營運商中立網路營運商 (CNNO) 市場回顧(2024 年第四季):生成式人工智慧 (Generic AI) 熱潮加速私募股權投資
市場調查報告書
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1723670

營運商中立網路營運商 (CNNO) 市場回顧(2024 年第四季):生成式人工智慧 (Generic AI) 熱潮加速私募股權投資

Carrier-Neutral Operator Market Review, 4Q24: GenAI Hype Speeds Up Private Equity's Push into Sector

出版日期: | 出版商: MTN Consulting, LLC | 英文 | 訂單完成後即時交付

價格

預計 2024 年營收將保持穩定,約 1,070 億美元,而資本支出將成長 7%,達到 430 億美元。生成式人工智慧 (Generic AI) 熱潮正在推動這一成長,尤其是在 Airtrunk 等大型私募股權主導的交易中

本報告探討了營運商中立網路營運商 (CNNO) 市場的成長和發展,追蹤了 2011 年第一季至 2024 年第四季全球 47 家 CNNO 的大量財務數據。

受訪公司預計 2024 年全年營收為 1,067 億美元(年增 0.2%),資本支出為 429 億美元(年增 6.8%)。截至2024年底,這些CNNO的淨固定資產為2,611億美元(年減0.5%),員工約11.2萬人(年減2.0%)。

視覺



CNNO 是 MTN Consulting 追蹤的三大營運商細分市場中規模最小的一個(另外兩個是營運商和網路營運商),但它在電信領域發揮著非常重要且互補的作用。 CNNO 擁有並經營全球眾多行動訊號塔、小型基地台、資料中心和光纖批發網路。過去,電信業者採取 "全包" 模式,擁有整個網路基礎設施,自行生產交換器和傳輸設備,甚至提供客戶端設備 (CPE)。但這種模式已經過時。到 2025 年,電信業者將結合自有設施和租賃或租用的外部資源來建立實體網路。許多電信業者傳統上透過將部分實體資產出售給私募股權基金或上市的有線電視網路營運商 (CNNO) 的基礎設施部門來籌集資金。這些出售通常包含回租條款,使電信業者能夠有效地將資本支出轉化為營運支出。網路營運商(例如雲端服務供應商)也嚴重依賴CNNO。他們正在進行大量的資本支出,僅在 2023 年就達到 3,040 億美元,但他們主要租賃光纖和傳輸頻寬,並不擁有所有資料中心。 CNNO 也服務其他終端市場,例如金融、媒體和能源等行業的企業和政府機構,但其最大的客戶是電信營運商和網路營運商。 CNNO 在這些營運商的網路設計和成本結構中發揮著至關重要的作用。

報告重點:

營收:CNNO 的營收將從 2011 年的不到 200 億美元成長到 2024 年的 1,067 億美元。這一數字與上年基本持平,這對於併購活動較少的年份來說並不罕見。然而,從2018年到2024年,CNNO的營收將以年均7%的穩定速度成長。到2024年,將有7家CNNO公司的年收入超過50億美元。

資本支出:CNNO的資本支出將從2011年的約60億美元增加到2024年的429億美元。這比2023年成長了約7%,這是一個健康的成長率,但與專門從事超大規模資料中心建設的公司的資本支出成長相比,這一成長幅度仍然很小。例如,2024年,網路規模營運商的資本支出成長超過50%,而生成式人工智慧的繁榮已經將該市場推入泡沫區域。 CNNO產業的生成式人工智慧過熱趨勢主要集中在私募股權引領的私人公司。

獲利能力:2024 年 CNNO 產業的平均淨利率為 2.1%,與 2023 年的 2.7% 基本持平。儘管 Crown Castle 的光纖網路業務出現了巨額虧損,但這筆數據仍然保持了下來。 2024年,自由現金流利潤率平均為2.8%,較2023年的-0.8%大幅提升。到2024年底,CNNO的資產負債表上的債務將達到約2,400億美元,其中現金和投資略低於220億美元,淨債務仍接近2,200億美元。

