million at the end of May 2024, marking a net addition of 0.47 million subscribers and a monthly growth rate of 1.38%.
Growing need for dependable and fast internet
The increasing use of high-bandwidth applications like cloud computing, HD streaming, video conferencing, and real-time online gaming has increased demand for dependable, fast internet access. Compared to mobile networks, fixed-line broadband offers better speed consistency and lower latency, particularly when delivered via fiber-optic networks. Businesses and consumers alike are increasingly choosing fixed-line connections for dependable service, especially in settings where multi-user access, large data transfers, and continuous connectivity are essential. Moreover, fixed-line services are being positioned as optional utilities rather than necessary infrastructure as digital consumption increases.
High costs of infrastructure deployment
The substantial capital expenditure needed for infrastructure deployment, especially in fiber-optic networks, is one of the main obstacles to fixed-line communications. Costs associated with trenching, obtaining right-of-way permits, civil work, and network equipment are high when installing cables. These expenses are even greater in areas with rough terrain, crowded cities, or sparse populations, rendering service expansion financially impractical. Furthermore, private operators are deterred from investing in fixed-line infrastructure without government assistance or guaranteed returns due to the lengthy payback period.
Growing interest in digital entertainment and smart homes
High-definition video streaming, cloud gaming, smart home technologies, and AR/VR applications are all driving up demand for dependable, lightning-fast home internet, which fixed-line connections are best suited to provide. Voice assistants, home automation platforms, security systems, and connected appliances are examples of smart devices that need constant, low-latency internet, which mobile connections frequently find difficult to provide. The multi-device support and bandwidth needed in contemporary digital homes can be obtained with fixed-line broadband, particularly fiber. Moreover, this change in consumer behavior offers broadband providers and ISPs a significant chance to grow by improving their offerings and growing their clientele.
Changes in policy and regulatory uncertainty
Unpredictable regulatory changes, shifting policies, or irregular government incentives can all have a negative effect on the fixed-line market. Planning and operations for businesses can be disrupted by problems like right-of-way delays, licensing requirements, taxation policies, and spectrum allocation. Many nations' policy frameworks are either out of step with the latest technological developments or are updated too slowly to encourage innovation. Additionally, frequent modifications to telecom laws or tariffs may deter foreign direct investment and increase the complexity and risk of long-term infrastructure planning.
The COVID-19 pandemic had a mixed but generally positive effect on the fixed-line communications market because social distancing measures and worldwide lockdowns increased demand for dependable, fast internet connectivity to support digital entertainment, telehealth, online education, and remote work. Furthermore, the pandemic-related spike in internet traffic brought to light the limitations of mobile networks in supporting extended, high-bandwidth activities, highlighting the importance of fixed-line broadband, particularly fiber-optic connections. The pandemic did, however, also highlight weaknesses, including labour shortages and supply chain disruptions that delayed infrastructure deployments, as well as consumer and small business financial strains that hindered new installations or upgrades.
The routers segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The routers segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period. Routers are essential for controlling and guiding data flow in fixed-line networks. For both home and business communications, they are in charge of making sure that data moves smoothly between various devices and the internet. Efficient routers are becoming more and more necessary as the demand for high-speed internet and cutting-edge technologies like 5G and IoT grow. As smart homes, remote work, and industry-wide digital transformation gain traction, routers are becoming essential for ensuring dependable and quick internet access, making them a crucial part of the fixed-line communications infrastructure.
The fiber optic segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the fiber optic segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate. The rise in demand for high-speed internet services and the development of fiber broadband infrastructure are the main drivers of this growth. In the Asia-Pacific area, for instance, fiber-optic access lines are expected to make up roughly 63% of all fixed access lines in developed markets by 2028, with even higher adoption rates expected in emerging markets like Thailand and India. Moreover, this pattern emphasizes how essential fiber optic technology is to satisfying the expanding demands of both residential and business users for connectivity.
During the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is expected to hold the largest market share. This dominance is explained by rising internet usage, fast urbanization, and large investments in digital infrastructure in nations like China, India, and Japan. The region is also seeing a major shift toward fiber-optic broadband; by 2028, fiber-to-the-home (FTTH) connections are expected to make up roughly 63% of all fixed access lines in developed APAC markets, and even more in emerging ones. Additionally, government initiatives and the growing demand for high-speed internet services are two more factors driving this growth.
Over the forecast period, the Middle East and Africa (MEA) region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR. The region's continuous digital transformation, which is being accelerated by government efforts to improve broadband infrastructure and connectivity, is the main driver of this growth. To enhance digital services and meet the needs of both homes and businesses, nations like the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, and South Africa are giving top priority to the development of fiber-optic networks and 5G readinesses. Furthermore, this quick market expansion is a result of investments in smart city initiatives as well as the rising demand for high-speed internet access.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Fixed-line Communications Market include Arista Networks Inc., Huawei Technologies Co. Ltd, Aerohive Networks Inc., Manx Telecom Trading Ltd, Avaya Inc., Peak Communications Inc., Allied Telesis Inc., Raycap Inc., Albis Technologies AG, Broadcom Inc and Arris International PLC.
In April 2025, Huawei and SAIC have jointly developed the Shangjie smart car brand, and now both parties are putting in more efforts to expand this new project via EV and battery plants. These plants will open a new production base for SAIC in China. Both SAIC and Huawei have been working for months on a new EV brand called Shangjie. The companies even announced the new brand at the Auto Shanghai 2025.
In November 2024, Broadcom Inc. and Telia Company announced the expansion of their longtime partnership with a new multi-year agreement, which will see Telia further modernize and transform its telco and cloud infrastructure with the VMware product portfolio. Telia, a Nordic and Baltic telecommunications leader and Nordic media house, will continue its network and IT cloud journey with both VMware Telco Cloud Platform and VMware Cloud Foundation as the basis of its modern cloud platform.