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市場調查報告書
商品編碼
1911711
尿素:市佔率分析、產業趨勢與統計、成長預測(2026-2031)Urea - Market Share Analysis, Industry Trends & Statistics, Growth Forecasts (2026 - 2031) |
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2025年尿素市值為769.5億美元,預計到2031年將達到1126.6億美元,而2026年為819.9億美元。
預計在預測期(2026-2031 年)內,複合年成長率將達到 6.57%。

需求持續上升,同時糧食面積的快速擴張和首批商業規模的綠氫能計劃正在重塑生產經濟格局。擁有長期天然氣合約的生產商能夠在價格上漲期間保障利潤,而分散式港口設施和可再生氨生產設施正開始改變區域成本曲線。同時,政府日益嚴格的溢油限制措施推動了對平均售價更高的包覆和穩定劑產品的需求。這些協同效應正在推動原料採購的策略性避險、與物流資產的更深層整合,以及高效能肥料配方研發的加速發展。
隨著全球穀物種植面積的擴大,農民力爭2030年將產量提高28%,氮肥需求也隨之穩定成長。印度、中國和非洲部分地區的高產小麥、稻米和玉米計畫正在大量消耗與GPS導航噴霧器相容的顆粒尿素。奈米尿素在印度的引入表明,最佳化施肥量可以在不減少養分供應的情況下降低對環境的影響。撒哈拉以南非洲地區的政府投入補貼進一步提高了化肥施用量,並促進了小規模農戶使用緩釋氮肥包膜產品。巴西國家肥料計畫正在支持大豆和玉米面積的擴大,同時提升國內產能以減少對進口的依賴。有利的商品價格正在維持面積的成長,並鞏固尿素市場的長期消費基礎。
在全球範圍內,玉米、油菜、棉花、高粱、水稻、小麥和大豆等作物是必需營養元素的主要消耗者。這些主要作物對營養元素的需求各不相同,預計到2024年,大量元素的平均施用量將在120.97公斤/公頃至255.75公斤/公頃之間。這些營養元素對於維持植物代謝過程以及細胞、細胞膜和葉綠素等重要組織的生長和發育至關重要。氮肥仍是施用最廣泛的營養元素,平均施用量為224.6公斤/公頃。隨著田間作物種植面積的不斷擴大,尤其是在南美洲和亞太地區,歐洲和北美等面臨營養元素缺乏的地區也擴大採用尿素專用肥料,因為其具有較高的肥效。
原料成本佔尿素出廠價格的80%之多。 2022年,當歐洲基準天然氣價格超過每兆瓦時300歐元(324美元)時,一些工廠為了避免虧損選擇停產。沙烏地阿拉伯基礎工業公司(SABIC)等一體化上游生產商透過自有天然氣供應維持了盈利。其他企業雖然制定了避險計劃,但如果現貨價格飆升超過其避險期限,仍將面臨資金外流。這種波動性正在加速向天然氣供應穩定的地區轉移,推動模組化工廠採用氨進口,並隨著電價下降重新激發人們對可再生氫的興趣。
水溶性尿素肥料預計將成為特種尿素肥料市場的主導細分市場,到2025年將佔40.35%的市場佔有率。尿素具有高氮含量和優異的水溶性,能夠顯著提高植物根係對氮的吸收,進而促進植物生長。此細分市場的主導地位主要歸因於土壤中氮含量的下降,而土壤氮含量下降的主要原因是氣候變遷的影響,例如全球乾旱、熱浪和水資源短缺的加劇。農民越來越傾向於使用水溶性尿素肥料,因為它既能確保穩定的氮供應,又能降低氮流失和揮發的風險,從而減少環境和地下水污染。緩釋尿素是成長最快的細分市場,預計從2026年到2031年將以7.28%的複合年成長率成長,因為農民和農業相關企業擴大採用提高效率的材料來減少氮流失並滿足永續性標準。聚合物包膜和聚合物硫包膜製劑能夠增強養分釋放,最大限度地減少養分淋溶和揮發,並透過減少施肥頻率來提高勞動效率。養分管理方面的監管要求以及穀物、油籽和特種作物中控釋肥料使用量的增加,進一步推動了這一成長。受種植者提高產量和減少環境影響的需求驅動,控釋尿素的需求逐年加速成長。
本尿素市場報告將產業細分為以下幾個部分:特種類型(控釋尿素肥、液體肥料、控釋顆粒尿素、水溶性尿素)、作物類型(田間作物、園藝作物、草坪和觀賞植物)、形態(常規型和特種型)以及地區(亞太地區、歐洲、中東和非洲、北美、南美)。市場規模以價值(美元)和數量(公噸)表示。
到2025年,亞太地區將佔總收入的44.92%,這主要得益於中國和印度糧食種植的密集化。越南、印尼和菲律賓耕地面積的擴大以及機械化施肥設備的普及將進一步推動成長。在中國,化肥減量政策推動了奈米尿素和包膜肥料的使用,導致每公頃投入增加,但養分總量保持穩定。在印度,補貼改革促進了養分均衡管理,提高了對高價值複合肥料的需求,使其超過通用顆粒肥料。此外,東協氫能藍圖正在為低碳氨進口做準備,這有望支持未來的綠色尿素生產。
中東和非洲是成長最快的地區,預計複合年成長率將達到9.17%。這一成長主要得益於沙烏地阿拉伯、阿拉伯聯合大公國和奈及利亞的產能擴張,以及低成本天然氣帶來的出口競爭力提升。當地的農業補貼計畫也刺激了內陸地區的需求。奈及利亞的丹格特綜合體同時服務國內市場和西非市場,降低了對外國進口的依賴。波灣合作理事會(GCC)成員國正在探索利用太陽能電解生產綠色氨的工廠,以吸引來自歐洲和亞洲的注重碳排放的買家。然而,撒哈拉以南非洲部分地區的基礎設施不足和政治不穩定構成了挑戰,儘管捐助者支持的農業推廣計畫仍在繼續推動化肥的推廣應用。
北美和歐洲的成長軌跡成熟而穩定。在北美,頁岩氣使化肥廠能夠保持成本優勢,位列生產商前25%,從而維持了對拉丁美洲的出口。在歐洲,更嚴格的農業政策(例如營養素含量上限)促使顆粒包衣化肥產品廣泛使用。德國和比利時的進口碼頭正在拓展採購管道,在天然氣價格高企時期,從北非和中東進口的氨彌補了本地產量的下降。