調查對象

本檢討中包含著以下的企業。

  • 21Vianet
  • American Tower
  • Arqiva
  • Balitower
  • Bharti Infratel
  • ByteDance
  • Cellnex
  • China Tower
  • ChinData
  • Chorus Limited
  • Cogent
  • CoreSite Realty
  • Crown Castle
  • CyrusOne
  • Cyxtera
  • Databank
  • Digital Realty
  • DigitalBridge
  • DuPont Fabros
  • EI Towers
  • Equinix
  • GDS Data Centers
  • GTL Infrastructure
  • GTT Communications
  • Helios Towers
  • IBS Towers
  • IHS Towers
  • Internap
  • Interxion
  • Inwit
  • Keppel DC REIT
  • Level 3
  • Lumos
  • NBN Australia
  • NEXTDC
  • QTS Realty
  • SBA Communications
  • SMN (Protelindo)
  • STP Towers
  • Summit Digitel
  • Sunevision
  • Superloop
  • Switch
  • TDF Infrastructure
  • Telesites
  • Telxius/Telefonica
  • Tower Bersama
  • Uniti Group
  • Zayo

目錄

第1章 報告亮點

第2章 CNNO市場區隔概要

第3章 分析

第4章 運用指標

第5章 主要統計

第6章 企業的詳細分析

第7章 企業基準

第8章 原始數據

第9章 匯率

第10章 關於本公司

Product Code: GNI-12052025-1

Revenues flat at ~$107B in 2024, capex up 7% to $43B; GenAI hype is a driver, but more so in PE-led ventures (e.g. Airtrunk) due to size & scale requirements

This report reviews the growth and development of the carrier-neutral network operator (CNNO) market. The report tracks a wide range of financial stats for 47 CNNOs across the globe, from 1Q11 through 4Q24. For the full-year 2024, the companies covered by this study represented $106.7 billion (B) in revenues (+0.2% YoY), and $42.9 B in capex (+6.8% YoY). At the end of 2024 (EOY24), these CNNOs had $261.1B of net plant, property and equipment (net PP&E) on the books (-0.5% YoY), and employed approximately 112,000 people (-2.0% YoY).

VISUALS



The CNNO market is the smallest of three operator segments tracked by MTN Consulting, alongside telco & webscale, but CNNOs play a crucial, complementary role in the communications sector and own and operate a large portion of the world's cell towers, small cells, data centers, and wholesale fiber networks. In the old days, telcos did it all: they owned all the network infrastructure, they manufactured the switches and transmission gear deployed in the network, and even provided CPE. That model is long since extinct. The telco of 2025 cobbles together its physical network from a mix of owned and leased or rented resources. Over the years, many telcos have raised funds by selling off parts of their physical plant to private equity funds with infrastructure arms, or to public CNNOs. Usually there is a leaseback provision as part of the sale, enabling the telco to effectively turn capex into opex. Cloud providers in the webscale world also rely heavily on CNNOs; while they spend heavily on capex ($304B last year), they generally lease fiber or transmission bandwidth, and only own a portion of their data centers. CNNOs do serve other end markets, including various enterprise verticals (finance, media, and energy), and government. But telcos and webscalers are the biggest targets. CNNOs play a vital role in the network design and cost structure of these operators.

CNNOs are constantly reshuffling their asset base to optimize costs and position for growth. The most effective CNNOs have mastered the art of acquiring companies and/or discrete physical networks or facilities, and integrating them smoothly and quickly into existing operations. Finding cost benefits from the greater scale is key, as is being able to cross-sell across a larger universe of customers. This study attempts to focus on the purely 'neutral' CNNOs, i.e. the ones that do not have key customers also show up as key shareholders. China Tower, for instance, is majority owned by its top 3 customers, the big local telcos. This is an exception to the rule; we do include China Tower, because of its size and China's unusual networks ecosystem.

The figures in this study are based on a thorough bottoms-up assessment of the global CNNO market, focusing on companies that are either publicly traded now, or were public in the recent past. We cannot credibly track a company if it is purely private and reports no audited numbers to regulatory authorities. This is also a challenge in other markets, such as webscale, where we are not able to track ByteDance/TikTok officially because it produces no reliable numbers. In the CNNO world, the biggest challenge is private equity. PE's rising interest in assembling digital infrastructure portfolios is a big reason for the growth of the CNNO market over the last decade. They're attempting to create synergies across their digital investees, sometimes through mergers, and synergies with other parts of their investment portfolio. With the rise of GenAI, for instance, some PE firms are investing directly in energy supply in order to ensure competitive rates and terms (e.g. renewable sources) for the data center players in their portoflio. We include some PE-owned companies in this study, if it's possible to estimate their financials from past reported data. But we also have to exclude some major players; Airtrunk is a good example. It was acquired by PE giant Blackstone late last year, for $16B. This is the CNNO market's biggest M&A deal in 2024, but we have no realistic way to capture Airtrunk in our database.

