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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1679282
2030 年自動駕駛摩托車市場預測:按類型、自動駕駛水平、電池類型、技術、應用、最終用戶和地區進行的全球分析Autonomous Bike Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Type (Electric Bikes, Fully Autonomous Bikes, Hybrid Autonomous Bikes and Other Types), Level of Autonomy, Battery Type, Technology, Application, End User and By Geography |
根據 Stratistics MRC 的數據,全球自動駕駛摩托車市場預計在 2024 年將達到 15 億美元,到 2030 年將達到 82 億美元,預測期內的複合年成長率為 32.9%。自動駕駛自行車,也稱為無人駕駛自行車或機器人自行車,配備了各種感測器,包括攝影機、LiDAR、雷達和超音波感測器,使它們能夠識別周圍環境並安全導航。先進的人工智慧和機器學習演算法處理這些資料並對路徑規劃、避障和速度控制做出即時決策。致動器控制自行車的轉向、踩踏和煞車,而 GPS 和無線通訊等連接功能則支援路線規劃和與交通基礎設施的互動。
根據美國運輸部國家公路交通安全管理局(NHTSA)發布的資料,2019年警方通報的機動車事故總合675.6萬起。
擁擠的都市區和日益成長的最後一哩連接需求
隨著城市變得越來越擁擠,人們越來越需要高效的交通途徑替代方案來緩解交通堵塞。自動駕駛自行車為短途旅行提供了一種無縫、環保的選擇,提供了一個有前景的解決方案。此外,自動駕駛技術的融入將提升使用者體驗,使這些自行車成為都市區通勤者的有吸引力的選擇。人們對智慧城市計畫的興趣日益濃厚,進一步推動了對自動駕駛自行車的需求,因為它們與減少碳排放和改善城市流動性的目標一致。
開發和生產成本高
自動駕駛所需的先進技術,例如感測器和人工智慧,將推高製造成本。此外,為確保安全性和可靠性而進行的研究和開發相關成本也增加了財務負擔。高昂的成本可能會使自動駕駛自行車難以被廣大大眾接受,從而限制市場滲透。儘管自動駕駛自行車前景光明,但高昂的開發和生產成本是一個主要障礙。
自動送貨服務和自行車共享平台的興起
隨著電子商務越來越普及,對高效、及時的配送解決方案的需求也日益成長。自動駕駛自行車可以作為一種經濟高效且環保的替代方案,在增強最後一英里的送貨服務方面發揮關鍵作用。此外,共享單車平台可以利用自動駕駛自行車為騎乘者提供便利、無憂的騎乘體驗。將自動駕駛技術融入這些服務將提高業務效率和客戶滿意度。
基礎設施有限和技術挑戰
自動駕駛自行車的成功普及將在很大程度上取決於強大的基礎設施,包括專用自行車道和智慧城市技術。基礎設施不足可能會妨礙自動駕駛自行車的平穩運作和安全,這可能會嚇跑潛在用戶。此外,為了確保自動駕駛自行車的可靠性,需要解決與導航、障礙物偵測和電池壽命相關的技術挑戰,這阻礙了市場的成長。
COVID-19 的影響
疫情期間,非接觸式外送服務的需求激增,凸顯了自動駕駛自行車在確保安全高效送貨方面的潛力。但疫情擾亂了供應鏈,減緩了自動駕駛自行車技術的開發與部署。好的一面是,人們對健康和永續性的日益關注正推動人們對自動駕駛自行車作為一種清潔、安全的交通途徑的興趣。
電動機車市場預計將成為預測期內最大的市場
由於電動機車兼具便利性和效率,預計在預測期內將佔據最大的市場佔有率。電動機車為傳統交通途徑提供了環保的替代方案,並符合人們對永續性日益成長的重視。電池技術的進步和充電基礎設施的日益普及進一步推動了這一領域的成長。隨著都市區尋求更清潔、更有效率的出行解決方案,電動自動駕駛自行車將引領市場。
預計預測期內,5 級(全自動)部分將以最高的複合年成長率成長。
在實現最高安全性、效率和用戶便利性的願望的推動下,預計 5 級(完全自動駕駛)領域將在預測期內實現最高的成長率。技術進步和嚴格的測試為 5 級自動駕駛摩托車的商業化鋪平了道路。隨著這些自行車變得越來越可靠且價格更實惠,它們的普及預計將加速,從而促進該領域的強勁成長。
預計北美地區將在預測期內佔據最大的市場佔有率,這得益於其發達的基礎設施、較高的技術準備度以及支持性的法規環境,從而鞏固了其主導地位。北美對智慧城市計畫和永續交通解決方案的關注進一步推動了自動駕駛自行車的普及。隨著對城市交通解決方案的投資不斷增加,北美有望引領市場。
在預測期內,由於對創新運輸解決方案的需求,預計亞太地區將呈現最高的複合年成長率。該地區各國政府正積極推動智慧城市計劃和永續交通,為自動駕駛自行車的普及創造良好的環境。此外,該地區強大的製造能力和技術進步支持了自動駕駛摩托車的開發和生產。因此,亞太地區將見證該市場的顯著成長。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Autonomous Bike Market is accounted for $1.5 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach $8.2 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 32.9% during the forecast period. An autonomous bike, also known as a self-driving or robotic bicycle, is equipped with various sensors like cameras, LiDAR, radar, and ultrasonic sensors, which allow it to perceive the environment and navigate safely. Advanced AI and machine learning algorithms process this data to make real-time decisions for path planning, obstacle avoidance, and speed control. Actuators manage the bike's steering, pedaling, and braking, while connectivity features like GPS and wireless communication enable route planning and interaction with traffic infrastructure.
