市場調查報告書
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1438189
2030 年航空燃油市場預測:按燃油類型、飛機類型、最終用戶和地區分類的全球分析Aviation Fuel Market Forecasts to 2030 - Global Analysis By Fuel Type (Sustainable Fuel, Conventional Fuel and Other Fuel Types), Aircraft Type, End User and By Geography |
根據Stratistics MRC預測,2023年全球航空燃油市場規模將達2,891億美元,預計2030年將達到8,024億美元,預測期內複合年成長率為15.7%。
航空燃油是液體燃料的一種,作為飛機引擎的動力來源極為重要。它們通常由精製石油製成,並經過嚴格的品管,以滿足嚴格的航空標準。最常見的噴射機燃料類型提供推動噴射引擎所需的能量。它由碳氫化合物構成,其性能經過精心調整,以確保飛行中的最佳性能、效率和安全性。
根據國際航空運輸協會(IATA)統計,國際貿易中約90%的貨物透過海運,只有約0.5%透過空運。然而,航空貨運約佔世界貿易額的35%,金額約6兆美元。
航空旅行需求
市場持續受到航空需求的影響,這是市場動態的關鍵因素。隨著全球旅行需求的復甦,航空燃油的需求預計也會增加。經濟復甦、旅行限制放鬆和遊客增加等因素導致需求激增。市場參與企業正在監控這些發展並調整其生產和分銷策略,以確保該行業符合航空業不斷變化的需求。
環境問題
由於傳統石化燃料產生大量碳排放,市場面臨緊迫的環境挑戰。航空燃料的燃燒會導致溫室氣體排放,加劇氣候變遷。減少環境影響的努力包括開發和採用源自可再生資源的永續航空燃料(SAF)。該行業正在應對可擴充性、成本競爭和基礎設施適應等挑戰。
技術進步
由可再生資源合成的生質燃料作為傳統航空燃料的環保替代品正在受到關注。燃料添加劑和燃燒技術的進步旨在提高引擎性能並減少排放氣體。合成燃料和氫基推進系統的開發反映了該行業致力於解決環境問題,同時確保未來飛機的永續性。市場正在見證以永續性和效率為重點的重大技術進步。
原油價格波動
油價波動、地緣政治緊張局勢和全球經濟因素導致航空燃油價格出現不可預測的波動。這種波動凸顯了風險管理策略的重要性以及航空業快速適應不斷變化的經濟和地緣政治條件以確保穩定性和永續性的必要性。市場原油價格波動較快,對航空公司營運成本影響較大。
COVID-19大流行對航空燃油市場產生了重大影響,廣泛的旅行限制和航空需求減少導致航空燃油消耗急劇下降。航空公司停飛飛機,導致燃油需求減少和市場過剩。供應過剩和需求減少導致價格大幅下跌,影響了燃料供應商和石油公司。航空業的緩慢復甦進一步延長了航空燃油市場面臨的挑戰,凸顯了市場對外部衝擊和全球危機的脆弱性。
預計傳統燃料領域在預測期內將是最大的
預計傳統燃料領域在預測期內將是最大的。傳統航空燃料通常來自原油等傳統型資源,主導航空燃料市場。噴射機燃料是精製煤油,主要用於為民航機和軍用飛機動力來源。儘管尋找生質燃料和合成燃料等替代燃料不斷減少對環境的影響,但由於已建立的基礎設施以及與現有飛機引擎的兼容性,傳統航空燃料仍然佔據主導地位。
預計民用航空領域在預測期內複合年成長率最高
預計民用航空業在預測期內的複合年成長率最高。由於對高效和永續能源來源的持續需求,該行業專注於推動生質燃料和環保替代燃料。監管舉措和技術創新繼續影響著該行業,旨在減少碳排放並提高燃油效率。隨著全球航空需求的增加,民航業持續對航空燃油市場的未來前景產生重大影響。
預計北美在預測期內將佔據最大的市場佔有率。以永續航空燃料為重點,該產業正在加大對清潔替代燃料研發的投資。主要企業之間的監管措施和合作旨在減少航空對環境的影響。儘管面臨油價波動帶來的挑戰,北美航空燃油市場仍在不斷發展,融合創新和永續性,以滿足充滿活力的產業的需求。
預計亞太地區在預測期內複合年成長率最高。該地區的經濟發展和可支配收入的增加促進了航空活動的活性化。飛機航班數量和新航空公司的設立迅速增加,對航空燃油的需求也不斷增加。政府支持航空業的舉措進一步推動了市場動態。該地區的主要企業正在對基礎設施和永續燃料解決方案進行策略性投資,以滿足該地區快速成長的航空業不斷變化的需求。
According to Stratistics MRC, the Global Aviation Fuel Market is accounted for $289.1 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach $802.4 billion by 2030 growing at a CAGR of 15.7% during the forecast period. Aviation fuel, a specialized type of liquid fuel, is crucial for powering aircraft engines. Typically derived from refined petroleum, it undergoes rigorous quality control to meet stringent aviation standards. Jet fuel, the most common type, provides the energy needed for propulsion in jet engines. Composed of hydrocarbons, its properties are carefully calibrated to ensure optimal performance, efficiency, and safety during flight.
