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自動中型及大型卡車市場
市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1823721

自動中型及大型卡車市場

Automated Medium-Duty and Heavy-Duty Trucks: Global Sales and Revenue Forecasts for Autonomous Trucking, 2025-2034
出版日期: | 出版商: Guidehouse Research | 英文 33 Pages | 訂單完成後即時交付

價格

多年來，自動駕駛技術的進步引起了媒體的廣泛關注，尤其是在輕型車輛領域。這些技術通常允許駕駛員將雙手從方向盤上移開，在某些情況下，視線甚至可以離開道路。最近的趨勢集中在無人駕駛計程車和共乘乘車上，這些車輛無需駕駛員，在某些情況下甚至無需前排安全監控。

本報告評估了中重型 (MHD) 卡車的銷售和收入潛力，這些卡車可能在整個路線行駛過程中無需持續監控。這些卡車的總車輛額定重量 (GVWR) 為 10,000 磅（4,536 公斤）或更大。本分析涵蓋車輛總重 (GVWR) 在 10,000 至 26,000 磅（4,536 至 11,793 公斤）之間的中型卡車，以及車輛總重 (GVWR) 超過 26,000 磅（11,793 公斤）的重型卡車。此外，本分析也涵蓋了自動駕駛技術在公路和越野路況下的用例。

預計全球無人駕駛（即自動駕駛）MHD 卡車的銷量將在預測期末趨於成熟，到 2034 年將達到約 36,000 輛，其中，由於快速增長和有利的監管條件，中國將佔約三分之一的市場佔有率。

目錄

第1章 摘要整理

第2章 市場問題

  • 簡介
  • 促進因素
    • 簡化的ODD
    • 驅動短缺與驅動成本
    • 降低總體擁有成本
  • 障礙
    • 公眾對自動化的看法
    • 勞動政治
    • 資金問題

第3章 產業價值鏈

  • 簡介
  • 競爭情形
  • 產業價值鏈
    • M&A活動

第4章 市場預測

  • 調查手法
  • MHD卡車銷售預測
  • 自動MHD卡車銷售預測
    • 大型卡車銷售預測自動化
    • 中型卡車的自動銷售預測
  • 自動MHD卡車的收益預測
    • 大型卡車的銷售額預測自動化
    • 中型卡車的自動收益預測
  • 自動公路式MHD卡車銷售預測
  • 自動卸載MHD卡車的銷售預測

第5章 結論·建議

  • 3個大的要點
  • 推薦事項

第6章 與縮寫簡稱一覽

第7章 目錄

第8章 圖表

第9章 調查範圍，資訊來源，調查手法及註解

Product Code: MF-MHDAV-25

For many years, advances in automated driving technology have received significant media attention, particularly in the light-duty vehicle segment. Generally, these technologies enable drivers to remove their hands from the wheel, and, in some cases, their eyes from the road. Recent developments have focused on robotaxis, rideshare vehicles that operate without a driver or sometimes, without a safety monitor in the front seat.

This report evaluates the potential sales and revenues of medium- and heavy-duty (MHD) trucks that are capable of operating without continuous supervision, potentially through their entire routes. Their gross vehicle weight rating (GVWR) is greater than 10,000 pounds/4,536 kilograms. The analysis covers both medium-duty trucks, whose GVWR is between 10,000 and 26,000 pounds/4,536 and 11,793 kilograms, and heavy-duty trucks whose GVWR is greater than 26,000 pounds/11,793 kilograms. It also includes on-road and off-road use cases for autonomous technologies.

Guidehouse Research anticipates that global sales of hands-off/eyes-off (i.e., automated) MHD trucks will only mature toward the end of the forecast period, reaching approximately 36,000 units by 2034, with China accounting for nearly one-third of the market due to rapid growth and favorable regulatory conditions.

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

  • 1.1 Market Overview
  • 1.2 Scope
  • 1.3 Market Forecasts

2. Market Issues

  • 2.1 Introduction
  • 2.2 Drivers
    • 2.2.1 Simplified ODDs
    • 2.2.2 Driver Shortages and Driver Costs
    • 2.2.3 Lower TCO
  • 2.3 Barriers
    • 2.3.1 Public Opinion on Automation
    • 2.3.2 Workforce Political Power
    • 2.3.3 Funding Issues

3. Industry Value Chain

  • 3.1 Introduction
  • 3.2 Competitive Landscape
  • 3.3 Industry Value Chain
    • 3.3.1 M&A Activities

4. Market Forecasts

  • 4.1 Methodology
  • 4.2 MHD Truck Sales Forecasts
  • 4.3 Automated MHD Truck Sales Forecasts
    • 4.3.1 Automated Heavy-Duty Truck Sales Forecasts
    • 4.3.2 Automated Medium-Duty Truck Sales Forecasts
  • 4.4 Automated MHD Truck Revenue Forecasts
    • 4.4.1 Automated Heavy-Duty Truck Revenue Forecasts
    • 4.4.2 Automated Medium-Duty Truck Revenue Forecasts
  • 4.5 Automated On-Road MHD Truck Sales Forecasts
  • 4.6 Automated Off-Road MHD Truck Sales Forecasts

5. Conclusions and Recommendations

  • 5.1 Three Big Takeaways
  • 5.2 Recommendations
    • 5.2.1 MHDV Autonomy Developers
    • 5.2.2 MHD OEMs
    • 5.2.3 Government Policymakers
    • 5.2.4 Trucking Fleet Operators

6. Acronym and Abbreviation List

7. Table of Contents

8. Table of Charts and Figures

9. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology & Notes

List of Figures

  • Chart 1-1. Automated MHD Truck Sales, World Markets: 2025-2034
  • Chart 4-1. MHD Truck Sales by Region, World Markets: 2025-2034
  • Chart 4-2. Automated MHD Truck Sales, World Markets: 2025-2034
  • Chart 4-3. Automated Heavy-Duty Truck Sales, World Markets: 2025-2034
  • Chart 4-4. Automated Medium-Duty Truck Sales, World Markets: 2025-2034
  • Chart 4-5. Automated MHD Truck Revenues, World Markets: 2025-2034
  • Chart 4-6. Automated Heavy-Duty Truck Revenues, World Markets: 2025-2034
  • Chart 4-7. Automated Medium-Duty Truck Revenues, World Markets: 2025-2034
  • Chart 4-8. Automated On-Road MHD Truck Sales, World Markets: 2025-2034
  • Chart 4-9. Automated Off-Road MHD Truck Sales, World Markets: 2025-2034
  • Figure 3-1. Pictorial Representation of the Automated MHD Truck Value Chain