![]() |
市場調查報告書
商品編碼
2061708
德國潤滑油市場:市場佔有率分析、產業趨勢與統計、成長預測(2026-2031)Germany Lubricants - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2026 - 2031) |
||||||
※ 本網頁內容可能與最新版本有所差異。詳細情況請與我們聯繫。
根據 Mordor Intelligence 預測,德國潤滑油市場將從 2025 年的 6.0412 億公升萎縮至 2026 年的 5.9892 億公升,然後從 2026 年到 2031 年以 -0.86% 的複合年成長率成長,到 2031 年達到 5.731 億升。

本報告按產品類型(汽車引擎油、工業引擎油、變速箱油、齒輪油、煞車油、液壓油、潤滑脂、加工油)、終端用戶產業(汽車、船舶、航太、重型機械、工業)和基礎油類型(礦物油、合成油、半合成油、生物基油)進行分類。市場預測以體積(公升)為單位。
2025年12月,德國機械和汽車工廠的產量在經歷大幅下滑後趨於穩定。隨後,每次批量進貨量(PMI)的增加都帶動了對金屬切削製程的需求。整合物聯網感測器的預測性維護乳液成功延長了油箱壽命,從而減少了浪費。巴登-符騰堡州的供應商已開始將冷卻液補充與CNC工具機運轉率掛鉤,顯著減少了停機時間。同時,從甲醛釋放劑轉向酯類半合成油,有助於在不影響表面光潔度的前提下,符合ISO 6743-7標準。隨著生產的穩定,這些製程改進將產生協同效應,即使在德國潤滑油市場萎縮的情況下,也能帶來適度的銷售量成長。
德國汽車工業協會 (VDA) 預測,到 2026 年,電池式電動車(BEV) 的註冊量將顯著成長,而 2024 年的成長則較為緩慢。每輛純電動車都需要一種導熱係數超過 0.15 W/m*K 的介電冷卻液,以及一種用於電氣絕緣和減少摩擦的特殊電橋油。工廠的加註供應合約有助於提高動力傳動系統的效率。專為電動車電池設計的合成酯類冷卻液可確保在寬廣的溫度範圍內保持黏度穩定性。隨著汽車產業向電氣化轉型,這些專用液體正成為德國潤滑油市場成長最快的細分領域。
英國石油公司(BP)宣布計劃關閉位於蓋爾森基興的原油加工廠。同時,殼牌公司已將位於韋瑟林的工廠改造為能夠生產III類基礎油的基地。近年來,德國基礎油銷售量大幅下滑,迫使調配商從ARA(美國基礎油協會)的樞紐採購高品質基礎油。此外,缺乏長期採購協議的中小型調配商正面臨利潤率下滑的壓力,這種情況可能會加速產業整合。
預計到2025年,汽車引擎機油將成為市場主導,佔29.72%。然而,0W-16和0W-20等超低黏度機油的出現徹底改變了市場格局,減少了加註量,並顯著延長了換油週期。金屬加工油是唯一呈現正向趨勢的領域,在採購經理人指數(PMI)回升的推動下,預計到2031年將以0.06%的複合年成長率穩定成長。合成渦輪機油和變壓器油則受益於離岸風力發電專案和電網升級帶來的需求成長。同時,煞車油升級至DOT 5.1標準,以更好地應對再生煞車產生的高溫。因此,德國機油市場的萎縮速度超過了整體市場的下滑速度。
到2025年,工業用油、變速箱油和齒輪油將佔據相當大的市場佔有率,這主要得益於商用車隊偏好的長換油週期。液壓油和潤滑脂曾佔據相當大的市場佔有率,但面臨電液執行器替代品的競爭。在基礎礦物油產品市場佔有率下滑的情況下,採用基於物聯網的狀態監測技術的特種混合油在德國潤滑油市場開闢了一片新天地。
According to Mordor Intelligence, the germany lubricants market size is expected to decline from 604.12 million liters in 2025 to 598.92 million liters in 2026 and is forecast to reach 573.61 million liters by 2031 at -0.86% CAGR over 2026-2031.

This report is Segmented by Product Type (Automotive Engine Oil, Industrial Engine Oil, Transmission Fluids, Gear Oil, Brake Fluids, Hydraulic Fluids, Greases, Process Oil, and More), End-User Industry (Automotive, Marine, Aerospace, Heavy Equipment, and Industrial), Base Stock Type (Mineral Oil-Based, Synthetic, Semi-Synthetic, and Bio-Based). Market Forecasts are Provided in Volume (Liters).
In December 2025, Germany's machinery and motor-vehicle plants experienced a significant dip in output before stabilizing. Every uptick in the PMI subsequently bolstered the demand for metal-cutting. Predictive-maintenance emulsions, now integrated with IoT sensors, have successfully extended sump life, leading to a reduction in disposal volumes. Suppliers in Baden-Wurttemberg have already begun synchronizing coolant replenishment with CNC utilization, achieving a notable reduction in downtime. Meanwhile, a shift from formaldehyde releasers to ester-based semi-synthetics has allowed for easy compliance with ISO 6743-7, ensuring surface finish quality isn't compromised. As production stabilizes, these process enhancements are expected to compound, driving modest volume growth even in a contracting German lubricants market.
By 2026, the Verband der Automobilindustrie forecasts significant growth in battery electric vehicle (BEV) registrations compared to the subdued figures of 2024. Each BEV necessitates dielectric coolants with thermal conductivity greater than 0.15 W/m*K, alongside e-axle oils specifically formulated for electrical insulation and reduced friction. Contracts for factory-fill supplies enhance drivetrain efficiency. Synthetic-ester coolants designed for electric vehicle batteries ensure viscosity stability across a wide temperature range. As automotive fleets transition to electric, these specialized fluids are emerging as the most rapidly expanding segment in Germany's lubricants market.
BP has announced plans to close down its crude capacity at Gelsenkirchen. Meanwhile, Shell repurposed its Wesseling facility into a site capable of producing Group III base oil. In recent years, Germany experienced a significant decline in base-oil sales, which compelled blenders to source premium stocks from the ARA hub. Additionally, smaller formulators, lacking long-term offtake contracts, have been grappling with margin compression, a situation that could hasten industry consolidation.
Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:
For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.
Automotive engine oil dominated at 29.72% in 2025. However, ultra-low-viscosity formulations such as 0W-16 and 0W-20 revolutionized the market, allowing for fill volume reductions and extending service intervals significantly. Metalworking fluids show the only positive trend, inching forward at 0.06% CAGR through 2031 as PMI rebounds. Synthetic turbine and transformer oils rode the wave of demand from offshore wind projects and grid upgrades. Meanwhile, brake fluids evolved, with upgrades to DOT 5.1 to better handle the intense heat from regenerative braking. Consequently, the market for engine oils in Germany contracted at a pace outstripping the broader market decline.
In 2025, industrial oil, transmission fluid, and gear oil collectively commanded a significant portion of the market volume, bolstered by long drain intervals favored by commercial fleets. Hydraulic fluids and greases, accounting for a notable share, faced competition from electro-hydraulic actuation substitutes. In a market where basic mineral products waned, specialty blends that leveraged IoT condition monitoring carved out a niche in the German lubricants landscape.