According to International Air Transport Association (IATA), approximately 90% of cargo in international trade is shipped via sea route, and only around 0.5% is transported by air. But this transport by air cargo translates to around 35% of world trade by value or nearly $6 trillion in value.
Air travel demand
The market continues to be influenced by air travel demand, a pivotal factor in its dynamics. As global travel rebounds, the demand for aviation fuel is expected to rise, driven by increased flight operations. Factors such as economic recovery, easing travel restrictions, and growing tourism contribute to the surge in demand. Market participants closely monitor these trends to adjust production and distribution strategies, ensuring the industry aligns with the evolving needs of the aviation sector.
Environmental concerns
The market faces pressing environmental concerns due to the significant carbon footprint associated with traditional fossil fuels. The combustion of aviation fuels contributes to greenhouse gas emissions, exacerbating climate change. Efforts to mitigate environmental impact include the development and adoption of sustainable aviation fuels (SAFs) derived from renewable sources. The industry grapples with challenges such as scalability, cost competitiveness, and infrastructure adaptation.
Technological advancements
Biofuels, synthesized from renewable sources, are gaining prominence as eco-friendly alternatives to traditional aviation fuels. Advancements in fuel additives and combustion technologies aim to enhance engine performance and reduce emissions. The development of synthetic fuels and hydrogen-based propulsion systems reflects the industry's commitment to addressing environmental concerns while ensuring future aviation sustainability. The market has witnessed significant technological advancements, focusing on sustainability and efficiency.
Volatility in oil prices
Fluctuations in crude oil prices, geopolitical tensions, and global economic factors contribute to unpredictable shifts in aviation fuel prices. This volatility underscores the importance of risk management strategies and the need for the aviation industry to adapt swiftly to changing economic and geopolitical conditions to ensure stability and sustainability. The market experiences heightened volatility in oil prices, significantly impacting operational costs for airlines.
The COVID-19 pandemic significantly impacted the aviation fuel market as widespread travel restrictions and reduced air travel demand led to a sharp decline in aviation fuel consumption. Airlines grounded fleets, resulting in decreased fuel requirements and a surplus in the market. The oversupply and diminished demand caused a substantial drop in prices, affecting fuel suppliers and oil companies. The aviation industry's slow recovery further prolonged the challenges faced by the aviation fuel market, emphasizing the market's vulnerability to external shocks and global crises.
The conventional fuel segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period
The conventional fuel segment is expected to be the largest during the forecast period. Conventional aviation fuel, typically derived from fossil sources like crude oil, dominates the aviation fuel market. Jet fuel, a refined form of kerosene, is the primary choice for powering commercial and military aircraft. While there are ongoing efforts to explore alternative fuels such as biofuels and synthetic fuels to reduce environmental impact, conventional aviation fuel remains the dominant player due to its established infrastructure and compatibility with existing aircraft engines.
The commercial aviation segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period
The commercial aviation segment is expected to have the highest CAGR during the forecast period. With a constant need for efficient and sustainable energy sources, the industry focuses on advancements in biofuels and eco-friendly alternatives. Regulatory initiatives and technological innovations continue to shape the sector, aiming for reduced carbon emissions and increased fuel efficiency. As the global demand for air travel grows, the commercial aviation segment remains a key influencer in shaping the future landscape of the aviation fuel market.
North America is projected to hold the largest market share during the forecast period. With a focus on sustainable aviation fuels, the industry is witnessing increased investments in research and development for cleaner alternatives. Regulatory initiatives and collaborations among key players aim to reduce the environmental impact of aviation. Despite challenges posed by fluctuating oil prices, the North American aviation fuel market continues to evolve, embracing innovation and sustainability to meet the demands of a dynamic industry.
Asia Pacific is projected to hold the highest CAGR over the forecast period. The region's economic development and rising disposable incomes contribute to increased airline activities. With a surge in fleet expansions and new airline ventures, the demand for aviation fuel has escalated. Government initiatives supporting the aviation sector further boost market dynamics. Key players in the region are strategically investing in infrastructure and sustainable fuel solutions to meet the evolving needs of the burgeoning aviation industry in the region.
Key players in the market
Some of the key players in Aviation Fuel market include EAviation Fuelon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation, Shell Plc, Indian Oil Corporation Limited, TotalEnergies SE, Valero Energy Corporation, Marathon Petroleum Corporation, Bharat Petroleum Corporation Limited, World Fuel Service, Red Rock Biofuels LLC, Emirates National Oil Company, Allied Aviation Services Inc., Abu Dhabi National Oil Company, Red Rock Biofuels LLC, Swedish Biofuels AB and Boeing.
In February 2023, Boeing has secured agreements to procure 5.6 million gallons (21.2 million liters) of blended sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) from Neste, the foremost producer of SAF globally. This procurement is aimed at supporting Boeing's U.S. commercial operations until 2023.
In January 2023, The Indian Oil Corporation (IOC) initiated the export of aviation fuel, catering to the requirements of small aircraft and unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs). This move allows India to enter the global market, valued at approximately USD 2.7 billion, by venturing into petroleum exports.