Below are some highlights from the report:

Revenues: from under $20B in 2011, the CNNO sector recorded revenues of $106.7B in 2024. That is roughly zero growth YoY, which is not unusual in a year when M&A was almost nonexistent; over the 2018-24 timeframe, CNNO revenue growth averaged 7% per year. In 2024, there were 7 CNNOs with over $5B in annual revenues; from largest to smallest, they are: China Tower ($13.6B), American Tower ($10.1B), Equinix ($8.7B), DigitalBridge ($8.6B), Crown Castle ($6.6B), Level 3 ($6.5B), and Digital Realty ($5.6B). A few of these are exclusively focused on one type of infra, while some are hybrid. China Tower is focused on macro cell towers, but it also has extensive DAS coverage (e.g. 13,126km of subway coverage) and is building an energy business focused on battery exchange and power backup. American Tower is a hybrid, beginning its life as a tower specialist but branching into data centers with the 2021 purchase of CoreSite. Equinix and Digital Realty are data center specialists exclusively, just as Level 3 is focused solely on fiber/bandwidth. Crown Castle owns towers, small cells, and fiber, but is selling off the latter two to Zayo & EQT. DigitalBridge is the oddest of the 7, as it is an investment holding company with stakes in a large number of CNNO-type providers, including towers, small cells/DAS, fiber, and data centers. DataBank and Zayo are two of its largest holdings. To grow over five-fold in a decade, the scope of the market has expanded dramatically, largely through M&A. Since 2011, CNNOs' M&A has totaled $229.6B, versus $347B for capex.

Capex: from ~$6B in 2011, CNNO capex was $42.9B in 2024. That is up about 7% up from the 2023 total. That's a healthy level of growth, but nothing like the capex growth of companies focused on hyperscale data center construction. Webscale capex grew by over 50% in 2024. Generative AI hype long ago pushed that market into bubble territory. In CNNO, the GenAI excesses are concentrated in the PE sector, by private companies, being driven by true believer investors who view 'digital infrastructure' as a key driving force for future economic growth. Many believe that GenAI can solve many of the world's problems, including climate change. Among CNNOs without PE backing, some have been using creative financing vehicles to build hyperscale-class facilities for the big cloud providers. In October 2024, for instance, Equinix announced a $15B joint venture with GIC and Canada Pension Plan Investment Board (CPP Investments), to build hyperscale/AI data centers in the US market. Similarly, on a much smaller scale, Digital Realty announced in March 2025 that it would enter the Indonesian market via a JV, with Bersama Digital Infrastructure Asia.

Profitability: average net margin for the CNNO sector was 2.1% in 2024, in line with the 2.7% recorded in 2023, despite Crown Castle booking a big net loss last year related to its fiber network. Free cash flow margin averaged to 2.8% in 2024, up from the -0.8% of 2023. CNNOs had nearly $240B of debt on the balance sheets at EOY24, and just under $22B in cash & investments; net debt, therefore, is still nearly $220B. Both American Tower and Crown Castle have recently announced big asset sales to help lower debt levels, and we can expect more of this to occur in 2025.

Employees: CNNOs ended 2024 with about 112K employees, from 114.3K at EOY2023. CNNOs aim for efficiency in the operation of their infrastructure, and use automation when possible to lower labor costs. However, most CNNOs engage in M&A and hence often need to integrate & rationalize assets before they can reap the scale & synergy benefits. There can be some delay as adjustments to the workforce are made. On a revenue per employee basis, the CNNO sector is impressive, at over $945K per employee in 2024, up slightly from $937K in 2023. These figures are significantly higher than the webscale and telco network operator markets.

Energy: CNNOs consumed an average of 796 MWH per $M of revenues in 2024 (estimated), up from 555 MWh/$M several years ago, in 2019. Data center CNNOs are starting to dominate the market, and they use much higher than average amounts of energy to power their operations. The most energy intensive CNNO in 2023 (the last year with actual data) was ChinData, at 4,403 MWh/$M; Crown Castle was towards the bottom, with just 31MWh/$M.