The urea market was valued at USD 76.95 billion in 2025 and estimated to grow from USD 81.99 billion in 2026 to reach USD 112.66 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 6.57% during the forecast period (2026-2031).

Rapid cereal acreage expansion and the first commercial green hydrogen projects are reshaping production economics while keeping demand on an upward trajectory. Producers with long-term natural gas contracts protect margins during price spikes, yet distributed port-side plants and renewable-powered ammonia units are beginning to reset regional cost curves. In parallel, governments tighten runoff rules, which steer demand toward coated and stabilized products that command higher average selling prices. These converging forces encourage strategic hedging in feedstock sourcing, deeper integration with logistics assets, and accelerated R&D in enhanced-efficiency fertilizer formulations.
Escalating global cereal acreage keeps nitrogen demand on a solid climb as farmers strive to meet a 28% production increase by 2030. High-yield wheat, rice, and maize programs in India, China, and parts of Africa absorb large volumes of granular urea that are compatible with GPS-guided spreaders. India's nano urea rollout shows how dosage optimization can reduce environmental load without cutting nutrient supply. Government input subsidies in Sub-Saharan Africa further lift application rates and introduce smallholder farmers to coated products that slow nitrogen release. Brazil's Plano Nacional de Fertilizantes backs domestic capacity to curb import reliance while supporting expanding soybean and corn acreages. Favorable commodity prices sustain acreage gains, strengthening long-run consumption fundamentals for the urea market.
Globally, crops such as corn, rapeseed, cotton, sorghum, rice, wheat, and soybeans are major consumers of essential nutrients. In 2024, these key crops exhibit varying nutritional requirements, with an average application rate of primary nutrients ranging from 120.97 kg/ha to 255.75 kg/ha. These nutrients are critical for supporting plant metabolic processes and the development of essential tissues, including cells, membranes, and chlorophyll. Nitrogen remains the most widely applied nutrient, with an average application rate of 224.6 kg/ha. As the cultivation area for field crops continues to expand, particularly in South America and the Asia-Pacific regions, regions such as Europe and North America, facing nutrient deficiencies, are increasingly adopting urea specialty fertilizers due to their efficiency.