According to data publicized by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA), a total of 6,756,000 police-reported motor vehicle traffic crashes were recorded in 2019.
Increasing urban congestion and last-mile connectivity needs
There is an increasing need for efficient transportation alternatives to alleviate traffic woes as cities become more crowded. Autonomous bikes offer a promising solution by providing a seamless and eco-friendly option for short-distance travel. Additionally, the integration of autonomous technology enhances the user experience, making these bikes an attractive choice for urban commuters. The growing interest in smart city initiatives further amplifies the demand for autonomous bikes as they align with the goals of reducing carbon emissions and improving urban mobility.
High development & production costs
The advanced technologies required for autonomy, including sensors and artificial intelligence, drive up the manufacturing expenses. Additionally, the costs associated with research and development for ensuring safety and reliability add to the financial burden. These high costs can make autonomous bikes less accessible to a broader audience, limiting their market penetration. Thus, despite the promising potential, the high development and production costs of autonomous bikes present a significant restraint.
Rise of autonomous delivery services and bike-sharing platforms
The growing popularity of e-commerce, efficient and timely delivery solutions are in high demand. Autonomous bikes can play a crucial role in enhancing last-mile delivery services by offering a cost-effective and environmentally friendly alternative. Furthermore, bike-sharing platforms can leverage autonomous bikes to provide users with a convenient and hassle-free riding experience. The integration of autonomous technology in these services can lead to improved operational efficiency and customer satisfaction.
Limited infrastructure & technical challenges
Successful deployment of autonomous bikes relies heavily on robust infrastructure, including dedicated bike lanes and smart city technologies. Inadequate infrastructure can hinder the smooth operation and safety of these bikes, deterring potential users. Additionally, technical challenges related to navigation, obstacle detection, and battery life need to be addressed to ensure the reliability of autonomous bikes which hampers the growth of the market.
Covid-19 Impact
During the pandemic, the demand for contactless delivery services surged, highlighting the potential of autonomous bikes in ensuring safe and efficient deliveries. However, the pandemic also disrupted supply chains and delayed the development and deployment of autonomous bike technologies. On the brighter side, the increased focus on health and sustainability has driven interest in autonomous bikes as a clean and safe mode of transportation.
The electric bikes segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The electric bikes segment is expected to account for the largest market share during the forecast period owing to compelling combination of convenience and efficiency. Electric bikes provide an eco-friendly alternative to traditional transportation modes, aligning with the growing emphasis on sustainability. The advancements in battery technology and the increasing availability of charging infrastructure further support the growth of this segment. As urban areas seek cleaner and more efficient mobility solutions, electric autonomous bikes are poised to lead the market.
The level 5 (full automation) segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
Over the forecast period, the level 5 (full automation) segment is predicted to witness the highest growth rate driven by the desire to achieve maximum safety, efficiency, and user convenience. Technological advancements and rigorous testing are paving the way for the commercialization of level 5 autonomous bikes. As these bikes become more reliable and affordable, their adoption is expected to accelerate, contributing to the segment's robust growth.
During the forecast period, the North America region is expected to hold the largest market share due to the region's well-developed infrastructure, high technological readiness, and supportive regulatory environment contribute to its dominant position. North America's focus on smart city initiatives and sustainable transportation solutions further drives the adoption of autonomous bikes. With increasing investments in urban mobility solutions, North America is poised to lead the market.
Over the forecast period, the Asia Pacific region is anticipated to exhibit the highest CAGR attributed to the demand for innovative transportation solutions. Governments in the region are actively promoting smart city projects and sustainable mobility, creating a favorable environment for the adoption of autonomous bikes. Additionally, the strong manufacturing capabilities and technological advancements in the region support the development and production of autonomous bikes. As a result, Asia Pacific is set to experience significant growth in this market.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Autonomous Bike market include Flo Mobility Private Limited, BMW Group, Go X Apollo, Honda Motor Co., Ltd., Kawasaki Heavy Industries, Ltd., Refraction AI, Yamaha Motor Co., Ltd., Tortoise, Tesla, Zebra Technologies, BikeHow, Trek Bicycle Components, Waymon and Auro Robotics.
In February 2025, BMW Group revealed revolutionary electric drive concept with 800V technology for the Neue Klasse. The first Neue Klasse model will go into series production later this year at Plant Debrecen in Hungary.
In February 2025, Honda Motor Co., Ltd. partnered with the United Nations Road Safety Fund (UNRSF) to contribute to global initiatives to reduce fatalities from traffic collisions, including a previously announced commitment of US$3 million over 5 years.
Note: Tables for North America, Europe, APAC, South America, and Middle East & Africa Regions are also represented in the same manner as above.