Research Coverage

The following companies are included in this Market Review:

  • 21Vianet
  • American Tower
  • Arqiva
  • Balitower
  • Bharti Infratel
  • ByteDance
  • Cellnex
  • China Tower
  • ChinData
  • Chorus Limited
  • Cogent
  • CoreSite Realty
  • Crown Castle
  • CyrusOne
  • Cyxtera
  • Databank
  • Digital Realty
  • DigitalBridge
  • DuPont Fabros
  • EI Towers
  • Equinix
  • GDS Data Centers
  • GTL Infrastructure
  • GTT Communications
  • Helios Towers
  • IBS Towers
  • IHS Towers
  • Internap
  • Interxion
  • Inwit
  • Keppel DC REIT
  • Level 3
  • Lumos
  • NBN Australia
  • NEXTDC
  • QTS Realty
  • SBA Communications
  • SMN (Protelindo)
  • STP Towers
  • Summit Digitel
  • Sunevision
  • Superloop
  • Switch
  • TDF Infrastructure
  • Telesites
  • Telxius/Telefonica
  • Tower Bersama
  • Uniti Group
  • Zayo

Table of Contents

1. Report Highlights

2. CNNO Segment Overview

3. Analysis

4. Operating Metrics

5. Key Stats

6. Company Drilldown

7. Company Benchmarking

8. Raw Data

9. Exchange Rates

10. About

List of Figures and Charts

  • 1. Revenues by CNNO type (US$M)
  • 2. Revenues single-quarter (US$M)
  • 3. CNNO Profitability, annualized (%)
  • 4. Capex & M&A spending, single-quarter (US$M)
  • 5. Net PP&E by CNNO type (US$M)
  • 6. Number of data centers & NRSF per data center (K)
  • 7. Bandwidth fiber route miles, Global
  • 8. CNNO towers & average tenancy ratio
  • 9. Average size of data center, owned vs. leased: Equinix (000s of sq ft)
  • 10. Average number of cabinets installed, owned vs. leased: 21ViaNet
  • 11. # OF DATACENTERS: Global
  • 12. NET RENTABLE SQUARE FEET (NRSF) (MN): Global
  • 13. NRSF PER DATA CENTER (K): Global
  • 14. # OF TOWERS: By Region
  • 15. NUMBER OF TENANTS: By Region
  • 16. AVG TENANCY PER OCCUPIED TOWER: By Region
  • 17. ROUTE MILES OF FIBER: Global

Below charts by total CNNO market and by companies:

  • 1. Revenues: annual, single-quarter, and annualized (US$M)
  • 2. Profitability (Net Profit; Cash from operations; Free cash flow): annual, single-quarter, and annualized (US$M)
  • 3. Spending (M&A; Capex): annual, single-quarter, and annualized (US$M)
  • 4. Cash & Short-term Investments: annual and single-quarter (US$M)
  • 5. Debt (Total debt; Net debt): annual and single-quarter (US$M)
  • 6. Property, Plant & Equipment: annual and single-quarter (US$M)
  • 7. Key Ratios: Net margin; Capex/revenues; M&A/revenues; Free cash flow/revenues
  • 8. Total employees
  • 9. Energy Intensity in CNNO sector
  • 10. Energy Intensity by Company, 2023 (MWh/$M)
  • 11. Revenue per employee, annualized (US$K)
  • 12. FCF per employee, annualized (US$K)
  • 13. Net PP&E per employee, annualized (US$K)

Company benchmarking charts:

  • 1. 2018 vs. 2024: company benchmark by KPI (Revenues, Net profit, Cash from operations, Capex, Free cash flow, Cash & short-term investments, Net PP&E, Total debt)
  • 2. 2018 vs. 2024: company benchmark by key ratio (Capex/revenues; Net margin; FCF margin)
  • 3. KPI Benchmarking (Revenues, Net profit, Cash from operations, Capex, Free cash flow, Cash & short-term investments, Net PP&E, Total debt)
  • 4. Benchmarking by Key ratios: Capex/revenues; Net margin; FCF margin
  • 5. Top CNNOs by infrastructure type (2023):
    • # of towers
    • Avg tenancy per occupied tower
    • Number of Tenants
    • Route miles of fiber
    • # of datacenters
    • Net rentable square feet (NRSF) (Mn)
    • NRSF per data center (K)