Feedstock accounts for up to 80% of ex-works urea pricing. When European benchmark gas cleared EUR 300 per MWh (USD 324 per MWh) in 2022, several plants idled rather than operate at negative margins. Producers with upstream integration, such as SABIC in Saudi Arabia, preserve profitability through captive gas. Others deploy hedging programs, yet still confront cash burn when spot spikes surpass hedge coverage. This volatility quickens the shift toward regions with stable gas supply, stimulates adoption of ammonia imports for modular plants, and rekindles interest in renewable hydrogen at declining power tariffs.
Other drivers and restraints analyzed in the detailed report include:
For complete list of drivers and restraints, kindly check the Table Of Contents.
Water-soluble urea fertilizers have emerged as the dominant segment in the specialty urea fertilizers market, commanding 40.35% market share in 2025. Urea, being rich in nitrogen and easily soluble in water, significantly enhances nitrogen uptake by plant roots, thereby stimulating growth. The segment's dominance is primarily driven by shifting climatic patterns, including droughts, heatwaves, and escalating water scarcity worldwide, which have curtailed nitrogen availability in soils. Farmers increasingly prefer water-soluble urea fertilizers as they ensure a consistent nitrogen supply while mitigating nitrogen leaching, volatilization, and associated risks of environmental pollution and groundwater contamination.Controlled-release urea is the fastest-growing segment with a CAGR of 7.28% during the forecast period 2026-2031, as farmers and agribusinesses increasingly adopt efficiency-enhancing inputs to reduce nitrogen losses and comply with sustainability standards. Polymer-coated and polymer sulfur-coated formulations provide extended nutrient release, minimizing leaching and volatilization while improving labor efficiency through reduced application frequency. This growth is further driven by regulatory requirements for nutrient management and the rising use of controlled-release fertilizers in cereals, oilseeds, and specialty crops. The demand for controlled-release urea is accelerating year-on-year as growers aim to achieve higher productivity with reduced environmental impact.
The Urea Market Report Segments the Industry Into Speciality Type (CRF, Liquid Fertilizer, SRF, and Water Soluble), Crop Type (Field Crops, Horticultural Crops, and Turf & Ornamental), Form (Conventional and Speciality), and Region (Asia-Pacific, Europe, Middle East & Africa, North America, and South America). The Market Size is Provided in Terms of Value(USD) and Volume(Metric Tons).
Asia-Pacific accounted for 44.92% of 2025 revenue, driven by intensive cereal cultivation in China and India. Growth is further supported by expanding acreage and the adoption of mechanized fertilizing equipment in Vietnam, Indonesia, and the Philippines. In China, fertilizer reduction mandates are encouraging the use of nano urea and coated products, leading to higher spending per hectare despite stable total nutrient tonnage. In India, subsidy reforms promote balanced nutrient management, increasing demand for higher-value formulations over generic prills. Additionally, the ASEAN hydrogen roadmap is preparing the region for low-carbon ammonia imports, which could support future green urea production.
The Middle East and Africa are the fastest-growing regions, with a projected CAGR of 9.17%. Growth is driven by capacity expansions in Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Nigeria, supported by low-cost gas that enhances export competitiveness. Local farm subsidy programs are also boosting demand in inland areas. Nigeria's Dangote complex serves both domestic and West African markets, reducing dependency on offshore imports. Gulf Cooperation Council countries are exploring solar-powered electrolyzers for green ammonia production, positioning themselves to attract carbon-conscious buyers in Europe and Asia. However, infrastructure gaps and political instability in parts of Sub-Saharan Africa pose challenges, though donor-backed agronomic extension programs continue to support fertilizer adoption.
North America and Europe exhibit mature but steady growth trajectories. In North America, shale gas ensures that fertilizer plants remain among the first-quartile cost producers, sustaining export flows to Latin America. In Europe, stricter farm policies on nutrient caps are driving the adoption of granular coated products. Import terminals in Germany and Belgium are expanding sourcing options, with ammonia imports from North Africa and the Middle East compensating for reduced local production during periods of high gas prices.